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Chicago PMI At 62.3 Versus Expectations Of 56 Print

Tyler Durden's picture




 

It appears the earlier market rumor about a Chicago PMI of 53.6 that sent the SPOOs another leg lower were incorrect. Now if only the administration can please reconcile the drop in the economy with the PMI surge all will be forgiven. In the meantime stocks keep trading from headline to headline. Categories posting improvement include Employment, New Orders, Order Backlogs, Inventories and Production, while Prices Paid decline again.

 

 

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Fri, 07/30/2010 - 09:54 | 495927 NOTW777
NOTW777's picture

maybe chicago PMI includes bribes and kickbacks

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 09:59 | 495937 Mitchman
Mitchman's picture

And Blago hair spray trades since he had a busy month in front of the cameras.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:08 | 495967 ShankyS
ShankyS's picture

Trusting anything out of Chicago is like trusting anything coming out of Pres Teleprompter's mouth (he's from chicago, right?) Fing manipulated trash. They are pulling out all the stops now.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:52 | 496096 msorense
msorense's picture

I run a manufacturing company with vendors in Chicago and I can tell you that I have never been busier.  My business supplies the global semiconductor equipment industry and they are going gangbusters.  I am also and uber bear, but you must realize that real private US manufacturing is the most productive and efficient sector by far.  Of course our combined revenues don't even hold a candle to the losses on bank balance sheets but they are apparently able to hide behind us for now.  Yes a bust is coming but you will have to wait until late in the year to early next.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 13:35 | 496567 SteveNYC
SteveNYC's picture

That actually makes sense. I know several small/medium size manufacturers that are quite busy at present. On the flip side, I know about the same amount that are absolutely dead, and dying.

The economy is completely bi-polar, it's not pretty out there and those who are doing well right now, that's great, but I feel it can and will turn on a dime.

Good luck to you sir and thank you for your contribution to the small business world.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 09:55 | 495929 SteveNYC
SteveNYC's picture

Boooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooool shit!

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 09:55 | 495930 NOTW777
NOTW777's picture

hilarious more obama summer of recovery crap -

green obama mobiles

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 09:58 | 495934 BobWatNorCal
BobWatNorCal's picture

Whew! Now those Chinese solars will roar back...

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 09:58 | 495935 LoneStarHog
LoneStarHog's picture

PMI -- Pump Monkey Index

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 09:58 | 495936 NOTW777
NOTW777's picture

LOL - now michigan #s unexpectedly surge

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:02 | 495943 VK
VK's picture

LOL! Is there any index which is not manipulated? A farcist paradise where all things are glorious and wonderful.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:19 | 495998 DonnieD
DonnieD's picture

All of these indexes are complete garbage. It's like watching the 6 o'clock weatherman butcher the weather day after day when you can just walk out your front door and see that it's pouring rain.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 17:55 | 497182 ozziindaus
ozziindaus's picture

nice anology

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:00 | 495941 HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture

...and IYR takes off like a rocket.  makes sense

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:07 | 495962 Boilermaker
Boilermaker's picture

I have been fucked over more times by IYR than I can count.  It's so f'ing bad that I won't even touch that shit anymore.

Look at the P/E for SPG, VNO, BXP, etc.  I'm waiting for them to get to 4 figures (you know, with a comma) before I even consider shorting it.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:00 | 495942 Malaespina
Malaespina's picture

Fake stats, lies, lies and more lies. Hiding gloomy truth under the carpet!

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:14 | 495991 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

It's all considered a part of national security now. Which means all economic releases, whether private (S&P) or public (GDP, unemployment etc) fall under the National Security Act and are manipulated. The only thing to believe now is that we can't believe a thing.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:36 | 496051 SteveNYC
SteveNYC's picture

That pretty much sums it up. Funny to watch as a disinterested party though.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 17:37 | 497151 Hedge Jobs
Hedge Jobs's picture

thats right cog dis, its a state of emergency (like california). in a nationwide financial state of emergency you dont actually get told you are in one until its too late. In the meantime you need to work it out for yourself. the last 2 months of data unfortunately make that task pretty easy.

