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The Curious Case of the Fed Analyst Fired After Asking Too Many Questions

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Why was William Bergman, analyst with the Chicago Fed for 14 years, fired? Was it because he asked too many questions on a sensitive issue? We don't know, but Jr. Deputy Accountant is investigating and will keep us informed. Unless she disappears (oh no!), in which case we'll have to draw our own conclusions.  - Ilene  

The Curious Case of the Fed Analyst Fired After Asking Too Many Questions

Courtesy of Jr. Deputy Accountant

Ed. note: the following might a bit long and F-bomb lite for regular JDA readers. I ask you to overlook that, grab a beer, get comfy and read anyway. 

Before we get into the story of William Bergman, an analyst with the Chicago Fed for 14 years of his life, we need to get the background on the story he was sniffing out.

Some of his work at the Chicago Fed includes The New Midwest in Recession and RecoveryThe Revival of the Rust Belt: Fleeting Fancy or Durable Good? and 1995 Economic Outlook: 1994 Will Be a Tough Act to Follow. Without calling him bland (we'd never be so rude), let's just say he was good at his job, which as a Fed analyst is to pump out quality droll nonsense that appeals only to central bankers and economy nerds. It's a tough job but someone's got to do it.

On August 2, 2001, a non-routine letter went out from the Fed Board of Governors to the 12 regional banks. The letter reminded them that "among other things, the review of SARs assists in the identification of potential supervisory issues at banking organizations, provides information for determining compliance with relevant laws and regulations, and provides useful information on suspicious activity being identified by the reporting institutions."

Suspicious Activity Reports (here's what one looks like), while not specific to terrorism, can be useful for tracking terrorism activity and financing based on reports the regional Fed banks receive from banks they supervise. The August 2011 letter went deeper:

Reserve Banks must continue to conduct a thorough and timely review of all material SARs filed by supervised financial institutions in their districts. This review is an integral component of the supervisory function. A periodic, comprehensive review of SARs will assist Reserve Banks in identifying suspicious or suspected criminal activity occurring at or through supervised financial institutions; provide the information necessary to assess the procedures and controls used by the reporting institutions to identify, monitor, and report violations and suspicious illicit activities; and assist in the assessment of the adequacy of anti-money laundering programs.

So when, in his official capacity as an analyst at the Chicago Fed, Bergman was asked to consider a money laundering assignment (investigating, not doing), a long winding road of dot connecting led him to the August 2, 2001 letter issued by the Board. In the course of his research, he found it appropriate to contact the Board and ask about the non-routine and completely sketchy but seemingly innocuous letter.

His research also brought him to the third largest increase in the currency component of M1 (that's "money" as most of us define it, though this "money" in particular - about $5 billion above the average monthly increase - happened to be made up of a lot of $100 bills) since 1947. When did that event occur? July and August of 2001. I don't need to remind any of you what happened just one month later.

Bergman writes via Sanders Research Associates (remember, research and analysis is and was his job):

The Federal Reserve-reported data on currency in circulation dates to 1947. If you compute the growth rate for each month, you can find (in the ‘seasonally adjusted’ data) the three fastest-growing months. The fastest growing month for the currency in the 700 months since 1947 was in

– December 1999 — right before Y2K. This makes some sense, as many people were concerned about the quality of their electronic bank deposits. In addition, however, note that there were significant “millennium” terrorist threats arising at that time.

– The second fastest-growing month for currency in circulation was January 1991 — the onset of U.S. affirmative military action in Gulf War I and, perhaps very importantly, an important enforcement month in the Bank of Credit and Commerce International money laundering scandal.

– The third fastest-growing month for currency in circulation since 1947 was August 2001. It’s not like July 2001 was weak, either — there was a significantly above-average increase in July 2001 as well. In the ‘non-seasonally-adjusted’ numbers (data that are not statistically adjusted for within-year seasonal trends), the increase in currency in circulation from June to August 2001 is the largest single June-August increase since 1947.

Much of the July-August 2001 surge in currency (over $5 billion above-average) seems to have been in the $100 denomination. Did ‘wartime hoarding’ play a role in the surge in currency in July and August 2001?

