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Cisco Plunges, Futures Drop Below Day's Lows After Hours

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Cisco misses and stock drops 5%. In the meantime, futures are now plumbing the day's lows after hours. And the most troubling development from CSCO, worse than the top line miss, is the catch courtesy of Bloomberg's Adam Johnson that Days Sales Outstanding surge from 27 to 41 days. Customers incrasingly refuse to pay on time. We wonder how that will be spun favorably.

 

 

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Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:25 | 516385 traderjoe
traderjoe's picture

Accounts Receivable Bitchez!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 18:31 | 516687 MrSteve
MrSteve's picture

Obam-era Newspeak equivalent of "stuffing the channel"

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:26 | 516392 mule65
mule65's picture

Fire up the printing presses!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:26 | 516395 EagleProjets
EagleProjets's picture

No problem with this the gov will past a bill to support the default payment. :)

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:56 | 516494 william the bastard
william the bastard's picture

Since when is extending payment part of the delevering process?

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 00:14 | 517165 WorkingFromHome
WorkingFromHome's picture

Deferred revenue can create AR, no?

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:28 | 516397 midtowng
midtowng's picture

The right-shoulder of a head-and-shoulder top for SPX is now forming. When it drops below 1060, its' all over.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:27 | 516398 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Customers increasingly refuse to pay on time. We wonder how that will be spun favorably.

Well clearly the non-paying companies are saving their pennies so they can all go on a hiring binge in the 4th quarter, just in time to lay them all off for Christmas. Oh Joy to the World.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:44 | 516459 JR
JR's picture

LOL. That is soooooo priceless. I still have tears from laughter rolling down my cheeks. 

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:25 | 516575 Votewithabullet
Votewithabullet's picture

Damn I thought I was easily impressed.

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 09:26 | 517493 fajensen
fajensen's picture

Customers increasingly refuse to pay on time. We wonder how that will be spun favorably.

How about: "Consumers are borrowing again!"? There, Normality Restored!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:27 | 516401 mynhair
mynhair's picture

That's what they get for financing others' purchases.  Was foretold.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:31 | 516416 SteveNYC
SteveNYC's picture

Exactly. Great call mynhair.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:41 | 516453 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Seen this movie a few times before, and know how it ends. (badly)

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:47 | 516469 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I remember John "caysh" Chambers bragging about this business foray on CNBS a few months ago.

Because going from a manufacturer to a financier has been such a good move for auto industry, after all. May as well give it a go, no?

Why do all of these people believe it is better to invest their capital in risky customers instead of their own businesses? Diversification of revenue is for investors, not entrepreneurs, who need to stick to their core competencies or die (if they lack any).

Maybe had he not ramped up production in light of non-existent demand, then they wouldn't have had to try to increase demand with free-money gimmicks? Now, they've not only thrown away money that will never return, they've pulled forward future demand, ensuring a downward spiral of sales revenues (lest a miracle occur).

Mal-investment indeed!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:23 | 516566 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Why do all of these people believe it is better to invest their capital in risky customers instead of their own businesses?

 

Lending money to deadbeats is big business. Check out GE, GM, FNM, FRE...

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:24 | 516574 Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

Agree -  I remember reading about Cisco's financing plan where - OH here!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 18:12 | 516661 Ripped Chunk
Ripped Chunk's picture

Cisco financed customers worldwide through TransAmerica then pushed the bad AR off it's balance sheet. So the question "how did they keep on growing like that?"......................... 

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 18:16 | 516669 Steaming_Wookie_Doo
Steaming_Wookie_Doo's picture

What's worse, Cisco's 'growth' in the last decade came from printing stock certs and buying up other companies who were developing new products. Whoopsy.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 22:20 | 517044 Ripped Chunk
Ripped Chunk's picture

Amen Brother Wookie.  Whatever it takes to stay with "the analyst's consensus is....."

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:29 | 516403 JuicyTheAnimal
JuicyTheAnimal's picture

That's good news.  Perhaps we'll have another pleasant day tomorrow. 

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:29 | 516404 zebra
zebra's picture

customers are too busy selling stuff therefore forgot to pay the bill on time.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:29 | 516405 HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture

LOL - weren't they offering low cost self-financing for their junk?

 

Edit: http://www.cisco.com/web/ordering/ciscocapital/o45/ordering_finance_solu...

