This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Consumer Confidence Jumps To 53.5 In August From 51.0; Stocks Explode As Confidence Is 23 Points Below 5 Year Average

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Consumer confidence comes in at 53.5 in August versus 51.0 in July: somehow the fact that the economy officially double dipped in the month was lost on the 6 or 7 top CEO respondents in the Conference Board rolodex. Just one word can explain this one: Lol. At least the idiots at the CoCo retardo institute made their tail wags dog shell game seem just a little credible by declining the read on the job plentiful from 4.3 to 3.8, and there was even a decline in the jobs hard to get category from 45.8 to 45.7... but somehow confidence was higher. Enjoy your bizarro day trading.

Below is the chart of consumer confidence coming in 23 points below the 5 year average. Green shoots indeed... if by confidence one measures just how sure consumers are they are about to get royally raped.

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:33 | 555013 taraxias
taraxias's picture

"Reality is what I tell you it is"

Ben Bernanke circa 2010 

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:10 | 555014 LoneStarHog
LoneStarHog's picture

Tyler, this is what happens when you only survey masochists at the national bondage/discipline clubs.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:10 | 555015 Assetman
Assetman's picture

Recession?  What recession???

 

BUY!BUY!BUY!

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:12 | 555019 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Relax Tyler, smoke more hopium.  Ever little ting's gonna be ah'right.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:31 | 555072 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Grandpa got burnt.

Is he gong to be alright?

I don't think so.

Why not?

Well they don't fuck around at the crematorium.

It's too much pain and insecurity to feed the idealism any more. Shit's getting real.

 

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:12 | 555020 nontaxpayer
nontaxpayer's picture

Just noise. Gold will take a hit. I buy some. And have another Orval.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:27 | 555063 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Doesn't look like much of one: http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:14 | 555027 centerline
centerline's picture

Guess the algos are programmed up hard on a beat regardless of whether the world is ending or not.  It's all relative!  LOL.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:16 | 555031 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Rally on because the summer clearence sales are rockin! The Mrs. bagged several Izod shirts normally $30-$40 for $5-$10. What normally costs us $400-$500 to outfit the 3 kids...cost under $200. Makes me positive on the consumption side.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:19 | 555039 mephisto
mephisto's picture

Are those the clearance sales to clear the way for the winter stock, or the clearance sales because the retailer is bust?

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:25 | 555056 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Yes would be the answer....plenty of retail space avaiable here.

Living in Florida...there really isn't much difference between summer and fall.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 11:47 | 555268 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Yes there is. The lizards run 5 percent faster in the summer.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:59 | 555149 kathy.chamberli...
kathy.chamberlin@gmail.com's picture

Izod is shit, not worth $10. 

everything is shit actually, except using real cotton, wool, cashmere, silk etc. like the weavers in The Emperor Wears No Clothes. great story Hans C Anderson.

G R E A T

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:19 | 555037 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Stocks "had" to explode up since they touched the 1040 support line.  The technicals said so.....

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:19 | 555038 PlausibleDenial
PlausibleDenial's picture

Here's a good stock for you Pfizer, yep buy a ton because I just ordered cases upon cases of Prep H as I am currently taking it in the proverbial with this b/s market.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:20 | 555042 oklaboy
oklaboy's picture

Dow FV as low as 44 overnite, and ccccaaaboommmmm. upshegoes... need somma dat rocket fuel. 

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:21 | 555043 Borat
Borat's picture

Seriously, you have to trade the information regardless if you liked or not, if it is manipulated or not. It is clear that the 1040 will be defended at all costs. Shorting this market now is suicide. You need to wait for the next bunch of bad news.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:25 | 555054 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

 I saw the future plunge last night so I am fully expecting and prepared for a failure of 1040 today and an algo pukefest. If markets are supposed to be forward looking they surely have to be looking toward weakening numbers for the economy.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:30 | 555070 lizzy36
lizzy36's picture

Since computers took over the market, its forward looking nature has been reduced to t+60 mins (give or take 55 mins).

Paradigm shift. Get with the program, or get bent over by the program. 

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:40 | 555092 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Yup. Failed banks have been turned into government sponsored trading houses using taxpayer money to fund trades and cover any losses. All meaningful retail traders have been squeezed out. With that situation I can confidently say "There is no market". 

