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Up, Up, And Away - No Stopping Gold As It Hits $1085/Ounce

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Get those SDRs ready Ben.

h/t Client #10

 

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Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:17 | 118466 Ivanovich
Ivanovich's picture

I've heard many times that, of all things that could worry the Fed, the gold price is the most dangerous.  Forgive my noobness.  Can someone tell me why that is?

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:22 | 118481 callistenes
callistenes's picture

Gold is a store of wealth. People flee to it in economic turmoil. Whether deflation or stagflation, inflation or hyperinflation it will hold its value better than anything. Essentially holding gold is a short on all currency.

Good stuff about gold here: http://fofoa.blogspot.com/

 

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:23 | 118483 drbill
drbill's picture

Don't think of it as the price of gold going up. Think of it as the value of the dollar going down. Then you will see why the Fed fears gold as the price (value) of gold exposes the almost worthlessness of the fiat $FRN.

To put it another way. An ounce of gold buys about the same amount of goods at it did in 1913, but one dollar now compared to 1913 shows how horribly the Fed has managed our currency.

Central banking, the real "barbarous relic".

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:52 | 118554 Argos
Argos's picture

Gold is up today big in all the major currencies.  That tells me people are finally starting to realize all paper money is crap.  It's just that some crap smells worse than other crap, but it's crap non the less.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 16:04 | 118736 longjohnshorts
longjohnshorts's picture

Indeed, as noted by India's finance minster in following FT piece:

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/0eaa4a80-c856-11de-a69e-00144feabdc0.html?nclick_check=1

But, okay, fiat collapses and gold soars. Then what? Much negotiation, during which (or after which!) the most powerful prevail.

In a world where money no longer defines power, what does? In a word: Guns.

Ergo, the future belongs to the best-armed.

 

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 16:27 | 118776 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Money has been in use much longer than guns.

Ergo ... he who has the gold makes the rules.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 19:41 | 119098 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

"Give me control over a nations currency, and I care not who makes its laws." — Mayer Amsched Rothschild

Gold is money, yet can not be 'printed', so the private central bank controller like the Rothschild, Warburgs and Rockefellers hold many gold bars yet hate when others lose faith in the FIAT currency they produce.

So yes, the central banks HATE gold as it interferes with their FIAT (fradulent) paper money scheme.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 22:23 | 119199 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

But I can kill you with my gun and take your gold :)

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 18:09 | 118973 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

The future belongs to those as can feed themselves.

The Mongol Horde came looking for food. You don't hear too much from them anymore; they all became farmers.

cougar

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 18:40 | 119014 tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

+ 1 organic seed packet

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 22:28 | 119202 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

The idea behind your comment has always brought me back to "Blessed are the meek, for they shall inherit the earth."

But I can still kill you and with my gun, and steal the food you labored so hard to grow...for me. Hypothetically speaking of course.

Wed, 11/04/2009 - 11:03 | 119535 tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

not if you can't find where i'm growing my food ;)

Wed, 11/04/2009 - 00:50 | 119317 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

India is no match for the Fed.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 22:39 | 119209 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

People as in the Chinese. Because your average American has no clue what the hell is going on. But yes some people are realizing that paper money is as good as the TP they wipe there ass with.

Wed, 11/04/2009 - 04:41 | 119403 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

If you send me all your money I'll send you all me TP.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:09 | 118602 bugs_
bugs_'s picture

Central banking, the real "barbarous relic".

Ouch!  thats going to leave a scar.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:20 | 118630 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Gold is the canary in the mine. When gold looks its strongest its because the dollar is at its weakest.

Gold is money. I know some doubt that, but central banks are buying gold for a reason, and its isn't because it is shiny. Just because you can't buy groceries with it, doesn't mean it isn't money. After all, when is the last time you bought groceries with treasury bonds?

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 18:19 | 118986 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

Hoarding gold is a hedge against the collapse of the fiat money Ponzi scheme. If fiat money is negotiated away in some future round of economic crises, then whoever is left holding real gold will have real money. Period.

If they have to re-issue US currency, they will issue against gold and real estate, and your paper money will get $1 re-issued on $100. And no you don't own your home, the bank does (unless you are paid off) and they will take it back when the time comes.

Thus went the Wiemar Republic. Adolph Hitler then rode that wave as far as licensed insanity would allow.

cougar

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 18:33 | 119009 MortimerDuke
MortimerDuke's picture

Right.  But it is shiny.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:07 | 118862 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

That's as much a religious statement as anything. The ugly fiat currency has been inflated in a hidden tax, but it is hardly worthless. I can go out and buy something with my dollars right now. Try that with your gold. Oh, you had to go to a coin shop and pay some guy a fee to convert it? Oh, and there's a 15% collectibles tax? Oh, huh.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 20:35 | 119132 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

You'll buy less and less with those dollars as time goes by.  If you think the place to do your trades is a coin shop, you don't know the business of gold arbitrage.  And if you are paying some 15% tax you are doing something wrong.  Very wrong.

