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Consumer Confidence Plummets: Down 15% To 52.9, From 62.5 Consensus, 62.7 Prior

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The Conference Board is on fire today. First it killed the Shanghai after revising its China propaganda massively as reported previously, and now it indicates it surely has no credibility whatsoever, after its June Consumer Confidence number came out at 52.9, compared to 62.5 expectations, and a 62.7 previous (revised down from 63.3). And in keeping with recent tradition, we won't be surprised if this number is also massively revised down subsequently. CNBC warns to take consumer confidence numbers, when declining, with a grain of salt, and to gobble them up when rising, wholeheartedly.

 

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Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:13 | 441203 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

A little fuel for the smoke=fire? debate of yesterday...

http://www.debka.com/article/8879/

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:19 | 441226 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Best way to pull out of a depression....world war.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:27 | 441264 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Also the best way to levitate your 40% approval numbers.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:33 | 441546 walküre
walküre's picture

you and your family sign up first.

Idiot!

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:36 | 441560 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Do you mean Obama and his family or me and mine?

I'm not hoping for war, I'm just pointing out the signs.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:51 | 441625 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

I think Michelle is the only one in the family who could handle herself in combat.  Barry would only be functional if he had teleprompter goggles.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:09 | 441706 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

It's not gonna be war until they deploy the Raptors...

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:13 | 441204 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

"CNBC warns to take consumer confidence numbers, when declining, with a grain of salt, and to gobble them up when rising wholeheartedly."

Disclosure from Cann Hoe Of Hoe Brothers Management

Everyone you see or hear from has different incentives to tell you what to buy or sell. CNBC has a very optimistic viewpoint about where markets are headed because if they do not then advertisers (financial institutions) who buy commercial time (and place their analysts on their show to be interviewed) will not spend ad dollars.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:14 | 441208 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Thanks for copying this, CD. I was just about to do the same!

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:25 | 441255 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

What is it exactly that you're hiding in that hat? :>)

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:52 | 441354 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

An over-inflated sense of self-worth.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:34 | 441776 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Keep inflating my friend, keep inflating.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:21 | 441501 Dingleberry Jones
Dingleberry Jones's picture

I love that quote. 

One must always be cognizant of the agenda of the source of information.

Be it "reported" or "opinion", everything is distilled through the individual or the collective that is spewing it. 

Implicit, explicit; truthful or fabricated. It's all a matter of degrees.

 

 

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:14 | 441206 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Seems like somebody forgot the add the prozac to the tabwater...

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:15 | 441210 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

"B"-cups is just absolutely beside herself...at a total loss of words.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:27 | 441266 VK
VK's picture

I recommend she upgrade to tea cups

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:50 | 441620 SteveNYC
SteveNYC's picture

Could be time for her to change careers, if you know what I mean.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:57 | 441648 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Change careers?  We are talking about "Hot tub" Burnett aren't we?

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:08 | 441693 sheeple
sheeple's picture

what about Mandy? XD

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:19 | 441733 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Mmmmm. Mandy.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 13:10 | 441901 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

"Oh Mandy, you came and you gave without talking.  But I sent you away oh Mandy, you kissed me and shook me and da da da oh Mandy."

The accent gets me every time.

I guess we aren't the only ones that like Ms "MI5" Drury.

http://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://forbestadvice.com/Fanclubs/Mi...

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:17 | 441216 -Michelle-
-Michelle-'s picture

It's things like this that make me wish I still had cable.  Then again, it's probably better that we don't.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:38 | 441571 Cursive
Cursive's picture

Don't worry, it'll be all over youtube shortly.  The revolution won't be televised, but it will be blogged.  :)

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:14 | 441717 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

As long as the White House doesn't throw the killswitch... to protect the economy from bloggers who post negative numbers.

http://www.prisonplanet.com/obama-can-shut-down-internet-for-4-months-un...

 

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:27 | 441759 LeBalance
LeBalance's picture

I have been thinking about this.  Has anyone thought about running some lines along the national trails like the Appalachian and other such thruways?  Instant NPFO internet.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 13:04 | 441890 Postal
Postal's picture

I was thinking about trying to set up a stand-alone/syncronized Apache-MySQL-PHP (AMP) blogging server platform. Still have most (or all) of the functionality, but sneaker-netting the server updates (i.e., snail-mailing flash drives, dvds, etc.).

Much slower but would survive the take down, as everyone would have their own copy of their desired site.