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:23 | 555044 Samsonov
Samsonov's picture

Stocks explode?  Hyperbole is good for spicing things up, at least to some limit, but describing being up 5 pts on the S&P as an explosion is way past that limit and well into silly-land.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:21 | 555046 TooBearish
TooBearish's picture

with no one left to trade but HAL 9000 vs HAL 2000 shorts will be fried, monthend too so Fidelity and Vanguard throw a few 100 shares in there to boost the ME mark....

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:26 | 555058 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Right, shorts only will be fried, 'longs' somehow are always ok. Yea.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:23 | 555047 Leo Kolivakis
Leo Kolivakis's picture

Ben Bernanke and the financial oligarchs are short ZH! Keep buying them dips, ZHOUAH!

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:26 | 555061 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Oh my God Leo you are such a butt plug.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:35 | 555080 Leo Kolivakis
Leo Kolivakis's picture

Here is something else for you shorties to ponder, what if they "manufacture" better than expected NFP figures this Friday? A total stock meltup will ensue. I'm not predicting it's going to happen, but it's risky shorting this market. Permabears beware.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:38 | 555087 -Michelle-
-Michelle-'s picture

It's risky to be in the same room as this market.  Get out while you still can.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:44 | 555111 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Yup. If you're  retail trader, you're thrown into a cage with an 800lb gorilla called "The Mangler". You may win 1 or 2, but lose you will when HFT ensures that they cheat you coming and going. 

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 12:12 | 555330 pods
pods's picture

Like coming between Chuck Schumer and a video camera!

Very dangerous.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:39 | 555091 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

You have been talking about 'liquidity tsunami' meltups all year, and we are flat. Boring, Leo.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:42 | 555100 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

the only difference between a permabear and a permabull is the second half of the word 

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:44 | 555109 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 11:36 | 555246 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Never short in terms of dollars, as they are being diluted at a rapid pace.  Shorts in terms of metals are doing quite well, however.

 

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:40 | 555094 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

I hope, for your clients, you already dumped it as it is falling off a cliff now.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:42 | 555101 Leo Kolivakis
Leo Kolivakis's picture

I only answer to one client, me!

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 11:22 | 555222 Boilermaker
Boilermaker's picture

I thought you were the last truly altruistic person on the planet...

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 11:38 | 555248 Rogerwilco
Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:25 | 555050 willien1derland
willien1derland's picture

I imagine the 6 CEOs that were surveyed were Larry Fink, Blackrock - Lloyd Blankfein, GS - John Mack, Morgan Stanley - Vikram Pandit, Citibank - Jamie Dimon, JP Morgan - Robert Dudley, BP - because they are all very confident that if they screw up Bennie & the Timms will throw more $$$$ at them -

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:24 | 555051 scatterbrains
scatterbrains's picture

I want to short /ES up around 1055ish but my self diagnosed ADD raddled brain keeps whispering don't do it what with the IMF about to bail the world on an unlimited credit line *sigh*

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:27 | 555064 willien1derland
willien1derland's picture

+1,000 - Game, Set, Match --> WWBBD? What would Ben Bernacke Do?

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:35 | 555081 TooBearish
TooBearish's picture

Shld get up to 58-60 ifn the algos any good on no volume today

 

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:25 | 555057 Number 156
Number 156's picture

Fake Data manufactured for the mainstream media. Bloomberg, MSNBC and CNBC to scream 'Glory glory Halleluyah' in 3.....2.....1....

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:33 | 555079 Robslob
Robslob's picture

The data was generated to "hide" the ramp in plain site...otherwise the commentators would have an oh shit moment and the gig would be up...

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 11:20 | 555216 Boilermaker
Boilermaker's picture

Precisely my thoughts, it's just a way to make the highly improbable somewhat 'plausible'.  It's just a sleight-of-hand bullshit move, as usual.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:31 | 555074 N Rothschild
N Rothschild's picture

rally, bitchez

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:33 | 555077 A_MacLaren
A_MacLaren's picture

Just wait until the FOMC Minutes are released later today and the concerns of unexpected uncertainty are spun into favorable futures fantasies.  "Ben is just a worry-wort", Larry Kudlow and Steve Liesman will be quoted as saying.

 

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:39 | 555090 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

confidence up from terminal to comatose

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:44 | 555097 ArrestBobRubin
ArrestBobRubin's picture

Well my Miners are doing great, up days or down lately, it doesn't seem to matter. These guys plus FAZ have been most welcome additions to the speculative portion of my portfolio.

