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28 Consecutive Weeks Of Domestic Equity Fund Outflows

Tyler Durden's picture




 

This is getting boring. The only question is whether we can hit 2011 with no inflows... 2012? 2020? $86 billion in outflows this year, means mutual funds are hanging by a thread on asset values continuing to go up, as they have no dry powder left whasoever.

 

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Wed, 11/17/2010 - 17:59 | 735884 redpill
redpill's picture

Just imagine how dramatic it would be if so many retail investors weren't stuck in their mutual funds by virtue of their company 401k policies?

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:45 | 736083 midtowng
midtowng's picture

It's the cashing out of 401k's that is probably the reason for the outflows.

With unemployment extensions expiring in a couple weeks I expect this trend to pick up.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 21:50 | 736518 Thanatos
Thanatos's picture

Seen the borrowing against retirement pick up at my office.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 02:20 | 736952 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Redpill: +++++

The 401(k) is the greatest managed-theft scheme ever created by man.

Suze: And don't forget about that great "company match"

Dave: Oh yes. What a great deal that is!

Bob: Yes, maximize that fucker!

 

All criminal, willing, should-be-indicted co-conspirators.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 02:29 | 736964 Paul Bogdanich
Paul Bogdanich's picture

It's not just a good idea it's the law (for those of you young punks out there that was the official government slogan to enforce the 55 mph nationwide speed limit imposed in the 1970's.  The double nickle as they called it).  

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 02:29 | 736966 Paul Bogdanich
Paul Bogdanich's picture

It's not just a good idea it's the law (for those of you young punks out there that was the official government slogan to enforce the 55 mph nationwide speed limit imposed in the 1970's.  The double nickle as they called it).  

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:02 | 735893 Cdad
Cdad's picture

Fuckin' A!  Average Joe kickin' ass and selling into strength...and the bagholders being the criminal syndicate known as Wall Street.

Count me proud!

And won't it be fun when the syndicate, known also as "smart money," turns and starts puking out equities?  Party at my place.

Cdad

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:06 | 735917 AR15AU
AR15AU's picture

Aye, the sheep are starting to wake up...  even the full court press from CNBC is not convincing j6ps that the NYSE is anything other than a poorly run game or 3 card monte.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 10:09 | 737452 jus_lite_reading
jus_lite_reading's picture

I believe this all started out of necessity, not rebelion. I know many clients from our firm sold out their positions in order to pay bills. And this "strange ET happening" is not just from low net worth accounts- we're talking people with incomes of $450k+ and net worth in excess of $5m... oh you can believe it's happening. The longer the great cover up takes, the harder it will be. We have weeks, if not days left...

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:44 | 736078 Dadoomsayer
Dadoomsayer's picture

+1 let the smart money puke

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:04 | 735908 TraderTimm
TraderTimm's picture

Just as an update: Got the signal yesterday - SHORT the indexes, daily basis.

I'm wrong if my indicator flips positive (which it hasn't from today's boring action) or my Buy Stop is taken out, which is above the Dow daily high of: 11,194.70

Time for some good 'ol RED candles.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:05 | 735909 max2205
max2205's picture

Why don't we all do this

A few details from the Financial Times: Dublin feels pressure on rescue package

Irish bank customers have withdrawn an estimated 11% of deposits over just a few weeks.
The Irish banks are now relying heavily on the ECB for liquidity.
The "rescue team" (IMF, European Central Bank, and European Commission officials) arrive on Thursday.
LCH.Clearnet (large clearing house) today doubled the margin requirements for Irish sovereign debt.

Also from the WSJ: Ireland Braces for Bank Exam

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:07 | 735919 Cdad
Cdad's picture

Sweet!  I love the Irish.  I hate to travel, but I'm going to Ireland next year, dammit!

 

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 11:26 | 737665 jus_lite_reading
jus_lite_reading's picture

Give it 2-3 weeks. Wait until the "stress tests" in the US are redone.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:06 | 735916 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

All that money is just sitting on the fence waiting for an entry point to come flooding in from the sidelines as soon as they get some further fed-inspired confidence via blatant market manipulation. [/sarcasm]

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:10 | 735934 kornholio
kornholio's picture

buzz saw what the hell is that avatar

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:16 | 735957 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

That's kuato bitchez! Where the hell's urine kornholio?

 

http://www.insidesocal.com/tomhoffarth/Cornholio.jpg

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 11:48 | 737741 jmc8888
jmc8888's picture

Total Recall.

