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BP Official Admits to Damage BENEATH THE SEA FLOOR
As I noted Tuesday, there is growing
evidence that BP's oil well - technically called the "well casing" or
"well bore" - has suffered damage beneath the level of the sea floor.
The
evidence is growing stronger and stronger that there is substantial
damage beneath the sea floor. Indeed, it appears that BP officials
themselves have admitted to such damage. This has enormous impacts on
both the amount of oil leaking into the Gulf, and the prospects for
quickly stopping the leak this summer.
On May 31st, the Washington Post noted:
Sources
at two companies involved with the well said that BP also discovered
new damage inside the well below the seafloor and that, as a result,
some of the drilling mud that was successfully forced into the well was
going off to the side into rock formations.
"We discovered things that were broken in the sub-surface," said a BP official who spoke on the condition of anonymity. He said that mud was making it "out to the side, into the formation."
On June 2nd, Bloomberg pointed out:
Plugging
the well is another challenge even after BP successfully intersects it,
Robert Bea, a University of California Berkeley engineering professor,
said. BP has said it believes the well bore to be damaged, which could hamper efforts to fill it with mud and set a concrete plug, Bea said.
Bea is an expert in offshore drilling and a high-level governmental adviser concerning disasters.
On the same day, the Wall Street Journal noted that there might be a leak in BP's well casing 1,000 feet beneath the sea floor:
BP
PLC has concluded that its "top-kill" attempt last week to seal its
broken well in the Gulf of Mexico may have failed due to a
malfunctioning disk inside the well about 1,000 feet below the ocean floor.
***
The
broken disk may have prevented the heavy drilling mud injected into the
well last week from getting far enough down the well to overcome the
pressure from the escaping oil and gas, people familiar with BP's
findings said. They said much of the drilling mud may also have escaped
from the well into the rock formation outside the wellbore.
On June 3rd, The Canadian Press quoted
the top government official in charge of the response to the oil spill
- Admiral Thad Allen, the commandant of the Coast Guard - as pointing
to the same possibility:
The failure of the so-called top kill procedure - which entailed pumping mud into the well at high velocity - suggested "there
actually could be something wrong with the well casing, and there could
be open communication in the strata or the rock formations below the
sea floor," Allen said.
On
June 7th, Senator Bill Nelson told MSNBC that he's investigating
reports of oil seeping up from additional leak points on the seafloor:
Senator
Bill Nelson (D-FL): Andrea we’re looking into something new right now,
that there’s reports of oil that’s seeping up from the seabed… which
would indicate, if that’s true, that the well casing itself is actually
pierced… underneath the seabed. So, you know, the problems could be just enormous with what we’re facing.
Andrea
Mitchell, MSNBC: Now let me understand better what you’re saying. If
that is true that it is coming up form that seabed, even the relief
well won’t be the final solution to cap this thing. That means that
we’ve got oil gushing up at disparate places along the ocean floor.
Sen. Nelson: That is possible, unless you get the plug down low enough, below where the pipe would be breached.
Indeed, loss of integrity in the well itself may explain why BP is drilling its relief wells more than ten thousand feet beneath the leaking pipes on the seafloor (and see this).
Yesterday, recently-retired Shell Oil President John Hofmeister said that the well casing below the sea floor may have been compromised:
[Question]
What are the chances that the well casing below the sea floor has been
compromised, and that gas and oil are coming up the outside of the well
casing, eroding the surrounding soft rock. Could this lead to a
catastrophic geological failure, unstoppable even by the relief wells?
John Hofmeister: This is what some people fear has occurred. It is also why the "top kill" process was halted.
If the casing is compromised the well is that much more difficult to
shut down, including the risk that the relief wells may not be enough.
If the relief wells do not result in stopping the flow, the next and
drastic step is to implode the well on top of itself, which carries
other risks as well.
As noted yesterday in The Engineer magazine,
an official from Cameron International - the manufacturer of the
blowout preventer for BP's leaking oil drilling operation - noted that
one cause of the failure of the BOP could have been damage to the well
bore:
Steel casing or casing hanger could have been ejected from the well and blocked the operation of the rams.
Oil industry expert Rob Cavner believes that the casing might be damaged beneath the sea floor, noting:
The
real doomsday scenario here… is if that casing gives up, and it does
come through the other strings of pipe. Remember, it is concentric pipe
that holds this well together. If it comes into the formation,
basically, you‘ve got uncontrolled [oil] flow to the sea floor. And
that is the doomsday scenario.