 

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 22:45 | 119214 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

As needed, and as the Fiat travels the path to ZERO one can:

A) Established a relationship with a reputable coin shop who knows how to circumvent the tax man.

B) Not be an idiot and NOT liquidate all at once so as to become low hanging fruit for the tax man. As with any investing strateeeegery.

C) Easily liquidate Rands, Eagles, Panda and Maple Leafs on Ebay, craigslist, or the like for well over spot with 0 tax liability.

That soda will cost me less of my labor than your 1.29 NOW dollars. In fact the silver dimes I set aside in the 70's have been a far better investment than all of my IRAs, 401K's, and FRN savings. In real, not nominal terms.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 22:16 | 119195 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

$ no = ~$0.05 in 1913.

Saw picture the other day, taken in a diner in 1940 with the menu in the background.

Hot Dogs $0.10
Root Beer $0.10.

Amazing. Really begins to hit home.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:27 | 118490 Deficient Market
Deficient Market's picture

This was mentioned by Greenspan in a thesis on gold written prior to him becoming the fed. It is because gold cannot be artificially created in any way and therefore can keep money "honest". The fed can go on a printing spree, and as long as it is coordinated with the printing of other fiat currencies at the same time, no one would notice, except the price of gold because unlike other commodities that can be produced in increased numbers due to the resulting increase in production, very little additional gold can be extracted. Therefore the fed has to do all that is possible to control gold's price in order to keep the perception of his currency being also finite.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 18:38 | 119013 MortimerDuke
MortimerDuke's picture

...and hence the globally synchronized "lease and short" scheme.  All CBs, as members of this club, are obliged to do what they can, when they can, to stifle gold's advance.  I am therfore shocked at such a huge purchase of gold by any one Central Bank.  I guess India gets kicked out of the club, if they were ever in it.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:29 | 118493 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

Gold is solid money...the dollar is basically worthless paper backed by nothing. The Fed is devaluing the dollar by flooding the world with it, thus the price of gold in dollars is going up.

Gold threatens the Fed because it represents purchasing power that they can't control like they can the dollar. If we were on a gold standard, the Fed would become unnecessary, hence it threatens their existence. The Fed was created specifically to get rid of the gold standard, in order to finance continuous government expansion.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:50 | 118546 curbyourrisk
curbyourrisk's picture

Can you go the store and use gold to buy goods?  GOLD IS NOT SOLID MONEY.  It is a store of value.  End of story.

 

Faustian....I generally agree with a lot of what you say.  I am not trying to start anything.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:54 | 118559 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

most merchants would probably not accept gold
but gold is currency in settlement of international
obligations....so we can say that it is solid
or perhaps elite money.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 23:06 | 119229 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

I will most definitely accept gold/silver...perhaps even beer for my work.

Shameless plug: Anyone need a network engineer?

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:11 | 118605 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

true. although i once paid an electrician with a small 10g bar of gold. did not have sufficient cash at home at that moment (and had probably run out of checks), offered him the 10g which was valued a bit more than the $ for his services, and he took it (as well as my word re its value). i'm guessing it was the first and only time he's been paid in bullion.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:12 | 118607 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

it's not solid money here yet. But for thousands of years it was. The fiat money experiment is a blip on the timeline.

In fact in some places it is being used as money...somebody recently posted a link to a car dealer in FL who is taking gold as down payment.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:38 | 118681 curbyourrisk
curbyourrisk's picture

Until it is legal currency, I am not a buyer of gold.  Do you actually expect it to become LEGAL currency here in the US?  I am sure there will be an underground network of people who accept it....but in the end...it is still just a store of wealth until it can be exchanged for goods or services.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:48 | 118698 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

Curb your risk, that is the name you have chosen for yourself. I am not trying to be a bitch, but helpful. Is is possible you are being inflexible when you say you will not get any gold until it is LEGAL currency. Curbing your risk means being flexible, looking at trends, and understanding that situations are socially constructed. It does not matter if I think gold is lovely, money, or not, the rest of "thems" do. There is historical precedent for it as you know.

To curb your risk, it would be good to have some. The world may drift this way for a time, and then drift out of it. I dread paying the price I currently see, plus commission, so I will watch a bit, but I will keep phoning my dealer.

Platinum and silver launched with it at 10:30.

Realistically, if the price is here now, it will be here again. May take a bit, but it will be here.

Peace Fed Clown Benanke avatar wearing boy....