Just remember for Quaid to yell, 'see ya at the party Richter' (or is that Bernanke???).  That scene demonstrates what is upcoming.  It's at ~1:39-1:40 mark  (hint: elevator)

 

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:18 | 735972 Dollar Damocles
Dollar Damocles's picture

It's quato, a precient alien from Arnold's greatest movie, total recall.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:07 | 735921 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

Nothing like a display of confidence in the stock market, eh? (sarcasm noted)

The elites have contempt for the individual, but they fear the masses.

 

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:08 | 735926 Aknownymouse
Aknownymouse's picture

Barak Bin Hussein Bin Obama gives Buffet a medal  ??  WHAT THE FUCK FOR?

 

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/obama-to-honor-buffett-with-medal-of-freedom-2010-11-17

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 11:29 | 737676 jus_lite_reading
jus_lite_reading's picture

For giving Obamao a Great Thank You the day before for pumping Trillions of worthless dollars into Buffet's holdings. Why else? You scratch my back I'll scratch yours.

 

Everyone knows Buffet is beyond his good years and may pass away soon. He wants to see the system go down in flames before he is gone.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:09 | 735927 clotario
clotario's picture

Too true. Best thing 'The Man' ever did was to guarantee major inflows weekly, and therefore perpetuate the Wealth Effect ad infinitum, ad nauseum.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:11 | 735940 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

I'm just wondering how high the market is going to go when the Sheep are herded out of the current gambling casinos (offshore sports betting, Las Vegas card tables, etc.) and back into the U.S. Stock casino.

We'll see Dow at 20,000 easy.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:22 | 735986 Dapper Dan
Dapper Dan's picture

You may be right robo,  " we will let you gamble but only on our (equity)tables."

 

The Hill  notes that HR 2267 may be part of a short “lame duck” session that will take place before the new Congress takes their places in January. Should that happen, the bill may be piggy backed to a jobs bill that has a better chance of passing. Poker historians will remember that the previous Congress similarly passed the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:49 | 736096 DollarDive
DollarDive's picture

Ok....now that's a stretch.  If anything they'll end up at the tables because they get free drinks  !  :)

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 19:14 | 736158 Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh's picture

Makes you feel good to know stocks can levitate despite outflows...we need a revised version of that novel "A Random Walk Down Wall Street".

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:12 | 735943 AUD
AUD's picture

And just where are these outflows going?

I know the spread between 1m US bank CD's & 1m UST's is negligible. Joe Average is selling 'equities' & buying the debt of a hopelessly illiquid banking system?

Who is the real chump?

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:14 | 735955 Aknownymouse
Aknownymouse's picture

average Joe is unemployed and needs the money to live and eat.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:14 | 735956 Boilermaker
Boilermaker's picture

Rent, food, gasoline, college tuition, medical bills, tires, whatever.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:25 | 736004 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

That's what makes the "money on the sidelines" meme so laughable.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:55 | 736112 DollarDive
DollarDive's picture

I just got a bill for my son's tuition for next semester...

 

Bitchez !!

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 19:39 | 736221 Rainman
Rainman's picture

.....don't forget to add in all of those paying down debt with 401k money.....either borrowing against it or taking it out with penalty to pay off 18% credit cards. Of course, the odds are good they'll max up the credit cards right away anyhoo.

The housing ATM has no doubt been replaced by the retirement ATM. Humans don't break bad habits easily.....unless access is finally gone.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 21:48 | 736508 unununium
unununium's picture

To the "sidelines," naturally.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:13 | 735949 Boilermaker
Boilermaker's picture

401(k) was set up to have no escape route.  It must be awesome to have captive liquidity to play with.

It's the financial roach motel.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:55 | 736115 DollarDive
DollarDive's picture

This might be the best year to start withdrawing it, as taxes will be most favorable.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:16 | 735951 ShankyS
ShankyS's picture

Positive that Pissonme was distraught from this number (and his recently all red heat maps). Must suck to be working under the permabull mandate. I get great joy whenever confirming REAL data comes out like this.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:14 | 735954 prophet
prophet's picture

In 2006 emerging markets accounted for 92% of all net fund inflows. 

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:16 | 735965 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

Maybe the sheep are not spending money at the Wall St. casinos because they are too busy buying stuff at Victoria's Secret.

