We have discussed the flipping frenzy that has gripped the country in 2006 2013 on several occasions previously (most recently here, here and here) so there is little we can add, but this anecdote from Reuters just has to be read to be believed.
Presenting Jan Brzeski who stands in a sun-filled, beautifully refurbished living room high in the Hollywood Hills, looking out at a swimming pool and miles below, stunning views of Los Angeles. Brzeski is a private money lender running an investment firm in Los Angeles that provides loans to house flippers - investors who buy a home, refurbish it, and sell it at a profit. Many flippers turn to money lenders because they cannot get banks to provide such short-term, quick financing. Standing with Brzeski is Scott Ryan, the realtor who bought this four-bedroom, five-bathroom house in December 2012 for $1.5 million - with money lent by Brzeski - and has transformed it with another $600,000. This week the property will go on the market at $3.295 million.
In other words, thanks to Ben Bernanke, macrolenders who specialize only on home resales are making a killing capitalizing on the hottest cottage industry, pardon the pun, in housing: flipping a hot grenade over and over, while constantly raising the price, in hopes the cheap money continues to trickle down at least one more day and at least one more greater fool, on whom to offload a massively overvalued property hopefully in a few short days, is uncovered.
Of course, this is what happened the last time too and it ended in tears. But, then again, who cares.
"People will come in here and fall in love," Ryan said, with a house flipper's standard issue optimism. "This is an emotional sale. If it takes a week to sell, I will be surprised. There are a lot of young, wealthy people here, and a lot of money out there."
Eighteen months ago Brzeski and his firm, Arixa Capital Advisors, were lending investor money to flippers on very different properties: $250,000 single family homes in southern California's up-and-coming lower- to middle-class blue-collar neighborhoods. Most of the deals involved foreclosed homes that were totally refurbished, and then sold quickly.
No more. Brzeski now focuses on developers working on high-end flips of mansions and townhouses in exclusive neighborhoods, such as the Hollywood Hills and Bel Air.
And he is not alone. There has been a surge in high-end and luxury flipping nationwide. Between 2011 and today, flips of homes valued at $1 million or more have risen almost 40 percent across the United States, according to RealtyTrac, the housing data company.
"These Wall Street guys employed huge dollars," Brzeski said. "These firms came to the courthouse steps and bought everything in sight. So the low- to mid-market dried up."
Brzeski said he had originally been wary of the high-end market, because of the much bigger sums involved and thus greater risk. But then in 2011 he financed the purchase of a house in West Hollywood for $1.425 million. Another $1.175 million was spent on a total refurbishment.
"When the developer put it on the market, they had multiple, all-cash offers," he said. "There was a line out the door to buy it. It sold for $3.5 million. This was an incredibly profitable project. This really opened my eyes."
The house was bought by actress Sarah Gilbert, who became famous on the television sitcom "Roseanne."
Daren Blomquist, RealtyTrac's vice president, said: "Flippers are getting more confident that the market is really recovering, and therefore are more willing to go high-end, even though it's more risky."
Far be it for someone to point out to the "flippers" that the only reason prices are going up is becuase of the explicit supply subsidy from Foreclosure stuffing, and that the only marginal buyers are other flippers, but they will get that. Eventually. For now, it is "party like it's 2006"
Brzeski's business model is simple. Using a fund of investor money he lends 75 percent of a project's "hard costs" - that is money used for the purchase and refurbishment - and collects interest at an annual rate of approximately 10 percent.
Usually the loan is repaid within six to 12 months. He does not share in the profit made by the flip. Brzeski loans between $1 million and $4 million on each project.
Another factor, unique to California, helps him fund luxury flips, said Brzeski. Because of a 1978 voter initiative law knows as Proposition 13, the tax assessments of California houses have increased dramatically less than home values since the law was enacted, as long as the home has remained unsold.
Now, owners who had been reluctant to part with their large homes since the early 1970s because of "Prop 13" are dying, or are finally ready to downsize.
Well, if mass death, i.e., war, is bullish for a sham Keynesian voodoo system, there is no reason why individual deaths shouldn't be worth a few hundred G's as well.
Finally, it's not only California: the flipping frenzy has gone countrywide:
Across the country, close to Washington, D.C., Chris Haddon works for Hard Money Bankers. They provide money for investment deals on "fix and flip" projects in Washington, Maryland and Virginia.
Haddon says he, too, has seen a surge in deals involving high-end properties. "A few years ago, you would look at a $2 million property and have no idea how long it would take to sell. The high-end market is always the last to rebound. But it's now rebounded and D.C. is hot."
In Miami, Mark Black, a realtor, said people with cash have been moving into the high end of the market in the past year.
"The market has gone through the roof. You see people buying properties one year ago and selling them at 20, 30 percent profit. Some of these are no more than paint jobs. The ones that are doing big rehabs are making huge profits."
In Manhattan, Tim Desmond, a realtor with luxury realtors Stribling, said high-end flips in New York are not for the faint of heart, but the profits can be huge.
He cited a 12,000-square-foot (1,115-square-meter) home on Manhattan's East 56th Street that was bought by an investment group for $10 million. It took two years to convert it into two, three-story, 6,000-square-foot (557-square-meter) condominiums. The first is now on the market with a $17 million price tag.
Like we said: nothing to add.