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Brits are a bunch of focking wankers...
Maybe because they have been buying spades of US debt ?
Yes. And at a yield of 50 basis points they'll make up that shortfall in no time at all! :-)
Sun tzu @dabidC. If your enemy is angry... stick your finger in his butt.
That really is not funny any more.
You may want to consider ending your stop the "bitchez" campaign. It only perpetuates the use of it. More importantly, I have just added it to my lexicon with great success in an effort to communicate with the massess. And, oh, my girlfriend likes it when I utter "gold bitchez". Apparently she is thinking something to dangle while I am thinking of what may really dangle.
besides-Trav is incurable lol - Ned
While you are at it, front run this one as well: "beatchez". The nuance is somewhat undefined, though I am inclined to see virtue in its expression.
David is one of my favorite bitchez.
All my cards are coming up spades. This is not sustainable.
Jacks , Queens and Aces, their faces in debt
the people and goverment made a bad bet.
"All my cards are coming up spades. This is not sustainable."
"All my cards are coming up spades. This is not sustainable."
unexpectedly so, n'est ce pas?
The UK or Japan which of these old island empires will sink first?
I've often wondered the same thing. There is a race to debase and I don't see how you win that game....the last one standing has toilet paper for currency.
The world needs some new growth platform. Maybe it is commodities, oil wells and fertilizer. Maybe it is biotech or maybe weapons manufacturers.
Monkey- yes. "race to debase". That is why I'm thinking that USD will be the last currency standing-we'd suck less than the others.
But O says that growth is so last-century; your thesis is screwed until 2013 or so (but I agree with it, coming out of WWII, why the formula was-"GROWTH".
How about a return to normal, decent capitalism where countries produce most of what they consume? This whole globalization schtick is a fascist scam. Jobs would boom.
Depends on how many people stand on one side of the island, much like what might happen to Guam.
"... well, we really don't expect that."
Admirals are not paid to put up with that BS. don'tcha know.
The concluding phrase, "until the massive debt load is no longer sustainable" reminds me of setting off fireworks when we were kids: sometimes you get a cherry bomb or M-80 with a "fast fuse" and you had only instant reaction time to turn your face and fingers away from the 1/2 meter flash sphere. Debt sustainability seems to be very likely a problem subject to fast fuse surprises.
Americans can always take pride in being number ONE, trouncing John Bull by a superior factor of 33 in excess spending.
Are you still in possession of all 10 fingers or did the 1/2 meter flash sphere claim a digit or two?
For now it's unfunded liability but starting right about now it will morph into permanent and rising deficit for the next 20 years for all western countries.
Its gonna be a long cold winter until 2020
"Until" it's unsustainable? You mean that it's not already?
Once you bring in unfunded liabilities for the public sector, every major global economy is terminally bankrupt. This is well known. Continuing the Ponzi is the dumbest idea ever, but they're still doing it. Everyone's favourite economist, Ludwig von Mises, said it best:
“There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency involved.”
See you in hell, bitchez
True that. Try and enjoy the ride.
Phil Collins, is that you?
It's Holly from Red Dwarf, smeg-head.
+100. glad someone's awake
One of the unintented consequences of QE is that by buying Gilts and therefore capping yields, it actually increases the deficit substantially, by making the present value of these unfunded deficits far higher. So, this is a perfect example of a policy which may makes things better on an accrual basis (central authorities prefer to think from year to year) and also looks ok from an "official debt" basis, but we know the deficits are like an iceberg, with 90% hidden under the surface through non-funded obligations. These costs have been out of sight and out of mind for decades, but now we know that soon a mark to market problem will become a cash flow problem as the population aging increases the burden on the workers.
One has to look slightly incredulous at the term "Gilts" must be the dry sense of British humor
lol-at least now-aday's
The UK doesn't have a reserve currency, so I don't know why they still have a AAA rating and a relatively strong currency and low interest rates. The British Empire is long since over. Currency and bond traders seem to have overlooked that fact.
Sterling already experienced a devaluation in 2008 against all other majors. Recovery now in the short term is a function of austerity attempts and higher inflation than other countries leading to rising forward rate expectations. The Euro had its move this year in the same way, but lacks the rising inflation to help on relative forward rate expectations. USD turn comes next. Unless its Sterling's turn again. They're all worthless anyway.
The dollar will be the last fiat currency standing..at least until another monetary system arises. The Pound will fall, and when it does it will signal the start of the end.
Good point. Makes me wonder. Given this observation and the fact that the US situation is worse, yet both countries enjoy AAA rating proves that our current rating agencies are useless...or worse. Are there any rating agencies anywhere that deliver honest ratings of government bonds?
With the passage of Dodd's fin reg, most well known rating agencies issued a "do not listen to us" disclaimer to escape clauses within the new law. Again, our best and brightest at work for us.
Fitch is probably the best of the breed. But when sniffing different dog piles it hardly matters which dog wags his tail ;-)
nmewn-come on-Fwank had skin (shudder) in that game-the Fwank-Dodd bill or FWOD bill.
Been finishing up on Mike Lewis "Big Short" book. A whole part of the mess was S&P, Moodies, and Fitch, well they cycle paper through Fannie (Fwank's favorite) and Freddie and voila AAA rating.
Great book. Did you see how the ratings agencies didn't use income for rating the worthiness of people trying to get mortgages, they just used data regarding late or missed debt payments.
So, if you were making$1000/mo you could qualify for a 200,000 mortgage if you hadn't been late on your credit card and other debt paymnets.
The credit agencies were patsies for gladman sucks and the other vultures. They gave them what they wanted because the ganster banksters hired them for other work.
Its just like the political con-bribe-utions, the impotent SEC, and the rest of the Ponzierosta
"nmewn-come on-Fwank had skin (shudder) in that game-the Fwank-Dodd bill"
Fwank is a blubbering idiot who rapes the rich & poor alike. He is an equal opportunity offender who seems to delight in ruining poor peoples credit once and for all while calling for higher taxes to be imposed on those left standing. He-is-a-menace-to-society-at-large.
Dodd add's amendments to payout bonuses to AIG in the "shovel ready stimulus bill'' and then starts screeching about executive pay until someone points out his name on the amendment, then says oh never mind as his ole lady collects a check from a subsidary of AIG offshore.
It's incestuous Ned...it really is.
that chinese agency did a fairer assessment, gave both the US and UK AA- with a 'negative' outlook...
rating agency , AAA is a political rating.
What do you mean we don't have a reserve currency ? Britain can print it's own money, just as the US can do via the Fed. We don't rely on the ECB like the rest of Europe. However, the fact that anyone can print their own cash still isn't going to save them from the currently fast approaching shitstorm, that is only slightly delayed by the fact that the US and UK can print their own loot.
Women & Children Hit Hardest As Equity Markets Crash
What are you standing around for Murphy?...we've got papers to peddle...get busy on that!
I guess the newspaper industry has been dying a slow death. The Washinton Post had been shored up by its online Kaplan schools division. However, that is about to change:
"Bets against shares of Washington Post Co. have increased to the highest level since at least 1991, as the federal government considers rules that could reduce revenue at its Kaplan education unit." (Bloomberg)
Yeah, I saw where they sold off Newsweek as well. I wonder if "a sort of god" will come down and save Evan Thomas' bacon at the helm ;-)
Crowded...but still a good short in my view, as long as taxpayer subsidy for drivel doesn't kick in.
I've got the NYT on my radar...I want to have a hand in grinding them into dust. Only in America...LOL.
The future alternate headlines will be blue toothed from the IPad boys device to the customers and a paypal account will be deducted accordingly.
The online schools might be in for another leg down also.
only went for a buck
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