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CME Cuts Treasury Futures Margins By 30% In Under Three Weeks Despite 20% Jump In Volatility

Tyler Durden's picture




 

While it didn't lower ES margins just like before the S&P rout started several weeks ago, the CME has just decided to lower margins across virtually all interest rate products. Again. This is the second consecutive margin drop in under 3 weeks, following an identical action on June 3 when the CME slashed IR margins initially. Some examples: TEN maintenance and initial margins are down from $2160 and $1700 to $1485 and $1100 respectively, or over 30% each in under weeks, 17 (the 30 Year UST Bond Futures) maintenance and initial margins are down 3713 and 2750 to 2700 and 2000 respectively, another 30% drop, and so on. Most amusingly is attempting to validate this margin cut when looking at the Treasury complex vol expressed by the MOVE index. Oddly enough from 71.50 at the beginning of June, or a 2011 low, vol since surged to nearly 2011 highs, or a roughly 20% jump. Yet it is precisely this jump in volatility that somehow is conducive to not one but two margin cuts in three weeks. Luckily, the end of QE3 in precisely 10 days has nothing to do with this decision which makes investing in Treasurys by speculators so much more easy...

MOVE:

And the complete CME release:

CME Margins 6.20

 

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Mon, 06/20/2011 - 18:25 | 1386669 Mike2756
Mike2756's picture

If we build it they will come, lol.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 18:38 | 1386712 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

The white-collar criminal banking syndicate has clearly outlined their preference in order to keep everyone enslaved and beholden to them, and it reads:

1)  Enable the limitless borrowing of fiat, have citizens pay interest, buy equities, thereby allowing them to prime the system to attract others into the cycle.

2)  Disallow, outlaw, manipulate downward precious metals and their prices.  Citizens moving fiat into PM's KILLS the banking MO, so instruct citizens to stay away from the "PM bubble" at all costs.

And the CME is just another white-collar corrupt means to manipulate citizens and give the banksters more time to confiscate property, livelihoods, souls, life, and liberty.

Fuckers.

 

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 19:02 | 1386760 Franken_Stein
Franken_Stein's picture

 

Well said, (in)mate.

+100

 

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 21:24 | 1387301 malek
malek's picture

+101

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 19:06 | 1386779 Boston
Boston's picture

This could go either way.

Lower margins also makes it easier for smaller players to open SHORT positions.

That said, if it ends up promoting small spec LONG bets, I'll take it.  I'm long.....for now.

 

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 22:43 | 1387591 Don Quixotic
Don Quixotic's picture

They could just be making it easier for various entities to balance out the exodus from 10's by buying on margin. Volume will spike, but for 10's (since Twist 2 will probably target 2 and/or 3 year part of the curve) prices will not fall (and yields will not rise) as much as one might expect after June 30. That, at least, is what I suspect.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 18:29 | 1386670 swissaustrian
swissaustrian's picture

Tyler, you made a freudian slip ;-)

Luckily, the end of QE3 in precisely 10 days has nothing to do with this decision which makes investing in Treasurys by speculators so much more easy...

 

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 19:09 | 1386781 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

You know, we might as well drop the number anyway, since there will likely be no clear starts and stops to these things (or even announcements).

For all we know we could be on QE7 by now (with 3-6 still stealthily going strong).

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 19:42 | 1386884 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

good catch. that's funny.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 21:24 | 1387298 Id fight Gandhi
Id fight Gandhi's picture

I noticed that too. Time to add more fluoride to the water. Anything to get those ES up.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 21:27 | 1387311 malek
malek's picture

Haha, didn't realize that one.
But sometimes I see those very easy to overlook typos where I get the feeling Tyler puts them in to have a handle on the copy&paste artists...

Keep up the great work!

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 18:28 | 1386678 SRV - ES339
SRV - ES339's picture

Anything about lower silver margins in there...lol!

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 19:12 | 1386791 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

No, but the CME is certainly paying attention to the marginal silver 'holder for delivery' contract owners. Those people might just fuck it all up for them. Of course, Max Keiser will be blamed instead.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 18:44 | 1386718 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

in fairness to the worthless, lying bastards @ the crimex, they are probably just doing as the PPT commands...again...

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 18:47 | 1386720 honestann
honestann's picture

Absolute proof they are totally bought and paid for, and cannot ever be expected to do anything honest, ethical or rational.  Their one and only practice is to serve the predators-that-be and predator-class.  Up theirs!

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 18:45 | 1386724 trembo slice
trembo slice's picture

this shit is outrageous.  

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 18:48 | 1386732 TheGoodDoctor
TheGoodDoctor's picture

So, if I interpret this correctly, this is to stimulate the purchase of those interest related products?

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 18:54 | 1386747 apberusdisvet
apberusdisvet's picture

This is for the HFT pump and dumpers.  While the little finger pumps, the fat thumb dumps.  "Will the last human trader in the bathroom please flush the toilet?"

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 19:04 | 1386777 firefighter302
firefighter302's picture

Sick.

 

 

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 19:22 | 1386799 tyler
tyler's picture

The CME works for the government and their here to help dontcha know.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 20:01 | 1386972 dcb
dcb's picture

I believe this is the third margin cut actually.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 20:00 | 1386988 dcb
dcb's picture

been wondering wny the macd for tlt and the s and P look so different. I think some knoew this was in the pipes.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 21:56 | 1387414 black mustafa
black mustafa's picture

it is done to help Pimco, who got the whole rates move wrong and now needs to shake the market up and down by just playing with it big size to make its return. CME lowered the margins just in time to help them.

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 22:41 | 1387584 Jack Napier
Jack Napier's picture

What?

Mon, 06/20/2011 - 22:40 | 1387580 Jack Napier
Jack Napier's picture

Do they seriously want to invite crazy HFT algos after what happened to natural gas last week?

Tue, 06/21/2011 - 06:40 | 1388275 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 I caught that! Check all the metals!

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