Plus, there's the whole internet via shortwave/amateur route, too.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 14:48 | 442242 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

 Communities with clusters of routers can network lillypads.

A little Wimax can go a long way...

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:20 | 441222 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Que the CB to state that last months number forgot to carry the 2 and was actually 57.5.

Maybe the farm prices will help those living in the land of the unicorn find their salvation?

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:46 | 441822 fasTTcar
fasTTcar's picture

Things are getting tough, even in the land of the unicorn.

 

http://www.thinkgeek.com/stuff/41/unicorn-meat.shtml

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:18 | 441224 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

CNBC warns to take consumer confidence numbers, when declining, with a grain of salt...

It'll take more than a grain of salt to get down the shit sammy they're going to be eating. They. Know. Nothing.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:21 | 441229 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

The government is trying to regulate sodium and sugar anyway so you'll have to eat that shit sandwich with a grain of salt substitute.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:33 | 441292 Lndmvr
Lndmvr's picture

The more "bread" ya have the less shit ya taste.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:22 | 441236 docj
docj's picture

Hey, no worries - home prices, juiced by the last of Uncle Sugar's crack-mixture, rose a statistically insignificant 0.8% and Case-Shiller is telling us "it's all better" when it comes to RE.

So what's with all this gloomy gloom talk?  It's all good!  Rally on!!

Get out there and buy more iPads, sheeple!

< /cnbc >

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:23 | 441237 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

so what was that U of Michigan report all about. the economy is like WMDs, just cherry pick the data you want to confirm your decision.

there a number of older buildings in my town, built more than thirty years ago, first they were banks, then in they were taco bells, and then they were banks again, and finally they will be thrift stores i think

 

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:25 | 441253 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

The state of Michigan is entirely populated with douchebags.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:33 | 441286 LoneStarHog
LoneStarHog's picture

But their National President resides in Destin, Florida.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:44 | 441591 London Dude Trader
London Dude Trader's picture

UMichigan sells its consumer sentiment reports to whoever is willing to pay for that statistically meaningless garbage, and also releases them to its subscribers a few minutes before the official announcement hits the wires (ever noticed those moves in ES 2-3 minutes prior?) 

Who would trust that kind of organization?!?

 

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:39 | 441793 Nikki
Nikki's picture

Instead of wasting your hate on us Michigan douchebags maybe you could reflect upon the economic terrorists in DC and New York or the Chicago Zionist gangsters in the execuitive branch. Think bigger Turd.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:32 | 441284 -Michelle-
-Michelle-'s picture

Churches, more like it.  They're the only things filling up the empty retail centers around here.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:30 | 441765 LeBalance
LeBalance's picture

The First Church of Walmart.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:58 | 441652 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Homeless shelters.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:58 | 441654 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Sorry, "shelters".

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:17 | 441727 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

What else would you expect from an economy lead by a "community organizer"?

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 13:12 | 441918 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Zing!  Zing zing xa xa zing!!!

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:24 | 441246 jkruffin
jkruffin's picture

I bet it was really under 50, and they had to make sure it was over the magic 50 line as to not show the disaster it really is.  I bet we see 35 next month, which is very bad.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:24 | 441248 MilleniumJane
MilleniumJane's picture

Cramer say buy-buy!  So easy even caveman can do it!  Ugh!

 

On another note, this is proof that everyone is starting to hunker down.  I've noticed this all year long.  The company I work for, which sells specialty high-end lighting and hardware (not exactly a necessity) has seen its sales drop from customers here in the USA.  Most people are buying small pieces of hardware that they need and little else.  Our larger orders have come from restoration projects across the country that received grant money from the federal government and, surprisingly, customers from Canada.  As a family, we have imposed our own "austerity measures" and we are waiting for the last shoe to drop because I know that my job will be the first to go.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:30 | 441275 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Sorry to hear that Jane, but hopefully we can get the great reset to hit sooner rather than later.  Once reset, we will be able to build a sustainable economy :) 

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 22:27 | 443381 MilleniumJane
MilleniumJane's picture

Amen.  The faster and harder it drops, the more incentive we will have to make things better.  When I die I want to be able to say that things are better for my boys than they were when I was around.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:29 | 441271 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Welcome back to the future

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:31 | 441278 LoneStarHog
LoneStarHog's picture

I don't understand...Since there are NO MORE CONSUMERS, as everyone is BROKE...How can there be a Consumer Confidence Survey?...There is no one left to survey!

