General Motors

India’s recent series of power blackouts, in which 600 million people lost electricity for several days, reminds us of the torrid pace at which populations in the developing world have moved onto the powergrid. Unfortunately, this great transition has been so rapid that infrastructure has mostly been unable to meet demand. India itself has failed to meets its own power capacity addition targets every year since 1951. This has left roughly one quarter of the country’s population without any (legal) access to electricity. That’s 300 million people out of a population of 1.2 billion. Indeed, it is the daily attempt of the underserved to access power that may have led to India’s recent grid crash. But the story of India’s inadequate infrastructure is only one part of the difficult, global transition away from liquid fossil fuels. Over the past decade, the majority of new energy demand has been met not through global oil, but through growth in electrical power. Frankly, this should be no surprise. After all, global production of oil started to flatten more than seven years ago, in 2005. And the developing world, which garners headlines for its increased demand for oil, is running mainly on coal-fired electrical power. There is no question that the non-OECD countries are leading the way as liquid-based transport – automobiles and airlines – have entered longterm decline. Why, therefore, do policy makers in both the developing and developed world continue to invest in automobile infrastructure?

• Caterpillar warns on global uncertainty (FT)
• Only 3 years behind the curve as usual: Moody’s warns on California city defaults (FT)
• Monti Says ‘Tragedy’ If Euro Became a Factor of Disruption (Bloomberg) - the same Monti whose disruptive comments recently enraged Germany?
• China Home Prices Climb in More Cities Prompting Policy Concerns (Bloomberg)
• China's Big Four boost new bank loans in Aug first half (Reuters)
• EU Leaders Plan Shuttle Talks to Bolster Greece (Bloomberg)
• US rule set to slash cars’ fuel use (FT)
• Spain Seeks Commitment From Central Bank on Bond Buys (WSJ)... and preferably completely unconditional
• Finnish Euro Doubts Hide Business Plea to Commit to Currency (Bloomberg)

Fisker, whose Karma superburningcar made headlines two days ago for being the latest addition to America's New Spontaneously Combusting Green Normal, has decided to double down on that elusive spark, and has released the incendiary news that it has hired as CEO none other than head of that other hot selling eco-car, the Chevy Volt. From Reuters: "Fisker Automotive named the former head of General Motors Co's (GM.N) Chevrolet Volt program as chief executive on Tuesday, marking the second time the troubled, government-funded start-up has replaced its top executive this year. Tony Posawatz, who oversaw the development of the Chevy Volt plug-in hybrid for six years before he left GM this summer, will replace outgoing CEO Tom LaSorda. "I've been recruiting him for quite a while and certainly had some people assist me in giving him the full story," LaSorda said during a conference call with reporters. "He's come in with eyes wide open."" Hopefully he's also come in with a fire extinguisher.

• Must be those evil speculators' fault: Oil price inflates as speculators bet on stimulus (Reuters)
• Need moar stimulus: UK Coalition plans housebuilding stimulus (FT)
• Paul Ryan brings fundraising prowess to Romney presidential bid (Reuters)
• Chinese serial killer shot dead after massive manhunt (Reuters)
• Silver Hoard Near Record As Hedge-Fund Bulls Recoil (Bloomberg)
• World powers eye emergency food meeting; action doubted (Reuters)
• Clegg Said to Have Role in Picking King Successor as BOE Chief (Bloomberg)
• Standard Chartered CEO takes charge of Iran probe talks (Reuters)
• Risks must not hide positive China trends (FT)
• BOJ should not rule out any policy options: July minutes (Reuters)
• India Says Growth Sacrifice Needed in Inflation Fight (Bloomberg)

Back in 2009 when the government sacrificed GM and Chrysler bondholders just so labor unions (read voters) can be made whole, the media, for various reasons, decided not to pursue the decision-making process that left some workers with their pensions wiped out, while others were made whole and suffered no losses (with a comparable lack of investigation being conducted as to the decisions that shuttered some Chrysler dealers, but left others operating, a topic Zero Hedge had some say over). In fact, as the Daily Caller reminds us "The White House and Treasury Department have consistently maintained that the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) independently made the decision to terminate the 20,000 non-union Delphi workers’ pension plan...Former Treasury official Matthew Feldman and former White House auto czar Ron Bloom, both key members of the Presidential Task Force on the Auto Industry during the GM bailout, have testified under oath that the PBGC, not the administration, led the effort to terminate the non-union Delphi workers’ pension plan." Turns out they lied... Under oath.