 

state of emergency bitchez!

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:02 | 495945 NOTW777
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ben announces pause in QE and uptick in economic reporting recovery;

ministry of information

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:03 | 495947 Malaespina
Malaespina's picture

SAY HELLO TO PAPPA!!!!

Signed: The Moster Depression of 2010

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:05 | 495954 Boilermaker
Boilermaker's picture

..."Prices Paid decline again".

Ding, ding, ding...

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:06 | 495956 King_of_simpletons
King_of_simpletons's picture

All stats can be ultimately revised down  6 months from now "surprising" analysts and the government.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:07 | 495961 Tense INDIAN
Tense INDIAN's picture

now what do the shorts do.................hmmmmmmmmm

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:08 | 495965 old_turk
old_turk's picture

Looks like we have the aerilons to the left but the rudders stuck to the right.

I think they call this a Dutch crab.

Crossed controls will work for a while but sooner or later, there's a heap of smokin' rubble on the ground.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:12 | 495982 bmusic
bmusic's picture

Damit!  I should have sold my FAZ and TZA into open.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:13 | 495988 Eally Ucked
Eally Ucked's picture

I think we "need" more indexes, nobody even remembers how they are calculated and who responds to their surveys. They are as credible as CPI with all those modifications. Let's say ZH community is bearish and sceptical of numbers fed to the public but at the time of improvement in the economy even here mood would brighten a bit, we should have our own index showing trends and as for now reading posts shows me that trend down is getting more pronounced and I don't see any change for better. Maybe Big Brother will decide to inject some optimism to ZH at some point and screw up my view of the economy. 

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:21 | 496009 LaboDini
LaboDini's picture

A new Index, yes.

But you would need an outside 'expert' to verify it and add gravitas.

I nominate the Steve Liesman Index of Median Econometrix.

 

 

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:30 | 496027 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Nice to see that BennyBoy was able to get the Chicgao Fed to comply with only a few hits to the kneecaps. CaponEnomics works wonders for the markets.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:38 | 496056 jedwards
jedwards's picture

did the Chicago numbers come out a few mins early?  the spike seemed to occur at 6:42-6:43 rather than 6:45

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:45 | 496076 American Dreams
American Dreams's picture

Have a peek @ the AUD/JPY and you will have your answer.  BTW the pedal is still being pushed through the floor even as I type.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 19:58 | 497285 slingshot
slingshot's picture

chicago pmi #s available to subscribers 3 minutes before public release

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:43 | 496068 Idiot Savant
Idiot Savant's picture

While I don't want to be perceived as a troll, I'd like to point out that there's a shitload of hypocrisy around ZH. Any and all positive reports are considered fabricated lies. It's all a big conspiracy by the government to control the herd and/or manipulate the market. However, when the ECRI started tanking, you all jumped on board with it and ridiculed those that say it's not a reliable report.

I'm as much of a "gloom and doomer" as anyone here, but you can't have it both ways people. Everyone accepts the negative reports, but discounts the positive ones. The level of hypocrisy is getting deep.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:53 | 496110 msorense
msorense's picture

Well said - see my comment above.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 10:57 | 496140 jedwards
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I take it you're new here...

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 12:41 | 496441 old_turk
old_turk's picture

"I'd like to point out that there's a shitload of hypocrisy around ZH."

Really?

Whowoodathunkit?

As noted above, you must be new to these parts.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 11:16 | 496207 abc123
abc123's picture

Savant,

There's a huge disconnect out there.  It seems that investors are "surfers" riding on the waves.  Most common people are living down in the "ocean" below.  I'm always amazed by how little empathy there is between the investors and the rest.

This report is potentially good news for people with day-jobs -- it might actually mean life is returning to the reef.

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 11:20 | 496228 Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

GBPUSD upside continues, since daily and weekly charts remain bullish.

http://stockmarket618.wordpress.com/about

Fri, 07/30/2010 - 12:29 | 496398 Tense INDIAN
Tense INDIAN's picture

ok.What else is coming out next week??

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