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Critical 55-DMA Support About To Be Taken Out

Tyler Durden's picture


Keep a very close eye out on the 55 DMA. As John Noyce pointed out over the weekend, this is the most important support level for the S&P, which has been above the 55 DMA for about 132 consecutive days. Should this be taken out, and we are about 1 point away from it, the freefall below it (at least for those who believe technical analysis) will make a few heads spin. Next support: 1,174.

As a reminder, here is why the 55 DMA is so critical: something lik 132 consecutive days above it.



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Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:42 | 1036382 CPL
CPL's picture

I have three consoles running here.  WTF is going on at the markets right now.  Is it halted?  Numbers from all three subscription feeds are fucked up.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:43 | 1036388 CPL
CPL's picture

Anyone else noticing that the baords are all screwed up right now?

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:45 | 1036393 fuu
fuu's picture


Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:45 | 1036397 CPL
CPL's picture

I think they just halted the markets.  Can't pull any quotes now.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:06 | 1036455 fuu
fuu's picture

I think it was just a data feed error/obfuscation.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 13:03 | 1036816 French Frog
French Frog's picture

it's always a good idea to have data feeds from at least 3 different providers, ideally each located on a different continent; i did notice a 5 seconds glitch on my US feed but my european and asian ones were completely unaffected

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:46 | 1036395 Catullus
Catullus's picture

My orders won't fill. Totally fucking liquid.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:46 | 1036402 CPL
CPL's picture

Same here.  TD, Think or Swim and eTrade are locked.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:50 | 1036413 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

My order went thru ok on a small account in Fidelity.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:07 | 1036464 Josh Randall
Josh Randall's picture

Is it snowing in your office ? Is today a school holiday ?

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:45 | 1036398 malikai
malikai's picture

Everything's crazy right now. Are nukes flying?

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:49 | 1036409 CPL
CPL's picture

Something is going on.  Can't find anything though.  network problems again between point A and B maybe


TNA would have been a good play today with the big drop on open though.  Oh well.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:50 | 1036622 Bob
Bob's picture

Great day for TZA, though: Pushing +8% right now.  Strange, with oil falling on a stronger $; it doesn't appear that the correlations are holding. 

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:57 | 1036633 CPL
CPL's picture

Agreed, considering what TZA represents, the market is hardly a bastion of sanity anymore.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:46 | 1036400 Birddog
Birddog's picture

my charts seemed to pause a bit...thought it was my connection

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:57 | 1036434 CPL
CPL's picture

Weird, even Forex isn't updating.  Usually the morning open and the USD/CDN is jumping around like a six year old after drinking a redbull.


It's like everything is out of sync...if that makes sense.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:46 | 1036605 chistletoe
chistletoe's picture

I was able to close out my GM short.


You guys must be trying to sell.

They will accept buy orders, just not sells....

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:43 | 1036384 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

The Fed will just double down on the POMO over the next few weeks. Remember that we're expecting the new schedule later today. Let's see if it's front loaded.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:54 | 1036423 Dr. Richard Head
Dr. Richard Head's picture

Exactly.  Technical, schmecnical.  Benny gots this.  We all need to go buy some C, BAC, AMP, AMZN, and AAPL.  This is a great Fucking Dip to Buy. 

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:18 | 1036507 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

No, they're going to "exit" soon, remember?  Can't you get your story straight?

Fed Gives Markets Clues on Exit From Unprecedented Easing

Remember, we have a strong dollar policy.  We give it lip service everytime we need to or think we can get away with it.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 14:14 | 1036575 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Maybe I should just close my eyes and randomly hit stock symbols and the "buy" and "sell" buttons. Or get the monkey suited up to play "Stock market shoots and ladders" like back in the 90's.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:44 | 1036602 RoRoTrader
RoRoTrader's picture

That is a very astute observation and right off the 55.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:44 | 1036386 gordengeko
gordengeko's picture

Looks like there was a reason for that tremendous volume in TWM lately.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:42 | 1036387 Tulli
Tulli's picture

Price target: 1.190 area, before the end of March, then another run up.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:44 | 1036392 X. Kurt OSis
X. Kurt OSis's picture




Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:46 | 1036401 Johnny Lawrence
Johnny Lawrence's picture

Why is the 55 so important, when it appears the same is true for the 50 DMA?

