Is Bob Shiller Right? Mortgage Applications Collapse Back To 5 Year Lows

After the initial post-Taper-talk rate-rise-driven marginal-buyer-crushing collapse in mortgage applications in the US, the un-Taper provided a brief period of hope for the NAR and market apologists that all-cash buyers are all we need and mortgage applications dead-cat-bounced on the rate drop. However, all that hope ended in early November and as of this morning's print, mortgage applications have plunged back to the almost record lows of October 2008 (levels not seen since December 2000). As Bob Shiller recently explained, "we can't trust momentum anymore," in housing and the speculators are leaving the buildings.

 

 

Chart: Bloomberg