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Or it was just a short covering DCB before... But what do I know, I don't have a phd...
Hmmmm very interesting.......
Will Greece go bankrupt? Ask Paul, the Octopus.
Hmm, he's been picking 'em right, but does he have a phd?
As Germany knows well, nothing harmful could possibly come from subjugating a state's finances and forcing it to bankrupt itself and its people to pay foreigners.
I see nothing at all wrong with this approach. Just bunny rabbits and rainbow-farting unicorns.
Like the man said, "Welcome to financial warfare in the post-globalization period."
Especially since the same kind of strategy worked so well in the US: subjugate the public's finances and force us to bankrupt ourselves in order to pay off losing bets made by the banks.
It is not the losing bets made by the banks that are the problem. It is the guy down the street who bought more house than he could pay for, expecting some bank to lend him more money to make the payment. That little oinker is the target of the bailout and why FNM and FRE and FHA will continue to lose money as long as possible. generally, the banks have repaid the money that they got from the US Govt. to stop the run.
They repaid the money using FDIC backed debt guarantees/subsidies, massive interest rate spreads, unlimited borrowing at the FED, regulatory forbearance, making money from Fed's QE program (who do you think sold them all of those mortgages), continued FNM, FRE support, refinancing activity through low interest rates, mortgage modification support, etc.
Sure the little guy was involved, but the banks made money going in ... and then coming out. The taxpayer is more than a little bit sore...
My thoughts exactly. The potential similarities, in reverse, to post WWI Germany, are a bit eerie. That didn't end well. Let's hope that whatever direction this goes, that the outcome is much better for the citizens of all of the countries involved.
Has it never dawned upon these folk, that a debt is debt is debt. If for example, America as we are doing now de-leverages the private sector, whilst the public sector re-leverages, it changes naught, for it is a mere transfer from one pocket to the other. The American private sector (Ultimately the public who in the final result pays all taxes.) represents the productive economy which pays tribute, er excuse me, taxes, to the public sector to service the public sector debt.
Just ask any head of household how this works when the kids and spouse run up the credit card. Du-f-ing-h.
So Angela my dearest, the idea is bankrupt (Oppps, a pun!) from the very start, for another layer of administration likewise continuing to derive its resources from the same subjects (those paying the taxes) effectively does naught but enhance global warming through production of additional smoke, mirrors and hot air.
No wonder so few are hated so much by so many.
Its a circle-jerk, isn't it? Who are the major bond holders that are to take a haircut? The banks, eh? So all that this accomplishes is transfer bailouts from the EU as a whole to whatever nation's banks that hold the debt. Of course, this is likely much more politically palletable in Germany for her to bail out her banks, than Greece. Like the man said, a debt is a debt, and when it defaults its just a question of who's ass it comes out of. Musical chairs and hot potatoes. In the end, its the public that suffers regardless of who gets tagged for it.
And who buys the debt of the bailout fund when all of the lenders are taking haircuts?
This plan was utterly stupid from the beginning. Solving too much debt with more debt? No one has any money left to really bail anyone out with EQUITY. It's only a matter of time...
Ah yes. Re-invading the Ruhr also helped the situation. Lets pick Greek islands. Also I've just been to Barcelona, loved it. I pay my taxes, can I have that?
Deutschland uber Alles!
Pure conquest by the Holy Roman Empire.
Problem Reaction Solution.
An Enslaved Euro-Zone.
Just wait for the NAU.
Oh how will they do it.
It seems that this would loosely coorespond to Ben Bernanke receiving conservatorship of California, Illinois, New York, Arizona, Michigan et. al. if any of these state fail. How likely would that be after GM, Chrysler and other TBTF bailouts?
I think the desired effect for insolvent nations is, i) never ask for help and self enforce strict austerity measures ii)Get insolvent nations to leave the EU voluntarily rather than be kicked out.
It took exactly 65 years after WW II ended for the Germans to win, how incredibly patient of them.
Interesting that the Germans still have a seemingly collective phobia of debt after what they went through, but most in the US have long forgotten the lessons of the 1930s.
Of course, we have generally not had potentially hostile countries at our doorstep over the past 65 years either. But still.
I remember as a kid being regaled with stories of the Great Depression by my grandparents, who got married shortly before it begain, and hung onto their farm only because they had no debt. The wariness of debt has lasted for 3 generations in our family, and I'm working hard to make sure that it sinks into the 4th.