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:40 | 1036587 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Because the double nickel was institutionalized back during the OPEC oil embargo and gas shortages of the 70's. This is why the young traders are ultimately gonna get monkey hammered. They don't know about CB radios and "breaker breaker one nine", critical info to have in today's market.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:55 | 1036629 lilimarlene1
lilimarlene1's picture

Only get half of that, but the half I got was damned funny.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 12:06 | 1036651 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

10-4 Good buddy.

Ooops, that wasn't so cool was it?

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 12:25 | 1036731 cbxer55
cbxer55's picture

10-4 good buddy!  LOL   ;-)

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:47 | 1036403 Henry Chinaski
Henry Chinaski's picture

Looks like it hung up at 1299 for a while and recovered. Trading day is over now, but not too late to BTFD.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:49 | 1036408 Joeman34
Joeman34's picture

Yeah, who still believes technical analysis is worth a sh*t???


We'll probably close green today...

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:50 | 1036411 mynhair
mynhair's picture

I'll believe it when AAPL goes under $300.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:50 | 1036412 mendigo
mendigo's picture

maybe pimpco is positioning to by the dip

maybe its on

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:51 | 1036414 Boilermaker
Boilermaker's picture




Thu, 03/10/2011 - 12:06 | 1036659 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Yeah, getting all evangelical might work:  Pray for some help.

But the cavalry might "save" you instead.  Go, Custer.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:52 | 1036417 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

looks more like the november patern to be repeated to me...


Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:53 | 1036421 CPL
CPL's picture

Yup.  Going to make a coffee and see what this looks like in an hour.  Can't trade if I can't buy anything.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:22 | 1036513 Sig Sauer
Sig Sauer's picture

try selling first?

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:28 | 1036542 CPL
CPL's picture

Don't hold anything longer than a couple of hours these days.  All my positions are closed as of yesterday at around 1:30.  Holding anything longer than a couple of hours is a good way to get killed trading.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:52 | 1036418 Bansters-in-my-...
Bansters-in-my- feces's picture

Wow.....Nice.....Manipulation in a picture.....
Frame it on up.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:53 | 1036424 X. Kurt OSis
X. Kurt OSis's picture
As reported on Bloomberg: Dimon, Pandit, Blankfein, Ackermann Join Kremlin Advisory Board

I almost thought this was a joke...

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:12 | 1036473 AN0NYM0US
AN0NYM0US's picture

+1 great find


The article even looks like a fake with that mug shot of Lloyd - Amazing



Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:30 | 1036554 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

You couldn't make this sh_t up.....

It's very telling.

Only problem is, I don't know what it's telling me.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 12:10 | 1036671 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

They're buying up the whole country.  They have to go somewhere when they see the torches and pitchforks coming down the road.   New heli-pad installed on the roof of the Fed building to get them outta Dodge in a hurry.  Russia will welcome them as liberators, Cheney says so.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 12:32 | 1036744 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

did all the Bolsheviks ever leave?

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 14:26 | 1037115 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Don't know... don't care.  My Russian is rusty.   I lied, it's non-existent.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 12:26 | 1036730 X. Kurt OSis
X. Kurt OSis's picture

I can't get over this. Our TBTF bankers teaching a former communist country how to centrally plan the economy. We are through the looking glass... This is how deep the rabbit hole goes.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 14:14 | 1037069 Henry Chinaski
Henry Chinaski's picture

Brilliant!  Whose idea was that and what took them so long to figure it out?

Ruskies play hardball and those guyz better hire food testerz. 

