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April Japanese Car Exports Collapse, Down 68%

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Concurrent with last night's Moody's reminder that it is about to downgrade the Japanese economy, which we have long been claiming is the marginal global economic wildcard, we get an exportindustry update from the Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association. In short: April car exports were an unprecedented disaster, with the average exporter seeing a 68% drop Y/Y, with some, such as Toyota plunging from 150,118 to only 31,025 cars in April 2011. And while this would be the ideal environment for US carmakers to grab market share, the fact that many are missing critial Made in Japan components in their supply chain means that there is a broad based supply drop. Which is why tomorrow's update of GM's recent channel stuffing practice will be observed with such interest: if the firm reports yet another increase in the cars parked with dealers, then something in the US carmaking space is seriously wrong two months after this Japanese car export free fall.

Japanese Motor Vehicle Exports April 2011:

Apr-10 Apr-11 Diff
TOYOTA 150,118 31,025 -79.3%
NISSAN 52,265 14,642 -72.0%
MAZDA 54,387 20,606 -62.1%
MITSUBISHI 27,878 19,491 -30.1%
ISUZU 11,939 2,770 -76.8%
DAIHATSU 3,594 984 -72.6%
HONDA 27,216 6,473 -76.2%
SUBARU 29,682 8,182 -72.4%
UD TRUCKS 1,472 692 -53.0%
HINO 5,614 3,069 -45.3%
SUZUKI 24,444 17,121 -30.0%
MITSUBISHI FUSO 2,931 1,006 -65.7%
TOTAL 391,540 126,061 -67.8%

 

And as the Truth About Cars reports further, in absolute numbers, export-heavy Toyota was hardest hit with a loss of
119,093 vehicles over April 2010. Nissan is a distant, but nonetheless
surprising second with a loss of 37,623 units. All in all, the tsunami
did cost the Japanese car industry 265,479 cars not exported, compared
to April 2010. In dollar terms, the Japanese industry exported $5.9
billion in cars and parts in April, down $5.7 billion or 49 percent. Globally, the Japanese auto industry lost more than 600,000 cars in April.

Global Production April 2010

Apr 11 Apr 10 Diff % Short
Toyota 346,297 667,495 -48.1% -321,198
Nissan 248,024 319,673 -22.4% -71,649
Suzuki 220,832 229,565 -3.8% -8,733
Honda 138,498 294,308 -52.9% -155,810
Mitsubishi 68,239 79,948 -14.6% -11,709
Mazda 62,013 95,836 -34.9% -33,823
Total 1,083,903 1,686,825 -35.7% -602,922
 

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Tue, 05/31/2011 - 07:18 | 1324726 Fedophile
Fedophile's picture

Deflation, bitchez.

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 07:29 | 1324729 A Man without Q...
A Man without Qualities's picture



Nikkei up 2 pct on strong industrial outlook, weaker yen

31 May 2011 - 08:28

* WSJ article on Greece debt helps mood * Solar power stocks gain on German plan to shut reactors * Tepco down on S&P cut in its rating to junk status By Masayuki Kitano and Ayai Tomisawa TOKYO, May 31 (Reuters) - The Nikkei average rose 2 percent on Tuesday, encouraged by manufacturers' predictions of stronger output in the coming months and by a weaker yen after the euro climbed and Moody's put Japan's credit ratings on review for possible downgrade. Also helped by a climb in solar-energy shares on news that Germany will shut all its nuclear reactors by 2022, the Nikkei pushed above resistance near 9,660, its 25-day moving average. Traders said buying was led by moves in the futures market. "The move is probably being led by CTAs," said Tsutomu Yamada, market analyst at kabu.com Securities, referring to commodity trading advisors, which are known to favour trend-following investment strategies. "It looks like they are unwinding long positions in Japanese government bond futures and short positions in stock futures," Yamada said. Japan's industrial output rose 1.0 percent for April, below analysts' median forecast of 2.8 percent but manufacturers also sharply increased their forecasts for May, predicting output will rise 8.0 percent compared with their previous 2.7 percent forecast.

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 07:30 | 1324731 cherry picker
cherry picker's picture

When you consider that the article Crushing Harvard's Mighty Endowment Fund? at the top of the page report double digit returns on hedge funds, one has to wonder how long that will last?

