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And, With A $2.00 Price Target, The Latest (Alleged) Chinese Fraud Is....

Tyler Durden's picture




From a just released research report by LM Research:

  • China Agritech (“CAGC”, “Agritech” or the “Company”) is a $230 million company that purportedly manufactured and sold $119 million worth of “green” fertilizers throughout China in 2010. In reality, we believe Agritech’s factories are currently all idle and only one out of its four factories produced anything at all in 2010.
  • Despite having raised over $70 million in capital since 2005, Agritech appears to have acquired only several million dollars worth of capital equipment. By contrast, it has paid its two founders at least $4 million in rental fees and real estate purchases during that
    time.
  • We have been unable to obtain even one sample of Agritech product, even from headquarters, nor have we found a single distributor or sales outlet.
  • Companies Agritech claims as clients, such as the big state-owned fertilizer company Sinochem, deny having any contracts with Agritech. Sinochem has told us that it does not sell any Agritech products.
  • Government officials in China told us that Agritech does not have a license to manufacture granular fertilizers, which the company claims are its largest product line.
  • We visited each Agritech facility and found each one empty, idle, and without production equipment.
  • Agritech’s CFO has been involved in two listed companies before Agritech in which he personally collected seven-figure sums while the companies went to zero. Analysts have called these earlier companies “pump and dump” schemes.
  • In early 2010, the U.S. Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) lodged a formal inquiry with CAGC questioning insider share transactions.
  • Our calls and emails to the company requesting clarification have gone unanswered.
  • All evidence suggests that this company has never been a successful vendor of fertilizer and is currently fraudulent.

Adnt the conclusion:

Our careful examination of China Agritech’s business indicates to us that along all parameters, Agritech has grossly inflated its revenue, failed to account for tens of millions of investor dollars, and now has virtually no product in the market. We believe this company should not be listed on NASDAQ. Fundamentally, CAGC is worth no more than the $2 per share cash that is still in the company’s accounts – if insiders don’t empty it first.

Full report:

 




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Thu, 02/03/2011 - 11:50 | Link to Comment Quintus
Quintus's picture


And The Latest (Alleged) Chinese Fraud Is....

 

...Chinese GDP numbers?

...Chinese Inflation figures?

 

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:26 | Link to Comment tonyw
tonyw's picture

They've learnt well from the Wall Street banksters.

 

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 11:53 | Link to Comment LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

They produce nothing?  A Scam?

 

Yeah, neither does Goldman...yet look at their stock price.

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:04 | Link to Comment TorchFire
TorchFire's picture

Good point.  Proof of which is you have been junked already by a mindless defender of the oligarchs.

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 13:08 | Link to Comment Max Hunter
Max Hunter's picture

Zackly!.. The banking/interest scam must be protected at all costs.. Much like the terrorism scam.. The two most important lies of our generation that rarely see an open, honest and objective debate..

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 11:57 | Link to Comment uhb
uhb's picture

Well, if there are enough gullible investors....

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:00 | Link to Comment plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

.

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 11:59 | Link to Comment cat2
cat2's picture

Why is this company on NASDAQ in the first place?

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:30 | Link to Comment Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

Because to list on the NASDAQ, you must pay $5,000 application fee and depending upon the number of issued shares, an additional fee ($100k for 30M shares domestic company).  Additionally, a yearly service fee. 

NASDAQ has a family to feed too.

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:08 | Link to Comment plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

Is that Seth Davis i hear?  RECO!!!

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:00 | Link to Comment TorchFire
TorchFire's picture

This company is almost as valuable as the chinese throw away shit americans trade their ben bucks for.  Criminals and idiots...the whole damn bunch.

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:04 | Link to Comment doomandbloom
doomandbloom's picture

ni hao ..

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:04 | Link to Comment cswjr
cswjr's picture

Question: If one buys puts on a stock and it gets delisted, how is the underlying priced for the purposes of OpEx?  Does the underlying switch over to the pink sheets stock?

