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32 Billion 3 Year Auction Prices At 0.862%, Weakest Bid To Cover Since February As Directs Jump

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Today's $32 billion 3 Year auction closed and confirmed that the deterioration in sentiment toward bonds is picking up. The auction priced at a high yield of 0.862%, an exactly 50% jump compared to last auction's 0.575%. More concerning, the Bid To Cover came at 2.906, the lowest BTC since February's 2.83, and compared to the LTM average of 3.115%. The indirect take down was weak, at just 36.7, although better than the 29% from two months ago. What was surprising is that Direct Bidders took down a whopping 18%, or $5.7 billion of the auction, relative to $13.7 billion submitted. Altogether a weak auction, and one that confirms that while the belly is very weak today (the 10 Year was trading north of 3.1% last), the wings are also taking on water. The only question is whether the steepness of the 7s30s and 10s30s can be preserved. For the time being the belly is widening more than the 30 Year, making life for the banks unpleasant.

 

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Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:18 | 786284 HarryWanger
HarryWanger's picture

Makes sense though with money moving into equities. 

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:25 | 786315 Max Hunter
Max Hunter's picture

Of course.. Has nothing to do with artificially low rates and inflation fears..

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:31 | 786340 thepigman
thepigman's picture

Your pal, Bubbles, has lost control
Wanger. QE2 is an epic fail.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:14 | 786458 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

I wish you would have stayed gone.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 18:17 | 787186 LowProfile
LowProfile's picture

Harry, you've been the first comment today on more than one ZH post..!  I thought you were super-duper busy with all the orders your company was taking?  How did you manage the time to be first on not one, but TWO posts?

I mean, at least try and fake the appearance of being busy.  Seriously.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:22 | 786295 plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

Not to fear. The Ben Bernank and The Goldman Sack will click a couple of commands on the computer and all will be good again. Nothing Exel couldnt handle. Its all a virtual cumfest

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:01 | 786435 MarketTruth
MarketTruth's picture

Virtual? C'mon, you are talking about Ben Shalom Bukkake.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:28 | 786323 inkt2002
inkt2002's picture

All money is going into equities.  This is bullish for stock. SPX 1500

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:37 | 786361 thepigman
thepigman's picture

Yeah, I always gets super bullish when
the Fed Chairman loses control of
interest rates. The only pleasant thing will be that the banksters are screwed.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:31 | 786329 Lucius Corneliu...
Lucius Cornelius Sulla's picture

Do you think it has something to do with extending and expanding tax breaks with record fiscal deficits?  There can now be no doubt that Congress is "going all in" to fuck over every generation that follows them.  Can somebody say risk premium?  We are so screwed.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:31 | 786341 youngman
youngman's picture

I think smart money is going into gold and silver....money into equities is the same ponzi scheme....the volumes way down..but the market up....and little people pulling their money out of funds...and insiders selling big time...and I would not buy bonds two years ago..they stank....if you are buying them today...well.....see ya later...this whole fiasco is about to fall apart...the Euro hangs on Irelands vote today..what a joke that is....

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:37 | 786358 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

Irelands vote has allready been pre determined and so ordered , nothing is hanging on it.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:37 | 786359 inkt2002
inkt2002's picture

"this whole fiasco is about to fall apart"

Where have I heard this before?

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:16 | 786461 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Around March 2008? Where nothing has changed since?

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:24 | 786488 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

YOUNGMAN well the CHINESE money (US dollars) is definitely going into gold purchases! China swapping their dollar based debt into gold holding up 500%....suck THAT fat one Ben Bukake!

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:43 | 786379 nonclaim
nonclaim's picture

There won't be anything like a failed auction as long as Treasury/Fed pair can re-cycle the money; if they buy back last week's auction, there's likely enough money waiting for the next "successful" auction. A low frequency trade (LFT) of sorts.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:14 | 786456 thepigman
thepigman's picture

You're about 3 months behind the curve. The bernank has now lost control. No auction has gone well lately. All part of the plan. Rising rates and a gimp economy, not that
we don't deserve it.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:17 | 786469 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

As long as the american people allow it and do nothing, then yes they deserve it!

