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Cisco Plunges, Futures Drop Below Day's Lows After Hours

Tyler Durden's picture




Cisco misses and stock drops 5%. In the meantime, futures are now plumbing the day's lows after hours. And the most troubling development from CSCO, worse than the top line miss, is the catch courtesy of Bloomberg's Adam Johnson that Days Sales Outstanding surge from 27 to 41 days. Customers incrasingly refuse to pay on time. We wonder how that will be spun favorably.

 




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Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:25 | Link to Comment traderjoe
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Accounts Receivable Bitchez!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 18:31 | Link to Comment MrSteve
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Obam-era Newspeak equivalent of "stuffing the channel"

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:26 | Link to Comment mule65
mule65's picture

Fire up the printing presses!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:26 | Link to Comment EagleProjets
EagleProjets's picture

No problem with this the gov will past a bill to support the default payment. :)

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:56 | Link to Comment william the bastard
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Since when is extending payment part of the delevering process?

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 00:14 | Link to Comment WorkingFromHome
WorkingFromHome's picture

Deferred revenue can create AR, no?

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:28 | Link to Comment midtowng
midtowng's picture

The right-shoulder of a head-and-shoulder top for SPX is now forming. When it drops below 1060, its' all over.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:27 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
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Customers increasingly refuse to pay on time. We wonder how that will be spun favorably.

Well clearly the non-paying companies are saving their pennies so they can all go on a hiring binge in the 4th quarter, just in time to lay them all off for Christmas. Oh Joy to the World.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:44 | Link to Comment JR
JR's picture

LOL. That is soooooo priceless. I still have tears from laughter rolling down my cheeks. 

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:25 | Link to Comment Votewithabullet
Votewithabullet's picture

Damn I thought I was easily impressed.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 19:05 | Link to Comment Hephasteus
Thu, 08/12/2010 - 09:26 | Link to Comment fajensen
fajensen's picture

Customers increasingly refuse to pay on time. We wonder how that will be spun favorably.

How about: "Consumers are borrowing again!"? There, Normality Restored!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:27 | Link to Comment mynhair
mynhair's picture

That's what they get for financing others' purchases.  Was foretold.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:31 | Link to Comment SteveNYC
SteveNYC's picture

Exactly. Great call mynhair.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:41 | Link to Comment buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Seen this movie a few times before, and know how it ends. (badly)

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:47 | Link to Comment NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I remember John "caysh" Chambers bragging about this business foray on CNBS a few months ago.

Because going from a manufacturer to a financier has been such a good move for auto industry, after all. May as well give it a go, no?

Why do all of these people believe it is better to invest their capital in risky customers instead of their own businesses? Diversification of revenue is for investors, not entrepreneurs, who need to stick to their core competencies or die (if they lack any).

Maybe had he not ramped up production in light of non-existent demand, then they wouldn't have had to try to increase demand with free-money gimmicks? Now, they've not only thrown away money that will never return, they've pulled forward future demand, ensuring a downward spiral of sales revenues (lest a miracle occur).

Mal-investment indeed!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:23 | Link to Comment buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Why do all of these people believe it is better to invest their capital in risky customers instead of their own businesses?

 

Lending money to deadbeats is big business. Check out GE, GM, FNM, FRE...

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:24 | Link to Comment Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

Agree -  I remember reading about Cisco's financing plan where - OH here!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 18:12 | Link to Comment Ripped Chunk
Ripped Chunk's picture

Cisco financed customers worldwide through TransAmerica then pushed the bad AR off it's balance sheet. So the question "how did they keep on growing like that?"......................... 

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 18:16 | Link to Comment Steaming_Wookie_Doo
Steaming_Wookie_Doo's picture

What's worse, Cisco's 'growth' in the last decade came from printing stock certs and buying up other companies who were developing new products. Whoopsy.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 22:20 | Link to Comment Ripped Chunk
Ripped Chunk's picture

Amen Brother Wookie.  Whatever it takes to stay with "the analyst's consensus is....."

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:29 | Link to Comment JuicyTheAnimal
JuicyTheAnimal's picture

That's good news.  Perhaps we'll have another pleasant day tomorrow. 

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:29 | Link to Comment zebra
zebra's picture

customers are too busy selling stuff therefore forgot to pay the bill on time.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:29 | Link to Comment HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture

LOL - weren't they offering low cost self-financing for their junk?

