• George Washington
    09/05/2010 - 22:40
    When did it start? When will it end?
  • Cognitive Dissonance
    09/05/2010 - 15:45
    We should not adopt positions or beliefs that oppose the Ponzi simply because it’s contrary to the Ponzi. Doing so just shifts the illusion of control to us, but still leaves us dancing to the Ponzi beat. Our views should be adopted only after rigorous examination and vetting. This is the only way to a truly peaceful, free and sovereign life.
  • asiablues
    09/05/2010 - 18:06
    The back-to-back super-sized traffic jams near Beijing has landed China on the top spot among the cities with the world's worst traffic. While the world seems quite fixated on the length--miles and number of days--of these mega jams near Beijing, there's also a serious message--the under-capacity of China’s infrastructure.

CME Increases Gold, Silver, Palladium Margins

Tyler Durden's picture




The CME group announced that margins for metals futures contracts on the NYMEX and COMEX will rise beginning February 12 by approximately 25% across various classes.  The initial margin for 100-ounce COMEX gold futures will increase to $6,747 from $5,403, while the maintenance margin will rise to $4,998 from $4,002. For 5000-ounce COMEX silver futures, initial margins will increase slightly less: from $6,075 to $6,750 while the maintenance margin increases by $500 from $4,500 to $5,000. Margin increases will be largest for palladium, where initial margins will rise from $2,363 to $3,713, coupled with a maintenance margin increase of $1,000 from $1,750 to $2,750. Additionally, as the full advisory indicates, the CME increase margins by various percentage for virtually all of its product groups.

 

5
Your rating: None Average: 5 (5 votes)



by whacked
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 17:42
#227477

+1

 

by Hephasteus
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 17:58
#227513

I'm going to have to go with gold stampede conspiracy. Obviously 78 freaking billion dollars worth of fake gold sales weren't enough to collapse the market. So I guess they are going to try for a couple hundred billion. Set up some big event and make everyone think that gold is going to go in shitter for several months to try to rake it up. Should be a failblog video by march 15th.

by wejn
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:38
#227593

By big you, of course, mean something like $80 big.

I'd be very surprised if gold went under $1k in forseeable future.

Gold is relatively stable past few weeks if quoted in currency other than USD & further USD rally doesn't seem that likely.

For example look at gold quoted in CZK: http://wejn.org/tradi/pmg/gold-12m-usd.png

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:20
#227673

The dollar's the shit right now, at least over the medium to short term.  I'd be careful about thinking it will continue to decline.

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:20
#227674

The dollar's the shit right now, at least over the medium to short term.  I'd be careful about thinking it will continue to decline.

by wejn
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:49
#227714

Hmm, you might be right. I know next to nothing about timing and/or short term trading.

I just don't think technical analysis alone will get you anywhere. Not to mention the tunnel vision of dollar being the only safe haven no matter what BB does is also quite disturbing.

Everything's possible. Even paper gold $100. My point was that while gold had about 14% drop when USD denominated it's in quite tight range in other currencies (yes, even in EUR, with about 6.5% DD).

And while everybody's worked up about Greece (and rightly so) most ppl conveniently forget California and other US states that are about the same as Greece (or worse).

That's why I see the USD rally quite unlikely to last. Short term? Why not. Long term? We'll see about that.

by Gold...Bitches
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:01
#227738

Everything's possible. Even paper gold $100.

Yes, on paper at the CriMEX it may trade to $100.  I guarantee you're not going to find it in physical for that price that others will let go.

by wejn
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:05
#227749

I agree completely. That's why I wrote 'paper gold' in the first place. :-)

by Gold...Bitches
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:27
#227785

not disagreeing with you at all...  Just saying that a black market will appear with the paper and physical, as happened in late 08 and when silver gold got taken down you couldnt get your hands on any for the paper price.

 

by Rusty Shorts
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:53
#227827

CME = Coronal Mass Ejection?

by Anonymous
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 09:15
#228300

No - COLONIC

by Rusty Shorts
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 17:32
#229184

har har har har hehe

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:16
#227774

Every time you post you seem to attempt to slam gold for some reason. Man up and admit you missed the $50 bounce the last few days.

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:53
#227906

Keep writing those checks . . .

by George the baby...
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 01:30
#228113

Can't see it going much lower then $1050.  Any lower and the people of China are going to start revolting.  That's the level they told their people to buy.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:16
#227940

Watch what happen grasshopper

Raising margin = sign of desperation/manipulation every time

when you have cancer like AIG it is terminal

there's no cure, not even margin/paper flipping can fix

shed

by dumpster
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 17:34
#227465

gold is bought in the market as a real purchase cash on the barrel head

 

these towering margin machines of paper are ready to implode into the hubris of nothing to back them up.

"Is it possible that gold is fed up with the lies and distortions that are so apparent Mr. Fred barks at the TV? It is, and I sense it happened today.

We have been discussing over the last few days the fact that no currency on the planet is any longer a storehouse of value. We are headed into a system of taking a ticket to get bailed out sovereign wise.

The relationship between leading currency and gold is never going to be cancelled, but it is loosening.

Gold is your only good insurance policy.

Who knows, we may be long gold for a much greater period of time and price than I anticipated in 2001.

Respectfully yours,
Jim sinclair

by Burnbright
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 17:36
#227466

Wait wait wait... you telling me that people could get gold futures of 100 ounces for only 5,403 dollars?

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 17:55
#227505

cash settled, of course.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:42
#227601

No, the margins per unit cost/profit on those trades are up to $5,403 . The total cost of purchase would be much higher.

by buzzsaw99
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 17:53
#227500

Who buys paper PMs on margin?

by dark pools of soros
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:47
#227821

not proud of it but made 20% gain this week doing it...sold the margin part today

by ReallySparky
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 17:54
#227501

Can someone explain what this may mean to the price of silver and gold?

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:06
#227527

It means that they're going down, for a variety of reasons.

by Shameful
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:17
#227547

Once again I find myself hoping that you are correct. So any idea how fast gold and silver prices will go down and where they might bottom at?

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:45
#227607

I would say that they bottom under 1000, probably in the 900 range, and sometime near the end of this correction, which I forsee happening in the early parts of March.

That would be my "guess".

by DoChenRollingBearing
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 01:12
#228100

OK, Master B, you have walked the plank, and I admire your stubbornly held views.  If your "guess" (and I guess as well too...) is the bottom in gold is in the 900s, well:

"Beep, beep, beep" backing up the truck for gold and maybe other PMs. 

All this sh@t ain't going to end pretty.  (PIIGS in Europe) = (our California, Michigan, Illinois, New York, New Jersey, Florida, etc.).  Not even to mention our FEDERAL debts, etc., etc., etc.  Sux to be us now.

by George the baby...
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 01:32
#228114

And what happens if the US decides to have a go at Iran?

by ReallySparky
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:18
#227549

Thanks Master. ;)

by Dirtt
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:19
#227551

DEFLAAAAAAAAATION.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:26
#227570

It means precious metals are going up, because the shorts will have to pony up additional margin to hold their short positions.