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:55 | 118720 chunkylover42
chunkylover42's picture

There's nothing stopping you from creating your own currency, you just have to convince somebody that it's worth something.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:07 | 118858 Careless Whisper
Careless Whisper's picture

 

@MsCreant    Baby, leave the clown alone. If he wants to hold on to some worthless paper with ink on it that's his problem.

 

Where is Sergey? FREE Sergey.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 19:46 | 119105 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Sorry, not true. There most certainly is someone stopping you from issuing your own currency. Its the US government. The one way to guarantee the feds at your door is to start coining 'money' with face amounts on it. Just ask the many people who have tried that over the years and been taken down by the feds. Google "Liberty Dollar raid" to get a taste of your tax dollars at work...

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 20:44 | 119140 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

I like to think that my intellect and labor are my currency. While I am forced to exchange this intellect and labor for fiat dollars I am not forced to keep the fiat dollars as a store of wealth, so I exchange some of them for gold and silver.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 16:59 | 118845 chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Yeah, wait until you have to trade 4,000 Federal Reserve Notes for an ounce of gold.  Brilliant strategy.

Why do you need to have "legal" currency to buy stuff?  Ever heard of barter and trade?  Are you really this clownish?

I am Chumbawamba.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 18:54 | 119039 Miles Kendig
Miles Kendig's picture

Here ends this lesson. From the book of Chumbawamba

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 19:55 | 119112 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

exactly. how is a paper dollar any more "money'ish' than a lump of gold. Its what one puts value in. And people have valued gold for thousands of years. Not so much with FRN's not backed by commodity items whether its gold, silver, tobacco, or what have you.

If its not money why do US military fighter pilots have qtr ounce british sovereigns in their survival packs? If its so not money, there would be stacks of Ben Franklins instead - but no, its gold. Why? Because at all times, in all places, gold is money. Always and everywhere. And if you think that the gold will be worthless and not worth anything then what the hell are dollars worth then? And to the people that say bullets are better, I disagree. With bullets you would have to find someone that wants ammo and has exactly what you want. Unfortunately for those naysayers, history has proven the utility and value of gold across the ages at all times in all places during peace AND war.

Just because the current order or status quo lose their position and there are issues until the new order is figured out there will still be the need for commerce. There will still be people who wish to trade services. And gold will be there for them to conduct their business.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 22:56 | 119223 chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

FEDERAL RESERVE NOTES ARE NOT MONEY.  They are merely a claim on money.  In this case, they are a claim on the purchasing power of that note, which is virtual money, backed by the US government or whatever.

In effect, US Dollars (Federal Reserve Notes) have zero intrinsic value, other than the paper they offer, which if pulped and reconstituted might be useful, whereas gold, which is also a commodity, has several uses, not the least of which is an additive in an alcoholic beverage.

I am Chumbawamba.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 21:03 | 119149 omi
omi's picture

Legal tender is for acceptance of debt. If someone is indebted to you, you must accept FRNs as a method of repayment. Which if you think about it actually makes sense to have such a system in a country.

 

Aside from debt repayments, you can transact in whatever your chumbawambian head desires.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:23 | 118645 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Can you go to the groocery store and buy goods with treasury bonds? No.
Well, what do you call that stuff filling up central bank vaults if not money? Anything sitting in a central bank vault is money.

Don't confuse money with currency. You can't buy groceries with gold only because the government doesn't allow it.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 16:30 | 118779 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Neither stocks.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 16:42 | 118805 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Actually there is no law against it. You can buy goods and services from another party if they accept your payment in metals. They may prefer payment in paper but you don't know until you ask.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:45 | 118937 walküre
walküre's picture

People pay with gold for used cars. What seller wouldn't accept 4 oz of gold for a car worth $4000 ?

I know I would. Gold can be used to buy anything that's actually paid for and does not have a financing issue at a bank somewhere. So as long as no banks are involved, gold will do just fine as form of payment.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 20:25 | 119127 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

I have accepted gold twice as payment for legal services ( back when it was in the 400s )

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:01 | 118847 chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

The government can go fuck all.  The reason you can't buy groceries with it is because you haven't found a store that will take it in exchange for their goods.  Yet.  Just give it time.

I am Chumbawamba.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 18:20 | 118987 geopol
geopol's picture

Bob Dance Auto Merit Island Florida, takes gold for cars,,the dynamic is changing..

 

http://www.bobdance.com/index.htm

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 21:09 | 119151 omi
omi's picture

Think back for a second to the dynamic of buying groceries.

You pick out stuff you want, the proceed to a friendly cashier, who is most likely a student working part time. Accepting paper money is easy, so is credit/debit cards - even less work involved.

How about gold? You suddenly have to retrain everyone to be a goldsmith, how to recognize which gold you're being given.

For example, be that gold deposit certificates the cashier would not have a problem.

