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I declare a blow-off top in arbitrage. The slices are getting finer and faster.
it is a sign...
It's trending toward absolute harmonic resonance, I can feel it!
Bob, not sure if you are serious or kidding, but really, everything spiking together.
Sure feels like it.
Frequencies are rising no matter how you look at it.
Do you know your Golden Greeks?
To the moon at Theta! :-)
Who needs the underlying anymore when you are Delta neutral?
I thought CPDOs as well as squareds and cubes were pretty crazy.
These boyz is on a roll now. All in a dayz work, I guess.
I'm all for it! It has been crazy derivative stuff that has gotten us here. More of the same will certainly hasten the end times. Bring that garbage on!
In another sign, in case some of you missed it (anyone affected here?):
GMail crash. Can you imagne losing all your primary e-mail?
Ponder that. Maybe back it up too, if you care.
I miss just betting on black or red.
Paper, paper, and more paper. Paper x3. World is fucked up
Chinese people can't bury those under their huts for security.
I guess it is just another way to deflate the value of something, create more fictional silver and gold. That gives the dollar a little longer life.
Agreed. Thereby resulting in a massively increased amount of dollar claims on a most finite amount of gold.
Now you have two new ways to play derivatives of an index of derivatives...
Does Cerberus have an opposite...a dog with three tails?
honestly gold futures do not have enough liquidity for this shit to work out that well IMNSHO
another paper scam now
another disaster soon
another bail out shortly
So what do we think gold vol will be when it drops below $1000 later this year?
I'm betting something similar to where it dropped $250 from $1000, I'd say 40% would be a good target, at least.
How many angels can dance on the head of a pin?
Why are you wondering about coreographing angels?
In other news, an IV target, is anything but useless to debate. If my 45% target is correct, but gold climbs another 12% before dropping 10%, I have to sell my 2013 straddles at least 7 months before expiry to brake even. If I am too conservative with the 45% IV target, I'll take profits too soon. If I hold out waiting for 45%, and it never comes to fruition, I'll lose money.
Paper gold... good luck with that.
May I ask, are you net short gold?
If you aren't, then what's the point of raising the issue. If you are, let us know how much or to what extent. Otherwise it's difficult to take your posts seriously.
(I am very net-long gold and PM miners.)
Were you asking Math Man, or me? I'm delta neutral, at the moment, if anybody cares. I'm a buyer on the next dip if/when we get one.
Buyer of... what exactly? More paper gold? I guess the upside is that you can eat it. Not very nutritious, but edible.
Got real gold?
Sorry, if I wasn't clear. On a dip, I am a buyer of physical gold. Right now, I'm a buyer of paper gold volatility.
For one to buy more paper gold, one would already have to own paper gold. Myself, I don't own any paper gold.
I do own the right to buy paper gold, and I do own the right to put on somebody else, some paper gold. I intend to sell those rights in the future, when there is more uncertainty with the price of paper gold. Right now, I don't care where physical gold goes in price, I'm trading volatility on paper gold.
It's more liquid, and much more likely that implied volatility explodes higher on an instrument like GLD, compared to derivatives on the physical. More can go wrong, with paper gold. That's why I'm long the volatility.
I think the trade has more upside, with lower risk, than buying either physical gold, or domestic equities right now. I'm talking, on a 3 to 6 month outlook.
Hope that clarifies things for you. I'm curious if you concur, or if you want to further mock what makes markets.
Ha ha Math Man...your posts are always good for a chuckle. Hows that 76 handle treating you?
Hey I'm starting to think Methman is right. Just look at that car! Has to be right driving that thing
And the beach house. Don't forget the beach house.
I think the CBOE is ahead of the trade, but they have to be. No way does an asset move like gold has over the last decade, then just stop on a dime. Gold will get volatile in the years ahead.
I'm starting to accumulate 2013 volatility on Gold, via GLD straddles. Considering the shit that could hit the fan, volatility is the only thing I feel comfortable holding for more than 10 seconds.
Scott's Collectibles in Kalamazoo Michigan is sold out of silver eagles and silver bullion! Usually well stocked! They did have some proofs and junk silver!
betting against gold ETF's without owning them...yeah i can dig it. wise business decision. since the SPYDR trust should implode at some point.
Distraction Faction, is where the Action is
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