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100% Sure Thing?

Bruce Krasting's picture




 

Bernanke did himself and the American people a great disservice tonight. He said that he was 100% certain that “He” could contain the consequences
of his policy of quantitative easing. No person in a position of
responsibility should make such bold statements. There is always risk.

Bernanke’s TV fireside chat was a bomb as a result of this gross misstatement of the risks of the Fed's monetary policy. There is a “zero” chance that QE will end badly?
Please, that is idiotic and insulting. The thousands of people around
the world who have stood up and said it is voodoo economics are all
wrong? Talk about hubris.

I’m not going to write the article documenting the Fed’s prior mistakes.
To suggest that they will not err this time around is too much of a
stretch. Ben should have acknowledged that there is risk. That he and
his mates don’t sleep at night knowing they have crossed a line to the
dark side of monetary policy. I wanted to see a humble Ben. One who said
that he is facing a daunting task, one where the risks of action and
inaction are substantial. But he chose to brush it all off. He is either
blind to history (that he claims to study), he is lying or he made a
boastful statement of his powers that are totally unjustified.

History is unkind to those who look into the future with myopic eyes and
see the outcome of an uncertain world as 100% certain. Ben made some
history tonight, but we won’t know about it for a few more years. Then
we will be looking at Ben’s video with both a laugh and a cry.

For the record. Ben is not printing money. He is monetizing debt. He is,
in effect, financing the current deficit of the government. He is
actively intervening in the bond market. There is no limit that has been
established for this policy. Ben said tonight he would do more if it
suits him. Monetizing debt is a desperate act. That we are doing it will
make us desperate.

In my opinion QE is not necessary and exposes the global economy to a
variety of risks. There will be little benefit to the US economy. We
will have a long-term headache as a result. Ben’s persistence with QE at
this juncture looks like a gamble by a desperate man. He was slapped
down of late and made the unusual (unprecedented?) step of going on
nationwide TV to say that all is well and not to worry.

I’m worried. I think the market for the dollar and gold will read it as I do.

 

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Mon, 12/06/2010 - 02:00 | 781337 Bob Sponge
Bob Sponge's picture

That looks to be the bottom line.  I took note of that Rickards quote too.

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:37 | 780907 Everybodys All ...
Everybodys All American's picture

Bernanke needs reigned in if not he is going to ruin this country. I would immediately ask for the Fed to be audited and close this nonsense down. IF bankruptcy of banks occur guess what we will survive. If the dollar loses its value and reserve currency status guess what happens to the rest of us.

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 23:31 | 781060 desgust
desgust's picture

So what? Who gives the US the right to be the hegemon?

You will have to live like the ROW. No FIRE economy, real work. Fight for it, support the Bernank, have faith and GOLD! The 64k question is how and when it's show down.

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:34 | 780893 David99
David99's picture

Mad Ben thinks "rest of the world is fool" but actually he is the most idiot person and I don't know how 300 million Americans are tolerating him?

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:38 | 780914 IrrationalMan
IrrationalMan's picture

You'll have to ask them during the commercials of Dancing with the stars/American Idol/...

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:28 | 780875 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Well done Bruce, as usual.

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:27 | 780868 tickhound
tickhound's picture

"...the problems in the subprime markets seems likely to be contained,"

"It is not the responsibility of the Federal Reserve - nor would it be appropriate - to protect lenders and investors from the consequences of their financial decisions."

Cheers,

Ben

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:25 | 780862 DonutBoy
DonutBoy's picture

I agree completely - but I think he's stuck.  He's not trying to destroy America.  He fears any admission of the potential that they have this wrong will encourage the doubters.  That it would encourage the new congress to legislate against him, and that it would accelerate the loss of faith in the dollar.  I agree with you, I would have more faith in the dollar if they Fed was humble - but they are not making their pitch to you - they have a different audience in mind.  An audience much less tuned-in to the reality of our fiscal situation.

The history lesson is clear: Fiat currency and representative government are incompatible.  These guys feel they must lie to us.  That their activities are so outrageous that they are only brought to light after FOIA lawsuits.  That cannot be good economic governance.  The Fed can't take sunlight.

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 23:54 | 781127 anonnn
anonnn's picture

Fiat currency and representative government are incompatible.  These guys feel they must lie to us.  That their activities are so outrageous that they are only brought to light after FOIA lawsuits.  That cannot be good economic governance."

Donutboy, your wisdom shines. Thanks for the plain speech.

Behind all great fortunes is great unfairness.

 

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:29 | 780880 honestann
honestann's picture

Of course Bernanke is purposely destroying America!!!