Wed, 11/04/2009 - 00:29 | 119293 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

not really. 1 troy oz is 1 troy oz. A few simple tests can validate.

counterfeits? Meh. FRNs are counterfeit every day.

You are not sure from day to day what the tru value of FRN's are from the counterfeit monopoly.

Wed, 11/04/2009 - 19:22 | 120349 geopol
geopol's picture

Gold coins for the most part have cerated edges, so people would not shave off the gold, this was called clipping,thats where the term came from. The next question would be,,why is the government going to the added expense of edge markings on coins of no value... Answer....It's a con

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:34 | 118671 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Gold is at all times money...real gold that is. Paper gold (gold derivatives) has been estimated to be leveraged as high as 80:1 physical. When the equities selloff finally gets underway, the panic to settle world-over in dollars will take these gold derivatives with it...and the gold price will collapse in spectacular fashion. Beware, real gold takes strong hands...and there will be far too little to be had soon enough.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:03 | 118852 chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Wrong.  The price of physical and paper gold will simply diverge.  Real gold will be worth much more than paper gold, which will be worth what it is printed on.

Do you think someone would be stupid enough to trade their gold for the paper price when all paper assets are crumbling around them?  Only the stupidest amongst us, certainly.

I am Chumbawamba.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 18:23 | 118991 geopol
geopol's picture

It's like this,

 

If someone breaks into your house do you want a certificate for a gun?, or the real thing.... Gun control=sharp eye and steady hand.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 23:01 | 119225 chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Well, damn, if that isn't the finest analogy I've ever read.

I am Chumbawamba.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 23:18 | 119236 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

+1 Trillion.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 22:07 | 119191 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

No chubaca, you're wrong. When the equities selloff occurs, gold price on the open markets is going to collapse due to the unwinding of mega-gold derivatives along with all others. Real gold you buy from the coin and bullion dealers will suddenly be unavailable at any price. The dollar has a long, long way to go and will likely rebound significantly in the short term. Buying opportunities for gold lie ahead, as India is entering a crisis over food. imlencho mofo

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 16:46 | 118811 Josey Wales
Josey Wales's picture

Gold cannot be exchanged for food here in the US because we have to use USD, and have been conditioned not to know that those Federal Reserve notes are just promises to pay a debt.  Only money can cancel a debt, not more debt. 

Gold is REAL money, not just legal tender that we use as a means of exchange.  While you are correct that WE cant use gold to buy groceries, what is it that folks in Zimbabwe use to buy groceries?  Is it their fiat currency or is it gold?  I'm pretty sure it is gold because when confidence is lost in whatever currency is used as a means of exchange, everything reverts back to GOLD because GOLD IS MONEY.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:41 | 118930 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Outlaw said ...
Gold cannot be exchanged for food here in the US because we have to use USD,

I would disagree with that statement ... my suggestion is forget the person behind the register and talk to the manager of that store ... you may find that he/she would be open to such a payment idea. Although to be more practical SILVER may be a better source of payment .... just historically speaking.

But it may be too soon for such radical thinking.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 16:46 | 118814 Stuart
Stuart's picture

Some countries you can.  It's typically North American thinking that one would assume otherwise.   

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 16:57 | 118840 chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Dude, you are a clown, as your graphicon implies.  What part of "Gold is Money" do you not get?  I always see you chiming in with your stupid anti-gold remarks.  Get a clue.

I am Chumbawamba.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 18:36 | 119011 DiverCity
DiverCity's picture

Except that it ain't -- money, that is.  I like gold, own gold, want more gold, but it ain't got the attribute of currency, so it ain't money.  It do got the magnificent store of value function.  And that's all I need it for while the paper ponzi scheme implodes.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 18:55 | 119041 MortimerDuke
MortimerDuke's picture

You know this whole "is gold money?" argument is a bit tiresome.  Thousands of pages have been written about it in academia.  The fact is that a medium of exchange is now, and has always been, what two parties agree to use as such.  The fact that some disagree about the actual attributes of money has led them to use terms like "money-like", "money things" and "money-ish."

Something tells me that in a poop storm, when you offer your gold for corn, the farmer selling it won't give a damn about gold's utility as a store of value or a measure of account.  If he doesn't sell you the corn because he's too concerned with an arcane argument over what constitutes real money, I bet you'll get your corn within an hour from a wiser farmer.  The not-so-wise farmer's going to be left with his stack of American Economic Reviews, some really healthy stools, and a lot of bored people who are forced to hear his economic babblings.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 19:33 | 119091 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

"The not-so-wise farmer's going to be left with his stack of American Economic Reviews, some really healthy stools..."