• Standard Chartered Falls Most in 24 Years on U.S. Iran Probe (Bloomberg)
• Iran accusations wipe $15 billion off StanChart shares (Reuters)
• Hilsenrath tells us that Fed Official Calls for Open-Ended Bond Buying (WSJ) - shocking indeed
• German opposition backs fiscal union, demands constitutional change and referendum (FT)
• Gary Gensler speaks: Libor, Naked and Exposed (NYT)
• IMF Pushes Europe to Ease Greek Burden (WSJ)
• Second TSE System Error in Seven Months Halts Derivatives (Bloomberg)
• Rice Hoard Offers World Respite as Food Costs Surge (Bloomberg)
• UK coalition in crisis over parliamentary reform (Reuters)
• Ethics probe could deal losing hand to Nevada Democrat (Reuters)

• U.S. nuclear bomb facility shut after security breach (Reuters)
• EU Commission Welcomes Greek Reform Pledge, Wants Implementation (Reuters) -> less talkee, more tickee
• China Cuts Stock Trading Costs to Lift Confidence (China Daily) as France hikes transactions costs
• Holding Fire—for Now—but Laying Plans (WSJ)
• ECB-Politicians’ Anti-Crisis Bargain Starts to Emerge (Bloomberg)
• Dollar falls back as non-farm payrolls loom (FT)
• Ethics Plan to Raise Consumer Confidence (China Daily)
• Brazil backslides on protecting the Amazon (Reuters) - fair weather progressive idealism?
• Japan Foreign-Bond Debate May Boost BOJ Stimulus Odds (Bloomberg)
• Japan’s Lower House Passes Bill to Let Workers Stay on to 65 (Bloomberg)

• Hilsenrath: Heat Rises on Central Banks (WSJ)
• Some at Fed Are Urging Pre-Emptive Stimulus (NYT)
• Obama Warns of Headwinds in Europe; Urges European Leaders to Take Decisive Action on Euro (WSJ) - also needs reelection
• ECB thinks the unthinkable, action likely weeks away (Reuters)
• Games Turn London Into ‘Ghost Town.’ (FT)
• Greek Leaders Seek to Defer Austerity Cuts (FT)
• Hong Kong Builders Unload Properties to Raise Cash for Land Rush (Bloomberg)
• North India Crippled by Power Cuts (FT)
• Euro-Area Unemployment Rate Reaches Record 11.2% on Crisis (Bloomberg)
• Italy's Monti sees hope of end to euro crisis (Reuters)

• Schäuble View on Eurozone at Odds With US (FT)
• Juncker: Euro zone leaders, ECB to act on Euro (Reuters)
• German Banks Cut Back Periphery Lending (FT)
• Monetary Policy Role in EU Debt Crisis Limited: Zoellick (CNBC)
• Bond Trading Loses Some Swagger Amid Upheaval (NYT)
• As first reported on ZH, Deflation Dismissed by Bond Measure Amid QE3 Anticipation (Bloomberg)
• Record Cash Collides With Yen as Topix Valuation Nearing Low (Bloomberg) - but, but, all the cash on the sidelines...
• Greek Leaders Agree Most Cuts, Lenders Stay On – Source (Reuters)
• Chinese Investment in US 'set for record year' (China Daily)

You may recall that the PSI (Private Sector Involvement) was a one-off event as heralded again and again in the Press by every political leader in the European Union. This proclamation was thundered from the rafters, held up like a banner by the ECB and trumpeted by every Parliament in Europe. The message was clear and rolled out like a red carpet for bond owners, “This will never happen again.” Amazingly, or perhaps not so, is the length of time that “never happen again” took to dissipate. The European Union and the European Central Bank are now signaling a change of position as tax payers always trump the owners of bonds and I fear one more example of this is about to be shoved down our throats. Mr. Draghi’s recent statements are all but a fait accompli in my opinion and you may expect some definitive announcements very soon. The situation is even more grave than this however as the question of “seniority,” already a distressing issue, is also going to be re-addressed and I think recalculated in some very non-conventional ways so that an owner of senior debt in European sovereigns and European banks will find himself behind an eight ball with absolutely no control and in serious jeopardy.