 

Edit: http://www.cisco.com/web/ordering/ciscocapital/o45/ordering_finance_solu...

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:29 | Link to Comment Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

Positive spin: Finance department will see an increase in revenue due to late payment penalties going forward.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:31 | Link to Comment SteveNYC
SteveNYC's picture

"Days Sales Outstanding surge from 27 to 41 days"

 

Yep, now THAT's a big deal! With all due respect to Karl, Denninger has written some solid pieces on CSCO over the past few quarters regarding their revenue recognition etc. I suggest you take a look (without shilling Karl's site) if you are interested.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:40 | Link to Comment IE
IE's picture

Yeah - he did a good one on CSCO self-financing their sales, ala Lucent ...

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 21:32 | Link to Comment Citizen of an I...
Citizen of an IKEA World's picture

Score one for Denninger.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:31 | Link to Comment bada boom
bada boom's picture

"We wonder how that will be spun favorably."

Well, their biggest customers are currently using HFT networks. The money will be there soon.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:48 | Link to Comment mule65
Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:31 | Link to Comment Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

"We wonder how that will be spun favorably."

Well lets ask Steve Liesman in the morning and see what he says.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:39 | Link to Comment LoneStarHog
LoneStarHog's picture

CSCO is still at the same old bullshit of BEAT BY A PENNY !

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:38 | Link to Comment plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

Nice going K. Denninger. You nailed this one good.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:42 | Link to Comment slingshot
slingshot's picture

Riot police called in as thousands rush for federal aid

http://www.ksdk.com/news/local/story.aspx?storyid=211421&catid=28

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:59 | Link to Comment RSDallas
RSDallas's picture

Did you hear the comment comparing the event to Uganda?  This really is amazing and scary.

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 02:04 | Link to Comment StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

The sad part is this exercise was just to get on a waiting list!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:43 | Link to Comment chunkylover42
chunkylover42's picture

DSO surges? That's clearly a good sign because Cisco's customer's have more time to earn interest on the float, increasing THEIR profitability so they can buy even more CSCO products. It's win-win!!

No?

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:44 | Link to Comment Sancho Ponzi
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Juniper, bitchez

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:44 | Link to Comment RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

One of the biggest daily declines in NYA this year....

Crashed through the 50-day in one fell swoop.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:49 | Link to Comment Tipo anónimo
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<screaming> Get that sack of pus off my monitor now! <screaming off>

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:00 | Link to Comment RSDallas
RSDallas's picture

HA HA HA HA.  This made my day!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:27 | Link to Comment Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

<screaming after accidentally looking in mirror>

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 18:01 | Link to Comment fiddler_on_the_roof
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Good one

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 19:02 | Link to Comment rapunzel
rapunzel's picture

chambers is  H O M O !

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 23:03 | Link to Comment Bear
Bear's picture

Robot ... How could you do this to us?

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:49 | Link to Comment aheady
aheady's picture

We wonder how that will be spun favorably...

MarketWatch: "CISCO REPORTS PROFIT JUMP - Networking giant posts a strong quarter, though shares fall in late trading on slight revenue miss."

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:49 | Link to Comment HarryWanger
HarryWanger's picture

Big headline at MarketWatch:

"Cisco reports profit jump"

That's their spin.

 

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 22:37 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Yea no ones buying their bullshit anymore.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:49 | Link to Comment Greater Fool
Greater Fool's picture

I am starting to save my pennies for that GM IPO. It's gonna rule.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:51 | Link to Comment n2dark
n2dark's picture

ok chambers just said that U2 (unusual uncertainty) is the right description for what it's going on

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:50 | Link to Comment JR
JR's picture

We wonder how that will be spun favorably.—Tyler Durden

More evidence of Tyler’s importance: 

The take-your-choice media assortment in the last few minutes:

Bloomberg… “Cisco Sales Miss Estimates on Sluggish Corporate Spending”

MarketWatch… “Cisco Reports Profit Jump; Network Giant Posts a Strong Quarter, Though Shares Fall in Late Trading on Slight Revenue Miss”

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:51 | Link to Comment Jim in MN
Jim in MN's picture

"Barf Out!"

"Gag Me With A Spoon!"

"It's Like, Tubular"

yes i really listened to Valley Girl the other day...awesome bass line

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 23:58 | Link to Comment The Rock
The Rock's picture

OK fine fer sure fer sure!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 16:52 | Link to Comment TooBearish
TooBearish's picture

Sweet Jasus - didn't CSCO just report a record Q last quarter?  Who turned out the lights? 