He and the rest of the FederalReserve and huge banks and financial institutions is literally trying to steal everything of value on planet earth... after which they'll start a space program.

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:21 | 780849 edwardo1
edwardo1's picture

Speaking of monetization, I wonder if, perhaps you have read this, Bruce.

professorfekete.com/articles%5CAEFFederalReserveAsAnEngineOfDeflation.pdf

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:20 | 780848 outamyeffinway
outamyeffinway's picture

Get ready quickly. Right after he said the sub-prime market was contained the world blew up.

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:14 | 780825 billhilly
billhilly's picture

Excellent analysis, as usual, Bruce

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:12 | 780817 LeBalance
LeBalance's picture

"If you wish to believe that I am not an employee of foreign bankers, whose only goal is your death, you are a dunce." - The Ben Bernank

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:12 | 780816 spanish inquisition
spanish inquisition's picture

It's all about the survival of the Fed and its distribution/franchisee system.

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:12 | 780814 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Ben could not have been more arrogant, or more wrong.  One of your best posts, Bruce.  You nailed the jello to the wall!

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:10 | 780809 gwar5
gwar5's picture

I agree. There is no way The Bernank can say 100% he can control inflation. He never even saw the 2008 crises coming, even as Greenspan came out of retirement to make loud warnings.  

Even if The Bernank could turn off inflation at will, it won't restore a 40%+ loss of value to the USD in his fury of debasement. 

There's still: "no place for fiat to go but gold"

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:08 | 780799 Lndmvr
Lndmvr's picture

The quivering lips gave it all away.

Mon, 12/06/2010 - 01:22 | 781277 Minion
Minion's picture

Many months ago I noticed a little cracking in his voice during a speech to congress.  I think the situation with our obscene deficits is so dire, he has been bluffing since 08 and knows the event horizon is coming, confidence is getting stretched thin, and the real scheme - monetization - will be uncovered for the world to see. 

 

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:07 | 780793 Convolved Man
Convolved Man's picture

We at the Fed made a terrible mistake and would like you to return all the money we did not print in exchange for all the collateral you gave us.

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:07 | 780792 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Gold rumbling on the launch pad, Bennie-bitch -- rumor is you got nothin but your printing press.  What's the redline on that thing?

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:04 | 780786 eigenvalue
eigenvalue's picture

Which one is better for Ben? A guillotine or an electric chair?

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:17 | 780837 Everyman
Everyman's picture

I believe he should be drug through the streets with a chain by his boots until there is only chain and boots, OR

Publically impaled.

That arogant SOB.

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:59 | 780973 Oracle of Kypseli
Oracle of Kypseli's picture

As I have posted before, he will pull the trigger himself. His glock 40 is loaded waiting for him. It will be on a Tuesday night into the wee hours of Wednesday.

The scenario is that on the fateful preceding Monday, the system will have followed a hockey stick formation in a hypebolic fashion, were there are not enough digits even in the supercomputers to depict the QE infinity.

This vertical line will collapse from its own weight and reality will prove him wrong.

Bang goes dah ho!

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 23:03 | 780988 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

So a banker who has servants and minions do everythign for him suddenbly becomes a member of the do it yourself club?

Mon, 12/06/2010 - 02:03 | 781345 Bob Sponge
Bob Sponge's picture

I too find it hard to believe.

Mon, 12/06/2010 - 00:10 | 781158 MayIMommaDogFac...
MayIMommaDogFace2theBananaPatch's picture

Waylon Smithers: Oh my God, sir, they've stolen everything.  It's so depressing.

Montgomery Burns: Well, Smithers, I don't believe in suicide but -- if you'd like to try it, it might cheer me up a bit.

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:14 | 780826 Dirt Rat
Dirt Rat's picture

A public stoning with very small stones.

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:42 | 780921 azusgm
azusgm's picture

A public stoning with gold bullion.

(I'll clean up the clutter.)

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:26 | 780780 honestann
honestann's picture

100% sure thing:  Bernanke == Blatant Liar.

Mon, 12/06/2010 - 01:06 | 781256 whatsinaname
whatsinaname's picture

silver sure ERUPTED. Crude following suit too. Gotta get mo of those eagles..

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 23:23 | 781041 Captain Benny
Captain Benny's picture

A liar with a high IQ and an invite to be interviewed by every CNBS affiliate in the world.  Dangerous indeed.

Sun, 12/05/2010 - 22:35 | 780903 patience...
patience...'s picture

He has to pretend to be 100% sure.

Otherwise I think we know the consequences.

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