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In Advance Of PBoC Rate Hike This Friday, Here Are All The Chinese Charts That's Fit To Print

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Confused what the upcoming rate hike in China means for the domestic economy (if reports of an imminent rate hike are to be believed), bursting of the global credit bubble aside? Luckily, here is JPM's Jing Ulrich (no relation to Lars) with all the charts one needs and then some to make some sense out of the most complicated and misrepresented control economy in the world.

 

 

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Wed, 12/08/2010 - 12:59 | 789101 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

China thinks US in worse shape than Europe. We have 6-12 months before the cat gets let out of the bag.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/40562679/

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:10 | 789137 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

LOL

The cat's already out of the bag. It will be 6 to 12 months before we receive official confirmation.......just in time for a massive QE 3.0 to the 10th power.

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:13 | 789148 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Im think QE has lost all credibility. Id bet if Bernanke abbounced a new QE4 of $10 trillion today, it would just cause sell offs. Everyones tired of sugar coated turds being shoved down our throats.

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:33 | 789202 asteroids
asteroids's picture

Agreed. This is like waterboarding. It's been pouring bonds and bullshit for so long people are starting to cry uncle.

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:35 | 789210 goldmiddelfinger
goldmiddelfinger's picture

Waterboarding Queen Elisabeth is a horrid plan

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 15:39 | 789657 string
string's picture

That's because the 'sugar' coating is also turd.

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:23 | 789173 A Man without Q...
A Man without Qualities's picture

I wonder if the US was forced to use exactly the same methodology as the Eurozone to calculate GDP, how much would it fall by?  My guess 20% isn't far off...

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:11 | 789141 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

No question US is in worse shape than Europe. Just takes a chipmunk running across the snow to set off an avalanche. How long it takes for the obvious to become clear, who knows, but its not much time thats for sure. We've got world wars brewing up, every day now is just borrowed time in my view.

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 14:03 | 789296 Vampyroteuthis ...
Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

It does not really matter if the US is worst or better off than Europe. I think the US is actually in better shape than Europe (not by much).

The key is who will default first? Europe is going down in flames before the US. The US is under the reserve currency (at the moment) and has a united front in the gov't to keep it so. Europe is just hosed.

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 14:07 | 789312 dnarby
dnarby's picture

The key is who will default first?

...Japan?

 

http://www.TheTailDoesNotWagTheDog.blogspot.com/

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 14:13 | 789330 Vampyroteuthis ...
Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

Ahhh yes, our black swan in the East. While waiting for the kettle boil in Europe, Japan might drop the big one. With 200 % debt/gdp and rapidly shrinking exports, it is an certainty in the future.

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:05 | 789122 Slash
Slash's picture

on another note....ZH see this? http://blogs.houstonpress.com/hairballs/2010/12/wikileaks_texas_company_...

 

Dyncorp providing child prostitution rings...

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:16 | 789152 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

This can't be true because I didn't read about it in the mainstream media. Oh, child prostitution is certainly true. But our God fearing USA corporations would never participate in such a thing. Never!

<sarcasm off>

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:05 | 789126 bankrupt JPM bu...
bankrupt JPM buy silver's picture

Everytime I see the letters JP followed by Morgan, my blood boils.

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:21 | 789140 Apostle of Unknown
Apostle of Unknown's picture

thx zerohedge this is why i visit this site!! (of course the data themselves are unreliable)

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:15 | 789150 bbtrader
bbtrader's picture

Is this the kind of report that the big banks were claiming as "research expenses" when they were out on the town "snorting" and "hookering" it?

And I could've sworn I've seen that picture or scenery somewhere here in our great nation.

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:18 | 789159 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

Speaking of JPM, note how they along with the other big banks are rallying?  Looks like "Operation Bonus Pool Flood" is in its final stages.

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:18 | 789160 gwar5
gwar5's picture

After your third house in China, no more credit for you!  Draconian.

Somewhere in China a mother and her children are having dinner, and she is telling them to finish all the food on their plates because there are 42 million Americans on food Stamps who would be grateful for it.  

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:33 | 789197 LFMayor
LFMayor's picture

LOL!  Awesome man...

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:20 | 789162 Mae Kadoodie
Mae Kadoodie's picture

Dems trying to add BAB's to tax extension bill. Ugh!

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:23 | 789170 markmotive
markmotive's picture

This is probably why gold is getting killed today, no?

 

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:37 | 789213 goldmiddelfinger
goldmiddelfinger's picture

It wasn't killed yet?

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:38 | 789220 Nucking Futs
Nucking Futs's picture

It probably plays a good part in today's selling, but if memory serves me correctly, the last time China hiked their rates, PMs tanked and recovered to make all new 52 highs in a very short period of time.  Buy physical on the dips.

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 13:39 | 789222 Rogerwilco
Rogerwilco's picture

There is no deleveraging

The Fed isn't printing money

PMs aren't getting killed

You must seize this opportunity and buy the dips!

/s

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 14:05 | 789301 Vampyroteuthis ...
Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

"Roger that!" -Average sucker retail investor

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 14:36 | 789398 Magic Mamaliga
Magic Mamaliga's picture

it's so cute how they can be frank and clearcut about china's money supply increase as being the homegrown cause of inflation, yet, according to BurnYankees it's somehow not the same for the USSA...  I've watched the "secret of oz" and am grappling with one question.  Is it true that it only matters who is in control of the money supply?  Is it true that if we take back control of the printing press in a democratic manner that life as we've come to know it could continue? (i'm talking about consumerism, capitalism, entrepeneurialism, research & development, & scientific study)

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 14:59 | 789481 Cruel Aid
Cruel Aid's picture

If spending is out of control, the money must be printed at some point. Especially when the spending is on non productive jobs.

We may be screwed WRT life as we used to know it. We passed the point of no return years/decades ago.

Who wouldn't love to look back on this world a century from now.

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 15:02 | 789496 trav7777
trav7777's picture

gold has certainly taken a beating the past couple of days since the new intraday high, $20 vertical drops and whatnot.

Also, the bond selloff must be disconcerting as it suggesting US default of some kind.

As the market isn't exactly stampeding to new highs, one is left to wonder where the fuck the money is flowing to.  The yield curve carry isn't exactly that rich, and EMs aren't making new highs.  In the 30s, the 2nd wave of the move down included a massive bond selloff culminating in brute force devaluation.  The action in TLT has been brutal since 108; someone should compute how much extra interest the US is supposed to cough up as a result of this yield move.

Either way, if QE2's purpose was to maintain yields where they were, it has been an utter failure.

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 16:36 | 789862 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

...and fuck china.

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