Escobar: Here's The Real Reason The US Must Talk To Russia

Authored by Pepe Escobar via The Asia Times,

Future historians may well identify Russian President Vladimir Putin’s landmark March 1 speech as the ultimate game-changer in the 21st-century New Great Game in Eurasia. The reason is minutely detailed in Losing Military Supremacy: The Myopia of American Strategic Planning, a new book by Russian military/naval analyst Andrei Martyanov.

Martyanov is uniquely equipped for the task. Born in Baku in the early 1960s, he was a naval officer in the USSR era up to 1990. He moved to the US in the mid-1990s and is now a lab director in an aerospace firm. He belongs to an extremely rarified group: top military/naval analysts specializing in US-Russia.

From quoting Alexis de Tocqueville and Leo Tolstoy’s War and Peace to revisiting the balance of power during the Soviet era and beyond, Martyanov carefully tracks how the only nation on the planet “which can militarily defeat the United States conventionally” has reacted to a situation where any “meaningful dialogue between Russia and America’s politicians is virtually impossible.”

What is ultimately revealed is not only a case of disregarding basic Sun Tzu – “if you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles” – but most of all undiluted hubris, turbocharged, among a series of illusionistic positive feedback loops, by Desert Storm’s “turkey shoot” of Saddam Hussein’s heavily inflated, woefully trained army.

The United States’ industrial-military-intel-security complex profits from a compounded annual budget of roughly US$1 trillion. The only justification for such whopping expenditure is to manufacture a lethal external threat: Russia. That’s the key reason the complex will not allow US President Donald Trump even to try to normalize relations with Russia.

Yet now this is a whole new ball game as the US faces a formidable adversary that, as Martyanov carefully details, deploys five crucial capabilities.

  1. Command, control, communications, computers, intel, surveillance and reconnaissance capabilities equal to or better than the US.

  2. Electronic warfare capabilities equal to or better than the US.

  3. New weapons systems equal to or better than the US.

  4. Air defense systems that are more than a match for US airpower.

  5. Long-range subsonic, supersonic and hypersonic cruise missiles that threaten the US Empire of Bases and even the entire US mainland.

So how did we get here?

Debunking American military mythology

Martyanov argues that Russia, all through the first decade of the millennium, spent enough time “defining herself in terms of enclosed technological cycles, localization and manufacturing.”

In contrast, Germany, even with a large, developed economy, “cannot design and build from scratch a state-of-the-art fighter jet,” while Russia can. Germany “doesn’t have a space industry, and Russia does.”

As for those who pass in the US for Russian “experts,” they never saw these techno-breakthroughs coming; they “simply have no grasp of the enormous difference between the processes involved in a virtual monetized economy and those involved in manufacturing of the modern combat informational control system or of the cutting-edge fighter jet.”

Martyanov produces plenty of snapshots. For instance, “Russia …without any unnecessary fanfare, launched a complete upgrade of her naval nuclear deterrent with state of the art ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs) of the Borey-class (Project 955 and 955A)…. This is the program which most Russia ‘analysts’ were laughing at ten years ago. They are not laughing any more.”

A central tenet of the book is to debunk American military mythology. That must include in-depth reappraisal of World War II and a re-examination of how the Soviet Navy was closing the technological gap with the US Navy already by the mid-1970s, even as it remained “a dedicated sea denial force designed strictly for deterrent.” The Soviet Navy, as the Russian Navy today, “was built largely for a single purpose: to prevent a NATO attack on the USSR from the sea.”

Moving to the post-USSR era, it’s inevitable that Russia had to come up with a concerted strategy to counteract the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s relentlessly moving east – a clear violation of the (verbal) agreement between George Bush Senior and Mikhail Gorbachev.

And that leads us to the holy of the holies concerning the favorite Beltway mantra, “Russian aggression.” Even as Russia “does have the capability to deal major damage to NATO,” as Martyanov reminds us, “why would Russia attack or damage European countries which are worth way more for Russia free and prosperous than they would be if damaged and, theoretically, subjugated?”

The caliber of Brzezinski’s nightmare

The book’s Chapter 7, titled “The Failure to Come to Grips with the Modern Geopolitical Realignment,” brings us back to another game-changing moment: the 2015 Victory Parade in Moscow, with Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping sitting next to each other, graphically exposing the worst Zbigniew “Grand Chessboard” Brzezinski nightmare of the “two most powerful Eurasian nations declaring full independence from the American vision of the world.”

And then there was Russia’s campaign in Syria; on October 7, 2015, six 3M14 Kalibr cruise missiles were launched in intervals of five seconds from the Russian Navy’s small missile ships in the Caspian Sea, aimed at Daesh targets in Syria. The USS Theodore Roosevelt and its carrier battle group immediately understood the message – exiting the Persian Gulf in a flash.