Cavner also said BP must "keep the well flowing to minimize oil and gas going out into the formation on the side":
And prominent oil industry insider Matt Simmons believes that the well
casing may have been destroyed when the oil rig exploded. Simmons was
an energy adviser to President George W. Bush, is an adviser to the Oil
Depletion Analysis Centre, and is a member of the National Petroleum
Council and the Council on Foreign Relations.
On May 26th, Simmons referred to this issue on MSNBC:
On May 27th, Simmons again addressed this issue on MSNBC:
And he referred to it again on Bloomberg on May 28th:
And again on MSNBC on June 7th :
We have a right to know what's really going on.
Given
the impact on America's people, natural resources and economy, BP and
the government must fully disclose the amount of damage underneath the
sea floor, and what that means for the efforts to cap the well.
»
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Biggest Concerns And Thoughts:
"Can you imagine if this was a taped loop tape to keep the public fixated on the oil leak. Press and individuals are restricted from the beaches."
...it's funny that you mention this, because i have been wondering if james cameron's visit with bp was not "as advertised" but that he actually was hired by bp/tptb to produce realistic propaganda video...i thought from "day 1" that the meeting to discuss "underwater subs and filming" was a cover story...
You are not going to believe this!
Kevin Costner spent 15 years and $24 million of his own money on perfecting a technology that he purchased the rights for from the Department of Energy when he worked on WATERWORLD! BP is purchasing 32 machines that separate oil and water.
Who would have guessed that anything good would come from Waterworld.
I guess his next invention will be for some kind of machine to separate dogs from the ankles of post office delivery personnel purchased from the Post Office when he worked on the Postman.
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/greenspace/2010/06/gulf-oil-spill-costne...
Speaking of Kevin Costner, this is the video of his consultation with BP:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2AAa0gd7ClM
On a serious note, I find this development fascinating. Imagine if hollywood worked on many different movies addressing the major problems facing the world and in the process worked creatively on solutions (pulling a Waterworld with creative minds and SMEs). The space race and defense industries have provided many new inventions over the years that have provided innovation in private industry that we enjoy today.
See this video on why we need the explorers (second video, although the first is also good):
http://economicedge.blogspot.com/2010/06/empathic-civilization-and-why-w...
Costner's machine processes 200 gal / min. It is useful for cleaning your swimming pool if you change your lawn mower oil and spill it.
If hollywood made more enviro movies you would have more of the AlGore nonsense. There are science and enviro movies worth viewing on the Discovery channel and National Geographic. Very few watch as the Guidos on Jersey Shore are so captivating.
So Kevin just purchased the patent of the centrifugator? Where should I send the royalties from my juice extraction machine?
I applaud Costner for putting his money where his mouth is.
Also, a spill of this magnitude requires the suspension or waivers to the Jones Act, which has not been done for some reason, so that ALL technology being offered (Belgium, Norway, Mexico) can be brought to bear on the oil on the surface even as the source is trying to be capped.
We DON'T need politics and red tape involved when trying to do the correct thing in mitigating the effects of this.
Even autocracies must bow to the general beliefs and desires of the people to avoid generating instability.
I believe cap & trade is dead, as well as any regime that enforces it. There are too many wealthy and powerful interests that can effectively defy and oppose it. With the impending fiscal collapse of statism, I suspect that environmentalism will return to the cult basis from which it emerged.
When the central state loses control of the education system, it also loses effective control over the general beliefs and operating philosophy of the mass.
I also call into question the ability of the state to retain the loyalty of the military, the intelligence agencies, the media, and local politicians.
"Austerity" is a loot-fest, but it also means a loss of effective political control for the ruling class.
If there is a war with Iran, I suspect it will be limited to an airborne conflict. Bush faced insubordination from the CIA for the invasion of Iraq alone. I'm confident that it will be much worse for the civilians if they intend to attempt a full-scale invasion. The Air Force and Navy will always do exactly as they're told, but the ground troops are always more difficult to retain control of.
I mean, I don't think that the NSA orchestrated the Bradley Manning affair, but it's almost certain that his communications are at least somewhere in an NSA archive.
So, hey spooks, better watch your co-workers...
"So, hey spooks, better watch your co-workers"
Ah yes, trust, the age old enigma of who will watch the watchmen comes into play ;-)
All good points. I believe that if forced to choose, the military sides with the people.
On your point on controlling education. The only group the government hates more than those who own PM are those who home school. In both cases, they lose control.