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:29 | 516409 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

Positive spin: Finance department will see an increase in revenue due to late payment penalties going forward.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:31 | 516412 SteveNYC
SteveNYC's picture

"Days Sales Outstanding surge from 27 to 41 days"

 

Yep, now THAT's a big deal! With all due respect to Karl, Denninger has written some solid pieces on CSCO over the past few quarters regarding their revenue recognition etc. I suggest you take a look (without shilling Karl's site) if you are interested.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:40 | 516611 IE
IE's picture

Yeah - he did a good one on CSCO self-financing their sales, ala Lucent ...

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 21:32 | 516982 Citizen of an I...
Citizen of an IKEA World's picture

Score one for Denninger.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:31 | 516415 bada boom
bada boom's picture

"We wonder how that will be spun favorably."

Well, their biggest customers are currently using HFT networks. The money will be there soon.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:48 | 516471 mule65
Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:31 | 516420 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

"We wonder how that will be spun favorably."

Well lets ask Steve Liesman in the morning and see what he says.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:39 | 516445 LoneStarHog
LoneStarHog's picture

CSCO is still at the same old bullshit of BEAT BY A PENNY !

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:38 | 516446 plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

Nice going K. Denninger. You nailed this one good.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:42 | 516455 slingshot
slingshot's picture

Riot police called in as thousands rush for federal aid

http://www.ksdk.com/news/local/story.aspx?storyid=211421&catid=28

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:59 | 516503 RSDallas
RSDallas's picture

Did you hear the comment comparing the event to Uganda?  This really is amazing and scary.

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 02:04 | 517245 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

The sad part is this exercise was just to get on a waiting list!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:43 | 516457 chunkylover42
chunkylover42's picture

DSO surges? That's clearly a good sign because Cisco's customer's have more time to earn interest on the float, increasing THEIR profitability so they can buy even more CSCO products. It's win-win!!

No?

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:44 | 516458 Sancho Ponzi
Sancho Ponzi's picture

Juniper, bitchez

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:44 | 516461 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

One of the biggest daily declines in NYA this year....

Crashed through the 50-day in one fell swoop.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:49 | 516476 Tipo anónimo
Tipo anónimo's picture

<screaming> Get that sack of pus off my monitor now! <screaming off>

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:00 | 516506 RSDallas
RSDallas's picture

HA HA HA HA.  This made my day!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:27 | 516579 Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

<screaming after accidentally looking in mirror>

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 18:01 | 516645 fiddler_on_the_roof
fiddler_on_the_roof's picture

Good one

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 19:02 | 516729 rapunzel
rapunzel's picture

chambers is  H O M O !

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 23:03 | 517109 Bear
Bear's picture

Robot ... How could you do this to us?

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:49 | 516472 aheady
aheady's picture

We wonder how that will be spun favorably...

MarketWatch: "CISCO REPORTS PROFIT JUMP - Networking giant posts a strong quarter, though shares fall in late trading on slight revenue miss."

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:49 | 516475 HarryWanger
HarryWanger's picture

Big headline at MarketWatch:

"Cisco reports profit jump"

That's their spin.

 

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 22:37 | 517065 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Yea no ones buying their bullshit anymore.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:49 | 516478 Greater Fool
Greater Fool's picture

I am starting to save my pennies for that GM IPO. It's gonna rule.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:51 | 516483 n2dark
n2dark's picture

ok chambers just said that U2 (unusual uncertainty) is the right description for what it's going on

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:50 | 516484 JR
JR's picture

We wonder how that will be spun favorably.—Tyler Durden

More evidence of Tyler’s importance: 

The take-your-choice media assortment in the last few minutes:

Bloomberg… “Cisco Sales Miss Estimates on Sluggish Corporate Spending”

MarketWatch… “Cisco Reports Profit Jump; Network Giant Posts a Strong Quarter, Though Shares Fall in Late Trading on Slight Revenue Miss”

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:51 | 516485 Jim in MN
Jim in MN's picture

"Barf Out!"

"Gag Me With A Spoon!"

"It's Like, Tubular"

yes i really listened to Valley Girl the other day...awesome bass line

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 23:58 | 517150 The Rock
The Rock's picture

OK fine fer sure fer sure!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:52 | 516489 TooBearish
TooBearish's picture

Sweet Jasus - didn't CSCO just report a record Q last quarter?  Who turned out the lights? 

