Bullish. No Matter What
Anyone wishing to capture the mindset of the lemmings that still desire to be front run by every imaginable SkyNet algo out there, needs to read no further than this list prepared by the Daily Bell (h/t Michael Pento)
It's BULLISH No Matter What! ...
The price of oil is rising – BULLISH! More profits for the energy companies, and more investments in "clean energy."
Most of the new jobs created in March were part-time or temporary – BULLISH! Since the economy has turned the corner full-time job offers are practically a sure thing.
But didn't wages go down too? – BULLISH! Revenues - Costs = Profits!
41 states have revenue shortfalls – BULLISH! Various states have always complained about shortfalls. It's another sign that things are getting back to normal.
8 million people are still unemployed – BULLISH! That's 8 million spenders, not savers.
Interest rates are rising – BULLISH! Yet another sign that the economy is getting stronger.
Stocks may be going up but on very low volume – BULLISH! That means the "dumb money" hasn't even bought into this rally yet.
People have a lot of concerns and uncertainty about the future – BULLISH! Not until the "wall of worry" ends will this party be over.
So much new liquidity will cause inflation – BULLISH! Stocks are one of the best hedges against inflation.
The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are bankrupting us – BULLISH! Don't get mad, get even. Debit the Treasury and Credit the defense companies.
Inflation in China is picking up – BULLISH! That should dampen any bubbles that some people worry about.
Gold is going up in price – BULLISH! This is a broad-based rally.
Wait, maybe gold is going down – BULLISH! That means economic fears are dissipating.
Actually the gold price seems to be consolidating and moving sideways – BULLISH! A sell off or rally would mean things are overheating.
Iran seems determined to develop it's nuclear program – BULLISH! More nuclear power plants means less demand on oil which means lower energy costs which means more profits.
Israel may be forced to handle Iran themselves militarily – BULLISH! That will kick-start the construction industry when we rebuild both sides.
The Health Insurance Reform bill is an abomination – BULLISH! If insurance premiums rise there will be subsidies; if doctors check out they'll be replaced with cheap foreign ones; if care is rationed then costs will be controlled and profits ensured.
And now the student loan programs are nationalized – BULLISH! Good riddance for the banks. Now the government can garnish wages and lower the deficit.
The markets are being purposely manipulated with government money – BULLISH! What's not to like? That means the market ain't going down no matter what.
Big Media is spewing propaganda about the economy – BULLISH! Perception is reality. People only know what they're taught. Advertising works.
Greece may default – BULLISH! Greek bond holders will make up their loses in the stock market.
Japan is a bug in search of a windshield – BULLISH! Just imagine how much more deficit spending we need to do to beat them.
The Euro is getting weaker – BULLISH! King dollar is back.
A $400+ trillion financial mine field of derivatives are set to go off – BULLISH! Let's start the rumor that if the stock market tanks we'll all be dead.
We also are impressed by the DB's summation of the dichotomy between perception (see chart at bottom, or previous post about CNBC propaganda diffusion) and reality (see the 10 foreclosed houses inhabited by 20 unemployed people on your block, or the $12.8 trillion in US sovereign debt)
Conclusion: It seems to us that the power elite, which both organizes and defends the current economic regime – featuring the anti-democratic operation of central banking – is most dependent on media-created perceptions that minimize the bad and emphasize the good. The message, in other words, must be congruent with the system. No matter how long the downturn lasts in actuality, the perception of its lifting must inevitably begin long before its actuality. This can be confusing for investors and is yet one more reason why approaching the marketplace in the 21st century should be carried out with a good deal of due diligence and forethought. The steeper the downturn, the more enthusiastic the rhetoric about recovery. Yet things are not always as they seem. Perception is often different than reality.
As for the the carry trade formerly known as the algo front-runnable stock market, here is an artist's impression of what a straight line looks like (because an early Easter, not paying your mortgage, using maxed out credit cards to buy MAXiPads, and the easiest retail comps in the history of the world are so much more relevant than yet another deterioration to initial jobless claims and a Greek default).
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