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:26 | Link to Comment cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

They dragged forward demand to meet immediate sales goals. No Plan B for the following quarter because there could be no plan.

By the end of the year the sales guys will all have their bonuses and be off to the islands to enjoy their 70 virgins.

No future.

No future.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 21:36 | Link to Comment Citizen of an I...
Citizen of an IKEA World's picture

They dragged forward demand to meet immediate sales goals. No Plan B for the following quarter because there could be no plan.

Queue up The Smartest Guys in the Room for another screening.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:08 | Link to Comment old_turk
old_turk's picture

"Days Sales Outstanding surge from 27 to 41 days."

 

This can be an indication of 'channel cramming' wherein the vendor 'books' the revenue as a sale even though the customer isn't wanting delivery for several months forward.

Vendors will give big discounts near or at quarter end to get the buyer to sign off on a commitment to buy.

Well, either that or their credit standards have dropped.

From my last dealing with CSCO, I don't think that has happened. 

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:15 | Link to Comment TooBearish
TooBearish's picture

wow PPT gots they work cut out fer em only 33k in ES volume in nite session down 8.75

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:41 | Link to Comment Tarheel
Tarheel's picture

eat it bulltards!! muhahaha

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 17:54 | Link to Comment SimpleSimon
SimpleSimon's picture

Suggested headline - 

"CSCO customers delay making payments - Bush blamed"

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 18:16 | Link to Comment TideFighter
TideFighter's picture

CSCO: "Accounts Receivable, Lay-Away Department, may we help you?"

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 18:25 | Link to Comment fireangelmaverick
fireangelmaverick's picture

This is like the Matrix and only NEO can save us.....or wait...I think only LEO (kolivakis) can save us.

Get me my damn BLUE PILL Leo.

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 19:46 | Link to Comment Everyman
Everyman's picture

http://market-ticker.org/archives/2574-CISCO-Anyone-Remember-LUCENT.html

Seems as if CISCO tried to "finance" their vendors and then kept everything off books.  That is how this POS company showed "Profit".

How many other companies in America did the same creative accounting showing they were profiting to increase the stock prices when in reality they are losing their asses???

My bet is ALL OF THEM.

This just proves that the companies are lying on their financial statements to investors.  At one time this was illegal.

NOW it is stupid if you give money to a company (invest by buying shares) based on their own financial statements.  This means that NONE of the stocks are priced in any reality and all the P/E ratios are bogus.

How is that to create a "sell signal"???

 

Just shows you that the market is completely wrong!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 22:15 | Link to Comment maxximus
maxximus's picture

Yeah.  Karl gets a Big Fat Told-Ya-So on that one.  Good call, Karl!!!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 23:00 | Link to Comment Bear
Bear's picture

When the BLS, the President, everyone in his administration, 80% of Congress, the FED, and the Banks all lie ... why would any sane person expect the CFO of every company in America to tell the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth. Welcome to the Post Modern World ... didn't you hear; truth is relative to the situation and when you boss says the profits are 10%, the truth becomes 10%, you then invent the rest of the numbers to match.  

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 02:09 | Link to Comment StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Principles?!  We don't need no stinkin' principles!

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 20:04 | Link to Comment omi
omi's picture

Vendor financing FTW!

 

on ES http://i.imgur.com/0AzSu.png

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 20:47 | Link to Comment rapunzel
rapunzel's picture

hey omi

charts are looking pretty good compared to some of the links on this here, ZH site. guess you got to cover the w H O L E  picture of mankind, or it wouldn't represent an accurate picture of our species. S U C C E S S

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 22:39 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Wheres Leo with a China solar chart and some permabull talk of a surprise jump in employment data? 

Wed, 08/11/2010 - 22:52 | Link to Comment Bear
Bear's picture

You don't get it a -45,000 miss is a "Surprise Jump".

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 03:59 | Link to Comment cplusplusandloathing
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You can check the inventories at Avnet, Arrow or CDW for those sorts of things.

Thu, 08/12/2010 - 04:04 | Link to Comment cplusplusandloathing
cplusplusandloathing's picture

this is channel stuffing (while cash disappears, ruh roh) you see the steady increase of inventories and accounts payable (voila):  

http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:ARW&fstype=ii

 

 

 

 

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