The official line regarding the currency increase has something to do with a currency crisis in Argentina but Bergman doesn't necessarily buy that excuse:

“Just because there was a crisis in Argentina doesn’t foreclose other possibilities. The letter said the crisis is ‘largely’ explained by Argentina. Assume the above increase in public data was $5 billion and if 80 percent is largely explained that still leaves $1 billion perhaps unexplained. That seems to be material,” Bergman said. “It is possible the people (terrorists) suspected their assets were going to get frozen and they rushed to liquidate them. . . One very wealthy person could have contributed to that spike.”

When the Government Accountability Project asked the same question, they received a fairly straight-forward answer from then-Director of the Federal Reserve's Division of Monetary Affairs, Vincent R. Reinhart. Reinhart retired from the Fed just a few months after issuing the following in a April 19, 2006 letter to Adam Miles and Thomas Devine of the Government Accountability Project:

As you noted, the change between June and August 2001 of the currency component of the money stock was the largest recorded since 1947. This change, however, is largely explained by a surge in net shipments of U.S. currency to Argentina in response to a major financial crisis affecting that country. Absent the shipments to Argentina, the increase in currency over these months would have been within its typical range.

What did asking the Board about the August 2, 2001 letter get Bergman? Fired.

The official story is that Bergman's position was eliminated in a reshuffling at the Chicago Fed, though that excuse feels just as fishy as the Argentina one.

Though the Muckraker Report is no longer more than an archive, a copy of the Bergman material it covered may be found here and is recommended for additional reading on the subject.

The August 2, 2001 supervisory letter and the surge in currency growth in July and August 2001 go unmentioned in the final report of the 9/11 Commission. To date, Bergman is still seeking a satisfactory answer to his very reasonable question. If anyone can provide any insight, they are welcome to get in touch

We will continue digging into this and let you know if we find anything new. And if you don't hear anything from me, you know for sure they came to pick up poor little JDA in the chauffeured black helicopter. 

 

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Tue, 04/05/2011 - 10:51 | 1136744 breezer1
breezer1's picture

anybody else hear of the $100 billion chinese boxes where all the cash was dated 1947. ???

Tue, 04/05/2011 - 07:45 | 1136024 lordbyroniv
lordbyroniv's picture

Hope you guessed my name, oh yeah
But what's confusing you
Is just the nature of my game
Just as every cop is a criminal
And all the sinners saints
As heads is tails
Just call me lucifer
Cause Im in need of some restraint
So if you meet me
Have some courtesy
Have some sympathy, and some taste
Use all your well-learned politesse
Or I'll lay your soul to waste, um yeah
Pleased to meet you
Hope you guessed my name, um yeah

Tue, 04/05/2011 - 08:08 | 1136074 Golden monkey
Golden monkey's picture

It's true that good people are always polite.

Look at that one, piece of shit :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijL2EJqvrFc&NR=1

How many dead babies in Libya now, asso? Are you going to answer, fucken asso?

Expect much more courtesy around here (as the "good" cops told you already).

 

 

 

Tue, 04/05/2011 - 07:37 | 1136008 alien-IQ
alien-IQ's picture

This is one of those stories that by virtue of it's seemingly dull subject matter (accounting, lets face it, it a big yawn for most people)...may well be overlooked...but could be a real Pandora's box.

This is one that definitely seems worth following.

Tue, 04/05/2011 - 07:23 | 1135995 apberusdisvet
apberusdisvet's picture

I didn't believe any of the 9/11 conspiracy crap until I saw the "controlled" demolition of Bldg 7, and all the secrets contained therein.  If the videos of that don't raise a big red flag to even the most indoctrinated sheeple, then nothing else will.

No different than the coverup of the JFK kill.  The Ruby killing of Oswald was just a little too easy, coincidental, and even a professional sniper could not have pulled off what Oswald supposedly did as a lone gunman.

Tue, 04/05/2011 - 08:01 | 1136062 alien-IQ
alien-IQ's picture

Yes...if the story of building 7 doesn't cause someone to reexamine "the official story" they've been told about 9/11...then that person simply does not posses the "critical thinking gene"...Because it just doesn't get much more blatant than that.

Tue, 04/05/2011 - 04:27 | 1135910 Patrick Donnelly
Patrick Donnelly's picture

Drip feeding of info on 9/11, the badly choreographed treachery that would not die!

Some have decided that this issue will be a Moby for someone to perish by? I almost feel sorry for them!