As we can see from even recent reports, the actual people in the government (it's sloppy thinking to refer to it as "the government") are being forced by circumstances to accept private money from churches and corporations.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704875604575280422614633564.html
In New York, many schools are being shoved into Charter. That means that more of the costs are outsourced to the Federal government, shared with some private interests.
I suspect that it will be trivial to do an end-run around the charter process. Children can be taught to read at over 1,000 words per minute before their fifth birthdays. That's how you kick the ass of the Chinese (no disrespect intended) - the power of a fucking phonetic language. That's the chief advantage that the West retains. And it's a big one!
The US is too large for effective central control of education. It's easier to ban it in the European countries, but in the US, there are too many powerful minority blocs.
Also, heavy corporates are waking up to the worthlessness of conventional education. Private schools suck, too. Just not as much.
There's already an open dissenter movement in the military - tolerated.
http://www.threepercenter.org/
And Oathkeepers, of course.
http://oathkeepers.org/oath/
Ultimately, it will be very tough for the state to retain the loyalty of its troops. Soldiers will just about always respond to a command to "open fire," but there's just no fucking way that anyone could use naked force to compel absolute obedience from business interests.
I mean, do you think the FTC is doing the administration any favors by attacking Apple for anti-trust? I'm sure that makes Eric Schmidt happy now that he has a spot in the administration, but when Obama gets chucked out, you can be confident that there will be recriminations.
When the SEC sued Goldman, it signaled the end.
Also, the recent release of that "Telephone" video from soldiers in Afghanistan made me think that their morale is cracked. It reflects the behavior of the French soldiers during WWI who mutinied against commands to advance on German positions in 1917.
Daniel Grossman wrote a great book entitled "On Killing" describes how extended combat conditions deteriorate morale and damage the psyche. The soldiers are tapped-out, their morale is low, and many of the veteran spec ops that would have to be relied upon in an Iranian incursion are stone cold, shaking, psychotic, out of their minds.
Obama's statement that he won't tolerate leaks brings to mind Nixon. All the US can do is sue or put someone in prison. I hear that military prison conditions are unpleasant. But military prison is preferable to a stint on the front lines with Iran, supported by the hardened warriors of Hezbollah.
I doubt that the civilians can really compel much loyalty anymore, particularly if the officer corps now tolerates such dissent.
There is no way to hide even a small nuke explosion. Seismic detectors all over would pick up even a small one.
UNDER BP:
http://williambanzai7.blogspot.com/2010/06/under-bp.html
This will be a total unmitigated disaster of biblical proportions. They were playing with a oil formation that sustained pressures of 20,000 to 70,000 PSI of which there is no known commercial drilling equipment capable of withstanding. These idiots should have been shut down after killing 16 in Texas City. The effects of this will be far reaching, such as; Famine (US consumes 40-45% of its Seafood from the Gulf, the leak and open fissures cannot be stopped as we do not have technological capability, mass coastal evacuations as the air and water will be so polluted that Chernobyl will look like a pristine environ and finally forget about any continued production in the gulf as rigs will be regulated out of business and if not they will not be able to function at the toxic soup will be all around them (most rigs use internal combustion generators and compressors with fresh air intakes - they will over speed on hydrocarbons being taken in thru the air intake. Best we can do is Seek God, repent and pray he spares our sorry asses. This only gets worse from here, 100,000 to 150,000 BPD unmitigated flow for 30 years; i shudder to think what that even looks like. May God help us all.
Anyone who told you that the pressure was 70,000 psi was telling you something impossible. Why believe that nonsense? How did you miss thking a trip on Hale Bop?
Do you have any links to your information.
Thanks
I am surprised by the superficial coverage of this by the MSM (well not really). A thinking layman can see that this is serious, but I have not seen any solid analysis by real experts exactly what the implications of this are. Certainly environmental devastation of large coastal areas, and death of fishing industry in the Gulf, but what are the larger global implications? Could this be like a large meteor strike?
These days, it is really hard to know who or what to believe. In the case of global warming, certainly respected scientists were cooking the books. I am not taking a position one way or the other on global warming, but just observing that data was being manipulated on a large scale.
Certainly this well was on the bleeding edge of technology as far as what they were trying to do, so lets assume that there is some chance that fixing it is a lot harder than what is being reported. Lets also assume that the amount leaking is likely much worse than what they are reporting. I think these are two reasonable assumptions. So, I would be interested in knowing what would happen if the well is leaking something like 80,000 barrels a day, and it takes them 3 years to fix it.