If it makes you feel any better about the dumb farmer #1, if he continuously eats corn that hasn't gone thru the nixtamal process (releasing vitamins and nutrients), he will succumb to pelagra, a rather nasty malady. But I suppose he can use that stack of American Economic Reviews to wipe his backside when the diarrhea hits.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 21:46 | 119176 tallystick
tallystick's picture

According to a guest on Bloomberg Radio yesterday (sorry i didn't catch the name)  over 3/4 of the economic and finance academic publications are controlled by the FED.  Pimm Fox seemed to agree with this assertion.  So expect MOST academic publications to support the FED view regardless of veracity.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 22:28 | 119204 geopol
geopol's picture

Let the delusional go by....

 

Why do you burn calories on this......

 

Let me explain it to you...

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 19:31 | 119086 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Thought experiment:

One can deposit gold bullion at a bank and then write checks against the value of the gold. This would be accepted…no, preferred…on a global basis with respect to transactions.

Now, one can deposit dollars (or whatever currency) and write checks against the account. This would be accepted locally. If the currency is lousy (dollar, in this case), then one has to convert to another currency or widely accepted storage of value…gold is one good choice.

Tie a currency to the value of gold, and that currency is golden.

End of story.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 19:47 | 119106 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Gold is money and feel free to go to Europe, Asia, Russia, etc and you can VERY EASILY exchange it for their local goods exchange FIAT paper scheme. Fact is, many retailers in Europe and Asia WILL accept gold directly, it is within the USA that the citizens are mainly kept clueless about gold. You can also walk into banks in Vienna, China and other countries and buy gold from the bank directly. The USA has a Mint that produces gold (and silver) coins, yet the banks do not sell gold over the counter like in other countries. Why?

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 21:33 | 119168 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Gold is REAL MONEY its againt the law in the United States for use in any business transaction. Gotta protect the Fiat. Pre 1933 gold was used as a alternative currency at many retailers. Soon it will be again :)

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 22:51 | 119217 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Heh. Like it or not it's already the Global Reserve Currency. Just ask any Arab, Chinese, or Indian banker.

If things get bad enough you will be using PMs in direct trade...for beer, bread, bullets.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:59 | 118730 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

It's funny that people that scream about dollars being worthless are the same people that scream about FED purchasing crapload of mortgages.

FOR ONCE! USD is actually backed by something.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:04 | 118854 chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Backed by an asset declining in value.  Yeah, that's solid.

I am Chumbawamba.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:48 | 118940 walküre
walküre's picture

What's the delinquency rates on mortgages .. and rising?

The "asset" behind the mortgage is worthless unless we're talking land, land and land.

Government took poisonous pills from the bank and will choke on them.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 19:37 | 119090 omi
omi's picture

It is still an asset that is worth something, it has something physical attached to it as opposed to nothing before, as in absolutely nothing.

 

think of it as a massive spike towards improvement, with a bit of degregation.

 

For the slow people, just to reiterate. Try comparing a promise backed by absolutely nothing to a promise backed by not the best collateral.

Let's say the defaults on mortgages will be even as high as 20%, that is still a good asset.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 20:30 | 119130 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

land (fertile land) will definitely gain value 

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 21:22 | 119156 omi
omi's picture

The people that say USD will be worthless as USA doesn't produce anything have rocks in their head.

US produces around a third of world food supply and computer technology. Although the manufacturing is in 30 some countries around the world for processors and other computer tech, these are still American companies. If population worldwide continues to grow, the land in USA will continue to increase in value very sharply in case of food shortages. These things happen with some regularity.

I wouldn't be surprised if the path for Detroit's recovery is burning down all the crappy real estate and converting to a farming state.

If you're looking for something to invest in consider seed companies, there'll be lots of startups in this area. The trend of growing your own vegetables is really catching on. In Russia, during 90s, large amount of population had no money and salaries were getting delayed by 9-12 months, but people survived. Why? everyone was growing their own vegetables and in some cases exchanged the produce for services.

 

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 23:10 | 119231 chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Thank you for this episode of Completely Unrelated Random Thoughts.

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 11/04/2009 - 22:21 | 120517 omi
omi's picture

Not really unrelated, just wanted to stop another Schiffian USD assets won't be worth anything because USD will hyperinflate.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 21:05 | 119150 calltoaccount
calltoaccount's picture

in order to finance continuous interest payments to bankers.

 

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:29 | 118494 lsbumblebee
lsbumblebee's picture

The price of gold is the "canary in a coal mine" to all fiat currencies. When these currencies are devalued through such actions as monetizing the debt, like what the Fed has been doing, investors sell these paper promises and purchase gold, which cannot be mass produced and will always be intrinsically valuable. 

Hope that helps.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:31 | 118500 Ivanovich
Ivanovich's picture

Thanks to all that answered.  I knew all of this, but I guess I thought there was something more sinister to the reasoning that I didn't know about.  As for the Fed covering up the dollar's value and gold exposing it, unless you've been living under a rock for the last 5 years, you pretty much are aware that the Fed doesn't care about the dollar.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:40 | 118523 BobPaulson
BobPaulson's picture

Denial. It aint just a river in Egypt.