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:47
#227612

It means they're going down, because the gold bitchez crowd won't have as much margin to run up the price.

by Burnbright
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:16
#227666

I think you are both right, so maybe it just means that we get a more accurate price discovery for physical?

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:23
#227678

Well, it seems like it'll get a bit of the distortions out of the market, at least for now.

I think that most of the "markup" in physical has to do with procurement costs and the like.  It's a lot easier to have and manipulate something on paper than it is to have the actual commodity.

by Burnbright
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:50
#227719

Agreed, sorry about earlier by the way bates. I seriously thought you were a troll. Now I just think you are an ass with a very strong opinion, nothing most people on this board couldn't be guilty of either.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:53
#227727

+100

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:57
#227832

Well, it's better than having a strong opinion and being consistently wrong, like some others...

by Anonymous
on Wed, 02/17/2010 - 21:51
#234993

Look who's talking. Mr Treasuries, you have been wrong time and time again.

by fresh.air
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:14
#227663

anyone see http://www.iamned.com/ ? good articles

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:24
#227679

No, but I saw your mom's roast beef curtains.  They had moldy horseradish, and you could drive an airplane through.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:47
#227820

Cetin... or what ever the fuck your name is... go away. Saw your shit a while back at other places... you still fucking suck balls.

Fag

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:16
#227942

Cetin you spamming mother eff'er!

by Anonymous
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 13:39
#228793

iamned is Cetin the clown spammer, all he does is pollute sites with his garbage

by Hansel
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 17:56
#227508

Is this the second margin increase?  I seem to remember reading about a gold margin increase a couple months ago.  Couldn't find much googling.

by truont
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:19
#227670

Right as rain, Hansel:

They raised the margin just before Dec 17th!!!

http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1261062106.php

Fine by me--force all speculators into the physical.  Sounds like a plan.

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:31
#227693

Removing speculators will be bad for the price of gold.

by truont
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:35
#227702

Right, it will be bad for the price of paper gold, no question.

Paper gold can go to $1 for all I care.

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:31
#227879

Paper gold still represents physical gold.

Physical gold is pegged to the speculation in paper gold.

They're not going to decouple more than they already have.  If you want physical gold, you already pay more than the paper gold price.  (Try getting an ounce of physical for 1100 bucks if that's the price at the moment)  Still, the paper gold effects the physical gold.

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:17
#227945

you mean "affects"

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:38
#227965

Attack my grammar all you want.  It doesn't change the fact that you're buying an overvalued asset.

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:43
#227971

I'm trading my Monopoly money for money before dumbasses like you figure it all out and the opportunity is gone ; )

by Anonymous
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 09:26
#228319

"They're not going to decouple more than they already have."

You are going to eat those words, young fool.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 17:57
#227511

Does that mean COMEX expect PM will be higher than 25%? I can be wrong.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 17:57
#227512

bunch of idiots in here it seems, do you people really not know how margins on futures contracts work?

by buzzsaw99
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:34
#227581

how does th scam "work"?, please esplain.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:01
#227516

Weak specs will get out immediately but to most players it will not matter...however the timing is interesting as we are coming into March delivery and there is still 89,000 ounces standing for delivery in Feb GC. Volatility is way down after the smack down last week and margins are generally set by Vol. Looks to me the Crimex is looking to shake out more long OI.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:44
#227606

Yes,it definitely will shack out weak hands either way.

by 10044
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:01
#227517

Oh yeah, here we go... Cme, crimex and lmba will ALL go up in smoke

by johngaltfla
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:14
#227536

TRANSLATION:

They can't make delivery.

by bugs_
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:19
#227552

The winner! Palladium delivery issues?

by johngaltfla
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:22
#227561

Only rumblings I've heard are Palladium and Gold as some Central Banks want it transferred OUT of the NYC Depository and shipped to Dubai and Hong Kong. RUMBLINGS only gang, you'll NEVER get confirmation from the CME or COMEX on this issue.

by Shameful
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:19
#227553

Okay assuming that is correct how long can I keep buying physical without a massive increase in premium? Also do you think that this will depress the paper price and also the physical price?

by johngaltfla
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:22
#227563

Depends on quantity and who you buy from. If you're buying on the COMEX, good luck to ya!

by Shameful
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:28
#227576

lol I'm just a small time working man, buying a bit online when the savings allow. Assume it means supply would be drying up. Was hoping for a good long time to save up...

by dark pools of soros
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:58
#227835

just load up on scotch then - those gold bugs will have to trade their shiny metal for something

by Hephasteus
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:23
#227866

That's the thing. The mouse finds food in places the elephant can't. The small guy can get all the gold they want but the central banks and governments can't put together a "big" deal to save their life. Much like they can't put togther a working IPO or bond say before long.j

Think of like this. Intel dies. Dell who's used to buying a cpu for 80 bucks now has to go get 10000 cpu's one at a time from people who paid 150 for them. The good old economies of scale that fuck the indivdual and small business now come and bite big business and big government and big bank right in his ass.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:20
#227558

Scribd sucks.

by bbbilly1326
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:51
#227902

agree, but you can download and read it as a pdf file for nothing........

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:22
#227565

At current gold price, many investors and institutions will have no trouble to meet this 25% margin increase. A Physical delivery is independent of margin. Does COMEX have enough real gold? Who knows?

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:50
#227620

It's all tungsten, bro.  Go with christ bro.

When people find out that all the gold bars are really tungsten, the price for real gold with QUINTUPLE by June.  6000 an ounce bro.  Go with Christ.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:07
#227646

"Go with Christ."

Does he know where the gold is?

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:17
#227668

Without any offense, MB, have you ever owned physical
gold or paper gold?

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:59
#227836

No, but that doesn't mean that I don't follow the charts daily.

As to owning it, there are so many other assets or speculative ventures that I'd rather own parts of.  I never even wanted a gold chain when I was a kid.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:52
#227979

Good, you are very honest. MB, if you have the
opportunity, buy one oz American Eagle gold coin just
for the feeling of it. Who knows? You might fall in love
with it and might convert yourself into goldbug.
Best luck!

by Anonymous
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 09:33
#228328

Gold would jump out of his paw. Let the e-trade baby stick to his paper teat.

by DoChenRollingBearing
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 01:22
#228105

Hmm, interesting that you would not even consider some physical gold for at least diversication...

by RhoRhoRhoBoat
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:27
#227571

Folks, the increase in margin requirements is not the result of a grand conspirary, any bias on the part of the CME, etc etc.  It is simple math meant to reduce leverage and risk to the exchange and clearinghouses.