 

Then there is the loss of confidence in the US dollar compared to other currencies.

 

It appears we are headed for a wild world wide ride.

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 07:28 | 1324732 sabra1
sabra1's picture

look at all the gasoline we saved not filling 600,000 gas tanks!

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 07:31 | 1324733 Land of the Ris...
Land of the Rising Sun's picture

I wonder how this effects prices of car parts...

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 07:32 | 1324736 anvILL
anvILL's picture

I wonder how many would actually have the courage to short Japanese car manufacturers at this moment.
Afterall, these headlines are late, and everything has to go up once it hit bottom.

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 07:34 | 1324740 f16hoser
f16hoser's picture

Do their cars glow in the dark? That should make them the Safest cars on the road.....

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 08:29 | 1324810 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Great time to be a Toyota salesman;)  Oh no, Mrs. Jones.  Your children won't die of brain cancer.  Would I lie to you just to move some tin?

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 07:39 | 1324744 tellsometruth
tellsometruth's picture

wow wonder how good ole Bellevue Toyota (largest dealer in its five state region which is the most profitable region for Toyota) is doing (microsoft people love them some Toyotas) and how long the wait is for a Prius with the GS saying $5 gas is on the way...

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 07:46 | 1324748 reload
reload's picture

No news about Fulushima in the UK msm for ages - wind blowind directly to Tokyo for a few days now. Everything must be fine.

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 07:59 | 1324759 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

Fundamentals don't seem to matter in the age of central planning.  It's all about printing more paper...

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 08:36 | 1324823 oogs66
oogs66's picture

sadly that seems correct

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 07:57 | 1324761 Dolemite
Dolemite's picture


Gold looking to go higher

Euro time to pause or go lower?

http://deadcatbouncing.blogspot.com/2011/05/gold-going-higher-daily-chart-530-645pm.html

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 08:03 | 1324774 youngman
youngman's picture

Well as soon as Japan gets the salt water/dead fish smell out of all those cars from the Tidal wave out.....there will be many used cars for sale in the world...

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 08:04 | 1324775 VyseLegendaire
VyseLegendaire's picture

Peak Oil? More like Trough Cars. 

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 08:29 | 1324811 Manthong
Manthong's picture

Just in Time works great.. until it doesn't.

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 08:33 | 1324812 gigeze787
gigeze787's picture

Contrast these facts w/ CNBC's propaganda this morning:

http://www.cnbc.com/id/43220230

"Japan Recovery Takes Hold, But Debt Downgrade Looms"

Published: Tuesday, 31 May 2011 | 3:25 AM ET

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 08:32 | 1324819 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

What this is, is the collapse of JIT manufacturing, world-wide. Japan makes something for most JIT folks.

And an eye on BDI...... India is such a parts hub, what will happen when global demand ultimately and inevitably collapses?

ORI

http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com/2011/05/26/the-video-trailer/

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 08:36 | 1324820 sunnydays
sunnydays's picture

I don't want a glow in the dark vehicle.  Besides radiated parts, the Fed adding a black box on to new cars is another thing which makes me pass on any new cars. 

 

 

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 08:40 | 1324834 ExpendableOne
ExpendableOne's picture

Leave it to the american auto companies to sit on their hindparts and not take advantage of this.  

Tue, 05/31/2011 - 08:54 | 1324845 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

Correction: american auto company. (edit)

Wed, 06/29/2011 - 02:39 | 1410867 jimmight
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Mon, 07/25/2011 - 08:27 | 1490132 mediaprizm
mediaprizm's picture

Buy best Japan used cars and Japanese used vehicles at SBT Japan. We are biggest used cars, used trucks, Japanese used vans, toyota used cars, nissan used cars and honda used cars exporter and dealer.

Thu, 07/28/2011 - 00:48 | 1500349 jasmine
jasmine's picture

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Sun, 08/07/2011 - 11:37 | 1532602 prabhuamu
prabhuamu's picture

Debt is the solution! We need to get these jobless broke Americans buying cars they don't need and can't afford again. We need another cash for crooks program. http://davesdiscountautoparts.com/

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