Actual price moves make denial of the problem somewhat more "problematic".

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:58 | 118574 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Pffft. Next you'll be telling us pimps don't care about thier whores. Have you never heard of honor among thieves? Those pimps love those whores!!! They REALLY DO!!!

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:26 | 118654 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

Problem is, the vast majority of people are under that very rock.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:36 | 118506 heatbarrier
Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:55 | 118560 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

my favorite film of all time (just leaning out SpinalTap)

 

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 16:05 | 118738 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

+11

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:52 | 118555 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

Gold is money with a velocity of zero.

When rising in price, it signals a "lack of confidence" in the fiat money regime.

The fiat money regime always requires confidence, critically so after degenerating into a massive Ponzi scheme such as it is now.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:33 | 118912 chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Eloquence.

I am Chumbawamba.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 21:26 | 119159 omi
omi's picture

So is gold-backed systems. I'm not aware of any gold-backed system that still survived. We can go centuries back.

 

Perhaps the issue worthy of discussion is really political stability rather than just what people consider a unit of exchange. Capital flees unstable regimes. Economy without capital is not an economy.

Wed, 11/04/2009 - 02:30 | 119382 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

The Byzantine Empire lasted something like 600 years...their currency was the byzant, gold coin. The Empire ended, if I understand correctly, when the great leader got into a war with the Turks and started reducing the amount of gold in the coin...

(h/t Ron Paul's book)

Wed, 11/04/2009 - 01:09 | 119338 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

@Bam: Gold is money with a velocity of zero.
With bank CDs paying 0.0x%, gold is not really tying up capital, is it?

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:00 | 118578 Gordon_Gekko
Gordon_Gekko's picture

"Because all cash is a short position on Gold" - FOFOA.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:02 | 118582 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

many comments though correct miss the point...the
significance of gold is in its regulation of
interest rates....

prior to gold confiscation investors could protest
poor bond interest rates or currency debasement
by selling the bonds and hiding their money in
gold.....

that effect is still in play...when investors
realize that too much risk is covered by too little
interest they can buy gold which would most likely
appreciate against fiat and paper money....

larry summers wrote about this need to suppress
gold prices in the 1980s and the cia and fed
have worried about this since the 1960s....

interest rates are where the game is...

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:28 | 118658 Gordon_Gekko
Gordon_Gekko's picture

Because the dollar is the biggest Ponzi Scheme on the planet right now.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:50 | 118707 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

THE FED AND CONGRESS FEAR GOLD LIKE AN ALLEY CAT FEARS A PIT BULL DOG. GOLD AND SILVER IS THE NATURAL PROTAGONIST OF ANTAGONIST FIAT PAPER NOTES. WHEN THE POPULATION ELECTS TO BUY PRECIOUS METALS AND DUMP PAPER, THEY KNOW THE CON IS OVER WITH, HENCE, THE WORRIED HAGGARD LOOK ON HELICOPTER BENNY'S FACE. NOT IF BUT WHEN........
ART.1 SEC. 10 U.S. CONSTITUTION

"THEY THAT FORGET HISTORY ARE DOOMED TO REPEAT IT"

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 16:50 | 118818 CB
CB's picture

forgiven. that is a big question that deserves a big answer.

read this:  "What is money and how to measure it?": http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2009/11/what-is-money-and-how-does-one-measure.html

AND

Mish recommends a classic book (in the link above) that will answer your question:  "What Has Government Done to our Money?" by Murray Rothbard.  It should be required reading of all literate human beings.

Wed, 11/04/2009 - 00:41 | 119307 Park city skier
Park city skier's picture

Hey Ivanovich, The fed is worried about the confidence issue with the fiat USD and self fulfilling prophecy. Plus in the 70s the rise of gold was a reflection or direct feedback of losing the battle with inflation.  Volker after his term as Fed President stated something like; he regretted that the price of gold got away from him like he should have intervened or controlled its price. Some people believe JPM is doing the Feds’ bidding by shorting gold.  I like Nic Lenoir’s’ quote from today “Breakdown in correlations however is not uncommon around pivotal points, quite the opposite in fact” in regards to gold and the value of the USD. The contrarian in me wants to buy GLL and short gold for the short term (Trade with the Fed and the IMF) but I respect GOLD in the long term.

People also believe the FED has help with GOLD intervention from the BOE via Barclays.  

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:18 | 118469 lsbumblebee
lsbumblebee's picture

Wow. I can't wait to see what will happen when the IMF announces that the other half of their gold was gobbled up as well.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:34 | 118511 geopol
geopol's picture

Isbumblebee,

Right on,,

Don't be surprised if it was China, contrary to some folks belief...