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:20 | 786477 thepigman
thepigman's picture

Nice going, Sack. The PDs have

pucked you again, boyo. Pucker up,

smart guy.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:23 | 786485 nonclaim
nonclaim's picture

You glazed over the re-cycle. BTC has lost its meaning in this context as rates can be carefully managed. As long as there is not enough new money (there isn't) there is enough re-cycled money to buy everything at the just the right price.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:25 | 786494 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Oh, then why cant Benny Boy support bonds even with a free printing press? I dont see at all how youre calling 'all is well' on this shit.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:55 | 786505 nonclaim
nonclaim's picture

And who is saying "all is well"?

I'm just writing my view on why BTC is not a reliable measure for a weak Treasury auction in the current environment.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:34 | 786517 thepigman
thepigman's picture

I think we have to consider the
possibility he was just lying again
just as he did about monetization.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:38 | 786527 thepigman
thepigman's picture

His masters have told him to move

the sheeple out of bonds and into

equities so they may unload.  What

a scam.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 14:56 | 786414 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

Better put some SOMA on that Ben.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:20 | 786478 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

The Ben Bukake's entire QE plan hinges on supporting bonds, theyre falling apart DUE to monetary policy. So how does promises of more reckless insane monetary policy fix it? It doesnt.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:30 | 786502 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

The 10-year is up .21% on the day!

10yr T-note


3.140.21

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:31 | 786506 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

ffs, dbl post

 

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:36 | 786522 Derp2012
Derp2012's picture

I have no illusions about the health of the USA $ system, but why is this trend necessarily a problem?  Looking back to 2003 time frame, indirects were lower, PD takedown was higher, BTC was lower, and rates were higher.  Are today's numbers "worse" in a historical perspective?

Besides, Brian can buy all these bonds back next week.

So, besides the obvious problems with this nonsense, what's the big deal?  How is this more of a failure than last week or the week before?  

 

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:44 | 786547 thepigman
thepigman's picture

Obviously, Brian can't do shit.
Bwahahahahahahaha.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:52 | 786567 thepigman
thepigman's picture

A few more days of this and we'll have

a complete disaster on our hands.

We'll be right there with Portugal.

Nice going, Ben.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 16:04 | 786610 thepigman
thepigman's picture

Is it planned or are they fuggin idiots?

Doesn't matter, the result is the same.

Let's get our 10 year at parity with

the Portugese 10 year.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:46 | 786553 Tense INDIAN
Tense INDIAN's picture

some months back when FED announced that they may be going for more QE...the yields on the 10 yr went down sharply......may be from around 2.9 to 2.67 very quickly......why are we now seeing a rising yield when QE2 has been in operation....then the rates came down because of the USA safe heaven status........but what makes the yields go higher now after QE2 has been in operation....

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 15:59 | 786590 Samuel Morales Jr.
Samuel Morales Jr.'s picture

Bernanke said he wants a stock market bubble, so he is buying treasuries, and forcing yields down to force money into stocks. That's what he said. A stock market bubble in Bernanke theory will let the consumer know the economy is fully recovered, and feel secure about the state of the economy so they can go spend all their money.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 16:06 | 786620 thepigman
thepigman's picture

Hey.. dopey, it looks like he's forcing

yields up, if anything, so put a sock

in it.

Tue, 12/07/2010 - 16:40 | 786799 Samuel Morales Jr.
Samuel Morales Jr.'s picture

Of course, the result of poorer sentiment toward bonds, which was the plan all the along. Bernanke doesn't care about a bond bubble, he cares about a bubble that creates an illusion of wealth, and prosperity. The stock market is an accepted symbol of economic health by majority of people. He rather target a stock market bubble versus a bond bubble. The Fed can always buy bonds in the short run, so he doesn't care. Some speculation have been that Fed buying bonds because to support the bond market in case of a bond collapse. The ulterior motive was always to crowd out the bond market with Fed purchases so money that's not in bonds will go to something like stocks.

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