Who says there aren't money making opportunities in this market? Only those who don't know about or don't play in the Junior Resource space. Catch the right exploration outfit at the right time and watch the price rise. Think I'm kidding? Check out the 60 day charts on a few of the primo outfits:

Timmins Gold (TMGOF)

Silverquest (SQIFF)

Alexco Resource (AXU)

Almaden Minerals (AAU)

Just become aware of when players like this plan to release the assay results of ongoing explorative drilling programs. Buy the right ones and hold until they double. At that point sell half your position and either pay bills, invest in another "drill spec" player with results upcoming, or better, use it to buy physical gold and silver to help grow that asset class. You're creating a feeder mechanism to use as you see fit. I buy metal with it and own more than I would have if I didn't play the miners like this. Either keep or lift and shift your original position as that Miner's outlook dictates.

Please look into this sector for yourselves, I think you'll be floored to see the ongoing opportunities and returns from select players. Many other EXCELLENT drill spec prospects can be bought low right now, so if you like what you see get onboard now prior to their next moves up. These guys look particularly good:

Otis Gold will shortly release drill results (OGLDF) $0.42 p/s

Northern Tiger Resources is beginning to move up (NTGSF) $0.32

ATAC Resources (ATADF) is $2.50 p/s, has very strong prospects

I own all of the above except for ATAC. I'll own them too but they've been a 3 week tear so I'm waiting for a lower pps to jump in there.

Good luck all, this strategy IS a way to see gains in this "market". In your face, HFT.

 

 

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 11:10 | 555181 kathy.chamberli...
kathy.chamberlin@gmail.com's picture

i bought thousand of dollars worth of Almaden Minerals (AAU). didn't do shit and went down. did research looked pretty sound out of canada, right. lost BIG bucks. just can't tell any more what will hold value. no more for me.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 11:46 | 555253 ArrestBobRubin
ArrestBobRubin's picture

Kathy, very sorry to hear about your AAU experience, yeah, that IS a turnoff! This explorer strategy is very much a matter of gathering good info and then timing WHEN to buy and WHEN to sell.

AAU was .90 cents 2 months ago, and as of right now it sits at $2.23!

I mean there it is in black and white. If that's not a good example of the returns available and the benefit of watching these guys, I don't know what is!

Give it another try using the guidelines I mentioned. Go with Northern Tiger...

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 17:27 | 556313 kathy.chamberli...
kathy.chamberlin@gmail.com's picture

no thanks, no more stock buying fore me. i will just kill myself when i run out of my money. i don't care. but happy fore U arrested. good luck in your trades.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:45 | 555116 Bartanist
Bartanist's picture

OK, so now the HFT Ponzi arb computers are running the CoCo index. If the stock market is up 3% then CoCo must be up 3%.

 

Seems logical to me .... the reading must have been taken mid month.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:49 | 555123 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Don't expect sustained rallies, don't expect plunges. The big failed banks have been turned into zombies that don't lend. So they've turned to trading to keep their big pay packages. They make money playing Ping Pong with the indices. Guess who they've got to cannibalize to turn a profit??

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 11:18 | 555211 Leo Kolivakis
Tue, 08/31/2010 - 12:13 | 555332 wiskeyrunner
wiskeyrunner's picture

Correct you are. The NYFRB does the heavy lifting, the banks tag along, more free money for the banks. Yes the banks front run the NY Fed every day. This is how the steal, and it's all done right under our nose.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:51 | 555131 trillion_dollar...
trillion_dollar_deficit's picture

TD, this site continues to be the best out there. But, your hyperventilating posts over the supposed disappearance of Zhou necessitates you writing an update post about how it was fake. 

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 10:53 | 555135 kathy.chamberli...
kathy.chamberlin@gmail.com's picture

americans, ridiculous people. hopium is right. numbers, you L I E !

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 12:09 | 555317 wiskeyrunner
wiskeyrunner's picture

The index futures must move near 1.00% per 24hr for the banks to suck out trading profits. The Dow mini futures contract moves 100 points a day 99% of the time.

Tue, 08/31/2010 - 13:29 | 555584 Miles Kendig
Miles Kendig's picture

The confidence game continues apace..

Wed, 09/29/2010 - 07:06 | 612139 Herry12
Herry12's picture

 

Article is very interesting,thanks for your sharing.I will visit this site.welcome to my site!.... cheap site hosting
windows web hosting
windows vps hosting

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!