Maduro Kicks CNN Out Of Venezuela, Accuses It Of Spreading Fake News

While tensions between President Trump and CNN dying down, a new scandal has erupted for the cable news network after Venezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro said on Sunday he wanted CNN out of the country, accusing it of spreading fake news, misrepresenting the truth and meddling in issues that are not of its concern.

"Stealth Recession" - The Mystery Of The Teleporting Commuter

Starting in October 2016, the amount of gasoline supplied to the US market started to decline on a year over year basis.  This negative trend accelerated in January, leaving both energy analysts and macroeconomic pundits to wonder if the US has entered a stealth recession.

German Wholesale Prices Soar 4%, Biggest Jump Since October 2011

Germans got another price shock today when the Federal Statistics Office reported that Wholesale Prices rose a China-like 0.8% MOM in January, and advancing 4% year-on-year in January, up from the "mere" 2.8 percent increase in December, and the fastest growth since October 2011, when prices gained 4.1%.

Here Are The Best Hedges Against A Le Pen Victory

According to BofA, the best ways to hedge increased risks of a potential Eurosceptic win in the upcoming French election is favouring 10y peripheral spread wideners in Spain vs France, longs in 5y5y Germany and 5y Dutch sovereign CDS. In the options space, the banks recommends going long vol with a hybrid 6m10y strangle. In inflation, it likes 5y5y French CPI v HICP widener and a long 30y OATei breakeven vs inflation swap.

Trader Warns "US Markets Are Playing Global Pied Piper"

Markets have started this week feeling much relieved, notes Bloomberg's Richard Breslow, as the understandable fears that U.S.-Asia strategy might continue their lurch toward direct economic confrontation were given a respite. However, as Breslow notes, asset classes galore are at important levels and vigilance will pay a hefty premium.

Oroville Dam Evacuations: Here Are The Latest Updates

Following a woefully belated response by California authorities' to the dangerous situation unfolding at the Lake Oroville Dam in Northern California over the weekend, an evacuation order forcing some 200,000 people living below the tallest dam in the US remained in place early on Monday after residents were abruptly told to flee when a spillway appeared in danger of collapse.

Wilbur Ross, Trump's Commerce Dept Pick, To Keep 11 Investments Including Chinese Govt-Backed Company

In the hint that members of Trump's administration may be "compromised" by conflicts of interest, the WSJ reports that Trump's pick for Commerce Secretary, Wilbur Ross Jr, plans to keep millions of dollars invested in offshore entities "whose values could be affected by policies that he implements as commerce secretary", including an investment in a Chinese government-backed company.

Key Events In The Coming Humphrey-Hawkish Week

The key economic releases this week are CPI, retail sales, and industrial production on Wednesday. In addition, there are several scheduled speaking engagements from Fed officials this week, including Chair Yellen’s semi-annual Monetary Policy Report to Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday (Humphrey-Hawkins).

Frontrunning: February 13

  • 'Trump trades' on boost to economic growth come back with a bang (Reuters)
  • Trump's national security adviser Flynn trying to survive crisis (Reuters)
  • White House Is Sifting Options on Immigration Ban (WSJ)
  • North Korean Nuclear Ambitions to Be Defining Issue for Trump (BBG)
  • Netanyahu opposes Palestinian state, Israeli minister says ahead of U.S. visit (Reuters)
  • Speed Limits on Trump’s Infrastructure Drive: Federal Laws, Rare Species and Nimbys (WSJ)

Trump Meets Trudeau: Key Events In Washington Today

"We're going to talk about all sorts of things we align on, like jobs and economic growth, opportunities for the middle class - the fact that millions of good jobs on both sides of our border depend on the smooth flow of goods and services across that border," Trudeau said.

"No News Is Good News"

"The media may refer to the Trump-Abe bromance, but the fact of the matter is that this week’s strong start to markets isn’t driven by any particular positive catalyst. The two leaders delivered no surprises. Instead, this rally is largely based on the absence of new negative catalysts. The fact that Trump met another major world leader and didn’t create an international incident is now a notable event."

Global Stocks Rise, S&P Futures Make New Record Highs As "Trump Trade" Euphoria Returns

European and Asian stocks, S&P futures, bond yields, the dollar and commodity metals are rose, in some cases making new all time highs, lifted by the latest reemergence of the "Trump trades" as hopeful investors once again bet that the U.S. president's tax reform plans will boost economic growth and corporate profits, despite another warning from Goldman that the president's fiscal plan is about to be derailed.