DiMartino Booth Reveals "The Great Contagion"

"All of these products were born of central bankers with no self-control, individuals who’ve long since demonstrated that they are lacking in common sense. The fact is, they’ve gorged together and fed each other’s risky markets in concert. Now comes the time for the real discovery, the revelation of the feedback mechanisms that will infect each other’s markets and economies."

  • May 4, 2018 5:05 PM

The Next Recession Is Closer Than You Think

"Economists’ views on the potential for a recession will probably be inadequate because they have been unable to predict any Post-WWII recession, so it is unlikely they will do so now..."

  • May 4, 2018 3:05 PM

Frontrunning: May 4

  • Trump Gambit Over Disclosing Porn-Star Payment Stuns Staff (WSJ)
  • U.S. Wants $200 Billion Cut in China Trade Imbalance by End of 2020 (WSJ)
  • Here's What the U.S., China Demanded of Each Other on Trade (BBG)
  • Small manufacturers tap the brakes as tariffs bite (Reuters)
  • May 4, 2018 8:00 AM

All Eyes On Payrolls, But The Real Story Is The Ongoing EM Rout

While payrolls will come and go, the big story remains the accelerating rout in Emerging Markets, where a bevy of currencies, including the TRY, ZAR, INR, IDR and especially the Argentina Peso, have gotten crushed prompting questions if another 1997-style EM crisis is on the horizon.

  • May 4, 2018 7:27 AM

Albert Edwards Spots The "Peak Bullshit" Indicator

"Maybe this is a sign that we have reached a moment, like 2000, where investors wake-up abruptly from their liquidity-induced slumber and realise they have inadvertently sleep-walked to the edge of an investment precipice."

  • May 3, 2018 11:29 AM

Everyone Is On The Same Side Of The Boat

  • Rule #2: Excess in one direction will lead to an opposite excess in the other direction, and;

  • Rule #9: When all the experts and forecasts agree – something else is going to happen.

  • May 3, 2018 9:05 AM