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AUDJPY Rolls Over, Standing Wave From Combined Southampton Blackberry Vibration Felt In Iceland

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Ignore stocks, the only thing to follow today is the AUDJPY chart, which stocks will have no choice but to follow momentarily. After experiencing a massive, near 400 pip short covering orgy, the critical carry trade is once again rolling over. With numerous attempts to defend 77 failing, the pair is now starting to look like a mirror image of yesterday's action. Another solid attempt at retaking 77 will likely follow, and in case of failure, the wheels off of today's non-existent stock market may just fall out, and totally ruin the weekend for all those already partying it up on Long Island's southern shore.

 

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Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:19 | 379093 SteveNYC
SteveNYC's picture

Yeah, this one's going to be a good indicator of things to come. Made my quickest profit in history buying FXA at 82 a few days ago. Looks like it's almost time to take a quick 4% gain.

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:19 | 379094 Edna R. Rider
Edna R. Rider's picture

OK, since I happen to be in Southampton (visiting friends) I LMAO.

Can someone remind me:  this is the "other" day so the market goes down 3-4%, right?  I want to keep in sync.

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:19 | 379095 mister_x
mister_x's picture

 Bloomberg comes up with some whacky headlines but I dare them to top this. Nice shoutout to the guys who *really* make the world go round.

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:21 | 379101 homersimpson
homersimpson's picture

I'm not a currency guy, so I have to ask: What is the importance of the AUDJPY issue mentioned above?

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:27 | 379123 wagefreedom
wagefreedom's picture

the best 'risk on' or 'risk off' indicator

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:31 | 379132 Z
Z's picture

Damn you wage freedom for making me look even more of an idiot :\, could've waited a minute or two.

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:28 | 379124 Z
Z's picture

+1?

I also don't get it. I feel dumb. :/

(Might have something to do with not being able to calculate 13 x 18 off th top of my head for the CAPTCHA)

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 12:13 | 379196 Crab Cake
Crab Cake's picture

You don't have to be a genius to do mental calculations...

Introduction Vedic Maths Tutorial

http://www.vedicmaths.org/introduction/tutorial/tutorial.asp

VERTICALLY AND CROSSWISE

1 3

1 8

1 \ ^1 1 \ ^2 4

2 \ 3 \ 4

234

An elegant way of multiplying numbers using a simple pattern.

  • 21 x 23 = 483
  • This is normally called long multiplication but
    actually the answer can be written straight down
    using the VERTICALLY AND CROSSWISE
    formula.

    We first put, or imagine, 23 below 21:

    There are 3 steps:

    a) Multiply vertically on the left: 2 x 2 = 4.
        This gives the first figure of the answer.
    b) Multiply crosswise and add: 2 x 3 + 1 x 2 = 8
        This gives the middle figure.
    c) Multiply vertically on the right: 1 x 3 = 3
        This gives the last figure of the answer.

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 12:29 | 379270 Z
Z's picture

13 x 20 - 13 x 2

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 00:36 | 379282 Z
Z's picture

.

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 12:06 | 379217 macroroni
macroroni's picture

people feeling risky > they use jpy to buy aud, causing it to go up and v.v.

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 12:44 | 379304 thesapein
thesapein's picture

On an analytic level, it's just like watching the price of gold. They're both indicators of a move from one currency into another, the former being seen as going bad and the latter getting good.

The carry trade into gold, of course, being the most important to watch.

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:33 | 379140 wagefreedom
wagefreedom's picture

falling AUDJPY indicates flight to 'safety', falling equities, strong USD and stronger yen, etc.

See any (big) down day in the last 14 months...

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 12:45 | 379308 Z
Z's picture

Cheers.

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:23 | 379106 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

 Good catch Tyler...

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:27 | 379122 Mercury
Mercury's picture

All I can say is you've got big ones if you're long going into this weekend especially as US (only) markets are closed on Monday.