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 14:08 | 442132 RichardP
RichardP's picture

If the unemployment rate is 20%, that means the employed rate is 80%.  There are plenty of consumers around.  Their purchasing patterns may be changing, but they are still there.

 

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 22:39 | 443400 MilleniumJane
MilleniumJane's picture

Another factor in this mess-retirees.  Many retirees used to have enough disposable income to keep the economy humming and take up some of the slack but with the banksters in charge most are unable or unwilling to let their cash flow as it once did.  Pensions are being underfunded so we can't expect them to take up the reigns of consumption like they did in the past.

 

Gerald Celente said that people are going to be much more careful about how they spend their money and that the future trend was going to be for locally made/quality goods and organic foods.  I think this is a step in the right direction for a more sustainable economy.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:36 | 441296 Miles Kendig
Miles Kendig's picture

For those who are in the business of manufacturing confidence it must be quite a shock to realize that the con game does not follow the exponential growth curve in practice, just like the economic theology that gave rise to this particular con game.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:36 | 441778 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

".. it must be quite a shock to realize that the con game does not follow the exponential growth curve in practice..."

Call it "natural" shock and awe.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:36 | 441300 MarketTruth
MarketTruth's picture

Nothing to see here folks. it is simply scare tactics to justify QE2, which will be great for the stock market and banksters. You can bet Bernanke is telling Obama to launch QE2 trillions ASAP to reinvigorate the economy. Afterall, the big voting season is just around the corner and all that.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 10:57 | 441374 chindit13
chindit13's picture

The Conference Board had better borrow UMichigan's rolodex or they're going to end up on Obama's "Americans for Assassination" list.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:27 | 441521 Leo Kolivakis
Leo Kolivakis's picture

Consumer confidence correlates perfectly to the number of bearish articles posted on ZH. :)

(the masses are fickle!)

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:41 | 441581 Cursive
Cursive's picture

Just remember that I'm going to hold you to yesterday's "and make no mistake about it the recovery is taking hold" call.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:55 | 441640 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

Wait your turn.  I'm still holding Leo to his Hellenic Bonds call.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:14 | 441716 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

Does this mean my chinese solars are not a sure thing??

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:35 | 441558 walküre
walküre's picture

2 months of oil spill coverage will erode any little consumer confidence.

for fuck's sake this is not rocket science folks.

who do you think is behind the propaganda that is labeled "The Conference Board".

we're being played - again.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:31 | 441769 LeBalance
LeBalance's picture

we're being played - always.

There, fixed it for you.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:37 | 441563 London Dude Trader
London Dude Trader's picture

I hope Rick Santelli gets hired by Bloomberg TV soon, so there will be absolutely no reason for me to  watch those CNBShit charlatans ever again.  

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:36 | 441782 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

+3 on Bloomberg +10 on Fox.

I think the problem is that CNBC has a contract with the pits. If Rick leaves CNBC he won't be able to report from the floor. It would take a network with bigger pockets to cut the deal with the exchange and they may not see the demand from their viewers.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 11:44 | 441596 Remington IV
Remington IV's picture

Hope and Change

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:16 | 441725 Canucklehead
Canucklehead's picture

I think Obama really meant "Hoop & Charge"...

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:32 | 441772 LeBalance
LeBalance's picture

Code for: Opium and Ganga.

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:08 | 441697 Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

 

As first suggested on June 23,  looks like the equity counter trend rally has ended.

http://stockmarket618.wordpress.com

http://www.zerohedge.com/forum/latest-market-outlook-1

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:37 | 441786 LeBalance
LeBalance's picture

Wow!  Its GS again. Leaping into the fray, bringing us superior insight on the matter at hand.  Yes, and the content level of his submission in relation to the CCI is .... Zero.

Oh and this has never happened before!  I am at my wits end.  Is GS ill?  GS always has something witty to say. (Never).

Well, GS I will try to keep up with your repartee as it pertains to the article of the moment.

Ta ta!

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 13:15 | 441929 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

He is easily the best poster here!

He stirs controversy with wit, and makes gutsy market calls!  We follow his ever lasting light with diligence and reverence!

All hail the Grand Supercycle!

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 12:45 | 441816 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

'Consumers are fickle'...yea and bankrupt, unemployed, and foreclosed on. 

Tue, 06/29/2010 - 13:16 | 441933 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Exactly.  The game is fickle, the consumer is beat.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!