 

If gold is $800 / oz, and you're required to hold $5403 for a 100 oz contract, you're only holding 6.7% of the notional in margin.  A very solid buffer, such that you could be liquidated before you do damage to an exchange.  Now however, if gold is $1100 / oz, that same $5403 of margin is only 4.9% of the notional.  By raising the requirement to $6747, you have to post 6.1% of notional now.  Heaven forbid gold is one day $5000 / oz like some of you wish, I bet you the initial margin req will be something like $32,500.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:34
#227582

Clearly stated. Thank you, sir. This increase is a
non-event.

by Tommy
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:40
#227596

I don't trade futures, but if your interpretation of the raised margins is correct (seems logical), then this is just a confirmation of the current price by the CME.

by ratava
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:41
#227598

winner!

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:50
#227621

With all respect, I have to disagree.

Margin is a performance bond in that role margin it is first a risk management tool. If you are running the exchange/casino, you are interested in protecting the exchanges interest foremost. Why wasn't margin raised much more substaintally in the Fall when it was topping 1200? Probably because the exchange was OK with the amount and quality of the open interest, ie. specs versus commercials, Also Platinum and Palladium had not skyrocketed last fall like the did in 2010 so there is probably more risk and less quality in the Open Interest.

If volatility were way down and there were no delivery issues, you can see margins as low as 1.5%, >5% is a warning sign that they want to use margin to change the ownership complextion of the market.

When the Hunts where blowing up you had to post 40% margin ,then it went to liquidation only for a few sessions until they could get the Hunts out of the Silver market.

Margin Requirements are a risk management tool.

PS When Gold gets to 5000, they will cut the contract in half so that even the most marginal player can get into the game, just like they did with the creation of the E-minis

by johngaltfla
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:29
#227688

I have no problem with the margin increase because it is not that big a deal except that it does remove the leverage risk, not the demand for the metal.

 

On the flip side, when will we see the margin requirements shrunk for various derivative instruments where GS and JPM can lever their balance sheet up 30 or 40:1?

Until we reduce leverage across the board and reign it in, the entire ponzi scheme is one Greek fart away from disaster.

by Commodity Trade...
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:46
#227611

Many think that raising margins...tanks prices....over the years I've noticed that often the opposite happens...and sometimes dramatically...of course every situation is diffrent and who knows this time?

also regarding actual physical gold available for delivery I thought Kyle Bass had a good take on this recently:  Kyle Bass: Gold only enough inventory for 15% to 30% open interest on futures and options, Get “while supplies last”

---PK

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:53
#227624

In other words, the demand is too high because of speculation.

Hmmm... where else have we seen these bubbles recently?

Remember when multiple people were bidding on houses?  Or there wasn't enough oil to meet all the speculative demand?  Or when you couldn't get tech stocks because of all the demand?

That's where gold is now.  However, what happens when the price drops and nobody wants it anymore?

by wejn
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:02
#227631

Would hate to sound like a full blown gold-bug (more of a silver guy), but ---

I'm pretty sure Indians, Chinese (and others) would be buying with both hands if the price dropped significantly.

Maybe 5yo with finga on da trigga and other daytrading monkeys won't be that interested scooping up gold if it breaks lower... but they are not the only players in this "commodity".

And if you ever held gold coin in your hand, you might've noticed the demand for this shiny yellow thing is somehow imprinted in most of us. I know that it didn't take much more than showing Kruegerrand to my friends to get the immediate "i wanna some of that" reaction. Zero demand for gold? Yeah, maybe when everyone on Earth is dead.

by Gordon_Gekko
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:11
#227655

"Zero demand for gold? Yeah, maybe when everyone on Earth is dead."

+1000000000000000

I couldn't have said it better myself.

by DoChenRollingBearing
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 01:29
#228112

Zzzzzzttt!  A year or so ago I took my daughter to a bullion dealer near us.  He had a 1 kg. bar, and when I touched it, I felt practically electricity buzzing off it...

Gold ZH's.  Please consider buying some physical gold as insurance (vs. the .gov) as well as the BEST wealth preserver I can foresee.

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:27
#227685

Silver has a worse looking chart than gold right now.

Once it breaks lower, all the people that HAVE BEEN scooping it up will realize that the carcass is bled dry and they'll move on.

It's just like any speculation bubble.

If anything, demand will get lessened, not increased.  You can't have much more influence than the "sky is falling" crowd, which has already been around for a couple of years.  Once they bail, it's done.

by wejn
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:58
#227733

You're right; silver's price chart is ugly.

But please get your facts straight. Bubbles burst when everybody (and their mother) is into that fad.

And I dare you to show me proof of that in gold or silver. Mainstream investors know next to nothing about silver. Or gold.

Just one example: Paulson has big time trouble convincing people to join his new gold fund: http://bit.ly/aX9Z1h Doesn't seem that bubbly to me.

by Gold...Bitches
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:14
#227771

exactly.  no one is in it that hasnt been in the PM area for a while.  Very few new people in it.  When QCOM, AMZN, EBAY et al, were doing their thing right before they crashed I would hear random conversations about them in line for coffee, at a baseball game, on tv, etc... and they were all bullish.  Same with real estate.  There is no way we are even close to widespread ownership and no new money on the sidelines to pump higher.

 

And please, go lower in price.  Im not stopping from accumulating PM's until the debt bubble is done - and that one keeps getting bigger and hasnt popped yet.  Thats when we get the depression, or whatever they'll end up calling it.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:21
#227867

I guess youre in the wrong coffee shops.

All i hear are complaints that gold isnt north or $2k given whats happened in the sovereign arena this past few weeks.

This margin call will shake out the marginal player trying to hit a home run with $10k in the game.

doesnt take much to get called and then wiped out if your stake is chump change.

This same thing is happening in the FX arena. Big push to reduce leverage to 10:1 (why thats happening is for another time).

This is simply to shaje the clowns out that cant deliver the physical or make the cash settlement.

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:03
#227840

So you're saying that pawn shops and payday loan places buying gold and gold commercials on tv don't qualify as "everybody getting in on the fad"?

I think that it's more mainstream than most people would admit.

Paulson has trouble convincing people to join his fund because the big money knows that the jig is up.  The bubble is blown.  You don't buy high and sell low.

Plus, people that speculate in funds want to see consistent results of making money over time.  That's not something that's going to happen in a fund that focuses on a single commodity.

by CoopDeluxe
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:22
#227872

MB,

You're always hanging out on these gold posts.  What gets you so fired up about this?  Earlier in the comments, you said that 20 days is about the right entry point for silver.  Now, in this most recent comment, you say that the jig is up.  Cash4gold isn't that everyone is in on gold, it is the exact opposite!!  People have no faith in gold and that is why they're selling scrap gold for 25c on the dollar.  Ask those around you if they own gold, I bet you know 1 or 2 people tops.  Mainstream economists definitely look at it as the barbaric relic. There is no bubble here, at least not yet.  Once the "bubble" (or permanent re-valuation) happens, we won't be debating it on these comment boards, it will be self-evident.