Up another 3% to a fresh, new, 52-week high after hours.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:26 | 736010 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

i'm guessing you do both.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:28 | 736014 treemagnet
treemagnet's picture

Sit tight, quarter/year end selling still to come - only accentuated by and regardless of whatever in the hell the clowns in congress decide. 

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:29 | 736020 the rookie cynic
the rookie cynic's picture

POMO - mutual fund outflows = nominal bull market

 

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:44 | 736050 Waterfallsparkles
Waterfallsparkles's picture

How many people will sell their Hoarded Gold and Silver to put it back into the Market?

I am a small time investor and bought canned corn, peas, chili, flour, sugar, tuna, etc..  You think I am going to sell my food stock and put it into the Market? NO, I will eventually eat it.

My biggest asset would be the Oil in my Tank for heating but I keep waiting for the price to come down.  Anyone think that people that stocked up on Oil will sell it and buy back into the Market?

I have a friend that is Hoarding Oil.  He had a 500 gallon tank and went out and bought another two 750 gallon tanks plus another 500 gallon tank.  So now he can store 2500 gallons of Heating Oil.  I do not think that he will be selling his Oil and investing that money in the Market.

The FED has made all of us Hoarders of Food, Oil, Wood pellets for  our Pellet stoves, etc.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:47 | 736089 Waterfallsparkles
Waterfallsparkles's picture

P.S. I will be stocking up on all of those .39 cent Turkeys.  Enough for all year.  At Christmas I will buy enough Coffee on sale for at least a year.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 19:32 | 736198 Iceobar
Iceobar's picture

They probably don't really care "what" you spend it on....as long as you "spend, spend, spend"....psst...."Wanna buy a house??".....;>)

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 20:20 | 736318 Waterfallsparkles
Waterfallsparkles's picture

Anyone that has followed my posts know that I think that Real Estate especially Rental Real Estate is the only place to hold your Money.

Except of course my hoard of food.

 

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:49 | 736094 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

The 3 week slow down in outflows probably coincided with the run up to QE2. Now, they are back to nearly what they were.

Somewhere out there someone is paying attention.

Sorry Ben, but you should have gone with the full $2T like I told ya.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 18:58 | 736126 DollarDive
DollarDive's picture

Freaking Cold in New England....... I'm buying wood !!

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 19:09 | 736153 HarryWanger
HarryWanger's picture

Is there a chart that goes back farther than 2010. I'm curious what typical cycles look like over time.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 19:59 | 736281 HCSKnight
HCSKnight's picture

Right.... ahow many sequential weeks has it been flowing into ETFs, domestic and international?

Is it common in Sweden to look at only part of the data...

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 20:35 | 736361 mark mchugh
mark mchugh's picture

Maybe this is getting boring for you, TD, but I've been looking forward to this report all week.

Honestly, I thought there was going to finally be an uptick, with J6P trying to cash in on QE2, just in time to get trampled by the Teppers on the way out.  This is now truly a Mexican standoff, and sooner or later, somebody's gonna blink.

 

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 20:59 | 736406 HungrySeagull
HungrySeagull's picture

I am just waiting for the point of which the funds that are outflowing money each week cannot pay any more money having been drained bone dry and bleached by the constant outflows.

 

What then? Hmm?

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 21:12 | 736435 PoorJoeConsumer
PoorJoeConsumer's picture

Get ready for the year end stampede. Every CPA I know is telling their clients to sell due to tax law uncertainties and buy back next year if they still want the same stock. Add to that year end selling due to global problems and you may get a serious "correction."

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 22:48 | 736659 Clapham Junction
Clapham Junction's picture

Comment deleted because of stupidity.

Wed, 11/17/2010 - 23:09 | 736707 essence
essence's picture

As many others, I am FORCED to partake of the evil wall st offerings
by virtue of being employed with a 401K having limited choices
(basically PIMPCO or SP500).

The bright side should I find myself unemployed, .... I will divest myself
immediately from this repugnate association with the status quo.

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 02:28 | 736963 Paul Bogdanich
Paul Bogdanich's picture

It's not just a good idea it's the law (for those of you young punks out there that was the official government slogan to enforce the 55 mph nationwide speed limit imposed in the 1970's.  The double nickle as they called it).  

Thu, 11/18/2010 - 02:48 | 736986 saulysw
saulysw's picture

$86 Billion outflows this year? Pfff. That's one month or so of POMO isn't it? Small change. We talk TRILLIONS now, baby.

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