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:55 | 1036430 johnnymustardseed
johnnymustardseed's picture

FED  will go long tomorrow

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:55 | 1036431 equity_momo
equity_momo's picture

Please dont tempt fate - the fate being stocks rip higher in a day or two.  Most sane people want to buy a bargain , not chase rapidly appreciating prices.  Everytime we think markets are going to start pricing in the real economy we get some nonsense out of the Fed.  Id love if it ZH could try to fool the Mocking Gods and post some positive stuff - then we are sure to see a "correction"

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:56 | 1036436 Agent P
Agent P's picture

Will there be mass protests in the Saudi sandbox tomorrow. 

If yes, I think I will watch from the sidelines today.

If no, than I definitely want to BTFD.

Any guesses?

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:58 | 1036439 Hedgetard55
Hedgetard55's picture

Looks like ZH missed the announcement by the SEC. No selling at lower than your basis price.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 10:59 | 1036442 Tulli
Tulli's picture

Of course that TA is irrelevant in a market like this.

Nevertheless, what could serve the interventionists better than a nice pullback over geopolitical risk to justify "further measures".

I can hear them already: we thought that QE2 was enough, but given the negative effect that the geopolitical situation had on markets, and the fact that it has endangered the course of a yet fragile recovery, we are now forced - against our earlier plan - to extend our support vi QE3, there by promoting the creation of jobs...

It's all good!

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:07 | 1036461 cosmictrainwreck
cosmictrainwreck's picture

absolutely. and failing that they can always scream "nashunul suckurity" and maybe make it illegal for ES to go below 1000....... or maybe require Dow to grow at 8%

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:03 | 1036446 alien-IQ
alien-IQ's picture

ladies and gentlemen, let's give a warm round of applause for our newest member into the club of pissed off nations people...Croatia.

The masses have taken to the streets of Zagreb, Rijeka, Split and ?akovo. As they marched through the streets of their cities, demanding change, they were joined by a large number of curious passers-by who were suddenly drawn to this spontaneous expression of discontent. The illusory “alternatives” of the official opposition provide little solace and now a wave of anger, action and revolt against social injustice, increasing unemployment and corruption, against the ruling class thieves, has swept the country.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 12:15 | 1036691 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

And more, sounding like they are from Wisconsin:

While they “heroically” proclaim themselves as our leaders, we say – No! The people cannot be represented, the masses cannot be lead by anyone but themselves and their autonomous organizations. One woman shouted at a protest ...: “You have to fight for your rights! You should organise meetings like this in your local communities, the system has to be destroyed from below!” And she was right. Only a truly libertarian spirit can end all the injustice that surrounds us. And thus we support, as we always have, and state as our own principles both in theory and action - solidarity and direct democracy, autonomous struggle and self-organisation. In these early days of March, principles so dear to any libertarian emerge slowly, but resolutely out of the frozen city concrete.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:07 | 1036447 savagegoose
savagegoose's picture

i see all major markets  down 1-2% and USDx up .6%

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:13 | 1036479 silvertrain
silvertrain's picture

yep, both the fste and dax are getting smoked..

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:21 | 1036515 william the bastard
william the bastard's picture

I see dead people

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 14:26 | 1037122 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Can I borrow your crystal ball?  I've got some horses at Oaklawn I'd like to follow up on.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:06 | 1036456 mynhair
mynhair's picture

Squeeze that dog doo NFLX!

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:05 | 1036459 ArvUK
ArvUK's picture

EURJPY hardly moved within its 25pt range all the while USD moved and Cable tanked.  Very strange.  Something is definately going on or being kept from public ears/eyes.


Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:14 | 1036482 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Reverse Repo?

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:06 | 1036462 Johnny Lawrence
Johnny Lawrence's picture

S&P still hanging in there... According to my screen... 50 DMA is 1298.5

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:10 | 1036469 stormsailor
stormsailor's picture

it would have to close below the 55 dma (actually, i've always used the 50 dma).  that is how charting use to be done anyway.  it hasn't really worked in 2 years.


even if it were to happen,  be careful. it could be an incredible head-fake opportunity for the plunge protection team to empty your trading account.  keep your powder dry, and your stops tight.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:12 | 1036475 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

This sell off is the equities version of PIMCO's US Treasuries sell off. 