Germans, yes, are mostly debt free (aside from thier auto and mortgage debts which are outrageous). That's primarily because they don't use credit cards, per se. Their banks allow 'negative credit' based on your income. It's quite common for a German to have a negative balance on their bank account which incurs interest much like an American style credit card. But, the German government, on the other hand, spends like a drunken sailor which, in turn, causes perpetual new taxation on the people.
So, Germans are personally debt free (mostly) but, as a people, are leveraged to their eyeballs just like Americans.
Thanks for the insights. Lived in Germany for a while, but it's been a while.
And if you can't pay your mortgage you are insolvent for seven years and the bank is entitled to take your income money up to a life minimum. And that for seven years. and no, you cannot walk away!
I know that they actually repossess your shit there also. Not just cars and homes. They'll come and yank up your carpet and take your furniture and everything.
The credit system itself is different though. They don't monitor how much open credit and obligations you have. They only report if you've made a late payment or are in default. The don't have credit histories like we do here. In other words, no credit history (an empty file) is the goal as it means you haven't defaulted or been late. It's a wierd discussion with my wife and German friends that the only way to get credit here is to have credit or have had credit.
I actually don't know how easy it is to get credit there though. Everything is based on your income and not your history.
Won? Won what? I'm married to a German immigrant (lawful permanent resident) and am in Germany often. I don't know what they won. They have a 60% payroll tax rate, 19% VAT, a pair of levi's costs about $120, they eat cold cuts on a roll everynight for dinner, they have dorm sized appliances, a one car family is the rule because they cost so damn much, $8 per gallon of gasoline, etc.
I don't understand the love-fest for Europe and, specifically, Germany. The US has loads...err..TONS of problems but it's way way way better than Europe. Our quality of life is still significantly better than Europe. Also, the debt-per-capita is well above what it is in the US (which is even more pathetic than our own debt levels).
Debate what you will, but I know Germans and Germany. It's not a rat hole, for sure, but it's no paradise either. Most, if not all, of the Germans that I know and are friends with are more skeptical of their own politicians than even I am of ours. It's the same broken system over there just a different flavor.
I don't doubt the typical American family has a bigger house, bigger appliances, and more cars than their German counterpart. But which is more likely to see stability or even improvements in the next few years, vs. sudden collapse into forced 'austerity?'
Americans absolutely have bigger and more of everything, in the middle class. I'm not chest thumping but that's the truth, even if it's 'unfair'. That isn't to say that Germans don't have a good life. Clearly, they do. But, they do not have what we have. Everything, and I mean everything, is ridiculously expensive there. Alot of it has to do with their lack of access to major shopping venues. You're still buying from a Mom & Pop store where the mark-ups are huge (they have to to survive).
I've been to Germany over 60 times in past decade. It's a nice place to visit but I wouldn't (personally) want to live there.
You are spot on. Life in Germany isn't easy. Our politicians are banksters' puppets and our media is a bag of lies. Merkel is an elitist, a zionist and a war monger. I know nobody who trusts her. It's as bad as everywhere. Chemtrails, bad expensive healthcare, dictatorship in many regards (food supplements for example). When importing any from the US they would open your package and CONFISCATE whatever they want (Vit D3!!!). Severance paid when you lose your job - taxes up to 45%!
Nice, isn't it?
And given that was just an attempt to win WW1, they've been very focussed for almost a century.
This currency union thing was a plan of true evil genius. Get what you wanted originally without millions of lives lost, as a bonus you dont piss the russians off - as long as you leave serbia alone they will just find it funny.
So much more modern. So 21st century.
Free condos for vacationing Germans as far as the eye can see...
Amusing that Americans can hurl poo at these kind of 'arrangements' in Zooropa with a straight face after Bretton Woods.
What about after the Marshall Plan? Oh, yea, that little thing. We'd like a refund.
Hmm... are the Warburgs looking to take control of the EU in full as the Rothschilds have in the UK? Anyone? Anyone?
I think the EU needs intra-EU capital controls which will a) prohibit excessive lending (public or private) across member-state borders and b) firmly establish that in the event the rules are broken and excessive lending happens anyway, leading to a credit crisis, the cross-border lenders are left holding the bag for the illegal lending. At least now the German government couldn't dismiss such a proposal as too radical!
