Trump's Corollary To The Monroe Doctrine Changes Everything

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The United States now has a low tolerance for European weakness because the administration in Washington sees that as an emerging threat to the US’s own security...


Buffett Protégé Todd Combs Leaving Berkshire For JPMorgan

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Dimon described Combs as “one of the greatest investors and leaders I’ve known”...


Global Hikes & A Hawkish Fed Cut: Goldman's Delta-One Desk Head Says "Market Is Mostly There Already"

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Hard to argue we’re trading negative sentiment anymore... The “run it hot” narrative picked up last week...


House Approves Bill Blocking IRS Fines Without Specific Supervisory Approval

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Another bill that was approved aims to solve inefficiencies in the Tax Court structure regarding pre-trial discovery documents...


3 Bond Charts We Are Watching

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Yields up, Fed cuts…a 1990s-style disconnect is back.

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'Disappointed' Trump Raps Zelensky Who 'Hasn't Yet Read' Peace Proposal

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"His people love it, but he [Zelensky] hasn't. Russia’s fine with it."


Treasury Market Is Not Ready For Much Higher Yields

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The market is not positioned for higher US yields, leaving any further selloff in Treasuries exposed to an overhang of longs closing out.


Magnitude 7.2 Quake Strikes Off Japan, Triggers Tsunami Alert

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No issues at Fukushima and Higashidori nuclear plants


AI’s Forgotten King Roars Back

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Asia’s AI Plays Are Waking Up…

Key Events This Busy Week: Fed, JOLTs, Central Banks Galore; Oracle & Broadcom Earnings

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It's a busy week for both economic news and central banks, with all roads pointing to Wednesday’s FOMC, where overwhelming consensus is for the Fed to deliver a final and third 25bps rate cut for 2025.


Trump Expected To Roll Out $12 Billion Farm Aid Program Today

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Farmers have expressed rising frustration over the slow pace of Chinese purchases


Tesla Shares Slip After Morgan Stanley Downgrades To Equal-Weight From Overweight

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In the new model, they assign roughly $55 per share of value to autos, $40 to energy, $145 to Network Services, $125 to robotaxis and $60 to humanoids, adding up to the $425 target.


Big China Flows Exit… Just as the Charts Start to Turn Up

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Biggest China outflows just as China is catching bids.

Trump Readies "One-Rule" Executive Order Aimed At Centralizing AI Regulation

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"State-by-state AI regulation would drag this industry into a halt..."


Confluent Shares Erupt After Report Of $11 Billion IBM Takeover Bid

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A successful deal would be IBM’s largest in years, furthering its pivot toward AI...


Futures Rise For 10th Day In Past 11 With Fed Rate Cut Looming

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. “We expect Powell to emphasize that the hurdle for further cuts in early 2026 is high, signaling a near-term pause. This guidance will be key to maintaining credibility.”


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Brazilian Assets Slammed After Bolsonaro's Son's Comments

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Flávio Bolsonaro’s announcement that he’ll run for president next year, with the backing of his father Jair Bolsonaro - the jailed former president barred from holding office - spooked markets Friday...


Oil Reclaims Key Levels, Forcing Shorts To Blink

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...low implied volatility and firmer prompt spreads signal a better balanced or slightly tighter near-term market, rather than one braced for a sudden collapse...


Former NY Fed Repo Guru: Powell Will Announce $45 Billion In Bill Purchases On Wednesday

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The Fed will need to buy at least... $25b/mto reverse the reserve over drain, for at least the first 6 months.


The Stages Of A Color Revolution... And Where America Is Right Now

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...these symptoms - narrative delegitimization, institutional fracturing, and crisis fabrication - raise concerns of a partisan bid to subvert democratic mandates.