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:33 | 379138 reading
reading's picture

Well, either that (and let's not kid ourselves they all think they have big, umm huge ones) or they have their finger on the plug of the HAL 9000 running the market.  

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:28 | 379125 JiangxiDad
JiangxiDad's picture

LOL. If the Hampton's crowd knew you called it LI's south shore, they'd blanche.

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:28 | 379126 JiangxiDad
JiangxiDad's picture

blanch

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:35 | 379148 mephisto
mephisto's picture

Please dont send vibrations to Iceland, its not a good idea. They have enough already.

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:35 | 379149 TheGoat
TheGoat's picture

Little Aussie battle'ah , risk on risk off

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:40 | 379153 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

  I was in the Hamptons last weekend visiting a cousin (Who acutually works for a living) and I can tell you that they are partying like it is 2006 out there and the shops are busier than ever however once you reach the real world in the towns leading upto the fork it is a deadzone.

Trickle down bitches.

Sat, 05/29/2010 - 09:47 | 380959 whoopsing
whoopsing's picture

 Yes and no,went out to dinner mid-week,the place was packed! I think people are staying local,which is a good thing.There's more to the south shore than the Hampton's, Bitchez

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:42 | 379154 bull-market_3.0
bull-market_3.0's picture

Pardon me, 

For those not in the know, what is the significance of the JPY strength?

 

**edit just saw the response above please ignore this

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:44 | 379165 chistletoe
chistletoe's picture

has the oil made it to Moriches yet?

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:52 | 379170 plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

Bernanke to Umpa Lumpas......Man the pump machines!!! Stat!!! Fuck Willy Wonka and his Golden Ticket!!!

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:47 | 379174 Anonymouse
Anonymouse's picture

Is this correct?

  • Carry Trade On = Risk appetite up
    • AUDJPY Up
      • AUDdemand up
      • Yendemand down
  • Carry Trade Off = Risk appetite down
    • AUDJPY down
      • AUDdemand down
      • Yendemand up

 

In carry trade,

  • Borrow JPY
    • JPY weaker
  • Convert proceeds to AUD
    • AUD stronger

Carry trade off.

  • Sell AUD
    • AUD weaker
  • Repay JPY
    • JPY stronger

Is that right?  I always get confused in currency translations

 

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:58 | 379200 TheGoat
TheGoat's picture

You got it sorted...

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 12:34 | 379289 Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

My new pocket guide

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 11:51 | 379187 Rollerball
Rollerball's picture

Oy ... sters Rockefeller with bacon bits batmen!

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 12:31 | 379274 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

Long time no see, welcome back!!

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 12:47 | 379314 Cpl Hicks
Cpl Hicks's picture

Are Oy...sters better than oysters?

Just when I was losing my appetite for seafood what with the oily images out of the Gulf, you got me hungry! dang

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 12:05 | 379214 Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

I thought the MSM's relieved and enthusiastic characterization of yesterday's market action as "a bullish sign" amid all the good news that China is completely cool with its Eurozone exposure, consumer confidence up, job claims down ever so slightly, etc. signalling all was well was a bit premature.

Today is suppose to be quiet post noon, with some volumeless upward drift to end the week and month as the HFT algo AIs bat the ball back and forth forth listlessly waiting for their masters to return from a party weekend. Right? Isn't that on page 17 of the Recovery Playbook? Wait. . . What's this AUDJPY footnote here?

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 12:30 | 379273 Attitude_Check
Attitude_Check's picture

With the market volatility as high as it has been, being anything other than a day-trader closing out all your positions at the end of the day (let-alone before a 3-day weekend) is idiotic.  Oh wait, we are talking about folks that "invest" OTHER PEOPLES MONEY -- never mind!

Fri, 05/28/2010 - 13:41 | 379432 MyFriendMises
MyFriendMises's picture

Hey be careful, this will actually make the weekend for some of us who are from the south shore of the island. 

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