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China 7 Day Repo Rate Jumps To Highest Since Lehman Collapse

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Following increasing concerns that China may finally realize that its repeated RRR hikes are insufficient and the PBoC will finally be forced to do the right thing and hike the general interest rate (or depeg the Yuan, but that ain't gonna happen), or otherwise withdraw liquidity, the 7 day Repo Rate has jumped to 3.58, the highest since October 2008, when there was no liquidity in the markets anywhere following the Lehman collapse. This merely indicates that obtaining liquidity in China, either directly or indirectly, is becoming increasingly more costly and problematic. But surely this news, together with the escalating riots in Athens, as well as the fact that gasoline prices this holiday season will be the highest on record, are not only priced in but in fact positive for the US stock market, which now responds to no negative news whatsoever, and jumps on the smallest hint that the latest fiscal and monetary stimulus is trickling through in the economy.

In the meantime, following news of a massive crude drawdown, to the tune of 9.854 million barrels, on expectations of 2.5 million, WTI is now off to the inflationary races as well.

 

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Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:46 | 808045 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

Wow, what a reversal in crude oil.

I'm watching DO, "the worst of the worst" of the energy stocks.  Might be worth bottom fishing since that stock has a huge short interest.

And everybody and their brother has been shorting deep water drillers and buying land service companies.

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:49 | 808056 tmosley
tmosley's picture

That is much more prudent than buying retailer stocks.

But as I've said a lot this morning, political risk is a bitch.  What are you going to do with your deep water drillers when they make deep water drilling illegal?  Hence the large short interest.

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:55 | 808092 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Maybe the same as what Leo is doing with all his solar stocks...stitch them together and make a blanket?

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:58 | 808101 Spalding_Smailes
Spalding_Smailes's picture

Lol'

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:57 | 808095 Spalding_Smailes
Spalding_Smailes's picture

I don't think they can (ban) not with China,India coming on line also because of the Oil complex in Texas....

But if your right once that law/ban is passed they will get blowtorched.

But the time to buy is when you have questions, blood in the water... Look at the banks. BoA would have been a nice 2-3 week trade.

 

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:45 | 808047 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

Pretend, extend, spend-spend-spend.

 

silver...physical.

 

China also announced it's raising taxes on rare metal exports...Blythe Masters just shit herself.

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:49 | 808067 tmosley
tmosley's picture

What are considered "rare" metals?

I thought China already didn't export any of its gold or silver?  Taxing exports in that arena seems moot.

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:57 | 808096 financeguru500
financeguru500's picture

He meant Rare Earth Metals. The things that hybrid cars and expensive tech are made from. Think Neodymium magnets and stuff like that.

I believe China originally did a 100% ban on Rare earth metals and then decided to allow a small percent to be exported, but at a cost. And apparently, the cost is rising with taxes. And no, China is not exporting Silver or Gold. They are buying it up and telling their citizens to do the same.

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 12:01 | 808115 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

Exactly, but since silver is an "industrial metal" as well as a currency, it will feel a coat-tail rise being it's in the basket.

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:46 | 808049 jus_lite_reading
jus_lite_reading's picture

TD- KARMA IS A BITCH- these frauds will have to face that soon.

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:52 | 808076 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

CNBC whores just now gleeful at how the mortgage debaucle is now 'forgotten'...oh wow how convenient the 'elites' simply wont talk about the quadrillion mortgage derivatives meltdown, so it no longer exists! Is the mortgage nightmare 'forgotten' by all those with deep underwater homes and cant sell at hardly any price? Back to work, damn unwashed peasantry.

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:49 | 808057 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Should be great for bubble equity markets Im sure. All good news, back to work damn peasants.

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:49 | 808060 Cdad
Cdad's picture

Thank you Tyler,

I was wondering why oil futures suddenly and irrationally spiked.  Front runners in mark up mode.

Sweet.  Higher gas prices were starting to bum me out...along with everyone on the face of the planet. 

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:56 | 808094 Red Neck Repugnicant
Red Neck Repugnicant's picture

The spike was due to an unexpected inventory decline that was just announced. 

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 12:00 | 808108 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

And yesterday the headlines were 'All is well, world awash in new OPEC production'.

'Unexpected'...lol

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:50 | 808068 Drag Racer
Drag Racer's picture

It will be QE to infinity unless China 'gives up the battle' and unhooks from the dollar and raises rates.

 

massive crude drawdown

Didn't I just read 2 days ago how OPEC's production was higher than expected and they will continue this trend for a while... (tanker storage???)

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:51 | 808070 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

BDIY approaching 2,000 from above.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=BDIY:IND

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:55 | 808085 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

What? Well I didnt hear it on CNBC during what appears to be the National Collegiate Cheerleader competition...all is WELL and the latest cheerfest is about how the mortgage crisis and unmeasurable debt from it is 'gone'. Hooray!

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 12:00 | 808110 financeguru500
financeguru500's picture

Thx horseman,

I didnt realize the baltic index was on the fall again. Isn't that a pretty good indicator of the true economy due to the fact that transport=moving of goods. If goods are slowing down then the economy is probably slowing as well.

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 13:25 | 808437 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

Theoretically, yes.  However, I do believe BDIY is "priced" in dollars. 

Tyler could we see a Bloomie chart of the Baltic Dry in gold and/or oil?

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:51 | 808072 treemagnet
treemagnet's picture

Would someone please ring me when all this actually matters, I'm going to nap a bit.

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:54 | 808087 cdude
cdude's picture

POMO sickology (sic) ...and like any delusional state it too will end in crisis.

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:58 | 808102 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

POMO...LOL just over the last month Bens POMO purchases have lost $30 billion dollars? Why dont we see THAT headline come across the MSM? Too busy propagating their pumpfest.

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 12:15 | 808167 deepsouthdoug
deepsouthdoug's picture

You see NOTHING about POMO on the MSM. 

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 11:58 | 808103 john milton
john milton's picture

The ECB has launched 2 educational games about inflation. "INFLATION ISLAND" shows how the economy and society can be affected by different inflation scenarios.
"€CONOMIA" challenges players to keep inflation low and stable by setting the key interest rate.

http://www.ecb.int/home/html/index.en.html haha...u can find these games here if interested..

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 12:26 | 808208 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Why would you raise rates when liquidity is drying up?  What I see in China data is a slowing economy in the midst of asset price inflation.  They need to depeg.  Raising rates looks like suicide here.

Wed, 12/15/2010 - 12:44 | 808277 Tense INDIAN
Tense INDIAN's picture

reason for such a huge move??????

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