• Who Needs the Euro When You Can Pay With Deutsche Marks? (WSJ)
• Now it's personal and ad hominem: Is German Economist Exacerbating Euro Crisis? (Spiegel)
• Bernanke Outlines Range Of Options For Additional Easing (Bloomberg)
• Italy's Monti says serious worry Sicily region may default (Reuters)
• Libor ‘structurally flawed’, says Fed (FT)
• Some Firms Opt to Bring Manufacturing Back to U.S. (WSJ)
• ECB Signals Support for Easing Irish Debt Terms (WSJ)
• China’s Wen Warns Of Severe Job Outlook As Growth Yet To Return (Bloomberg)
• Hollande scraps tax breaks on overtime (WSJ)
• China’s June Home Prices Rebound As Sentiment Improves (Bloomberg)

• Lieborgate fallout: Bank of England Governor Sir Mervyn King faces MPs (Telegraph)
• Yahoo's brand new CEO to seek maternity leave shortly (NYT)
• China’s Foreign Investment Drops 6.9% In June (Bloomberg)
• Falling property investment drives China H1 FDI drop (Reuters)
• German Court Delays Ruling on Fund (WSJ)
• Fed's George Says U.S. Growth May Not Exceed 2% in 2012 (Bloomberg)
• China Echoes 2009 Stimulus Planned Railway Spending Boost (Bloomberg)
• ZEW: Investor Outlook For German Econ At Six-Month Low (MNI)
• Fed Shifts Focus To Jobs As Unemployment Stalls Above 8% (Bloomberg)
• Goldman Builds Private Bank (WSJ) - lock in those deposits asap
• UniCredit, Intesa Among 13 Italian Banks Cut By Moody’s (Bloomberg)

While GM can still fool some of the people, most of the time with near record channel stuffing, even as more and more are waking up and suing the company for just this, it seems the same type of strategy of load up dealers with unsellable electric cars has failed miserably in Europe. From WSJ: "General Motors Co. said Karl-Friedrich Stracke has stepped down as president of its loss-making European division, though the restructuring program initiated under his leadership will continue. GM said Mr. Stracke will take another, unnamed position at the U.S. auto maker and that Opel supervisory board chairman Steve Girsky will serve in his place on an interim basis. "Karl Stracke worked tirelessly, under great pressure, to stabilize this business and we look forward to building on his success," GM Chief Executive Dan Akerson said in a statement." The 'success' that as pointed out, has led to a loss-making divions. With successful leaders like these who needs failures?

In a classic example of "speak of the devil", we were barely done with hitting save on our earlier article (in a series going back to 2011) describing the relentless (and innovative) machinations conducted by GM to perpetuate the myth of swift sales absorption when in reality it is nothing the age-old gimmick of channel stuffing, that we got notice that General Motors was being sued by a group of IPO investors (nursing losses of about 40%), for precisely this: "In connection with the IPO, and in order to assuage concerns that GM was predicting revenue based on production rather than actual sales, GM falsely assured investors that it was actively managing its production by monitoring its dealer inventory levels. Additionally, GM assured investors that in 2011 it would improve inventory management, which would improve average transaction price. These statements were false when made. In July 2011, reports began to surface that GM had engaged in an extraordinary inventory build-up. In particular, an article published by Bloomberg on July 5, 2011 revealed that GM may have been unloading excessive inventory on dealers, a practice known as "channel stuffing," in order to create the false impression that GM was recovering and sales and revenues were rising." Luckily, since this is a class action lawsuit, anyone else out there who bought GM on the belief that the company would not engage in precisely the behavior that we have shown month after month to occur, is invited to enjoin the plaintiffs and to sue the company that exists only courtesy of taxpayer generosity (and more importantly, courtesy of labor unions subverting priority rights in bankruptcy, in exchange for presidential votes). Finally, and if nothing else, this lawsuit will certainly force the general co-opted media to pay some more attention to a topic that is quite sensitive for the administration: the business model of the one company that the president is so proud and happy to have saved from the clutches of evil bondholders.

Zero Hedge readers know that we have long followed channel stuffing trends at GM, whose month-end dealer inventory hit a record (for the post-reorg company which is completely different from the pre-bankruptcy entity) of 713K cars stuck in various dealer "channels" at the end of March 2012, and since then has been stagnant at just about 700K, with the most recent June number coming at 701K, an increase of 6K over May. It would be great to assume that the company has given up on cheap ways to cheat investors and the taxpaying public into believing it is doing better. It would also be wrong. As it turns out, GM has merely turned to more backdoor methods of stuffing channels, and getting money from its biggest shareholders, which still happens to be Joe Sixpack (and "superpriority" labor unions of course) by way of the US Treasury, with 32% of the common stock.