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:26 | 516578 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

They dragged forward demand to meet immediate sales goals. No Plan B for the following quarter because there could be no plan.

By the end of the year the sales guys will all have their bonuses and be off to the islands to enjoy their 70 virgins.

No future.

No future.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 21:36 | 516986 Citizen of an I...
Citizen of an IKEA World's picture

They dragged forward demand to meet immediate sales goals. No Plan B for the following quarter because there could be no plan.

Queue up The Smartest Guys in the Room for another screening.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:08 | 516528 old_turk
old_turk's picture

"Days Sales Outstanding surge from 27 to 41 days."

 

This can be an indication of 'channel cramming' wherein the vendor 'books' the revenue as a sale even though the customer isn't wanting delivery for several months forward.

Vendors will give big discounts near or at quarter end to get the buyer to sign off on a commitment to buy.

Well, either that or their credit standards have dropped.

From my last dealing with CSCO, I don't think that has happened. 

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:15 | 516546 TooBearish
TooBearish's picture

wow PPT gots they work cut out fer em only 33k in ES volume in nite session down 8.75

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:41 | 516619 Tarheel
Tarheel's picture

eat it bulltards!! muhahaha

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:54 | 516637 SimpleSimon
SimpleSimon's picture

Suggested headline - 

"CSCO customers delay making payments - Bush blamed"

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 18:16 | 516665 TideFighter
TideFighter's picture

CSCO: "Accounts Receivable, Lay-Away Department, may we help you?"

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 18:25 | 516678 fireangelmaverick
fireangelmaverick's picture

This is like the Matrix and only NEO can save us.....or wait...I think only LEO (kolivakis) can save us.

Get me my damn BLUE PILL Leo.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 19:46 | 516806 Everyman
Everyman's picture

http://market-ticker.org/archives/2574-CISCO-Anyone-Remember-LUCENT.html

Seems as if CISCO tried to "finance" their vendors and then kept everything off books.  That is how this POS company showed "Profit".

How many other companies in America did the same creative accounting showing they were profiting to increase the stock prices when in reality they are losing their asses???

My bet is ALL OF THEM.

This just proves that the companies are lying on their financial statements to investors.  At one time this was illegal.

NOW it is stupid if you give money to a company (invest by buying shares) based on their own financial statements.  This means that NONE of the stocks are priced in any reality and all the P/E ratios are bogus.

How is that to create a "sell signal"???

 

Just shows you that the market is completely wrong!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 22:15 | 517037 maxximus
maxximus's picture

Yeah.  Karl gets a Big Fat Told-Ya-So on that one.  Good call, Karl!!!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 23:00 | 517103 Bear
Bear's picture

When the BLS, the President, everyone in his administration, 80% of Congress, the FED, and the Banks all lie ... why would any sane person expect the CFO of every company in America to tell the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth. Welcome to the Post Modern World ... didn't you hear; truth is relative to the situation and when you boss says the profits are 10%, the truth becomes 10%, you then invent the rest of the numbers to match.  

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 02:09 | 517250 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Principles?!  We don't need no stinkin' principles!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 20:04 | 516848 omi
omi's picture

Vendor financing FTW!

 

on ES http://i.imgur.com/0AzSu.png

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 20:47 | 516919 rapunzel
rapunzel's picture

hey omi

charts are looking pretty good compared to some of the links on this here, ZH site. guess you got to cover the w H O L E  picture of mankind, or it wouldn't represent an accurate picture of our species. S U C C E S S

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 22:39 | 517069 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Wheres Leo with a China solar chart and some permabull talk of a surprise jump in employment data? 

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 22:52 | 517090 Bear
Bear's picture

You don't get it a -45,000 miss is a "Surprise Jump".

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 03:59 | 517278 cplusplusandloathing
cplusplusandloathing's picture

You can check the inventories at Avnet, Arrow or CDW for those sorts of things.

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 04:04 | 517282 cplusplusandloathing
cplusplusandloathing's picture

this is channel stuffing (while cash disappears, ruh roh) you see the steady increase of inventories and accounts payable (voila):  

http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:ARW&fstype=ii

 

 

 

 

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