Since then, the message has been amplified: the Eastern Mediterranean, the Black Sea, or “the Russian Navy’s Pacific zones of responsibility” are becoming “completely closed zones for any adversary.”

The lesson from the Kalibr-in-the-Caspian saga, writes Martyanov, is that “for the first time it was openly demonstrated, and the world took note, that the American monopoly on symbols of power was officially broken.”

As Martyanov shows how “in both Donbass and especially in Syria, Russia called the American geopolitical and military bluff,” there’s no question this Syria-Ukraine interconnection – which I analyzed here – is the foundation stone of the current “historically unprecedented anti-Russian hysteria in the US.”

So the ball – just like the one offered by Putin to Trump in Helsinki – is in the United States’ court. What Martyanov describes as “the deadly combination of contemporary American elites’ ignorance, hubris and desperation,” though, cannot be underestimated.

Already during his election campaign, Trump announced multiple times that he would contest the post-Cold War international (dis)order. Helsinki was a graphic demonstration that now Trump’s “drain the swamp” faces a massive immovable object, as the swamp will take no prisoners to preserve its trillion-dollar power.

In contrast, Russian diplomacy, as explicitly reaffirmed once again this week by Putin himself, is adamant that anything is permitted when it comes to avoiding Cold War 2.0.

But just in case, Russia’s new-generation weapons have now been formally unveiled by the Defense Ministry, and some of them are already operational.

‘Pearl Harbor meets Stalingrad’

It’s crystal clear that President Trump is applying Kissingerian divide-and-rule tactics, trying to reduce Russian political/economic connectivity with the two other Eurasian integration poles, China and Iran.

Still, the swamp cannot possibly contemplate The Big Picture – as this must-watch conversation between two of the very few Americans who actually know Russia in-depth attests. Professor Stephen Cohen and Professor John Mearsheimer go to the jugular: Nothing can be done when Russophobia is the law of the land.

Over and over again, we must go back to Putin’s March 1 speech, which presented the US with what can only be described, writes Martyanov, as “a military-technological Pearl Harbor-meets-Stalingrad.”

Martyanov goes all the way to explain how the latest Russian weapons systems present immense strategic – and historical – ramifications. The missile gap between the US and Russia is now “a technological abyss,” with ballistic missiles “capable of trajectories which render any kind of anti-ballistic defense useless.” Star Wars and its derivatives are now – to use a Trumpism – “obsolete.”

The Kinzhal, as described by Martyanov, is “a complete game-changer geopolitically, strategically, operationally, tactically and psychologically.” In a nutshell, “no modern or prospective air-defense system deployed today by NATO can intercept even a single missile with such characteristics.”

This means, among other things – and stressing it is never enough – that the whole Eastern Mediterranean can be closed off, not to mention the whole Persian Gulf. And all this goes way beyond asymmetry; it’s about “the final arrival of a completely new paradigm” in warfare and military technology.

Martyanov’s must-read book is the ultimate Weapon of Myth Destruction (WMD). And unlike the Saddam Hussein version, this one actually exists.

As Putin warned (at 7:10 in the video), “They did not listen to us then.” Are they listening now?

Tags

Comments

silverer Mon, 07/23/2018 - 18:35 Permalink

So the Russians have been spending their money more wisely? Who would have thought? It's time for the libtard and globetard comments now.

Adolfsteinbergovitch powow Mon, 07/23/2018 - 18:45 Permalink

Russians are already one step ahead: they reduced their military budgets to allow for faster infrastructure renewal and investment in their population. Better than war they want their nation to become an economical powerhouse. 

They shall make it. Go to Moscow and look at the number of pregnant women and children in the streets. Truly a wonderful sight. Within 30 years the USA will have become a shithole, whereas Russia will be in a league of its own. 

Putin has brilliantly executed his vision. He earned his place in his country's history books. 

In reply to by powow

Stuck on Zero powow Mon, 07/23/2018 - 19:07 Permalink

Anyone who has worked for the Department of Defense knows that weapon procurement is the most corrupt system imaginable. I could give you 100 horror stories about billion dollar programs that resulted in nothing usable.  Good ideas are thrown away. The big 5 defense contractor always win out against more advanced and cheaper systems from little guys. In this town we had 2500 contractors thirty years ago. Today there are fewer than 30. If there is one word for the US DoD contracting system it is 'corrupt.'

