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Commitment Of Traders Update: Week Ending September 10

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Presenting the visual CFTC Commitment of Traders summary update for the prior week, courtesy of Libanman Futures and Horowitz and Company.

COT non-financial:

 

COT financial:

 

COT key products:

 

 

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Fri, 09/10/2010 - 17:34 | 575084 ReallySparky
ReallySparky's picture

Tyler,

     Completely off topic.  Any comments or thoughts on King Karl Denninger's comments regarding... http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2010/2010-167.htm and how this will affect the next flash crash day?

Fri, 09/10/2010 - 17:36 | 575087 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

Always did hate that word "Commitment".

Fri, 09/10/2010 - 18:03 | 575131 What_Me_Worry
What_Me_Worry's picture

And JPM just keeps raising the stakes in silver.  Their "Fold" button must be broken.  It's like they are at a play money table with unlimited re-buys.

Sat, 09/11/2010 - 00:35 | 575519 Bear
Bear's picture

That's because when they go all in on two pair they get their re-buys from Mr. Gov and we pick up the tab ... pretty good deal?

Sat, 09/11/2010 - 12:14 | 575706 bigdumbnugly
bigdumbnugly's picture

well put.  i'm probably a day late and a dollar short to this thread for any response but that is the big question i have concerning the whole PM market.

how do you beat that with anything other than a comex default? 

Fri, 09/10/2010 - 19:14 | 575232 putbuyer
Fri, 09/10/2010 - 20:52 | 575269 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

Nice charts.

Fri, 09/10/2010 - 20:06 | 575297 sax
sax's picture

Cheers for the update

Fri, 09/10/2010 - 23:21 | 575474 tom a taxpayer
tom a taxpayer's picture

Thanks for excellent charts.

Sat, 09/11/2010 - 00:16 | 575510 Mr. Majestic
Mr. Majestic's picture

I don't mean to seem dense, but how is it that the Net Commercials are ALWAYS short.  Always. Really? They never take the other side of the trade?

Sat, 09/11/2010 - 09:30 | 575642 hamurobby
hamurobby's picture

Because commercials are the producers and they want to sell their commodity for delivery. They "sell it now" in other words "take that price", and then deliver it later at what ever price the market is at. They effectively lock in the price they are paid for their product. If it is higher or lower, they dont care, they get their money they locked in prices for. For example, when you see silver prices surge to $20, and net short positions increase, the miners are trying to lock in silver prices for deliveries they will make later. You would think that IF they thought silver was going to $30, they might would back off and wait for higher prices to develop and then "sell" or short it at that price. However, miners are all about profit margins, not speculating with their silver. They are running a digging and mining business and a good profit margin is always a welcome sign to go ahead and sell their "future" deliveries "now" at a good margin. 

 

Sat, 09/11/2010 - 11:17 | 575682 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Good luck on the "delivery" part...

Sat, 09/11/2010 - 11:35 | 575690 Village Idiot
Village Idiot's picture

I am reminded of the raccoons that live around the river we go to. They turn up everywhere and anywhere lol

 

Edit: and they are ALWAYS hungry.

Mon, 09/13/2010 - 12:56 | 578643 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

We're like the cockroaches -- we'll be around for a long time after the collapse.

Sat, 09/11/2010 - 12:53 | 575719 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

That silver chart in interesting.  Banker shorts increase, but there is no increase in large or small spec longs.  Who do the bankers think they are going to wash out here?  Looks to me like Silver is in no danger of a successful raid.

Mon, 09/13/2010 - 11:36 | 578442 Grand Supercycle
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Updated DOW weekly chart:

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