 

Don't be so dogmatic MB.  Try to open your mind a little more and question your foundational beliefs.  What we are about to endure is something that is unprecedented.  All paper will burn.  A great source to become educated:

 

fofoa.blogspot.com

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:38
#227889

First of all, it's not unprecedented.  It's not like that this is the first time governments have been insolvent.  Even if it is "unprecedented" and the system crashes, what would the gold be worth anyway? 

If you're dying of thirst, you'll give up all your gold for a free commodity like water.

I'm always hanging out in the gold posts because I want the notoriety to be right when my predictions come true.

I see decline in assets until March, and then one last push through the summer, and then we deflate.  Deflation isn't good for gold.

If things truly play out like everybody expects them to (IE everybody defaults) we're more likely to have less problems because EVERYBODY will do it and life will go on.
I don't think that will happen.

When people are selling gold for 25 cents on the dollar, it's because they're desperate.  But Cash4gold and all that are the ones speculating wildly.  What, you think all of those people are the smart ones?

I think that it's ironic that people who are SO closed minded about any asset other than gold are the people who tell me to open my mind, to get the one asset that 1/2 people says is the only thing in the world worth anything...

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:05
#227925

If you are a truthseeker and wish to cure your severe case of confirmation bias, go to www.fofoa.blogspot.com where you'll learn about the reasons why we need some sort of fixture (gold or whatever it may be) in order to value goods in relation to one another so that we may TRADE -- a fundamental human activity.  If fiat currencies could remain stable, they would suffice, but the most basic economic principles, supply and demand, dictate that they cannot remain even relatively stable over the long term when their supply is expanding.  Gold cannot be inflated at will . . .

 

What's wrong with your brain?!

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:43
#227972

We already have a fixture for TRADE, it's called the USD.

That's why the USD is strong, while gold was decoupled from USD years ago.

Why does the asset used for "trade" have to "not be inflated at will" in the first place?
Our capacity to produce grows, so why shouldn't the medium of exchange we use to trade the goods that we produce?  Because you say so?

While we're talking about supply and demand, why would you want to use something with a LIMITED supply to trade for goods that are not limited?

You could trade cheerios if cheerios were the accepted form of exchange.

But I know, I know... gold is the only thing in the world with any value, perceived or otherwise, and that's why we all have to hold gold - because the world will end tomorrow and we will all need gold and canned spam and arable land with seeds...

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:56
#227984

"While we're talking about supply and demand, why would you want to use something with a LIMITED supply to trade for goods that are not limited?"

I'm glad you asked.  When the supply of our "money" can be increased artificially, the purchasing power of that "money" can therefore be decreased artificially. Monetary inflation is theft.  If the money supply is doubled relative to the goods/services that money could buy, simple supply/demand rules of 101 economics would dictate that the monetary unit's purchasing power would eventually fall by half -- i.e. that ben franklin in your wallet buys less copper, gold, oil, prostitutional services (in your case) than it did before.  

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:55
#227988

i.e., you're now a "Master Bater"

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:14
#227936

Masterbation - trading wealth for paper

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:47
#227974

Also, while we're talking about trade and exchange... so what if a currency was backed with gold?  What would that change?  If the price of gold goes up or down, it still manipulates the currency.

"You cannot print gold".  That's your next argument right?
But you can print newspapers, and those are bought with gold in your situation.
So should we stop producing altogether because there is less gold to buy items with?  What about when all the gold runs out?  Should we stop producing then?

You spelled masturbation wrong, while we're attacking each others grammar...

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:59
#227992

My wife likes to keep me ignorant on the subject.  

by Burnbright
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 03:29
#228157

Dude logical fallacies galore.

A) Comparing fiat currency to trading a news paper for a hard asset is asanine.

B) The second question doesn't even make sense. Are you trying to say that we would experience deflation with gold? If you were deflation is good for people who save. You know the basis for all investment and possible future economic growth.

C) Gold doesn't depreciate because its nearly indestructable, it is why it is a store of wealth and matches or candles aren't. It doesn't get "used up" like everything esle does, it is non-reactive.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:35
#227885

People Selling at these right?

Where was the mass stamped into buying?

Oh, right, Hasn't happened yet.

Yet you facts straight man.

Cash 4 Gold, and Pawnshops are Buying, the Sheelple are SELLING.

Are people clamoring over each other to get the last 1 ounce Maple? (No)

Come on man, at lest use SOME logic.

by lsbumblebee
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:43
#227897

Paulson has trouble convincing people to join his fund because there is no "bubble".

by Gold...Bitches
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 23:20
#228011

So you're saying that pawn shops and payday loan places buying gold and gold commercials on tv don't qualify as "everybody getting in on the fad"?

No, they don't.  Its when those people that are now selling for a few bucks start buying and forming lines out the coin shop to buy silver eagles to keep and own.  That's when its a top - just like in late 79 and early 80.  It will also have a blowoff crescendo that hasnt happened yet.

by Get_to_the_choppa
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 01:55
#228122

Wait, if pawn shops and payday loan places and tee vee commercials are all buying gold, doesn't that mean the unwashed masses are, you know, *selling* all their gold?  The buyers are those who realize 'it really is different this time' and the sellers are precisely the people you would need participating to make this a bubble.  It's when the unwashed are *buying* anything en masse (and doing so not based on any real understanding but because Joe next door is doing it and they want in too) that you get the kind of bubbles you referred to.

 

And while I disagree with you, you did drop a nice SP reference earlier, so hat tip from me.

 

Edit: And 'Gold...Bitches' said it more succinctly and first...I need to read through all the responses before I post.

by delacroix
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:03
#227839

do you have any idea how much it costs to mine and refine an oz  of silver? the mint is sold out. they sold more in december, than the whole prior year, and that was at a high premium.there isn't enough silver, for every person on earth, to have 1 oz. the market, the whole silver market, is smaller than wal-mart. the available physical supply, could disappear, in less than a week. I don't care what someone says it is worth, it's real, its pure,and it has monetary, jewelry, and industrial uses.FRN note, costs 2 cents to print, any denomination, all you want. silver production has lagged use, since 1945. WAKE UP millions of people believing something, does not make it true

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:05
#227845

If production has lagged use for 65 years, you wouldn't be able to get any EVER, because the people "using it" would be on waiting lists, etc.

It's sold out for a couple of months because of unusual speculation.  That's even more evidence that it's the "new fad" like housing or oil.

by delacroix
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:20
#227865

in 1945 there was 20 times more silver than gold above ground, now theres 20 times more gold than silver. yes, we are getting to the place, where you will have to get on a list to buy physical, kinda like a lot of mints, right now. they sell silver, they don't have yet.

by merehuman
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 23:48
#228037

Silver i have is my bank. Its paid for. Its scarce and harder to get. Someday it may be worth a lot, maybe not, am keeping it just the same. At a thousand per oz i may reconsider. I can wait.