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 21:30 | 119162 omi
omi's picture

..and Russia, CBR is an active buyer of gold.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:20 | 118475 lizzy36
lizzy36's picture

( DJ ) 11/03 01:17PM *DJ Chrysler Group Oct Total Sales 65,803 Vs 94,530, Dn 30%

 11/03 01:16PM *DJ Chrysler Group Oct Total Truck Sales 48,247 Vs 69,516, Dn 31%

( DJ ) 11/03 01:16PM *DJ Chrysler Group Oct Total Car Sales 17,556 Vs 25,014, Dn 32% (vs 29% expected)

How much money did the taxpayer loan chrysler again?

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:58 | 118525 MinnesotaNice
MinnesotaNice's picture

Way too much Lizzy... will someone take Chrysler out behind the woodshed and shoot it already... it is just too painful to watch... 30% down... I see another Cash for Clunkers in our near future :-) 

And with Toyota sales flat... and Nissan sales up ~5% in October... that makes it all the more hysterical. 

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:29 | 118661 Gordon_Gekko
Gordon_Gekko's picture

"will someone take Chrysler out behind the woodshed and shoot it already."

TOTALLY.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 20:39 | 119135 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

I hear the PT Cruiser will drive around in circles for five minutes after you blow out the engine block

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 22:52 | 119219 MinnesotaNice
MinnesotaNice's picture

lol... like a chicken after you cut off its head... cute :-)

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:20 | 118476 geminiRX
geminiRX's picture

I remember back in early 2007, when my banker told me that shifting RRSP out REITS into gold was a bad idea:)

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:52 | 118553 monmick
monmick's picture

You should take your banker out behind the woodshed and shoot him, or her...

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:29 | 118492 BobPaulson
BobPaulson's picture

I was called a tin foil hatter for buying $500 physical gold for my safety deposit box. Got several jokes about when I would build my bomb shelter.

It's times like this I have to really really show self control to hold back the I-told-you-so's.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:30 | 118499 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

Naw, let loose a little.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 16:23 | 118768 George the baby...
George the baby crusher's picture

Absolutely, put on your tin foil hat and flaunt that your paranoia was right, and what the others were paranoid about (let's say, 2012 or the return of the lizard people) is so wrong, for now any way. 

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:36 | 118515 Coming Down in ...
Coming Down in Powdery Sparks's picture

I've been hearing that tin foil shit for 12 years now.  I especially heard it from my now-ex-wife in 1998 when all her idiot lawyer friends were bragging about the killing they were making in the NASDAQ and I refused to go along, buying gold instead down in the $300 area.  She badgered me constantly to put money into the market and I refused, saying a crash was imminent.  Of course, I was early by 18 months.

She asked for a divorce in the summer of 1999.  Boy, do I hope she put everything into the NASDAQ.  I'd love to gloat but would prefer never to talk to that whore again.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:47 | 118541 ghostfaceinvestah
ghostfaceinvestah's picture

Sounds like a typical American idiot.  Man are some of these morons going to be surprised when they end up as Chinese slaves.

Your best trade may have been to get rid of that whore.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:58 | 118573 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

They're already Chinese slaves (the ones with jobs), they just don't realize it yet.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 21:33 | 119167 omi
omi's picture

Peter Schiff had an interesting commentary.

 

It went something like this: What's great about jobs anyways? There is never shortage of work for slaves and people in Communist Russia. It is the ability to enjoy the fruits of your labour.

 

Right on!

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:19 | 118628 VegasBD
VegasBD's picture

Agreed. Even if it cost you half of everything at the time....prolly saved you a shit ton of wealth in the long run...

$10 says she was on the housing bandwagon also and got caught with 4 alta homes when everything collapsed...

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:15 | 118879 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

And yet, you see nothing amiss with the current insane run up in commodities, including gold, right?

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:56 | 118566 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

i'd shove it in their faces....this is not a
time for restraint.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:27 | 118656 reading
reading's picture

everyone looks good in foil...

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:40 | 118688 MinnesotaNice
MinnesotaNice's picture

lol :-)

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:57 | 118728 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

You should be called a tin foil hatter because you are keeping your gold in a safety deposit box.  There's nothing safe about it.

Wed, 11/04/2009 - 02:21 | 119377 Anonymous
Tue, 11/03/2009 - 16:53 | 118832 Josey Wales
Josey Wales's picture

As a tin-foil-hat wearer I can tell you that you safety deposit box is not the best place to keep your gold.  In the case of a bank holiday or capitol control situation the banks will forbid removal of gold and other money from the boxes...better to keep some at home.

