Bespoke Finds S&P 500 Most Overbought Since November 2009

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Mon, 12/13/2010 - 00:15 | 800961 Terminus C
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Buy the fucking dip bitchez!

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 00:26 | 800979 Ras Bongo
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Mon, 12/13/2010 - 00:29 | 800984 Terminus C
Terminus C's picture

ba a aaaaah....

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 03:20 | 801105 Id fight Gandhi
Id fight Gandhi's picture

This will last forever. Everything is fine, all the stocks news sites told me so.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 00:22 | 800969 bigredmachine
bigredmachine's picture

next dip bitch, next ones a doosy

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 00:25 | 800976 Gaston
Gaston's picture

You haven't seen overbought

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 02:19 | 801076 chopper read
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You want overbought? You can't handle overbought! Son, we live in a world with support levels that must be guarded. Who's gonna do it? You? I have more responsibility than you can possibly fathom. You weep for short-sellers and curse The Fed. You don't know what I know. The Middle Class's death, while tragic, saved lives. And my existence, while grotesque to you, saves lives! But deep down, in places you don't like to talk about at parties, - - you want me on that printing press, you need me on that printing press. We use words like "rate cuts", "quantitative easing", "permanent open market operations". We use these words as the backbone of our existence. You use them as a punchline! I haven't the time nor inclination to explain myself - - to a man who needs my protection - - but questions the way in which i provide it. I'd rather you just thank me. either that, or pick up some cotton and green ink and start printing! Either way, I don't give a damn what you think you are entitled to!


Mon, 12/13/2010 - 02:33 | 801089 dukeness
dukeness's picture

Did you order the POMO?



(fucking awesome post, chop)

Tue, 12/14/2010 - 02:06 | 803884 chopper read
chopper read's picture're goddamned right I did.  ;)

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 03:50 | 801123 scaleindependent
scaleindependent's picture

+ 600B

When is Nicholson reprising The Bernank's role?

Who is directing?

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 04:24 | 801132 sax
sax's picture

Post of the century!

Screencapped for historical references

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 08:21 | 801212 New_Meat
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+8041   - Ned

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 09:17 | 801258 Cursive
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@chopper read

Lulz.  Thanks for this.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 10:18 | 801351 Ese Pinche
Ese Pinche's picture

bacon wrapped radness!  +2012

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 00:26 | 800978 What_Me_Worry
What_Me_Worry's picture

They are going to have to add a new category soon.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 00:28 | 800982 Wolf in the Wilds
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Its not overbought.  Its not even a market anymore.  So have fun trying to use technicals to predict where it is going.  Best thing to do is.. DON'T PLAY IN A RIGGED GAME

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 02:34 | 801090 Bob Sponge
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"There are no markets anymore, just interventions." - Chris Powell

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 00:28 | 800983 RobotTrader
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Here's an interesting chart:

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 00:31 | 800986 Boston
Boston's picture


Time for the picture of the guy on a ladder, on top of a picnic table, balanced on cinder blocks?

(from April 2010)


Mon, 12/13/2010 - 00:34 | 800990 TooBearish
TooBearish's picture

Meanwhile in bond land - meltdown.....

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 00:35 | 800992 bigredmachine
bigredmachine's picture

been reading since s+p at 1040, in aggregate, doomers

until lately. Honestly, you people are a pretty good contrarian

indicator. Lets see how it plays out. good luck. I am short 2x and 3x. no worries

of parabolic breakout. down bitches. 

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 00:36 | 800994 mcguire
mcguire's picture

1% in precious metals, lol!!!

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 00:41 | 800998 bigredmachine
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you dont even realize how lucky you

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 01:56 | 801068 erik
erik's picture

how about you lob a few more condescending remarks around and back them up with zero substance

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 02:31 | 801088 Bob Sponge
Bob Sponge's picture

LOL exactly

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 01:00 | 801013 Everyman
Everyman's picture

Boy I am so glad to have a chart for this now.

I never knew the S&P was overvalued. <sarcasm off

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 01:01 | 801016 revenue_anticip...
revenue_anticipation_believer's picture

BUY on technicals...ignore the fundamentals...and BY THE WAY...didn't we all agree that there is no 'retail/dumb money' going into the market...its all just one computer to another...60%....right? no? yes?

don't buy Gold, buy Real Property living business concerns those that make it thru, with refinanced debt leverage @4% these businesses will grow at inflation + whatever they actually make ON A FIFO/LIFO accounting basis...

and buy the Investors Business Daily 'New America" stocks, when their technicals are good...and ignore p/e earnings based on the old normal...its the PIMCO new normal...

Creative Destruction, yes, there WILL be permanently dead real estate, Ghost Towns, and Ghost Factories, and dead business models, and

PERMANENT unemployement PRECISELY BECAUSE CERTAIN SKILLS ARE NOT NEEDED ANYMORE, NOT NOW, NOT EVER....and because with only 90% of the previous workforce, some efficiencies have come into play to making the sam amount of goods/services...

no need for more employees until the DIRECTION OF THE NEW NORMAL IS ESTABLISHED WELL ENOUGH TO INVEST 10-20 YEAR PLANT/EQUIPMENTand 'skilled employees' more 'welfare on the job'   'it will be welfare...just welfare, no pretense...'

i think that the 'dumb money' got burned badly what with the Bernacke Put...yes, and THOSE RETAIL TRADERS are probably out of the equities market....are NOT the bulls...indeed there are no 'retail traders' out there...