Its not like you can PRINT more of it. Paper gold and paper silver is like paper money and my bad checks HAha. LOL  am really enjoying this. Frankly, with todays economy i dont give a damn charlotte !!

by dumpster
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:38
#227799

mb a the price of gold is nowwhere at those levels and will go higher to balance the books of the fiat printing .

gold is your life line to asset protection,

 

it is the backing for a nations ability to trade in the future ..

does a person  listen to jim sinclair or your mindless anal misunderstanding of austrian economics ,, and the nature of gold ,

you are clueless my friend ,, and do a disservice to your self ,, and those who understand the role of gold . look at your statementS AS  a fools errand ,,each time you open your mouth about gold ,, the tongue flaps the brains 

bounce

 around like some know nothing guy in a costume of dumb ..

get up to date on the real reason for gold . in international commerce.. and a balance to the nature of the fiat masters. gold is going up ,, and 1650 is the next target..

as the fiat loses its luster,, and the race to the bottom begains in the devaluation of paper .. count on it.  

 

 

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:11
#227851

Yeah yeah.  You have your opinion, and I have mine.

I didn't call you dumb and spout off a bunch of jibberish and stuff I heard on a commercial though.

Did it ever occur to you that more currency can be printed and gold could already have that priced in because of rampant speculation?
Of course not.  When everybody is trying to get something, it's only natural that it's fair value, isn't it?
Like houses being more than people could afford.  Houses weren't worth that much, oil wasn't worth that much, and gold isn't going to 1650.  If it does, it'll only be for a short time.

However, there's more of an interest in shaking out the weak hands than there is making them money by allowing the price to appreciate consistently.

Whenever I hear somebody tell me things like "get up to date" I know that the bubble is on. 
But of course... it's "different" this time, isn't it?

You can insult me if you want, so with that said, I hope that you buy a ton of gold, right now.  If you don't listen to reason and spout talking points from a gold commercial, I've done all that I can do.  A fool and his money are often separated...

by Gold...Bitches
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 23:26
#228018

a very simple argument to tell if its in a bubble or not is to look at the level of exploration, or not, in the area.  When oil was over 100, there was increases of exploration budgets by oil co's to find more oil - because the cost of finding and getting out was less then current prices they could sell it at.  Gold co's have not increased materially the amount of exploration budgets.  Thus, not in a bubble.  Gold Co CEO's have stated a stable $1,500/oz price needed to sustain the process from beginning to end if funding themselves out of cash flows from operations to explore, drill, develop, commission the mine and then finally start mining.

by Anonymous
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 11:01
#228447

$$ is flocking to Juniors for exploration and mine developement.

http://www.mineweb.net/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page67?oid=94111&sn=Detail

by Anonymous
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 13:52
#228821

Im not talking about juniors or explorers raising money. Im talking about ABX, KCG, AU, et al, funding new exploration as opposed to buying mines or companies that were the explorer or developer. Funding it through operational cash flow of the existent business and mining operations, not from raising funds from the market as they are currently not making money as all they have are staked claims to explore, or some property that may be developed into a mine.

by Gold...Bitches
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 14:00
#228837

Not talking about explorers raising money.  Im talking about ABX, KCG, AU et al, funding exploration and development from their own operations to rebuild reserves as opposed to acquiring those explorers that found something.

by merehuman
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 23:54
#228042

Dear fellow Mr Bates

Gold, Silver and much more are all scarce resources.

Many want these resources.

Demand + scarcity=

Gee thats so hard to figure, will you help me?

by Gordon_Gekko
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:16
#227652

I am looking for the paper price of Gold to become IRRELEVANT soon as physical bullion price WILL decouple from the paper price. Get out right now out of any paper Gold (GLD, futures, etc.) including mining shares and JUST BUY PHYSICAL. The LBMA has already defaulted - it's just a matter of time before the paper Gold market blows up completely.

GET OUT OF PAPER GOLD. NOW.

SCREW THE CME CRIMEX AND BUY PHYSICAL. Nothing - NOTHING - in this entire world scares them more than the prospect of people buying physical Gold.

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:29
#227687

Yes, it is much better to buy an illiquid asset in a bubble than a more liquid one in a bubble.

Gordon is right.  Gold bitchez, etc.

by Gordon_Gekko
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:34
#227697

I am not sure you even understand what "illiquid" means.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:48
#227716

GG, well stated. +10

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:14
#227854

It means try to get some cash for your gold coins today, at market value.

Paper gold... click click... there's a bidder... nice, sold.

Most people don't even have 500 bucks in the bank.  (No, really...)

How are you going to sell all kinds of physical gold to people that aren't working in a crashed economy?

by luckylee
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:39
#227891

There are many people overseas with money ... and your jobs have been shipped to them :) US citizens aren't the only buyer of gold... sorry dude. Physical only.

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:50
#227976

Okay, well you ship them your gold when the "world ends" and we don't have a postal service.

Even if we did have a postal service, what are you going to do - ship them your gold first?  Maybe they should ship you their money first?

It's so funny how the people on here are disconnected.  They save gold for the "inevitable black swan that will end the world", yet they expect to exchange their gold as easily as they can today at that time.

Oh wait, maybe you can SWIM overseas to exchange it?  Shit, there's something I forgot about.

by merehuman
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 23:59
#228046

Geez, Mister didnt you go to school and learn history? Silver and gold is and has been the ONLY money for centuries.

Think actecs, think of any empire, silver and gold are  and have always been held in high esteem as a store of ..........

I hope you get the sublety of your status

by perchprism
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 00:57
#228090

 

In a crashed economy, I'll be spending my gold, not selling it.

by Anonymous
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 07:45
#228230

hahahahhahhaha. well put.

by Master Bates
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 14:09
#228854

Hahaha... spending it where and how?  At the grocery store?  Or are you going to trade a one ounce gold coin for a hamburger?

By the way, I saw your other post.  I would LOVE to meet you in a dark alley anytime, really.

by Anonymous
on Wed, 02/17/2010 - 21:55
#234997

They certainly won't take us dollars.

by monmick
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:51
#227977

Means it can't be melted, perhaps because it is mostly tungsten...

by Gold...Bitches
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:17
#227775

a liquid asset is one that can be sold in a very short period of time from wanting to sell and completing the transaction (stock market with electronic trading/orders).  A house is illiquid because it can take months for it to finish from the beginning.

 

Gold is, has been, and always will be, an extremely liquid asset.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:27
#227788

MB, hope you learn this well.

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:15
#227858

And where are you going to get money for a large lot of gold in a short amount of time?

Maybe people who will buy gold to resell, but they won't give you full value because they're resellers.

by Gold...Bitches
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 23:38
#228024

And where are you going to get money for a large lot of gold in a short amount of time?