"Even though large tracts of Europe and many old and famous States have fallen or may fall into the grip of the Gestapo and all the odious apparatus of Nazi rule, we shall not flag or fail.
We shall go on to the end, we shall fight in France, we shall fight on the seas and oceans, we shall fight with growing confidence and growing strength in the air, we shall defend our Island, whatever the cost may be, we shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills; we shall never surrender, and even if, which I do not for a moment believe, this Island or a large part of it were subjugated and starving, then our Empire beyond the seas, armed and guarded by the British Fleet, would carry on the struggle, until, in God's good time, the New World, with all its power and might, steps forth to the rescue and the liberation of the old."
Old hatred's never surrender to time.
"But the concepts would also represent an imposition on international donors. Until now, conventional bailout programs like the one devised for Greece have been based primarily on the notion that a cash-strapped government receives public funds from other countries, while private donors are not asked to waive their claims."
And there you have the last 2 years of U.S. History in a nutshell.
Which I have been clamoring about as the first thing that should be addressed ahead of unions or anything else.
German money does what German's says it does....
Why should it be any other way ?
ie....Greece is not Germany's child....
Just another BIG reason that blanket type currencies are a failed concept....
EURO to 89 cents and lower....or out of existance....
Just another academic experiment gone awry....
And the IMF wants a "world currency" ?
Not in a million years.....and if so...NFL....not for long....
The exception ?
That the average public citizen of one country likes the idea of being taxed for the benefit of another country....
And when is this ?
If Spain, Greece, and Portugal keep whining, they will soon become Germans. WW2 revisited, as they just take over their countries, first financially, then as the PIIGS try to fight back, force will be used.
This just indicates that despite all the wet dreams from euroskeptics the crisis in the EU nations will not result in its breakup. The eurocrats will not allow the EU to fail and will instead seize the opportunity to greatly expand their power.
Au contraire mon capitane, this indicates precisely the opposite. The breakup of the EU social/economic experiment is now within eye-sight.
You're commenting on an economics blog so I will presume you understand economics, but we are talking about geopolitics here and you eating up the crap spewed by the MSM indicates you have very little grasp of that field. Indeed, all the doomsaying plays right into the hands of people advocating for a more tightly-controlled European Union. No doubt they are tacitly encouraging dire predictions by the media because such predictions make it far easier to convince people there is a need for dire solutions. The reality is abandoning the euro or breaking up the EU will create the opposite of any desired effect plunging the countries of Europe into a much deeper and more catastrophic depression than what they already face. I won't rule out a country leaving or attempting to leave, but the Hell that will quickly rain down on them will insure not only that said country returns to the fold, but anyone else who entertained the notion will put it as far out of their minds as possible.
The Euro is non-existent currency of non-existent country. "Euro" country does not have a Constitution. No Constitution - no country. No country - no government. No government - no central bank. No central bank - no currency. This "euro currency" is a fake, backed by nothing, by nobody's promise, by nobody's word. Sounds slightly heretical, but this is the only way the money system can be built.The dollar and the (u)SA at least do have a Constitution..... or ... do they ??
Queen's done this before, see WWI and WWII. Germany should be careful, they'll get the blame by the less soverign people for the entire British system's fraudulent debts.
That and give them someone big on their soil that might need a bailout screwing them over.
Now to get out of the fraudulent debt it costs you your treasury. Europeans are dumbasses if they don't protest this.
Bet the euro's wish they could revisit the Lisbon now. Or got their heads out of their asses the first time. Sadly we're on the same fate, as ours too is firmly between our cheeks.
It seems they already got the power, or believe enough to try, only the probable corrupt courts can save them, if the people will not voice their concerns.
Meanwhile, such a system by it's very nature, shows austerity will be a major flavor, like the only one, of ice cream you can get for(ever?) in the forseeable future in Europe.
Europe on a country basis will be a land of have's and have not's. Sad.
Then the focus comes back the good ol USA. So far the euro banksters are batting 1.000 in getting their stuff passed. Let's see if they can hold out in a market collapse.
Updated DOW charts etc.
who won the bloody war anyway.
It is not clear to me how "orderly insolvency" and the euro as we know it now will co-exist. A 2-tier euro at least would be required, unless Germany wants bear a 70%+ depreciation of his own currency.
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