The elephant standing in the room: Mr Bermunkey, are we going to have QE3? 

If not, sayonara twerp. 

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:13 | 1036477 clones2
clones2's picture

The 50 DMA is used by a vast majority of traders and its now been breached for the nasdaq, RTH, XLF etc... etc... etc...

Going to be a brutal next 5-7 sessions

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:13 | 1036478 savagegoose
savagegoose's picture

im looking at world markets on here


has nasdaq100 down 1.6% at 2295

djia 30 at just ovwer 12000 down 1.6% also

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:12 | 1036480 sbenard
sbenard's picture

QE3 and more Dollar devastation right around the next Quarter.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:15 | 1036486 savagegoose
savagegoose's picture

yeah gold and silver taking a thumping to, silver down %3, gold over %1 or 16$

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:32 | 1036560 johnQpublic
johnQpublic's picture

further it drops, more i can buy

c'mon gravity....

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 13:00 | 1036807 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

I backed into cash last week.  I knew somehow, someone was going to find a way to tamp down commodities and here it is.  I am staying my hand from buying DGP/AGQ here (my favorite table) though because it looks too obvious.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:15 | 1036488 Johnny Lawrence
Johnny Lawrence's picture

NASDAQ getting smizzoked.

Silver down 3% too.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:15 | 1036493 Hedgetard55
Hedgetard55's picture

Yes, the market is going to call Bernanke's bluff on QE3, one way or the other.Tthey can't wait to know until May, Ben.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:23 | 1036524 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture


Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:15 | 1036497 Hedgetard55
Hedgetard55's picture

Yes, the market is going to call Bernanke's bluff on QE3, one way or the other. They can't wait to know until May, Ben.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:16 | 1036498 Johnny Lawrence
Johnny Lawrence's picture

S&P is through the 50 DMA

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:26 | 1036537 Sig Sauer
Sig Sauer's picture

check the charts...breached 50dma just barely (like now) two days straight in late Nov before blasting off for another ~150pts

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:18 | 1036504 clones2
clones2's picture

Nothing secret going on here....  this pattern has set up over the past 2 weeks.  Huge selloff when the Nasdaq broke the 50 DMA.  Looks like the $SPX is too.  $INDU setting new short-term lows...

It's a purely technical breakdown...  The news is just noise. 

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 12:17 | 1036703 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

...said the fella whistling past the graveyard.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:22 | 1036514 eurusdog
eurusdog's picture

Bernanke just BTFD!

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:23 | 1036525 tao400
tao400's picture

Didn't the retail investor start piling in recently. They drove the market up just to take his money. what a fool.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:23 | 1036526 max2205
max2205's picture

Ben et all are selling naked oil in hopes of containing the downdraft...imagine if oil was up 5% today like it should be?

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:27 | 1036534 Johnny Lawrence
Johnny Lawrence's picture

Actually, I think a market crash is going to take care of all these inflationary pressures, i.e oil, cotton, etc.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 12:07 | 1036662 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

It will also make a good time to buy gold/silver as it will drag those prices down to.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:28 | 1036548 Sig Sauer
Sig Sauer's picture

does seem kind of wacky for oil to be down ahead of tomorrow's day of rage

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 13:10 | 1036835 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

Sig, I don't even bother to pound the table on this.  The Day of Rage is a twitter-induced fantasy.  Adults are still in charge.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:28 | 1036538 mogul rider
mogul rider's picture

The PIMCO sell was clearly bigger than anyone thought.

It is not like the crash wasn't telegraphed.

We all knew it was coming why are you freaking out people?


relax The Chairsatan went for a crap, he'll be back soon enough

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:28 | 1036547 savagegoose
savagegoose's picture

a major rush for liquidity?

