Archive

March 23rd, 2017

Frontrunning: March 24

  • Republicans Struggle to Unite on Health Bill (WSJ)
  • Trump Still Negotiating in Bid to Save Healthcare Bill Before Vote (BBG)
  • Trump Tantrum looms on Wall Street if healthcare effort stalls (Reuters)
  • High stakes for Trump in vote on healthcare plan (Reuters)
  • GOP Lawmaker Sparks New Battle Over Trump Spy Claim (WSJ)

Italy Falls Out Of Love With The Euro: Beppe Grillo Resurgent In The Polls

Recent polls for Italian politicians supporting the eurozone and EU have collapsed. Pro-Europe polls are highly likely to get worse as a  further splintering of Matteo Renzi’s PD party takes place. It is not out of question for Beppe Grillo’s eurosceptic Five Star Movement (M5S) party to achieve an absolute majority in the next election...

Will Thursday's Final TLTRO Finally Spark Carry Trades?

On Thursday, the ECB will hold its fourth tender under the TLTRO-II (Targeted Long-Term Refinancing Operations) programme. A large take-up is expected. A poll published by Reuters had a  median forecast of EUR 125bn net borrowing, with estimates as high as EUR 300bn. From a rates perspective, what matters is whether these funds will trigger flows into the bond or swap markets as banks set up carry trades.

Economics Of The Standoff Between Turkey And The Netherlands

As the diplomatic squabble between Turkey and the Netherlands continues to fester, concerns are raised about whether — and to what extent — the tensions will harm bilateral relations, particularly in economics where the two countries have robust trade and investment connections.

March 22nd