Just sayin.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:16 | 118883 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

You should sell it now and earn a profit. Enjoy the extra 15% tax, too.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:34 | 118917 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

BobPaulson, you may want to re-think the safety deposit box. FDR took gold out of them in the 30's...Check out this article about what just happened in England.
http://thecomingdepression.blogspot.com/2009/10/own-safety-deposit-box-b...

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:34 | 118918 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

BobPaulson, you may want to re-think the safety deposit box. FDR took gold out of them in the 30's...Check out this article about what just happened in England.
http://thecomingdepression.blogspot.com/2009/10/own-safety-deposit-box-b...

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:35 | 118921 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

BobPaulson, you may want to re-think the safety deposit box. FDR took gold out of them in the 30's...Check out this article about what just happened in England.
http://thecomingdepression.blogspot.com/2009/10/own-safety-deposit-box-b...

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:36 | 118925 chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

You can't be a true tin-foil-hatter if you have it stored in a bank safety deposit box.  Ugh!  go get yourself a safe, man!

I am Chumbawamba.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:29 | 118495 koaj
koaj's picture

Ben giving orders at the next Fed meeting

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aRtNfb6D3Mc&feature=related

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:36 | 118513 ozziindaus
ozziindaus's picture

Something is definatley going on. Golds rise to an all time high is not being confirmed by Silver or a DXY beating. And i certainly don't believe it's due to....

impending inflation
currency crisis
equity concern
or the unwinding of the historical over-suppression

I'm confused and cautious. Gold longs better have nuts of steel.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:03 | 118585 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

Some of us have had "nuts of steel" all the way up from $300/oz. Not so tough anymore if you've already paid your dues.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:18 | 118890 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

You'd think you would have learned your lesson when oil hit $147/barrel in the summer of '08, but no.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 21:53 | 119182 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

in 1979 Gold AND Dow were both in 800s now Dow is almost 10000 and Gold not even 1100. Obviously over the long term Gold is cheap

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 23:13 | 119232 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

what...and oil collapsed to $30/bbl, but gold from 1K to 650?

Meh. Dollar cost average.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:10 | 118604 MyKillK
MyKillK's picture

You must have missed that story where India just bought up 200 tonnes of gold...

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:54 | 118714 Zombie Investor
Zombie Investor's picture

"Gold longs better have nuts of steel."

 

Right now, I'd rather have nuts of gold.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 18:35 | 119010 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

It's being rumored that JPM is manipulating silver downwards to make money from some silver shorts they "liberated". I guess their fingers aren't as sticky into the gold trade as yet. Give it time, they'll work a pry bar in there.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:38 | 118518 jesus_quintana
jesus_quintana's picture

I buy all the arguments about gold, I truly do.

And because of that, I suspect that anybody buying it today at 1085 is going to get their ass handed to them in very short order.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:46 | 118538 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

Penetrating analysis, Hey-sus.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:44 | 118696 jesus_quintana
jesus_quintana's picture

Forgive my brevity dude, but there's no point rehashing all the arguments for and against gold, they're done to death here and everywhere else I look. And as I say, I buy them, I really do.

I just think anybody getting long here is fucking with the wrong people if even 1% of the theories about how much the Fed and its bitches hate a high gold price are true.

The Jesus he said: "Let me tell you something, pendejo. You pull any of your crazy shit with us, you flash a piece out on the lanes, I'll take it away from you, stick it up your ass and pull the fucking trigger 'til it goes "click".

That's good enough for me.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 16:06 | 118739 Herne the Hunter
Herne the Hunter's picture

8 year olds dude...

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 16:27 | 118775 George the baby...
George the baby crusher's picture

I am the walrus.

Wed, 11/04/2009 - 05:37 | 119410 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Shut the fuck up, Donny.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:57 | 118569 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

bwaaaahaaahahahhahahhahahahhahaha

i'm taking bets on 1100.....

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:04 | 118587 Gordon_Gekko
Gordon_Gekko's picture

Just like those who got their asses handed to them when they bought it at $300. ROTFL!

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 15:30 | 118663 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

When the IMF first announced this gold sale it was noted on this board. I said that it would be scooped up by Asian central banks without ever hitting the market (although I must admit I thought it would be China doing it). I got laughed at by a couple people. Maybe one of them was you.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 17:18 | 118889 jm
jm's picture

I find this funny as hell, and a truly honest realization that we are plankton pushed around the ocean by predators of all sizes.

If gold is being bid up on leverage, and I admit that is an if, then the last ones in on this game will be ruined.

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 21:16 | 119155 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Uh-huh.  That's what they told me when I was buying at $400, and $500, and $600.....

Tue, 11/03/2009 - 14:40 | 118522 JackTheTrader
JackTheTrader's picture

I have been long GLD for a while now and tightening stops.  Wearing a cup just in case.

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