Those scientists weren't "respected."
They were accorded a position of power.
The Soviet scientists also developed many crazy theories that were swallowed by the intellectual establishment there.
As an aside, I really respect how much you've shared on ZH - you've lead a fascinating life, and I wouldn't call you a layman!
I should have put quotes on "respected". Science has become a classic old boys network. If a scientist works for a university, all he cares about is tenure, and the path to tenure is getting funded and published. In order to get funding, or get published, you best not question the "authorities" that review the papers, or funding proposals. These "authorities" are usually the ones who established the present understanding of the discipline. Hence, counterviews are quickly squashed by the establishment. Scientist attempting to study or publish contrarian views learn quickly the futility of the strategy. Government scientists are beholdant to political pressure, and scientific consultants learn quickly where their bread is buttered (those paying for the study, looking for a certain result). Science as a field in search of the truth is a thing of the past. The National Science Foundation catch phrase is "We speak truth to power", however in serving on many NSF grant review boards, I felt that there was significant political pressure on how funding decisions were made.
....Hence, the promulgation of the fraud of Anthropogenic Global Warming...toe the party line or work without funding and starve.
What a tragedy. What waste of human talent and resources.
How can anyone praise this in good conscience?
I am afraid Rebel that we are in a time of distractions, red herrings and disinfo campaigns that would make Stalin blush. With that being said the media blackout (never thought I would say that) that is being waged now indicates that this is the worst case scenario, this is in addition to the facts that are now coming to the surface. As far as what 80,000 BPD in an unmitigated leak looks like, I think we are already there. The dispersant's are masking the problem, but not for long. I believe its well over 100 k BPD myself. This makes me sick to my stomach, I plan on leaving in the next couple of weeks as I truly believe there will be evacuations from the coastal areas of the gulf.
Maybe all those chemical infested FEMA trailers will now find a home.
Torabora,
You mean a second home, right?
As almost all of them have been lived in already....
Ever notice that serial killers almost always prey upon "nice" innocuous victims? Kids; young women just blooming into adulthood, grandmothers, etc. Is it asking too much to have at least one crazy fuck who gets his woody dissecting CEOs, Incumbents, Hedge fund managers, 4-Star Generals, Late Night TV hosts, Celebrity Rehabs, and the like?
Just askin'.
Money
Money
It sure looks like Mr. Simmons is right...
It took guts to say what he said, what, two weeks ago and go against BP and the MSM.
If you believe that Simmons is right,
Explain how 13,000 ft of steel casing from the well were jacked up through the ring floor and no one saw it?
It is nonsense.
In all seriousness, I've yet to see or hear pretty much anybody anywhere suggesting to dump a shitload of oil-eating microbes at the shore, near the well, and everywhere in between.
Is this not a viable option? WTF?!?
Hint: They don't stop eating and breeding until the food supply is gone.
But, I know, lets instead throw a few dozen guys on the beach with little shovels and garbage bags. That oughta be efficient and cost-effective!
,
there are natural ones already doing this already, eating the oil...of course, it does not eliminate problem, just shifts it, as these microbes deplete the water of oxygen, making the oily water into non-oily water with no oxygen, which means its dead water, not critters can survive.
From a view of the Topwater rig, the fish, are smart enough to get BELOW the polluted water above.
The worse it get's, the more , farther away from this shit they will swim..........
Plus, are we so arrogant to think that other natural disasters have occured in the oceans, far worse than this over the eons of time?.
Mother nature has it's own filtering/Ecosystem in place.........it was taking care of these issues LONG before Gort, found fire.
Oxygen-depleted water is hydrogen. I just love our scientific community. Facts won't sway them in the face of higher truth.
Suspended in water are many things inlcuding O2 molecules. When a fish breathes, it breathes the O2 suspended in the H2O, not the O from the H2O.
I'm starting to get confused. I'm reading that people want action. I'm reading people are burnt out. I'm reading we all should seek enlightenment. I'm reading we all should try to keep our treasured crap. I'm reading the markets are fixed. I'm reading time to invest.
"It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were all going direct to heaven, we were all going direct the other way - in short, the period was so far like the present period, that some of its noisiest authorities insisted on its being received, for good or for evil, in the superlative degree of comparison only.
English novelist (1812 - 1870)"
Somewhere out there a tool pusher is reading Zero Hedge and laughing so hard he can't speak. If he could, he would tell you this:
(1) "strings of oil pipe" are not left in the well; they are used to drill it. After the well has finished being drilled (as the BP well had been), its casing is completed and the well head is cemented. The well is cased for the same reason that hand-dug wells were lined in brick or stone or with hollow bamboo - to prevent the well bore from collapsing in on itself.
