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Are Asian Traders Preparing A Major Squeeze Of Silver Shorts?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Some distributing news for the precious metal cartel, courtesy of King World News:

A King World News contact out of London has confirmed that, “Massive Asian buying is going to squeeze the shorts in the silver market.  Any reactions in the price of silver will be heavily purchased, and these buyers will take delivery of physical silver.”  The source who wishes to remain anonymous agreed with Eric Sprott that this squeeze could take the price of silver to $50 in a matter of months.

I have recently been discussing a coming commercial signal failure with John Embry, James Turk and Eric Sprott.  As previously mentioned, this is an extremely rare event but when it occurs it is a sight to behold.

Right now, sentiment levels are nowhere near what we see at a top.  Keep in mind that Rick Rule was recently discussing with KWN the possibility of future supply shortages in silver, and we are also not seeing the type of dealer activity that is suggestive of topping behavior.  These factors are all supportive of a significant move higher in the price of silver.

Read full report here.

With spot having been halted just south of $25 earlier today, courtesy of what was likely another major paper shorting assault on the metal, it will be interesting to see what the timing of this supposed retaliation, if the rumor is valid, by longs will be.

 

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Mon, 11/01/2010 - 14:15 | 691165 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

they used to love the fed...  now it's a political liability...  or quickly there becoming.  The only question at this juncture is how much pain we are willing to take in the deleveraging process before we repudiate our debts.

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 11:14 | 690573 uno
uno's picture

It will be interesting to see if the US dollar ramps after the election and QE announcement.  Silver's reaction to that would be telling, if there is truth to the rumor (which I am betting on), then it will rise with it.

 

 

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 11:25 | 690599 jesusfreakinco
jesusfreakinco's picture

Short ZSL...  There are still shares to short at Ameritrade...

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 11:29 | 690612 Stuck on Zero
Stuck on Zero's picture

Everyone knows that there's only a one percent coverage of contracts by physical metal.  Big traders know this full well.  Why would they risk losing billions on an exchange going defunct when they can buy silver directly from producers and dealers without risk?

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 11:44 | 690658 Shameful
Shameful's picture

When it's time to cash up.  If a group did effectively grab enough physical off the exchange to break it that would reflect very well on the metals they already have.  If they want to accumulate, then you are correct they would not psuh on the exchange.  However if they are ready for the revaluation they nuke the exchange and ride the wave.

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 16:26 | 691536 Stuck on Zero
Stuck on Zero's picture

Not exactly smart.  The big guys know that you can topple the exchanges by driving the spot metal prices through the roof.  When the divergence is large enough there is a stampede to exchange contracts for metal.  The exchanges will attempt to protect themselves by handing out SLV and GLD shares in exchange for contracts.  Can SLV and GLD grab enough metals to cover the shares?  Probably, not.  Everyone is deep in naked shorts.  The whole system will come down. Oh the humanity!

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 11:50 | 690673 Rusty Shorts
Rusty Shorts's picture

The Big Boy's sure are ramping up Gold production around the world, I monitor West Africa, and have never seen job postings like this...ever.

 

http://www.ghanaweb.com/GhanaHomePage/jobs/

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 11:59 | 690692 OutLookingIn
OutLookingIn's picture

 

 Basic facts: Actual silver (global) physical supply is small. 

Paper silver, ETFs, derivatives, etc. Is massive. Dwarfs physical supply, may actually be leveraged at 100:1

Manipulation will work until it doesn't. China has drastically cut down on exports and is hoarding her supply. That leaves mountains of paper denonminated silver. They don't want paper. Stand and deliver. Now please.

What do you mean  - you don't have it! BOOM.

 

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 12:06 | 690730 nwskii
nwskii's picture

Lets say we get a squeeze, what would be the best Call Option Play?

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 12:23 | 690798 samsterns
samsterns's picture

The best way to play it is with options on the double silver AGQ.  If silver gets to$30 (a certainty imo) AGQ is around 145.  If silver gets to $50, AGQ will be over 300.  Currently AGQ is at 105.

The big caveat is that AGQ might not be around to pay you off.  AGQ is a paper vehicle that mimics the price of silver.  If there is a silver default, then how can AGQ be expected to pay?

As long as silver doesnt default (Comex, LBMA, SLV, or whatever) then call options on AGQ is the best option play.

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 12:26 | 690800 samsterns
samsterns's picture

sorry repost

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 12:09 | 690741 Abiggs
Abiggs's picture

I feel for your family...

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 23:36 | 692386 CrockettAlmanac.com
CrockettAlmanac.com's picture

Much as Helen Keller once did.