'Demand Destruction' for buying stocks is near maximum, actually, and there is NO way to assess the Net Present Value of the future income fundamentals are out...and the great thinning of the HERD of companies, real estate, wrongly directed capital...are being thinned out...yes, and MOST OF THOSE 'BARGAINS' are permanent junk...

Bombed Out Germany and Japan 1945 - all the old bulldozed burned, everythiing newly for the new to grow...and IT DID, both Germany and Japan not only finished rebuilding within 10-15 years, but then CONTINUED, to SURPASS the USA in production costs and quality...

you buy TODAY only NEW, GROWING, LIVING investments...should be plenty of room for these to grow, once the junk assets are literally bulldozed...buildings, old mfg plants, wrongly placed Hotels...on and on

And YES, American Population is growing, only Country in the WEST....mexicans and other immigrants young with a long long worklife of SKILLED WORK ahead.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 01:25 | 801043 What_Me_Worry
What_Me_Worry's picture

What exactly are "Real Property living business concerns"?

Is that real estate producing an income stream?  It sounds like a Japanese-botched translation.

So are you recommending service businesses, then?  As people's wages get squeezed by energy/food more and more they have less money for the service industry.  Obviously, there are very few examples left of businesses that actually produce anything.

Here, you are contradicting yourself and identify your problem:

"'Demand Destruction' for buying stocks is near maximum, actually, and there is NO way to assess the Net Present Value of the future income fundamentals are out...and the great thinning of the HERD of companies, real estate, wrongly directed capital...are being thinned out...yes, and MOST OF THOSE 'BARGAINS' are permanent junk..."


Mon, 12/13/2010 - 11:39 | 801515 Kobe Beef
Kobe Beef's picture

"Bombed Out Germany and Japan 1945 - all the old bulldozed burned..."

USA ain't there yet. I'll buy after it gets bombed & burned to the ground, thanks. Start with Washington, DC, please.


Mon, 12/13/2010 - 01:20 | 801038 Convolved Man
Convolved Man's picture

The market sentiment and weather conditions portend a tight sweater day on CNBC.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 03:28 | 801110 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

"Take away those sweaters and whatdya got?" -- Marilyn Monroe

Someone should turn up the heat in the studio! :>D

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 01:32 | 801052 Itsalie
Itsalie's picture

Bonds down stocks up, another same old week in Asia. Good christmas becoming great for the momos I guess?

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 02:01 | 801073 Paul Thomason
Paul Thomason's picture

Looks like a condom will be needed.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 02:38 | 801091 HarryWanger
HarryWanger's picture

Throw out all the t/a charts and analysis, they don't apply now. This is pumped by the Fed and will continue for quite some time. To try and use t/a is silly. This is going much higher - common sense.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 02:51 | 801095 Bob Sponge
Bob Sponge's picture

What will tell you it is time to sell?

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 04:35 | 801136 sax
sax's picture

When he starts harvesting potatoes from his back yard to eat

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 06:11 | 801161 SofaPapa
SofaPapa's picture

The "common sense" you are recommending here sounds to me (a relatively "outside" observer of the market) remarkably like the beginning of a hyper-inflationary psychological dynamic.  Hard to know based on your history if this is what you intended?

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 09:05 | 801249 razorthin
razorthin's picture

Actually, momentum indicators have been VERY helpful.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 09:06 | 801250 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Harry and Turd in full agreement? Another sign of the Apocalypse has come to pass!

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 04:55 | 801142 Bitter Bob
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I don't know, seems the "dumb money" has been doing a lot better than this so-called "smart money" that's been trying to call the top ever since March 2009.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 06:16 | 801163 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

Stock markets fraud, farce...just permabullisment killing long/short traders.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 07:55 | 801201 Trader7
Trader7's picture

   I'm still seeing orderly patterns on charts. Maybe I've gone crazy.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 08:11 | 801207 TexDenim
TexDenim's picture

"Expect momentum chasers and dumb money speculators to go apeshit and to buy anything and everything in sight on this latest observation."

Expect, my ass. That is what these bozos have been doing since August.


Mon, 12/13/2010 - 09:06 | 801248 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

"We continue to hold about 1% of assets in precious metals, about 1% in foreign currencies, and about 2% in utility shares."

Good to see this genius is fully hedged.

Mon, 12/13/2010 - 10:04 | 801323 Hondo
Hondo's picture

The markets can stary this way as long as the FED keeps buying stocks through proxies.  The problem is when it ends it will end very badly and a great deal of wealth will again be destroyed.  Then the FED will again try and bail out the stupidity of investors and themselves with more.......until yes we will (are well on our way) to looking like Japan.

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