I can understand that you dont like gold and think its in a bubble.  However, you dismiss thousands of years of history of gold being money while placing 100% belief in the fiat system as if after being in existence for less than 40 years is the defacto standard for the rest of time going forward.

by merehuman
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 00:01
#228049

Gold owners dont hurry!

by delacroix
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 01:05
#228093

do you spend all your money, at one time? the world isn't going to end, its just going to change, for the worse, and paper currency, will lose the confidence, of the people, as they see it's purchasing power erode, and they know that money printing, is the cause. FRNs are a perceived value, backed by a political promise. do you want your wealth secured, by the promise, of a politician? gold is what it is, paper, is what they say it is

by dumpster
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:14
#227770

you dont own gold unless its in your hand lol

and for the benefit of the zit faced young uns ,, who have been raised on keynesian mush ... . 

right on G.G.   the paper price on some contracts .. are being offered 25% over market to take paper and not gold .. as the supply is being taken off the market .

but i doubt many can even spring for a 1100 dollar gold price . // as the surveys taken show that a majority of the american public can not come up with 2000 bucks in an emergency.   

 

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:19
#227864

And for our "oldun's" who ruined the country in the first place, and sold out our jobs to Mexico and ran deficits from the time I was born, who get their news from Glenn Beck... *flips the bird.*

Don't you love it when the people that ruined the fucking country get all uppity on young people like they know everything?  Yeah... way to spend us broke and leave nothing for your children!

So talk bad about the young people all you want, because your generation has been mortgaging our future since we were born.

With that said... I agree.  Gold is illiquid because the majority of Americans can't even get 2000 bucks.  In actuality, I heard a stat that close to 40% of Americans under 40 or something had less than 500 bucks in the bank.

So how are people with ten ounces of bullion going to get cash for it quickly, and at market value?

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:44
#227899

Wayne, you are just being annoying now.

STFU, will you?

by Anonymous
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 09:48
#228353

+1 junior has daddy issues

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:03
#227922

I have transported 3 oz Gold out of USA and converted to foreign cash at a premium over spot price. I have converted 10 oz of Gold to Gold Jewelery for my siblings.

In USA I have asked at my local "cash4Cold" dealer and he said he will pay me above spot, but I have so far not tried.

by Shameful
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 23:16
#228010

Could not agree more about the old folks who sold us out and now want us to pay for their high living. They deserve the mess they caused us to wade through.

Also agree that you would be hard pressed to find an average American who could scrape together the money for an ounce of gold. However I will point out that just because Americans are broke as a joke doesn't mean the world is. And yes I know it's not like we are going to mail our gold overseas we can however try to get overseas with our gold and sell to people who might be interested in buying if our leadership continues to sell our asses down the river.

I know this guy is looking at leaving this rotting corpse, money and gold in hand. Because we both know the Boomers will sell us into slavery if that's what it takes to make sure they get their SS and Medicare, to say nothing of the vampire bankers at our neck. Are you planning on riding it out here?

by merehuman
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 00:07
#228053

This old fart is no rich financeer. Many of us old ones had no part in this looting and in fact feel as ripped off as you. 59, worked all my life to see my house value plummet and come to see wont be no SSI for me, tho i paid into it. Life aint fair, place blame where it belongs!

by Burnbright
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 04:12
#228170

I think it is the fact that my generation feels cheated because they expect older people, like their parents or grand parents to have done something. Most of us just don't want to admit that we have to stop blaming other people for the problems that exist because others didn't fix them and just fix it ourselves.

by Shameful
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 08:15
#228239

Well we were cheated, and yeah we can't sit around waiting for them to fix the problems because they won't, they can't.  But I happen to be in the camp that believes the problems cannot be fixed in the structure we have.  Hope I'm wrong, but how do we pull the vampire off us, get back to growth in a world of shrinking resources and pay our debts and 100 trillion in promises we made but did not budget for?  I don't think we the ship from going down.  It's go down with the ship or take a life raft somewhere else.

by Burnbright
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 12:04
#228589

Yah but we can certianly help the ship go down faster by just trying to trade our PM's for the crap we really want. I have been kind of lazy about this I need to start trying to barter with shops I go to for some of my silver. The only problem I have is I don't want to let it go because silver is so under priced :(.

by Shameful
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 08:10
#228224

I don't hold you personally responsible. However this happened on your watch. You had a life, living in a great country, our lives are just beginning. We will not have a life as good as the one you had. You may be screwed now but me and people like me are screwed as kids. And tell me in all honesty don't you expect your gen to try to squeeze mine to make sure you get those bennies you were promised? We won't have reform to our ponzi system because you guys know it's a ponzi but now it's your turn to get paid. Medicare + SS + Medicaid = 100 trillion in unfunded liabilities.

Don't take this as me bashing old people. I happen to get along great with old folks and I understand you guys are screwed too. But this final meltdown happened on your watch. I saw it coming and I'm just some stupid kid, you old timers should have known better.

EDIT: For Clarification.  My dad is about your age and I know he's scared now, but he wasn't scared a few years ago when I was.  I worked in a construction related area so I did see this coming.  I knew it would happen when I was priced out of home ownership "Hmmm I will about double my income when I graduate, and be decently above median income, and I'll never afford a house..."  Now i didn't know jack about derivatives so I thought it would be like the tech crash and the Fed would pump us out of it, but again young and stupid. 

Now I understand that you were just a kid when LBJ cut our jugular, and we have been bleeding out ever since, and I can't blame your gen for that.  But you guys didn't make much of a fuss as we got our industry sent overseas or W decided to ram through a pile of wars and Constitution destroying legislation.  You guys knew that this system was not maintainable and here we are.  What should us youngsters do?  I'm not going to launch a campaign against the boomers but I don't feel like being forced to bleed for you when you didn't fight for yourselves or your children.  And again I say this to your generation not to you.  For all I know you could have been fighting this system for years, I don't know.  I hope you were.

by Anonymous
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 16:12
#229070

- Bravo.

I'm Gen X and I couldn't have said it any better....

This house of cards is destined to collapse because there are already too many people (the evil sort known as "speculators") who are blowing prety damn hard, and there are others who are starting to realize that you can't re-stack the cards fast enough to keep the house intact.

Knowing where this futile exercise ends is very chilling for those of us who understand how catastrophic the destruction is when a well-oiled machine is suddenly forced to run without adequate lubrication.

by Daedal
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:28
#227789

GG,

I'm with you on GLD, but I lost you on Miners...

by Mr Lennon Hendrix
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:38
#227888

Miners.....A Big X.

by fresh.air
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:12
#227662

The financial crisis is only beginning: http://www.iamned.com

by truont
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:55
#227684

Marla, will you PLEASE ban any and all "iamned" spammers in ZH?

These guys are a plague in seeking alpha and are just as bad here now.

fresh.air go &%@$ yourself.

by delacroix
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 01:08
#228096

yes Marla, please

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:29
#227689

Pimpin your mom is only beginning.

