Backing Up The Truck On SPY April Puts

Tyler Durden's picture

Is that a tent in the cumulative volume chart of the SPY April 130 Puts or is some investor just happy to see the supposed end of QE2? Either way, no better time to hedge against a market collapse in the next 2 weeks than when the VIX is (as usual) dropping. Someone has purchased 249,420 lots, or a $12 MM bet the SPY will slide notably by the 15th.

Pretty steady accumulation throughout the day?

And total volume for the April 130s

h/t Andrew Yorks

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Robot Traders Mom's picture

Looking at the chart on AAPL is comparable to watching a snuff film...getting absolutely torn apart, down almost $4.

Silver and Gold up again, but nothing new there. People would rather store wealth than shit made in China.

magpie's picture

Poor Apple. Holding inflation at bay and then this.

Should Jobs start applying for agricultural subsidies at last ?

unwashedmass's picture

 

its probably the first of the bets JPM or GS is making as per their insider info on exactly when they are supposed to trip the switch on the HFT trading holding up this circus.

equity_momo's picture

Looks like our resident retards , harry and your son , junked you.

Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

+1,

But let us be more specific.  The Fed would use the PPT, or rather the "President's Working Group on Financial Markets" (that is the official name for the "team") to do...what...they...want.

Ruffcut's picture

Who says it was not selling of puts, with over 150,000 contracts in open interest surrounding the 130 strike?

With the crooks of the cboe, how can you believe most of the open interest numbers.

Some fuck head, could use two companies they own and buy and sell at the same time.

I've seen these odd volume orders and they never mean a pile of shit.

It is never what it appears.

slewie the pi-rat's picture

well said!  this is the SPY!   is there a bigger pool in which to swim, naked or not? 

we have the "weighted" stocks of the "index" and their various derivatives, warrants, convertibles, and so one.  then, the futures and options on the "index"---quite the smorgy, just there.  then, the ETF, ETFs, and near-countless "sub"-ETFs, some of which may have plays that are pretty freaking "dark" and nearly unknown.  not exhautive of the known plays, either, here,  ok?

so, what does this mean?  would you like to make a wager?  several?  buy something?  sell something?  dial 1.800.URfuked for the cheapest commissions with the most bells, whistles, and other bullshit ever offered to the "individual" investor/trader or whatever we might call such a person.  remember!  the pool party awards "individual" prizes all day, each and every day, and some "individuals" are like hogs at the trough when they learn the keys to success!  the very top winners pay their for their mortgage, groceries, clothes, orthodontist, and education expenses from pool party awards.  and , the most upper echelon even have jobs or offer services, too!  we are required to disclose that no one has ever been able to figure out why.

 

remember!  1.800.URfuked for the guananteed cheapest "costs" and the most bells & whistles in the industry.  pick up the phone!  call now!   choose the people that others trust, most often.  1.800.URfuked!  call now!  you'll be glad you did!!!  (some account balances guanteed by the US government/agencies of same, under certain circumstances).

SokPOTUS's picture

If it wasn't GS; someone just flushed $12M...

EscapeKey's picture

1. Fed to JPM/GS -> "sell"

2. JPM/GS buys insurance.

3. Fed issues meaningless rhetoric aka "press releases", which obviously will be ignored down the line.

4. Market drops, JPM/GS gains.

5. Small investors thinking it was safe to be back in the water is eaten alive by the sharks.

6. The Fed, through it's chosen few (aka "primary dealers") start gradually pumping the market again, until delicious small fry deems it safe to be back.

slaughterer's picture

My god, you got the follow-the-numbers playbook, too?  I thought that was restricted to Berkshire Hathaway directors. 

orangedrinkandchips's picture

without a doubt. The sellers are ramping and camping til tax day....

jedimarkus's picture

I am sure it is just another hedge for the boyz to make sure expire worthless into another bullish options expiration....

ghostfaceinvestah's picture

Too early, wait until July.

disabledvet's picture

i agree.  "terror attacks hit Italy, Britain and France" are my "tomorrow's news today" 2 weeks view for now...

The Axe's picture

still short AAPL....covered 1/3  its rolling over...