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 12:13 | 690756 Whatta
Whatta's picture

Roger that. Bought PSLV Friday at 9.96. Oughta be a good hold during this tsunami.

Tue, 11/02/2010 - 02:15 | 692541 slvrizgold
slvrizgold's picture

I don't buy silver paper in ANY circumstance.   No matter how reputable or not the parties may be.   Silver is NOT for flipping.   Silver is something you buy a lot of for the full haul and later when its worth a WHOLE LOT and you can buy LOTS and LOTS of other things at cheap prices, only then do you sell any imo.   The miners are the ones to flip.   The miners have a WHOLE LOT of CATCHING UP to do.   They led gold strongly most of the way from 2001 to 2005-6, but since then they have lagged as gold price has vaulted.  There will be a reversion to the mean and that means higher gold/silver stock prices.  

Another poster was trumpeting ACQ a derivative play on silver.  I much prefer a good silver miner like First Majestic.   There will be lots of 10 baggers and more.  The best will do even better.

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 12:13 | 690757 asotavb
asotavb's picture

the longs will not be getting any silver, they will get cash settlement while the value of physical goes higher and there cash settlement goes lower.  they will be the ones who will end up vacating not the shorts.

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 21:31 | 692127 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Those cash settlements will still be painful!

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 12:26 | 690805 All_the_kings_horses
All_the_kings_horses's picture

Hi

Just found this swiss website, seems to make it easy to purchase PM's. They also hold as allocated with the possibility to receive with 7 days notice.

http://suissegold.ch/home.php

As a NON swiss bank they are probably not required to inform the IRS, this needs checking on!

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 13:07 | 690962 Instant Karma
Instant Karma's picture

Does anyone really know what's going on?

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 13:15 | 690988 Max Hunter
Max Hunter's picture

Probably not. But some of us are a little more objective and therefore sobering in our views..

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 14:00 | 691122 Sunshine n Lollipops
Sunshine n Lollipops's picture

"Does anyone really know what's going on?"

 

After weeks of high-level meetings, Mssrs. Fan and Shite will be announcing their findings on Wednesday. ZH "analysts" fear the worst.

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 13:11 | 690973 Instant Karma
Instant Karma's picture

Short squeeze? Isn't that what has already happened?

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 13:40 | 691020 bingaling
bingaling's picture

Hey guys - off topic a bit but not in the overall picture of things around here . Anybody know of a bank that provides precious metal banking in the west ?

     In other words, I take my fiat deposit it into the bank, my fiat is then converted to precious metal , I am given a check book in a currency of choice and a debit card . When I make purchases my precious metal is reconverted to fiat and payment is made .

   If anybody knows of a bank which does this let me know . The only bank I know who is doing this is ICBC in China and I would rather have a western bank that has some branches (for ease of deposits ) locally . Thanks any suggestions are helpful .

 

 

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 13:42 | 691071 flacon
flacon's picture

The closest thing I know if is goldmoney.com, but you don't get a card or check book. You have to have the funds wired to your "fiat bank" if you want to use it like that. 

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 16:03 | 691487 bingaling
bingaling's picture

I don't know why this is such a pain in the ass . Seems there is a market for it

 

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 13:34 | 691046 bugs_
bugs_'s picture

Yer gonna get squeezed by some asians

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 14:20 | 691188 sudzee
sudzee's picture

Paper silver to $2, premium for physical $48. Seems about right to me.

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 16:20 | 691526 tony bonn
tony bonn's picture

go asia go.....bring it all home and crush the wall street assholes...

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 16:24 | 691531 Clint Liquor
Clint Liquor's picture

For a Silver Short Squeeze play look at Hecla (HL). 17% of the float sold short. Balance sheet (DYODD) is solid, producing Silver at a -$1.00 per ounce due to by-product credits. Shorts piled on speculating a $200M debt issuance to build a new deeper shaft at the Lucky Friday Mine. Looks like it could be self financed over time with cash on hand.

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 17:04 | 691634 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

its everywhere...prosecution is irrelevant as confidence lost n all completley fraudulent debt coupon based markets is the trump holding the house of cards together...

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6A03W720101101?pageNumber=1

Mon, 11/01/2010 - 21:36 | 692139 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture


"What's common in these cases is that they are extremely complex events over periods of months and years. It's not "who-ran-the-red-light" kind of court cases, and that makes it very difficult for anybody, particularly juries, to understand," he said.

"That tends to favor plaintiffs, I believe. That was true of the Hunt case."

I hear Judge Bruce Levine is the go-to-guy on this stuff.

Tue, 11/02/2010 - 02:33 | 692554 Chris Swiss
Chris Swiss's picture

I'm backing Silver all the way!

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