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:33
#227796

First of all, MB, I've been reading your posts for awhile and it's clear you're an asshole.  Secondly, I'd like to point out that whenever I open my huge safe (which previously belonged to Washington Mutual--a company you probably invested heavily in, hence the "asshole"), a thundering "HALLELUJAH" rings out in my head when I think about how much my net worth has risen while stubborn schmucks like you invested in the dollar and dollar denominated assets.  Remember, hope is not a strategy . . .

by dumpster
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:50
#227825

mr M .. straight on . . lol .

master bates is an 

abbreviation

 for a sick mind.. clue less .. and full of residual swarmy thoughts   a disgrace to himself and his tasteless comments thrown at random like a sicko..  

 

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:25
#227878

See, it's funny when other people call you an asshole, but throw out more insults than you ever could or have.

Look, I'll say it now, I'll say it again.  All you gold fadders are going to realize that your gold isn't the end all and be all of the investment world.
Assets have bubbles.  When I was a teenager, I sold beanie babies that I got at McDonalds for 1000 bucks.  Two years later, you couldn't get 5 bucks for em.

Gold is different than beanie babies, but the euphoria regarding speculation in gold isn't much different

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:51
#227901

OK, so you're in your 30's, young man.  In a few years when you've lost your ass, you'll wish you could kick your young, ignorant, inexperienced self's butt.  Stick around.  I'll be gentle when reminding you how wrong you were . . .

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:52
#227978

Actually I'm in my 20s.

Can I remind your generation how wrong it was?  I mean you are the generation that took America from leading the world to a lowly debtor nation with no infrastructure, no jobs, and massive deficits.

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 23:07
#228000

Don't assume you're older than I am!!!!  ; )

by delacroix
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 01:11
#228099

what euphoria? that will come later, when the holders of gold, making huge gains, become common knowledge

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:22
#227871

Yeah, it's clear that I'm an asshole.

Asshole - being right about the direction of commodities while being flagged as junk by people with conspiracy theories about the world ending.

You must feel as people who owned houses in the mid 2000s felt when their house went up 40k every time they had it assessed.

You should remember that your net worth hasn't risen until you take your profits.

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:35
#227884

I'm confused as to where your posts have predicted the direction of commodities.  Platinum and palladium are still sitting on huge gains over the last several months while gold has seen a $50 bounce over the lows last week.  Here's where you miss the point:  people like me and GG and Chumbawamba have our fists white-knuckled around our gold/silver no matter what the "official" exchange rate into fiat dictates.  We own a piece of a pie that stays a pie -- not some abstract concept that today is a pie and is tomorrow a pie to the seventh power. 

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:50
#227900

Back when it was 1220, and everybody and their mom was posting about it every time it went up 15 bucks, I was like "you people are high."

How do you think I made so many friends here so quickly?

Just because your gold is worth what it is worth doesn't mean that it will be when the troubles about the economy are over.

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:52
#227904

Keep writing those checks . . .

by geopol
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:51
#227975

How do you think I made so many friends here so quickly?

 

Let me guess.... You smoked them...

Just because your gold is worth what it is worth

I'll match my gold with you liquidity...

when the troubles about the economy are over.

And I guess you have an end date??

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:55
#227987

How's this for an end date?

"Before all the nations in the world default and the system crashes, and we need spam, gold, and arable land with lots of seeds."

See?  I answered relative to your time frame, even.

Prior to the silly end of days scenario that goldbugs say will make their gold worth a million dollars.

by geopol
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 00:32
#228071

See?

Well I'll give you an A+ for convoluted prose with no end date..

 

Prior to the silly end of days scenario that goldbugs say will make their gold worth a million dollars.

Gold will be measured in wealth ,,,,not in Fiat  FRN's  There must be a class on monetary systems in your community,,as you need to take advantage of course materials.....Not worth a continental.. After schooling come back and enlighten us.......End Date= MM/DD/YYYY... I need my planing guide,,please hurry..

 

by Master Bates
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 14:13
#228860

Perhaps you missed the point of my post.

It's like saying "GOLD WILL BE A MILLION DOLLARS WHEN THE SYSTEM CRASHES."

Yeah, so when is that?

"OH, SOMEDAY, SOMEDAY SOON!!"

And yet I have to give a reply for when the economy will get better.

It will be before the economy crashes and we're all like wild dogs in the streets, that's for sure.

by geopol
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:53
#227982

Yeah, it's clear that I'm an asshole.

 

Well, realizing it is the first step in the recovery MB.

 

 

by Master Bates
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:56
#227989

I'd rather be an asshole than a fool.

Asshole = telling fools that they're wrong, apparently.

But the fools are still fools.

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 23:11
#228004

Who says you can't be both? Don't underestimate yourself.

by geopol
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 00:34
#228074

That was a short speech...You can do better than that....

by geopol
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 00:40
#228079

I'd rather be an asshole than a fool.

 

I'll opt for the fool...pretty shitty with your preference...Not my game

Enjoy..

by SilverIsKing
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:34
#227699

If you look at the COT charts from last Friday (and the Friday before), you can see how the commercial short positions in Gold and Silver are declining.

The banks are covering while the margin requirements are tightening up.

Looks like a plan.

by Mr Lennon Hendrix
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:04
#227744

Silver Is King.

by lsbumblebee
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:58
#227735

Sounds to me like a plan to decrease buying and increase selling. Paper that is.

"SILVER CLOSED IN BACKWARDATION TODAY. The backwardation FEB/MAR in silver is +0.2 cents ($15.302/$15.300). FEB/MAY contracts are in contango of only 2.3 cents (2.9 cents on Feb 9).

The contango in gold is $0.1 for FEB/MAR and $0.5 for FEB/APR. Gold is still knocking on the door of backwardation. This means that the physical market is tight for both silver and gold."

http://www.lemetropolecafe.com/

by Mr Lennon Hendrix
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:03
#227737

Ladies and gentlemen, looks like there is some things going on.  The attack on all things gold has been kicked into full gear.  Note to some; If you are not in the market then you may never be in the market.  Shameful, you are doing wonderful.  Consider physical, too.  

^th gear and flying on the auto.  You know the detail was never on BS!  Let it cruise all day!  This however, is no Indy 500.  BS does not end it at a finish line.  The reason that BS is driving so fast is the crown jewels in the backseat, and he has a delivery to give.

by Shameful
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:14
#227769

Fear not I'm all physical. Why would I own paper gold when the whole point of having gold is getting rid of counter party risk. I know the Kangaroos I have are real and not just some chicanery on a balance sheet, or Bernanke Fun Bux. I'm just hoping this drives prices down and I can get physical cheaper. After hearing about how my grandparents got away from the Soviets because of gold, I'm partial to having it in my possession.

by truont
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:18
#227778

Jon Nadler escaped from Romania as a youth with some gold coins stitched in his clothing, which helped him restart his life and pay for his son's education.  Now he just pisses on gold everyday in his Kitco column.  The irony.

by Gold...Bitches
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:28
#227790

Hes a paid flunky.

by dumpster
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:42
#227811

the kitco scam is paper gold .. you buy the stuff its in their account .. how much gold who knows .. the real stuff is purchased at a higher premium .