Cdad's picture

Very aggressive put buyers on AAPL, as well.  I think they have broken it.

long juan silver's picture

Giant Head and Shoulders back to Mid-January. Call sellers asleep at the wheel are gonna get reamed.

Rikki-Tikki-Tavi's picture

And now the rest of us know why:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/05/us-nasdaq-apple-idUSTRE7341572...

Good to know SEC finally is on top of insider trading.

 

 

alexwest's picture

##Someone has purchased 249,420 lots, or a $12 MM bet the ##SPY will slide notably by the 15th

for each buyer exist seller..
so lets interpret other way..

SOME SUCKER DECICED THAT BY APR15 Sp500 will be below 1300.. well by selling 1300 put some smart guy decided that sp500 wont be less 1300 by apr15..

its not BULLISH OR BEARISH.. SOME GUY IS 100% BEARISH, ANOTHER IS MODERATELY BULLISH..

alx

tallen's picture

Insurance companies such as AIG and investment banks sell puts as insurance, they sell huge volumes. As they're derivatives and it's relatively unregulated they don't need to hedge against un-realised losses within derivatives. So they can rake it 99.9% of the time with expired options, but 0.1% of the time they end up with nothing and the company is insolvent.  Look at AIG's selling of derivatives prior to the collapse (Watch inside job ;))

This is a huge contract being put through and it clearly has some significance. Therefore it is bearish. IBs and companies like AIG simply sell as many options as they can, getting huge revenue when the times are good, but when it turns around they have no way to hedge.

Highrev's picture

. . . but when it turns around they have no way to hedge.

Other than shorting the underlying (when dealing with puts).

Hedgetard55's picture

Uh, that was me. Should have said something here. Once his human handlers pulled the "Harry Wanger" software I figured it was time to short.

vote_libertarian_party's picture

That is a lot of cash for 10 days of speculation/hedging.

 

I'll start some wild rumors as to the root of it:

-Saudi Arabia to announce it can't take up the Libya slack

-490 of the S+P 500 firms will give lower guidance this week

-A HFT bot is about to go down for maintenance

DarkMath's picture

Tyler,

This is very bullish for QE3. I have no doubt this was a big institution who is buying insurance on a large long position in stocks.

Options give the hedge fund manager peace of mind. And god knows when he's banging $5000/hour hookers (can I get a whoop-whoop)in the Hamptons he's doesn't want to be worried. Both ways he's using protection.

long juan silver's picture

What if the other side is an annuity provider? There are other financial institutions in the universe that maintain a vested interest in the equities markets beyond hedge funds.

DarkMath's picture

Maybe, but we've seen this moving before. In August we saw lots and lots of Put buying and ZeroHedge got their panties in a stitch thinking it was a sign of the apacolypse (remember the Hindenburg Omen).

The Puts were people buying insurance on Long bets in the stock market. And they were right.

QE3 is a foregone conclusion.

ZeroPower's picture

Open interest APR130 P is 343k... could be getting out?

Sandy15's picture

make note...... if getting out it should subtract todays purchase from total OI.  Open interest measures positions held over night.  If it adds to the open interest tomorrow, it is a new position.

Sandy15's picture

Well, it added to OI.  So it was ALL new positions............hmmmm.

tallen's picture

SPY Call volume 189,947 vs put volume 691,561.

SPY call open interest 5,014,134 vs put open interst 10,874,665.

 

Yet the VIX is at 17. What a joke

alexanderstollznow's picture

the put/call ratio index, which includes all puts and calls on stocks or stock indexes on all US exchanges is completely dead on its typical number right now, so the above numbers are very misleading.  not surprisingly, the VIX is also dead on its typical level for quiet markets.  further, there is no necessary connection at all between the put/call ratio, and volatility.  if it is historical vol, then that is just an historical fact.  if it is implied vol you are talking about (like the VIX) then that is just the result of price levels struck by buyers and sellers.  it is not directional.

slewie the pi-rat's picture

well said bro!  +++ for implied volatility and we'll just hafta wait to see how badly the tail will need to wag the dog to "pull the stops" from these "bets" and quite possibly, $ trils more on all the "carry" and hedge bets.

ghostfaceinvestah's picture

sorry, OT, but when do we evacuate the Bay Area?

http://www.sfexaminer.com/local/bay-area/2011/04/radiation-bay-area-rain...

