So… basically, fund managers, individual investors (everyone on the investing planet) are more bullish than in years, expecting an economic utopia to arrive.
California officials have started preparations to plug a hole in the emergency spillway at the Oroville Dam, including using rocks and sandbags, including helicopters dropping bags of rocks into the crevasse, to prevent any further erosion. Here are scenes from the site.
While tensions between President Trump and CNN dying down, a new scandal has erupted for the cable news network after Venezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro said on Sunday he wanted CNN out of the country, accusing it of spreading fake news, misrepresenting the truth and meddling in issues that are not of its concern.
Starting in October 2016, the amount of gasoline supplied to the US market started to decline on a year over year basis. This negative trend accelerated in January, leaving both energy analysts and macroeconomic pundits to wonder if the US has entered a stealth recession.
Germans got another price shock today when the Federal Statistics Office reported that Wholesale Prices rose a China-like 0.8% MOM in January, and advancing 4% year-on-year in January, up from the "mere" 2.8 percent increase in December, and the fastest growth since October 2011, when prices gained 4.1%.
With Reince Priebus and Mike Flynn seemingly on the chopping block, bookmakers' odds suggest Sean Spicer is still the 'favorite' to hear the infamous words "You're Fired" from President Trump.
Back in 2000, the U.S. cash equities trading desk at Goldman Sachs’s New York headquarters employed 600 traders, buying and selling stock for the bank's institutional clients clients. Today, it has two.
According to BofA, the best ways to hedge increased risks of a potential Eurosceptic win in the upcoming French election is favouring 10y peripheral spread wideners in Spain vs France, longs in 5y5y Germany and 5y Dutch sovereign CDS. In the options space, the banks recommends going long vol with a hybrid 6m10y strangle. In inflation, it likes 5y5y French CPI v HICP widener and a long 30y OATei breakeven vs inflation swap.
Markets have started this week feeling much relieved, notes Bloomberg's Richard Breslow, as the understandable fears that U.S.-Asia strategy might continue their lurch toward direct economic confrontation were given a respite. However, as Breslow notes, asset classes galore are at important levels and vigilance will pay a hefty premium.
China's Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang said China was "seriously concerned and resolutely opposed", after Japan got continued U.S. backing for its dispute with Beijing over islands in the East China Sea during a meeting with Trump, adding that the islands had been China's inherent territory since ancient times.
Following a woefully belated response by California authorities' to the dangerous situation unfolding at the Lake Oroville Dam in Northern California over the weekend, an evacuation order forcing some 200,000 people living below the tallest dam in the US remained in place early on Monday after residents were abruptly told to flee when a spillway appeared in danger of collapse.
In the hint that members of Trump's administration may be "compromised" by conflicts of interest, the WSJ reports that Trump's pick for Commerce Secretary, Wilbur Ross Jr, plans to keep millions of dollars invested in offshore entities "whose values could be affected by policies that he implements as commerce secretary", including an investment in a Chinese government-backed company.
"Although nearly every method we know of to measure relative value is equally over-extended to the upside, the great game of investment musical chairs continues. Illogic reigns; the “Melt Up” has begun in earnest and it will stop when it stops and not a moment before."
The key economic releases this week are CPI, retail sales, and industrial production on Wednesday. In addition, there are several scheduled speaking engagements from Fed officials this week, including Chair Yellen’s semi-annual Monetary Policy Report to Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday (Humphrey-Hawkins).
"We're going to talk about all sorts of things we align on, like jobs and economic growth, opportunities for the middle class - the fact that millions of good jobs on both sides of our border depend on the smooth flow of goods and services across that border," Trudeau said.
"The media may refer to the Trump-Abe bromance, but the fact of the matter is that this week’s strong start to markets isn’t driven by any particular positive catalyst. The two leaders delivered no surprises. Instead, this rally is largely based on the absence of new negative catalysts. The fact that Trump met another major world leader and didn’t create an international incident is now a notable event."
European and Asian stocks, S&P futures, bond yields, the dollar and commodity metals are rose, in some cases making new all time highs, lifted by the latest reemergence of the "Trump trades" as hopeful investors once again bet that the U.S. president's tax reform plans will boost economic growth and corporate profits, despite another warning from Goldman that the president's fiscal plan is about to be derailed.