... the survey is consistent with factory production and orders both falling at annualised rates of around 3%, with manufacturing jobs being lost at a monthly rate of roughly 20,000...
Authorities have a choice: i) Adopt Draconian quarantine measures and trigger a global recession as worldwide economic activity grinds to a halt, or ii) risk a pandemic by failing to take more aggressive action also resulting in a global recession.
"US companies will generate no earnings growth in 2020. Our reduced forecasts reflect the severe decline in Chinese economic activity in 1Q, lower end-demand for US exporters, supply chain disruption, a slowdown in US economic activity, and elevated uncertainty."
...while the media is crowing that “reflation is on the horizon,” the commodity complex is suggesting that whatever bump there was from the “trade deal,” is now over...