Bay Area rainwater tested last month exceeded federal standards for radiation in drinking water by 46 times,

slewie the pi-rat's picture

the first coupla weeks were normal, weren't they?  after that, unfortunately, it rained (and snowed) like a mofo till almost the end of the month.  the examiner's not a bad paper even if we only grade for survivabilty and pulitzers.

from the EPA data...

"The new results confirm similar data from UC Berkeley’s Department of Engineering, which recently found cases in which milk, creek water, potable water and spinach and mushrooms carried traces of the radioactive isotope."

the paper goes with the berzerkeley data (as per the link) to evaluate the EPA, which the paper notes seems under some kinda freaking attack, or something:

(Begin Paste) But health hazards aside, another Bay Area professor has criticized the EPA’s tardy response since this is the first time in the more than three weeks since the Fukushima I Nuclear Power Plant crisis that the agency has issued any substantial data regarding the Bay Area’s safety.

“We have an emergency network that’s supposed to help us know whether to take emergency action and it’s not working,” said Daniel Hirsch, a nuclear policy lecturer at UC Santa Cruz.

EPA officials did not respond to inquiries about the speed of their response by press time. A statement on Saturday read, “It may take up to five days for results because of the number of samples being directed to the laboratory. This is to ensure the proper analysis and quality assurance measures takes place before the results are released.”   (End Paste)

wanna bet?

alexanderstollznow's picture

honestly, i dont think a $12m punt a spike down in the stock market is particularly noteworthy.  there are loads of high net worth individual punters who will spend in the hundreds of thousands on stock index put option plays.  given that the name of this site is zeroHEDGE, one might like to consider also the possibility that this option trade was actually a hedge.

mule65's picture

249,420 contracts put at $130 is well over $3 billion.

vote_libertarian_party's picture

Couldn't this a large holder of long positions getting ready to sell over the next 2 weeks.

 

Sell and market doesn't sell off...keep the stock gains

Sell and market does sell off...profit on options

DB Cooper's picture

Charlie Munger and David Sokol got a copy of the Bernacke's speech?

ak_khanna's picture

The stock, commodity and currency exchanges have been reduced to gambling dens whereby the more powerful traders with deep pockets move the markets to maximize their own profits at the expense of the remaining not so powerful players. The big boys have enormous money power to move the markets in the direction which results in maximum profits for themselves. They effectively use the media to lure the other players in the market to a position where they would incur maximum loss.

The markets will fall only when the banksters have eliminated all the short positions and only they themselves have positioned themselves to profit when the market falls

OR

When an unexpected world event catches the banksters with their pants down and the softwares they use to rig the markets go berserk beyond their control.


http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article24581.html

alexanderstollznow's picture

 you might like to note that 'banksters' are not generally shifting around large spec positions in the stock market.  i think you will find that that is done by real money and hedge funds, if you have ever heard these expressions.  they are not banks by any definition.

c hook's picture

For all you non-options traders out there, a 12 million dollar bet on the SPY is not much at all.  Not news.  People would be smart to hedge here but out to May or June not April.  Sounds more like an earnings bet than QE.

TradingJoe's picture

I'll have to go with hedging AND earning! Either way da boyz make the dough, not the little guy! But May or even June would have been a lot better, who knows maybe this guy knows something we mortals don't!

slaughterer's picture

Now we know where the POMO money went today!  Mystery solved.  Whoever bought em, was levitating the ES while doing it.   

Hollow_Point's picture

up about 1.5 mil now

CheapKUNGFU's picture

should maybe look at it as... someone had puts to sell... (timely)

All  your puts are belong to us, make your time...

Heh

Elmer Fudd's picture

Cant you sell puts to open a bullish play?  So it means what?

RNC's picture

Someone needs to check if this was insurance being sold or bought, you can tell by checking if the transaction was done at the bid or offer...anyone?