(2) to prevent the well hole from collapsing as it is being drilled, drilling mud is pumped into the well hole. The mud serves the additional purpose of controlling the pressures of any oil and gas discovering. Blowout preventers are used for the same reason. They work as a safety device, in the same way that automatic brakes prevent elevators from falling when the cable breaks. If the pressure of a find overwhelms the down pressures of the drilling mud, the BOP is actuated. That allows the drillers to increase the mud density to the point where the down-pressure is large enough to control the well pressure.
(3) The BP well "blew out" after it had been drilled and was in the final stages of being finished. The best explanation so far is that the BP's manager on the rig tried to rush the process of capping off the drilled well by telling the contractor to use seawater instead of drilling mud to control the well pressures. The purpose of the relief wells is to allow the pressure to find another means of escaping from the reservoir so that the pressure from the current well is reduced enough that it can be successfully capped.
(4) It is no accident that the worst oil spills have occurred either on a government-owned and operated platform - the Pemex spill - or on a lease that was granted to a producer notorious for its ability to lobby special favors from Washington because of its support for "green" energy. If the project had been on privately-owned land, the owner would have been far more diligent about monitoring BP's procedures for the simple reason that it would have been in their financial interest to do so. It was not - and never will be - in the interests of government regulators like MMS to take the unpleasant journey out to an oil rig and actually spend the time to see if the job is being done right. They have no incentive to do so. They get paid whether they go out to the rig or not, and their careers are far more likely to prosper if they spend the time lobbying for "greater oversight resources" in Washington.
this private libertarian world you live in your head, do have any idea what that look like in the real world...no govt, just private parties and businesses duking in out, who wins...BIG BUSINESSES, ask a small business that has been wiped out by a big businesses tactics...the big business does not need govt to do this, but if there is a govt, it will attempt to capture it..before we had trust busters, big businesses wiped out small ones with all kinds of horrible, now illegal practices, and once wiping out competition, used their monopoly or cartel status to make superprofits, no govt needed thank you. And the only thing the busted up the trusts was the will of the people expressed by their govt that passed laws and then enforced them to stop this.
If the owner of the private land was simply a family and BP leased oil drilling rights, how do you think the legal against BP would go? Have you watched any long legal cases where the plaintiff is small company or individual against a big corporation...despite what you see in the movies, this does not end well for the small guys, almost never. T
The thing is millions of small guys came up with this idea, some call it brilliant, that they would band together in a union to have sufficient power to resist a few big powerful entities from taking over the commonwealth of them all, to prevent a few or only one from concentrating all the power and wealth in one hand, only in the interests of the one or few elites..and so instead of one big business/elite family being in charge, or instead of a group of rich guys being in charge, the people would be in charge and have power to keep bullies under control.
I'm not quite sure why your wrote that other than to show that you have superior intelligence in the mechanics of undersea wells. While that may interest one or two people, most are interested in the bottom line of this clusterfuck. You apparently have no clue. Most aren't interested about process as they are outcome. So tell me why anyone would be or should be laughing about this particular outcome.
luhp's post was appreciated by this reader as well...by my count that is three that are on record as appreciative of his post so your estimate is incorrect.
i'm not quite sure why your wrote your post, dburn, other than to show that you do not have superior intelligence in the mechanics of a fully functioning human brain...most who are interested in about the outcome of a situation (and intelligent) are primarily interested in the process of how we got there in the first place-as that is usually the first step to formulating a solution to correct where the process went wrong...
my analysis of your process is that you need more "real world" experience, evaluation and implementation occur "where the rubber meets the road"...
It interested me as an ex-oilfield worker 30 years ago.
We need to know what happened and how to prevent this from happening again.
You don't get to be a tool pusher by being a dumbass.
I think his point might have been that there were some technical inaccuracies in some of the descriptions/discussions. I had noticed a couple of the same points. Getting clarification from someone who has greater experience, in my mind, is a good thing.
Now, I could be wrong, but I believe George Washington's true message is, "BUY BUY BUY [BP]!!!"
Edit, "Bye bye bye [BP]!!!"
There, I fixed it for you.