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:09 | Link to Comment Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Long Scam ETF! Join me as we invest by going short scam companies around the world (the biggest untapped bull market of all time!): China, Nigeria, Bangladesh, Khazakstan and US are our fertile hunting grounds. We got any one of 1,000 banks to chose from! Great hedge for frontier investors and sociopaths. Now available: 3X Scam ETF! 

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:32 | Link to Comment cat2
cat2's picture

Ha ha ha...  That's funny.  ETF to short scams.  Ironically hilarious.

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:34 | Link to Comment cat2
cat2's picture

But that's Wall Street in a nutshell isn't it.  Scam layered upon scam so deep no one knows what the heck is going on.

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:42 | Link to Comment Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Hehe. And our ETF will add another profitable layer

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:48 | Link to Comment Just Observing
Just Observing's picture

Can I buy a credit swap on that scam EFT ?

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:09 | Link to Comment The Axe
The Axe's picture

I just called, they informed me that they do have one client. The US Congress, they seem to need even more fertilizer and horse shit to help shovel it upon the citizens of this once great country. This should keep the company growing its eps for years to come.

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:18 | Link to Comment Coast Watcher
Coast Watcher's picture

Wait. Is Congress a purchaser or their major supplier of horse shit?

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:16 | Link to Comment tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

CAGC doesn't seem to be doing very well right now. Man, I'd love to be working for these people. There must be some pretty good money in cleaning up the stock market.

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:16 | Link to Comment vote_libertaria...
vote_libertarian_party's picture

So it is only a buy buy buy rather than a strong buy buy buy,

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:19 | Link to Comment Agent P
Agent P's picture

The words "China" and ".com" are synonymous when it comes to publicly traded companies, just separated by a decade.

If you disagree with this statement, then please contact me about investing in my new venture: pets.china

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:37 | Link to Comment cat2
cat2's picture

1999:  dot com

2003:  derivative

2005:  mortgage backed securities

2009:  china NASDAQ "companies"

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 13:02 | Link to Comment palmereldritch
palmereldritch's picture

2011   dot.comm bubble

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:19 | Link to Comment Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Any idiot who buys Chinese stock deserves it.

WHAT A JOKE!

 

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:31 | Link to Comment Josh Randall
Josh Randall's picture

exactly! Buying Chinese stocks is about as safe as doing business in Tijuana

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:36 | Link to Comment cat2
cat2's picture

This is different than buying US derivative products how?

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:51 | Link to Comment Just Observing
Just Observing's picture

 "Any idiot who buys Chinese stock deserves it."

Delete "Chinese" from the above statement, and you're 100% correct

 

 

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:24 | Link to Comment RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

China pumping.  What's different?

Jesse Livermore said it best:

"Wall Street never changes, the pockets change, the stocks change, but Wall Street never changes, because human nature never changes"

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:40 | Link to Comment cat2
cat2's picture

Even wall street fraud is being outsourced to China

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 13:15 | Link to Comment Max Hunter
Max Hunter's picture

China doesn't need to import fraud or corruption.. It will be the headline someday.. Chinese corruption will be talked about in depth when the truth about it starts to surface.

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 12:47 | Link to Comment no2foreclosures
no2foreclosures's picture

Humm. . . .

So, what's the big diff between China Agritech vs. Goldman Sucks and JM Morgue?

Answer . . . a few more zeros!

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 13:19 | Link to Comment Forgiven
Forgiven's picture

This story reminds me of SUF

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 14:08 | Link to Comment glenlloyd
glenlloyd's picture

maybe they were really producing plastic rice...

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 14:13 | Link to Comment The Beav
The Beav's picture

So who is this LM Research??? 

Their website is new and I can't find anything on them.

http://www.networksolutions.com/whois/registry-data.jsp?domain=lucasmcge...

Huge action in options on the stock, hmmmmmmmmmmmmmm...

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 16:18 | Link to Comment The Beav
The Beav's picture

Yeah, looks like Zero Hedge got uckfeyd on reporting this.  LM does not appear to be legit.  The piece was timed with Chinese New Year and in the middle of the night there. 