 

by Gold...Bitches
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:22
#227782

I'm just hoping this drives prices down and I can get physical cheaper.

Me too.

by geopol
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:44
#227813

If you play GOLD/SILVER Correctly,, You end up with this..

 

http://www.luxuriaontheocean.com/index.php

by duo
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:04
#227842

My wife thought this gold thing was a fantasy for the paranoid until I handed her a roll of 1oz Eagles and let her listen to the sound of them hitting each other.  Ain't nothing like it.

 

She knows deep in the back of her mind that this is real money, not the pieces of paper with presidents on them.  Now she askes me when we're buying more gold.

 

It's not rational, this fascination with gold, but who wants to be rational?

by geopol
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:14
#227855

Your wife has a deep sense of divorce in the USD....

 

 

 

by delacroix
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 01:19
#228102

so gold has improved your relationship, and you didn't even have to sell any of it, thats beautiful

by perchprism
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 01:44
#228118

 

Ahh, the dulcet tones of pure gold coins tinkling in a bag...

 

In 1992 my twin brother and I quit our jobs and went prospecting along the Merced River in California.  I would start at dawn running gravel thru the longtom sluicebox we had, and look up and it'd be getting dark, and time to go back to camp.  Utter and total absorption makes the day fly by in mere moments.  Gold fever baby.

by luckylee
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:54
#227895

SHORT the paper futures, use the profit to buy physical :) That's what I've been doing since November... nice trade so far...  those fantasy paper gold bagholders money in my hand to buy the real deal.

Buying paper gold is equal to masturbating instead of getting the real deal. It's just fantasy .. big LOL. Paper is only as good as paper. Period.

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:15
#227939

+ 100000000

by geopol
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 00:46
#227955

paper gold is equal to masturbating instead of getting the real deal. It's just fantasy

 

I'm sure you've never slapped the haddock with the other women  on your mind..That ain't fantasy.  I know when to get out of ETF's do you? My secret...

by merehuman
on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 00:16
#228060

Does this imply Master Bates is still a virgin, therefore his name.

Alas the boy has never held a gold coin in his hand! Indeed a virgin to the economic life.

by Meridian
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:22
#227952

Wow it was nice to read thirteen posts in a row not polluted with the rantings of legend-in-his-own-mind Master Bates. I could care less whether you argue for or against gold, but his self-important droning has really become tedious.

by Brahms Third Racket
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:39
#227966

That's why he leads the league in getting junked. What he chooses to ignore is that several regular commenters make the same call as he does and never get junked.  One doesn't get junked for having a particular opinion. You get junked for being an assclown. 

by drwells
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:26
#227954

Wow, it's been almost two months since I've had to bring this out.

A gold bubble? That would be terrific, thank you. Please let me know when we have the following in place:

A $250K/$500K capital gains tax exemption on gold (as opposed to taxing all capital gains in gold at the higher short-term tax rate, regardless of how long it's been held).

A "President's Working Group on Gold Markets" to support the gold market in the event of sudden sell-offs.

A tax deduction for interest on margin debt used to buy gold.

A "Federal National Gold Association" and "Government National Gold Association" who use taxpayer money to purchase margin debt used to buy gold.

Thousands of government boondoggles at the federal, state, county, and city level to promote "The American Dream of Gold Ownership".

It should be possible to buy physical gold, or to go long on gold futures, on 0% margin. There should be thousands more government programs to "help people keep their gold" and prevent repossession of physical gold when buyers default on their payments.

A "National Association of Goldsters" who collect a 6% commission on all gold sales and whose sole purpose in life is to chant "They're not making any more gold", "Gold never goes down", and "Buy gold now or be priced out forever". This NAG should be one of the most powerful lobbies in America, and their members should be quoted by the media as though they (1) are disinterested parties and (2) know a fucking thing about economics, or, for that matter, anything else.

Individual retirement plans and pensions invested wholly in gold, so that supporting the price of gold becomes a matter of national security. Any hint of a gold price crash should lead to congressional hearings and SEC investigations.

Anyone who shorts gold futures should be decried as "un-American" and a cowardly leech who profits off others' misfortunes and deserves to be destroyed by short squeezes. Most importantly, anyone who complains that gold is overpriced should be derided as a "bitter fiater" who missed the rally and, furthermore, can't get laid.

by Mr. Mandelbrot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:32
#227960

This is awesome!!!  Thanks for posting!!!!!

by i.knoknot
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 23:11
#228003

while i like gold... i love perspective.

nicely done - i'm saving this one.

by rebank (not verified)
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:59
#227993

The worst of the crisis is to come: http://www.iamned.com
Dollars are your only safe bet

by Anonymous
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 23:01
#227995

Bates,

I have part of my assets in precious metals, especially gold. My reason is that it is the ultimate hedge against complete destruction of the dollar, which I think is quite possible. Our society is insolvent. Instead of allowing free market forces to clear out the rot by allowing banks to fail and then dissolving the toxic debt, our government is putting that debt onto the back of the taxpayers. However, they can't put it on the back of the taxpayers NOW otherwise they'd kill the main economy, so the treasury is borrowing to the tune of about $1.4 million/year, an amount that the government says will continue for the next several years. Now tack on entitlement obligations to the tune of $30 to $100 trillion over the next decade. For good measure, add the backstopping of Fannie and Freddie plus the trash the Federal Reserve is accumulating. The government is essentially destroying itself and the dollar along with it. In the end they'll have a choice, print money to pay the debts off or socialize everything. In either case, its my contention that we're going to end up with a robust black market. And guess what the currency will be in that black market. This already happening. There was a court case (in PA I think) where a business man paid his employees in gold dollars, but declared the face value ($50/oz) of those gold coins to the IRS. The IRS didn't care for that so much so they took him to court. The court rule in favor of the businessman!! I am in the market for a boat and talked to an invidual that agreed to take gold for it. Imagine people loathing how the government is taking their hard earned money to pay bills it should have never taken on. My guess is people will look for ways to cheat the tax man. To you gold might be just a commodity, but stick a gold ring on your wife's/girlfriend's/boyfriend's finger and see if you get some mileage out of it. The fact of the matter is that women like to wear forms of wealth, and men like the security of knowing that assets they hold have intrinsic value. You may have never bought a gold chain for your neck, but go to India where weddings are rated by how much gold is wrapped around the bride. Of course, men are driven by sexuality and women by security and displays of wealth, aka, the ultimate trade-off in every marriage.

by lsbumblebee
on Thu, 02/11/2010 - 23:13
#228007

Sssshh! I'm reading Tyler's mind! Wha? huh?..."Damn I love it when I come up with these posts that get 2,000 comments. Now maybe I can get 4 hours of sleep tonight....ZZZZZZZZZZZZhedge."  

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