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:34 | 1036566 mogul rider
mogul rider's picture

Yeah really,


You take 56  billion off the table and the world finally notices.

Man what a fucked financial sector and investor group we have today.



Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:29 | 1036551 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

The next support is when Lloyd and Jamie say it is.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:38 | 1036583 earlthepearl
earlthepearl's picture


Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:31 | 1036553 mogul rider
mogul rider's picture

Like some of us said, the flations will be sporadic based on the Japanese model

The new inflation fighter in the Fed arsenal is deflationary collapses intermixed with 1000 dollar corn and 10,000 dollar silver.

No worries just buy and sell as you fly by your targets either way. You won't hit your sell or buy but at least you'll feel like you are on a thrill ride.

Whatever you do though, don't pretend that you actually know what the fuck they are doing.

Cause you don't

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:35 | 1036568 QuantumCat
QuantumCat's picture

The DJIA (/YM) held above it's 55 day... if it breaks(11,911), you have confrimation across all major indices.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:35 | 1036573 paddy0761
paddy0761's picture

Well the 1297 55Day MVA may have been taken out, but the Feb 24 low of 1294 has held so far. Unless that gets taken out, I don't think you'll see any real fireworks.


If 1294 does get taken out, it might get interesting.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:47 | 1036612 stormsailor
stormsailor's picture

back in the day, i would have set a /es short at 1294.50 with a stop out at 1295.50. right now,  if it breaks up, i loose a point, but if she breaks down its money time.


i called it an "ambush"

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:54 | 1036626 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

the maggots can see your stops.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 13:13 | 1036842 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

+1 buzzsaw hence no more electronic stops for me.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 11:53 | 1036627 Johnny Lawrence
Johnny Lawrence's picture

And with that, you would have been stopped out.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 12:08 | 1036661 stormsailor
stormsailor's picture

back in the day, i wouldn't have physically set a stop, but would have the buy set and ready to execute. so they couldn't see to sweep me. bad i know, sometimes you take a huge candle right in the bunghole.  but if you hit 2 out of 5 in a day, you could make good money

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 12:35 | 1036755 walküre
walküre's picture

Last ditch attempt at trying to save a sinking currency.

Pull the plug on the markets in a concerted effort, drive down commodities and pray, hope that investors pile back into UST, or any USD backed paper in their precarious "flight to safety".

The dead cat bounce is out of the bag. The USD is fucked and nobody wants it anymore.

US is broke on federal, state and municipal levels.

Trade accordingly.

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 13:02 | 1036808 HedgeFundLIVE
HedgeFundLIVE's picture

not a fan of using DMA, but that said... i'll say THIS again, as hopefully this time i'll get a better response- short this market! names i'm looking to short:

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 13:06 | 1036825 Armando Javier ...
Armando Javier Finkeltein of the Boise Finkelsteins's picture

I think the 63 1/4 day average is more important.  Or maybe the 69.

The head and shoulder formation has lost revelance.  The head,cock and pussy pattern is much more powerful and reliable.  The inverted is infallible.  If you are in postion for the inverted you can't lose

Thu, 03/10/2011 - 13:07 | 1036826 paddy0761
paddy0761's picture


This charade is not over; yet. The SPX is holding above 1294 and the HUI is holding above 530. Inflation is still in control, although the grip is tenuous.

Spot gold would have to trade below 1308 to even raise an eyebrow.

This action is a total yawn. The DXY is a complete irrelevance below 79. Below that level, it is a one way ticket south.

Above that level, you'd better get out Grandma's recipe for grass soup.

so I think.


Thu, 03/10/2011 - 13:58 | 1037008 Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

The very overdue Wile E. Coyote correction has arrived and a substantial leg down has begun in my opinion.


Thu, 03/10/2011 - 14:10 | 1037042 Hugh_Jorgan
Hugh_Jorgan's picture

I love that chart...

Naw... There's no Viagra in use's all, REALLY!


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