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$21 Billion 10 Year Auction Closes At New Low Yield As Indirects Shy Away

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Today's $21 billion 10 Year bond closed, as expected, without a glitch, which is normal as the Primary dealers and the Directs once again account for nearly 60% of the take down. The 2.475% high yield was the lowest in 2010, and approaching the lowest on record from early 2010. Yet what was most troubling is that like in yesterday's 3 Year auction, both the Bid to Cover and the Indirect participation have started to decline. At 2.99 the BTC was the lowest since the May 2010 auction, following which every BTC was over 3. Additionally, and more troubling, the Indirect takedown was just 41.5%, a major drop from last auction's 54.7%, which caused both the Primary Dealer back up bid, and the Direct take downs, to jump materially, to 47.8% and 10.7%, respectively. Since the 10 Year should be one of the most preferred spots on the curve for foreign investor interest, the sudden drop is certainly troubling, and may be an early shot of how China plans on retaliating for recent trade war escalations in the US.

 

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Wed, 10/13/2010 - 13:31 | 646654 Mr Lennon Hendrix
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Ponzi.

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 13:43 | 646695 AccreditedEYE
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+12.6 billion   It's almost humorous how this is just accepted as "ok".

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 13:49 | 646713 ALPO
ALPO's picture

If 12.6 billion is good, then 25.2 billion would be better!

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 13:49 | 646716 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

...a hellava drug.

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 14:35 | 646864 AccreditedEYE
AccreditedEYE's picture

LMAO! Indeed.

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 13:37 | 646677 Dadoomsayer
Dadoomsayer's picture

more risk appetite.  look at 10-30 spread.  look at stocks.

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 13:38 | 646681 sheeple
sheeple's picture

no stop it stop it! I'm still geeked out from JPM's Q3...

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 13:49 | 646714 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Good, I hope this insanity blows up in their faces and ends with them al hung by piano wire right on Broad St. this IS only their ordered last desperation pump for this election hype nonsense, after that its war in the streets time.

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 13:56 | 646725 Boilermaker
Boilermaker's picture

SPX dropped almost a full handle, briefly.

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 13:59 | 646738 George Costanza
George Costanza's picture

if the CEOs of Fannie, Freddie, Bear, Merrill, WaMu..... none of them got prosecuted, then no one will be prosecuted for anything going on now.  In fact, they will bonus out $$$

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 14:01 | 646739 Horatio Beanblower
Horatio Beanblower's picture

Some heart-warming news from the guys at Lloyds...

 

 

"Lloyds to axe a further 4,500 jobs in its IT arm Bailed-out lender Lloyds Banking Group is to axe a further 4,500 jobs in its IT division as it continues with a huge restructuring programme following its takeover of HBOS last year."

 

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/epic/lloy/8062428/Lloyds-to-axe-a-further-4500-jobs-in-its-IT-arm.html

 

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 14:04 | 646749 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

The HFTs have become aware!! They are firing the only staff who knows how to pull the plug!  Its starting!!!

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 14:05 | 646754 Horatio Beanblower
Horatio Beanblower's picture

"The HFTs have become aware!!" - It was always going to happen.

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 14:08 | 646769 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

Perhaps WOPR, from playing countless tic-tac-toe games, has permutated the surest way to world dominance is to collapse the carbon unit's economic system?

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 14:12 | 646781 Horatio Beanblower
Horatio Beanblower's picture

Apparently, Bernanke always beats WOPR at tic tac toe.  That's how he gets so many free credits.

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 14:07 | 646747 unum mountaineer
unum mountaineer's picture

http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_operation_schedule.html

 

11/1-11/2, 11/4-11/5 cute..'lil for the dramatic yes? or is that a major shiny distraction for ya cuz the real action is here.

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 14:08 | 646768 Pillage
Pillage's picture

there's one on op-ex

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 14:04 | 646753 unum mountaineer
unum mountaineer's picture

so...let's say, you pick a random day...ooh..any ol' day?

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 14:18 | 646805 HarryWanger
HarryWanger's picture

Since the 10 Year should be one of the most preferred spots on the curve for foreign investor interest, the sudden drop is certainly troubling, and may be an early shot of how China plans on retaliating for recent trade war escalations in the US.

Don't read too much into this as far as China goes. If they were pulling in on purchases, they'd make it known in a big way. That's how they roll there. 

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 15:02 | 646936 nonclaim
nonclaim's picture

yield was the lowest in 2010, and approaching the lowest on record from early 2010

There's a wormhole in 2010....

Wed, 10/13/2010 - 15:08 | 646954 MAGICWIZARD
MAGICWIZARD's picture

china doesn't have any play here. they've rolled down the curve the past 3yrs and most holdings are 5 and under. this is all about sub 2.5% and lack of committment by Fed on where the qe2 is going.

Tue, 11/16/2010 - 10:54 | 730679 daniel
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Really this is a great post from an expert and thank you very much for sharing this valuable information with us.
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