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glad to have the honour of first post here.
i am going to pull a chuck prince and say: "i don't know what this means"
The short answer is: "The entire western world is living from one bond auction to the next."
nobody really know what it means apart from geithner and bernanke. we don't have all the info, we can only speculate, which of course, is pretty much wasted time.
The gvt needs $100B in new buyers every MONTH.
That last liquidity pool (MBS end around liquidity) is now dry.
They are pulling some new scam if these rates stay low.
The amount 'emitted' by the Treasury in 'auctions'
in March was 330 billion.
The French 'newspaper' publishes
a monthly review of the Federal Debt via an excellent
hello, hello, hello....
Have next week's auctions been scheduled yet?
3 trillion in coupon income hits the mkts this year, the supply side of the equation is just the talking heads on tv. This week has been stellar for auctions, santelli said B and that the auctions were interesting. I think he's smoking something cause this week was very very good for debt
S&P 1200 here we come!
now that the Treasury sold what it had to,equities can go up again. next decline? when we have the next 30Y auction. until then stay long and be happy :)
Kiting normally is hard to pull off, because the bank figures it out at some point, and a mistake occurs where the money doesn't get back in time to fund the next check.
When the (central) bank is the kiter, it can go on nearly indefinitely. The easy way to bring down the weekly kite fest is to get marginal tax rate back to the 90% point again. It is coming.
I say why even bother will all the nonsense of labels like "direct", "indirect", "bid to cover" etc. when its just the Fed putting up a good show for all the idiot/gullible "investors" out there. God knows any Treasury buyer truly deserves what's coming his way.
100% in agreement. All roads lead back to the Fedsury...
should be relabelled "sheeps" and "suckers" (rotate the terms if necessary)
This was all FED buying! The auction was another failure!!:)) Good luck bond investors if there are any really left out there!
You wonder why everybody has been paying attention to the bond markets. It's because they know when they start to see the first cracks (Fed auction fail, I know they wouldn't let it happen but their would be signs) they will start to bolt for the exits.
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