In reply to by powow

two hoots 1 Alabama Mon, 07/23/2018 - 20:00 Permalink

We just thought we outspent Russia and ended the Cold War.  Russia shrunk/name changed but lived to fight another day.  We continued to spend/waste  and now we can no longer afford to keep up.  We are over extended and broke.

Surely Russia/China know we are struggling with budgets/deficits and only have to keep pushing us to respond and sabor rattle until we hit empty.   Yes China has economic troubles likewise but don't have to worry about  losing world reserve currency status. They can do further down the rabbit hole than the US.  When China/Russian show off new advanced weapons (working or not) and the US feels its gotta spend more to challenge,  on and on, we are hooked on military might as we have nothing else to compete with/offer?  We should consider bridge building instead of bridge destruction.  

 

In reply to by 1 Alabama

Baron von Bud 1 Alabama Mon, 07/23/2018 - 20:02 Permalink

America has a first class military in terms of personnel, training and tactics. Unfortunately, our fine servicemen serve under generals looking at post military jobs and becoming rich. They dropped the ball. Rather than challenge the inept leadership they became yes-men. We need a rule that says no flag officer can work in the defense or related sectors or as a lobbyist etc for a full five years after leaving military service.

In reply to by 1 Alabama

philipat 1 Alabama Mon, 07/23/2018 - 20:54 Permalink

Did you read the article? Even if it ever was a strategy, which I doubt, it wouldn't work now. Russia can shoot down ANY US threat, including the best missiles and so-called "stealth" aircraft, which can be seen even as they leave their bases. I'm sure glad you are not in control of any armed force!

This is the very kind of myopia and hubris that got the US into its present predicament.

In reply to by 1 Alabama

Chupacabra-322 Stuck on Zero Mon, 07/23/2018 - 19:20 Permalink

@ Stuck,

It’s Criminal, not Corrupt.  Still wondering where that 2.3 Trillion Dollars that Pure Evil War Criminal Treasonous Seditious Psychopath Donald Rumsfeld declared missing the day before the 911 False Flag.

 

“No money shall be drawn from the treasury, but in consequence of appropriations made by law; and a regular statement and account of receipts and expenditures of all public money shall be published from time to time.” ~ Article I, Section 9, Clause 7, U.S. Constitution

 

The Solari Report has been covering the missing money since 2000 when Catherine Austin Fitts began to warn Americans and global investors about mortgage fraud at the US Department of Housing and Development (HUD) and the engineering of the housing bubble that lead to trillions more dollars in bailouts.

 

The Pentagon Black Budget: $21 Trillion Dollars Gone Missing

That Is $65,000 for Every Person in America. More than our entire national debt!

 

https://www.globalresearch.ca/the-pentagon-black-budget-21-trillion-dollars-gone-missing/5623553

In reply to by Stuck on Zero

philipat TheReplacement Mon, 07/23/2018 - 23:56 Permalink

Yes I have. A perfect example would be the corruption in the US Government, none of which ever seems to get prosecuted as a crime. So in my view, yes indeed it is quite possible to be corrupt without being a convicted criminal and thus confirmed as being a criminal.

And there are many crimes which don't involve corruption. Crimes of passion would be a relevant example.

In reply to by TheReplacement

bruno_the TrajanOptimus Mon, 07/23/2018 - 20:05 Permalink

HAHAHA.

Guess that is what happens when you do not know a f'n russian word and do not follow russian politics. 

Mainstream media in Russia is controlled by the chosen ones (Solovyov comes to mind). Finances, government (Medvediev). The oligarchs rule this poor country same as everywhere else.   

Jews are running (riding) the bear.

Historically in the last 300 years no russian ruled Russia. German, Jews, Georgians, Ukies etc.

United Russia - the ruling party put in their logo 333 for everyone to see.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Russia

Putin ???? 

Here you go

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zmXJV5uhJoI

In reply to by TrajanOptimus

LaugherNYC Adolfsteinbergovitch Mon, 07/23/2018 - 21:08 Permalink

Blahblahblah...

Yeah, Russia has taken public all of the missiles and weapons they developed in direct contravention of every missile pact they ever signed. Their utter disregard is what has led to the US re-tooling a decade ago, and taking DARPA and the R&D departments at the tech firms and major universities they fund to do the same. Difference is, we can't talk about it, because we have pretended to be taking the high road, until we had to walk away from treaties in order to defend ourselves against the cheaters.

If anyone on this planet believes Russia can defeat the US in a conventional war, have you considered the sheer numbers of weapons the US manufactures?

Put out  batallions of S500s, with the capacity to counter 1200 missiles, and it will be overwhelmed with 5,000. Whatever the number is, that's how many will be used.