TO: Cognative Dissonance----------------
I haven't a clue. But I've noticed something going on so I will hazzard a guess. Many people who have been raising their voices for years are beginning to lose faith and tire. Or other matters are beginning to press on them. A good example is George Washington's blog and his contributions to ZH. He decided to shut down on June 1st and then came back in a limited role on June 5th. Dr. Paul Craig Jones no longer writes daily or even weekly. I could go on but I think you understand.---------------------------------
The greatest disparity in humans is the smarts we have. Dummies take it in stride cause they just don’t get it. Brightsters may have some problems not understanding the truly sad situation of the dummies. The above average, but not super nova, may have the most difficult time because they realize what it is that they do not have, and know they can not achieve it. Communications dealing with cross levels of intelligence requires some exquisite skills.
For those of you that write here that are bright and have some important things that the population should know, you must accept that this is not an institution that requires a whole bunch from the readers. This aint PHD school. Some of us are right off the street and understand maybe 75% of what is here. HOWEVER, if we return and gradually build understanding, then the teacher process is an on going success. HOWEVER, I doubt if many readers watch the Nightly Business Report, or watch TV news so there is a time use discursion.
IF we can watch the bright stars one day after another then wonderful. If we can watch one comet after another that flares brightly and burns itself out, then that is also wonderful. For those that give and leave, thanks you. For those that give and stay, thanks you. WE must all soldier on the best we can. We have one hell of a fight that appears to be in a formation stage. The time line is now, and this is a part of the process.
"The greatest disparity in humans is the smarts we have. Dummies take it in stride cause they just don’t get it."
There is good reason behind the old saying "Ignorance is Bliss"...
Of course there are at least two types of ignorance. Those that are truly clueless. Those that could 'get it' but prefer to remain ignorant.
As soon as one displays knowledge and attempts to communicate to the 'blissful', the knowledgeable becomes the messenger...and we all know how well messengers bearing knowledge are received.
I used to attempt to communicate information to the 'blissful' but I became ostracized for my efforts. One day it occured to me 'what good could come of informing the blissful of our collective plight'? Now I leave them comfortably numb.
I live in NW Louisiana and have many friends in the oil/gas business. They all say (and said) that the top kill idea was unlikely to be successful. None of them are surprised that mud is leaking out at various levels.
They all say that BP has known all along (as most O&G experts have said) that the best way to get control is to drill into the well-bore way down below the surface. They estimate that BP will go down 12,000-ft or so. The reason they have to do this is to be able to overcome the formation pressure with enough hydo-static pressure (i.e. weight) of the mud.
The top-kill attempt failed due to the downhole problems and because they could not get enough pressure (weight) from above because they didn't have a long enough column of mud.
None of the problems up the hole are meaningful in terms of the necessity to hit the target way downhole. Bottom line is that the relief well needs to hit the target and this will take several more weeks. Even then there will be a question of just how much pressure is really there. There is a possibility that mother nature might overcome even the relief well.
Sounds like you have a handle on the ? fubar.
Question? How much difficulty once the relief well is close that they have to ? actually hit a 10" pipe? at what like 3 miles away? Or do they just have to get close and the over drill space serves as the pathway to fill with cement? but it must stop the pipe flow so that says they have to hit the pipe? Yes No? And if that's the case I can't fathom how they could be so accurate.
If you see this thanks.
I think that the high pressure of the well may lend credence to the abiotic oil theory.
That may explain why Matthew Simmons is so fervently in favor of a nuclear response. Psychologically, it would be very difficult for him to back down from his public arguments in favor of global peak and biotic oil.
Heck, I used to believe in global warming and peak oil too, so it'd be rather surprising to me. And a good sign that I shouldn't trust experts without the intellectual means to verify their claims.
I do not know what global whateverthefuckthecallitnow has to do with peak oil. The fact is oil is finite. If there are reserve deeper in the ground than previously estamated fine, but it will still be hard to get to it. Also, is abiotic oil sweet crude? Because if it is not, its EROEI is probably horrible. Peak oil is here and nothing will mitigate it in time to stave off an energy crisis. Best to recognize.
Yeah, I understand what you mean.
The "biotic" oil theory (which is what's taught in American schools) states that oil comes from decayed biological material.
The "abiotic" oil theory (promoted by many Russian theorists) states that it's some kind of goop that comes from the Earth's mantle.
I'm unqualified to judge.
I agree that in terms of the oil being pumped right now, a combination of geological and political factors are keeping the supply constrained. Oil is, of course, finite, no matter how it's created.
Peak oil when it comes to a single field is a matter of physics related to reservoir pressure. As it comes to the planet, it's a matter of guesswork and data aggregation.