 

Am I wrong?

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 17:58 | Link to Comment b781fr
b781fr's picture

Maybe.  Can't find any record of LM China Research or possible variants (LM Research, LM*, Lucas McGee, etc) in either the Hong Kong or Singapore company registries (i.e. https://www.icris.cr.gov.hk/csci/cns_search.jsp).  Might be under a different name, but given the "About" info on the website, it looks a little patchy.

Also, looks LM China Research's address is just one of those glitzy virtual office fronts.  See http://www.hktdc.com/sourcing/hk_company_directory.htm?locale=en&company...

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 21:29 | Link to Comment M4570D0N
M4570D0N's picture

One of his big points is the discrepancy between CAGC's SEC filings and their SAIC filing.

Here's a piece from NY Global Group's President about the SAIC, why it can't be compared to SEC filings and why SAIC filings are pretty much worthless:

http://www.nyggroup.com/library/NYGG-SAIC.pdf

No idea if CAGC is a scam. It wouldn't surprise me if they were, but this weakens LM's argument just a bit. There's also the fact that LM= Lucas McGee, who is massively short CAGC, and appears to be nothing more than some no name dude who started a wordpress blog 3 months ago and has a total of 7 posts to his name.

http://lucasmcgeeresearch.com/

His 7 posts, including this one, are also posted on Seeking Alpha:

http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/765391-lucas-mcgee/135436-china-agrite...

His only credentials are that he is a "full time private investor" and a "colsultant." Super! So what he's really saying is that he has no credibility to speak of, and no online presence prior to Nov 2010.

A quick whois domain search/traceroute doesn't give much info other than the fact that the domain was registered on 10/30/10. Nmap doesn't give much useful info either.

Perhaps someone else can find more info:

IP: 72.233.2.72

Host: 58.2.233.72.static.reverse.ltdomains.com

122K+ sites hosted on that IP though.

Sat, 02/05/2011 - 14:37 | Link to Comment Raymond K Hassel
Raymond K Hassel's picture

>>Here's a piece from NY Global Group's President about the SAIC, why it can't be compared to SEC filings and why SAIC filings are pretty much worthless:

http://www.nyggroup.com/library/NYGG-SAIC.pdf

Thanks for the link - I'll just take it at facevalue and ignore it was authored by Ben Wey.  Time to put on more puts.  :)

Fri, 02/04/2011 - 16:01 | Link to Comment Sniper
Sniper's picture

Company response:

 

"A number of analysts, professional investors, industry experts, and the Company's independent accountants have toured the Company's facilities in the past. The Company has never received any challenges regarding either the existence or the scale of production of its facilities. In addition, management has confirmed that the Harbin facility has never been listed for sale. The sales growth of the Company's organic fertilizers remains robust. In response to the short sellers' allegation that the Company's distribution centers are non-existent, there have already been 10 newly established distribution centers in Henan Province alone. In response to the short sellers' allegation that the Company's subsidiary YiNong does not exist, YiNong in fact is headquartered in Beijing with strong governmental support. In August 2010, the Company announced that it had entered into a strategic agreement with the Beijing Municipal Government to establish within Beijing the headquarters of its nationwide network of distribution centers. In response to the short sellers' allegation that the Company does not have a license to manufacture granular fertilizer, the government-issued production license number for China Agritech's granular fertilizers is clearly marked on each of our product's packaging..."

Fri, 02/04/2011 - 17:43 | Link to Comment Raymond K Hassel
Raymond K Hassel's picture

Pretty weak response.  Still trying to figure out how they are doing 23 million a qtr on 6 million dollars of PP&E.  Their peers all require higher capex

Thu, 04/21/2011 - 04:38 | Link to Comment M.B. Drapier
M.B. Drapier's picture

According to Sydney Morning Herald journalist John Garnaut, China Agritech's share price has been gamed by Hong Kong's Sun Yee On triad, and the company's CFO is not unknown to them. (Skip to 5:48 for his remarks specifically about China Agritech.)

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