The cost of a Tomahawk is not significantly more than that of the S400/500 long-range interceptors. Multi-layered, relentless waves of missiles, air, land, sea and space launched can counter any tech the Russians come up with until they simply run out and get swamped. Remember when the Google scientists walked off the AI project? That's a command and control module that can run autnomously no matter what part of the system is taken down. It's as close to a doomsday machine as humans have built. Functionality is a reality - the machine must think fast enough to control and coordinate literal oceans of weapons swamping everything in front of it, behind, under or over it. Not everybody wasn't listening to Vlad.

But you go ahead and believe that Russia's magic weapons make them invincible.

The new F-15 can carry 24 missiles. Think about that. 24 missiles.  This has become purely a numbers game. More missiles need more money.

 

Get real, please.  There is only one nation on the Earth capable of defeating the US in a conventional war. The USA.  And that is what the immigration "crisis" is all about.

Get it?

In reply to by Adolfsteinbergovitch

dunce LaugherNYC Tue, 07/24/2018 - 06:34 Permalink

The Russians made us develop all kinds of deadly weapons?? That is kind of like a wife beater blaming her for making him a violent POS control freak. Governments attract psychopaths and the most obsessed with power rises to the top, Hitler being the most recognizable ,Napoleon being another, Stalin being a third. Brennan is "our" current mad man.

In reply to by LaugherNYC

dunce LaugherNYC Tue, 07/24/2018 - 06:37 Permalink

The Russians made us develop all kinds of deadly weapons?? That is kind of like a wife beater blaming her for making him a violent POS control freak. Governments attract psychopaths and the most obsessed with power rises to the top, Hitler being the most recognizable ,Napoleon being another, Stalin being a third. Brennan is "our" current mad man.

In reply to by LaugherNYC

Scipio Africanuz LaugherNYC Tue, 07/24/2018 - 07:19 Permalink

I have to correct a misconception on your part. Russia has stated clearly, that if "it" ever begins, and they, or their allies are put under threat, by irresponsible behaviour, the US homeland, and practically all of Europe, is fair game!

Your swamp strategy, is DOL (Dead On Launch). It pays to pay attention. If you can get your cerebral cortex to activate, ask yourself why Russia is anyone's enemy. Go ahead, fire those neurons, fire them intensively, pondering that simple question. I promise you, if you fire them long enough, you'll receive illumination, enlightenment, and clarity!

And what sort of clarity? The type that makes you understand that Russia, for good or bad, is prepared, yep, you read that right, prepared to lash out in terrifying anger, if she's ever in danger of even a small pin prick on her territory!

Please I beg you, read some history, the Russian ghosts of years past, are demanding no less, and if there's one thing you should understand about Russia, their ancestors (ghosts of years past), are absolutely dear to them, therefore, I implore you to have some respect, some sympathy, and some taste...

In reply to by LaugherNYC

Versengetorix Adolfsteinbergovitch Mon, 07/23/2018 - 21:24 Permalink

They are preserving their white Christian heritage, they have vanquished the Jewish/Bolshevik yoke and they are socking gold away with two hands and two feet, 24/7.  We have embraced the Jewish banking system and turned it over to them.  We then allowed them to purchase our Congress and hence turned our military and foreign policy over to them.  When they have sucked America dry, they will throw it in the trash and and move on to the next victim.

In reply to by Adolfsteinbergovitch

silver140 silverer Mon, 07/23/2018 - 19:13 Permalink

  “for the first time it was openly demonstrated, and the world took note, that the American monopoly on symbols of power was officially broken.”

Yes, the world took note, but the parasitoid corporate fascists don't take notes. They don't "think" in rational terms. They are parasites in behavior which has become hard-wired into their brains. There's no weapons system that they recognize as a threat. Weapons systems are their tools. It is exactly those weapon systems that their life strategy drives them to use, or to cause to be used. Human beings infected with the parasitoid ideology are programmed to seek any method that will complete their life strategy, whether it is nuclear war, nuclear power plants, global toxic pollution, bio-chem-warfare, carcinogens/toxins in the food and water supply, etc. ----all these are being marshaled to kill the host.

A parasitoid is an organism that lives in close association with its host and at the host's expense, and which sooner or later kills it. Parasitoidism is one of six major evolutionary strategies within parasitism. Parasitoidism is distinguished by the fatal prognosis for the host, which makes the strategy close to predation.

In reply to by silverer

107cicero Mon, 07/23/2018 - 18:55 Permalink

Its a travesty that dumb American taxpayers shell out a trillion dollars a years , Russia $60 billion and Russia is ahead with the weapons that count.

The Russians aren't your problem American Sheeple its your politicians and their chronic sucking of Zionist/MIC cock.