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 21:20 | 1135248 knukles
knukles's picture

Oweeeeeeeeee! 
Well, what else happened on 9/11?  The Pentagon got Whamo-ed.  Where the plane hit the Pentagon, there were records stored relating to something like a $2.5 Trillion (?) of Pentagon funds that had gone missing.  Is there a dot to connect?
Funds go missing as in appropriations and if spent, then there were either checks cut or wire transfers made.  Either would pass through the Federal Reserve System (An unauditable audit trail?). 
And to turn those little talismans of riches into spendable items.... well, just sorta interesting, the coincidences that keep happening. 

 

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 21:14 | 1135225 hardcleareye
hardcleareye's picture

It would seem that there should be accurate records of the currency that was shipped to Argentina in that time frame.  What do those records indicate?  And why hasn't anyone looked?  It might cause some issues, that we have to act upon with our favorite oil supplier.

Tue, 04/05/2011 - 10:26 | 1136610 dexter_morgan
dexter_morgan's picture

One would think, but has Ron Paul and others ever gotten their questions answered about where all the bailout money went, to who specifically? The Fed does not seem to be very forthcoming in where about where their laundering, I mean cash infusions go.

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 22:08 | 1135404 gabeh73
gabeh73's picture

The records indicate that the US government lied about 9/11. Any other questions?

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 20:52 | 1135157 honestann
honestann's picture

And the predatory scams continue unabated.

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 20:24 | 1135065 Yes_Questions
Yes_Questions's picture

Is it possible the question was asked and answered already?

 

http://www.vanityfair.com/politics/features/2007/10/iraq_billions200710

 

Tue, 04/05/2011 - 00:33 | 1135704 hamstercheese
hamstercheese's picture

Excellent article, thanks for sharing.!

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 20:23 | 1135060 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

i hate this stuff precisely because there is truth in it.  "the first casualty of war is truth."  answer me this:  did the war machine win?  America hates this war--and all the new ones in its name. 

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 20:13 | 1135027 Count Floyd
Count Floyd's picture

Yet another 9-11 nutcase site, eh?

Tue, 04/05/2011 - 06:56 | 1135970 Golden monkey
Golden monkey's picture

You mean your chick is an unsatisfied nut?

John P Wheeler, now sitting in heaven, would like to know where you got those 2$ China made sunglasses that make you a blind (physical) silverless sheeple? 

(He told me that the chick is quite stupid too) 

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 20:46 | 1135128 NullShrub
NullShrub's picture

"Military's 'sock puppet' software creates fake online identities to spread pro-American propaganda."

 

http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2011/mar/17/us-spy-operation-social...

Tue, 04/05/2011 - 10:36 | 1136658 dexter_morgan
dexter_morgan's picture

interesting.....especially the 3/18 amended version

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 19:56 | 1134965 assumptionblindness
assumptionblindness's picture

JDA is a must visit site.  It would be great it Tyler could add it to the list of links. 

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 20:08 | 1135006 Cursive
Cursive's picture

Agree with this.  JDA is the missing Marla.

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 19:52 | 1134952 gabeh73
gabeh73's picture

Takes a lot of cold cash to get NORRAD to shut down it's defenses.

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 20:38 | 1135110 Yes_Questions
Yes_Questions's picture

Actually, just cold blood.

 

Ask Norman Mineta.

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 20:01 | 1134982 CPL
CPL's picture

Or a complete lack of it.

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 19:22 | 1134849 CPL
CPL's picture

Fishy??

Two fish in a tank.  One says to the other.

"I'll drive, you man the guns"

 

That pretty much summarizes the entire situation in a nut shell.  It's all double faced, double meaning and with a complimentary dose of surrealism that Dali would drop his jaw in wonder how a picture in the picture was so well hidden.

 

Mon, 04/04/2011 - 22:24 | 1135434 Imminent Crucible
Imminent Crucible's picture

The Fed's explanation makes zero sense to me.  Why would the Fed need to ship $5 billion U.S. to a South American kleptocracy that was having a crisis in its own currency?

Unless it was to make sure a special someone got bailed out on their investment in defaulting Argentine bonds?

Tue, 04/05/2011 - 06:47 | 1135966 Golden monkey
Golden monkey's picture

Maybe to insure an imminent 2% food prices increase in the US?

Maybe if food prices raise 200%, the sheeple will be on their knees, asking for more wars??

Maybe Cesium-137 can do a part of tha job???

 

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