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BoomBustBlog Analysis of Morgan Stanley’s Q3 2010 Operating Results

Reggie Middleton's picture




 

The Morgan Stanley Q3 2010 forensic report and updated valuation is now available for download to all subscribers – File Icon Morgan Stanley Q3 2010 Analysis and Updated Valuation.
I will be exporting strategic portions of the model for pro and
institutional subscribers over the next few days which will allow a
forensic view of the balance sheet holdings. Below is an excerpt of the
report, as well as some links to the mainstream media’s reporting of
Morgan Stanley’s quarterly results to allow subscribers to discern the
difference in both our approaches and results.

Mainstream Media’s Reporting of Morgan Stanley’s Q3

The BoomBustBlog Way

I have taken the liberty to excerpt a few paragraphs for those that
don’t subscribe in order for you to ascertain the difference between
reported news and analysis. Feel free to click on any page to enlarge to
print quality size.

Morgan Stanley is also extending its abysmal track record in CRE with the $1.2bn loss in Revel

In Q3 2010 Morgan Stanley reported a loss of $229m relating to
write-down of Revel Entertainment Group. With this the carrying value of
investment in Revel Entertainment Group is almost worthless at $40m. To
give a background, Morgan Stanley had invested almost $1.2bn in Revel
Entertainment Group LLC’s Revel casino in Atlantic City way back in 2007
(the absolute top of the CRE bubble). In 1H 2010, the company had
written-down approximately $951m on its investment in Revel bringing its
investment down to $240m the balance of which was written down in Q3.
The casino project has been stalled since 2009 due to escalating costs,
financing issues and the misfortunate death of several top executives
from Revel Entertainment, Tishman Construction, and APG International in
July 2008 as the charter jet they were flying in crashed. Revel is one
of the classic examples of firms investing in real estate pet projects
at the height of bubble.

For those who are not familiar with the MS CRE investing results, I
strongly recommend you  review the following article, in its entirety…

Wall Street is Back to Paying Big Bonuses. Are You Sharing in this New Found Prosperity?

Interested parties may click here to subscribe.

 

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Thu, 11/04/2010 - 10:29 | 699224 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Superlative write-up as usual, Reggie.  Thanks for the work.

It's much better to be digesting your articles than just relying on a "gut feeling" that things are getting much worse much faster.   Directional concern is better than general malaise.

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 08:55 | 699052 Commander Cody
Commander Cody's picture

Main Street will continue to underwrite the bad investments of the banksters until there is no Main Street left.  Wealth transfer going exponential!

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!