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The Daily Capitalist's Top 12 of 2010

Econophile's picture




 

There are too many year-end top ten lists, so I'm not going to do that. I'm going to do 12.

I've chosen those things from The Daily Capitalist's perspective that I thought impacted our lives here in the USA. These 12 events created a lot of buzz, things we were all talking about.

Here's my list. What did I forget?

1. Sudden Acceleration

What I found fascinating was not that mighty Toyota slipped a notch in the public's eye, but the folks who made up stories of sudden acceleration in Priuses to get attention. Remember the guy driving 90 mph down the freeway in San Diego, ostensibly with a stuck accelerator, waving at people, calling 911, and finally rolling to a stop with the highway patrol there to assist him? The news went viral. We shared his terror of being out of control. The only problem was that he was lying. This is the Andy Warhol 15 minutes of fame/shame syndrome, a now permanent social phenomenon of our society. I don't believe anyone has actually proven the stuck accelerator theory yet. ¿Quien sabe?

2. BP

What can I say? The Gulf oil spill was a disaster of huge proportions. It went on and on and on until the kill shot/junk shot/slant drill finally worked. It was like a national toothache as there seemed to be no end to the gushing oil. You might well ask "How can this happen?" "Who is watching these guys?" "Why is there a $75 million liability cap?" Yikes! We had a blowout here in Santa Barbara in 1969 that kicked off the environmental activism movement. With all the claims of ecological disaster, we found that the ocean rather quickly recovered. I understand that Prince William area is different and they are still finding problems. But, the good news is that the environment damage to the Gulf, as compared to the scope of the disaster, doesn't appear to be dire. But, time will tell as they say. I believe BP should be sued for the fullest extent of the damages they caused. Obviously, the liability cap allows oil companies to ignore the risk of these ventures.

3. Haiti

In my article, Capitalism Saves Lives and Haiti is Proof, and Capitalism Saves Lives, Part II, I pointed out the difference between the fallout of the earthquake in Haiti versus the one in Chile. The Chilean quake was an 8.8 event, roughly 500 times more powerful than Haiti’s, or about one million Hiroshimas. Now, Haiti's loss of life, 230,000 is horrific, but in the articles I quoted Professor Don Boudreaux of George Mason University who said, "The ultimate tragedy in Haiti isn’t the earthquake; it’s that country’s lack of economic freedom. The earthquake simply but catastrophically revealed the inhuman consequences of this fact." On the other hand, Chile, thanks in large part to Milton Friedman, is the most capitalistic country in South America. Chile suffered 486 dead. The point being that you can have the strictest building codes in the world but they mean nothing without the capital to build according to code.

4. Obamacare

The passage of the Obama health care bill made few of the lists that I saw, but in my opinion it is the worst thing economically and socially that happened to us in 2010. It will be the camel that breaks our collective backs. It, like all entitlement programs, are wasteful, costly, result in increased taxes and poorer service, and are impossible to get rid of. Several years in the making, the bill was signed into law on March 23, 2010. I urge anyone who believes that this bill will not ruin our health care system and threaten our economic stability to read the many thoughtful articles put out by Cato. This bill tells me that the Democrats are still stuck in the New Deal and that they have no imagination or creativity when it comes to doing the right thing for America. It is the equivalent of have the US Postal Service overseeing 16% of our economy. Can't they think of anything else but government as a solution? Central planning doesn't work at any level, and nowhere in the world do similar systems work well to provide the best health care to the most people at the most efficient cost. Social welfare programs worldwide are going broke. That is where we are headed unless the Supreme Court starts striking down parts of the bill. If the mandatory provisions are struck down, Obamacare will fail and need to be overhauled.

5. Dodd-Frank

This bill was a vast federal power grab engineered by Republicans and Democrats to avoid any blame for the Crash and Recession. Hypocrites like Senator Dodd and Representative Frank have absolutely no clue why we had a housing boom and bust. They, of course, blamed it on Wall Street and Greed. Yet, since greed is ever present in human nature (I think the better term is "self interest") why all of a sudden did we have a boom in housing? When the Fed floods the economy with fake money, why would we expect humans to behave other than as they always do. The cause wasn't "greed," although many of the egregious problems were a result of greed; central banks are the sole cause of boom-bust cycles. This time it manifested itself in housing rather than Dot Com stocks or apartment buildings (S&L crisis). It would be an excellent exercise to see what role Dodd and Frank played in funneling money into housing (see here). Wall Street deserves blame for using bad risk models, but The Cause? No.

6. iPad

I see iPads everywhere now. It's like when the iPhone first came out. "Hey, let me see that," as you enviously play with one while your buddy explains how cool it is. It is a great gadget and no doubt the future of portable computing. I have an iPhone which I love and at this point don't want to carry around an iPad in addition to the phone. I do notice that my friends who have iPads are carrying them around less and less. But they are cool and useful for certain purposes. Me? I bought a Kindle and love it. I try to not buy books any more. It and devices like it will end the paper book one day.

7. Unemployment

This is the constant background, the wallpaper, for the Obama Administration. It is my opinion that it will remain high for quite a while. How high? How long? I don't know, but I don't see economic forces yet that would significantly reduce it below 9%. While economists will talk about recovery, everyone knows that until unemployment starts going down as a trend, recovery is not just around the corner. The Obama Administration came in, appearing rather cocky to me, brimming with confidence in their Keynesian nostrums. Those have failed them and us. This is Obama's political Achilles' heel. If he can't make a significant dent in unemployment before the 2012 election, he's in trouble.

8. Quantitative Easing

This is the Administration's last ditch effort to stimulate the economy. It tried ZIRP (zero interest rate policy), easing up reserve requirements, the Recovery Act, Cash for [your industry here], tax cuts, and a host of other things which have all failed. Now it is just printing money (despite Dr. Bernanke's denials) and distributing it to Wall Street to spend. Quantitative easing didn't work the first time around (QE1) and it won't work now (QE2). If unemployment doesn't subside, we'll see QE3, as Bernanke said the other day. I believe it will lead to price inflation and we are already seeing money supply growing as a precursor of that. I don't think it will lead to a boom-bust cycle this time around but rather we will see stagflation. It is disastrous for the economy.

9. Chilean Miners

This was the feel good story of the year and I think we were all moved as we saw the miners reach the surface signaling their joy at being saved. Chile had a tough year with its earthquake, but again they showed their competence in how they handled the rescue. I'm sure luck had a lot to do with it as well, but in my book the engineers get all the credit for making it happen. Viva Chile!

10. WikiLeaks

Julian Assange and his friends are either heroes or bums. Ron Paul, Reason, Cato, and the Mises Institute are almost unanimous in saying that the leaks are a good thing for America and exposes the dark underside of the Leviathan State. They vary in their opinion as to whether or not all secrets must be exposed, but in general the State should know that we are watching. I have mixed feelings. Since our Constitution allows the federal government to conduct foreign policy and war, I think some secrets are necessary. If it jeopardizes our troops or agents, I think it's wrong to leak such material. But ... If it exposes wrongdoing by our government, and I am thinking about "W" Bush and the Iraq War, I am all for exposing their lies. It's a mixed bag. But WikiLeaks was on everyone's lips.

11. Tea Party

Whether or not they have a lasting impact as a movement remains to be seen. While they were not the entire story of  the November elections, there is no question that they had a major impact on them. My information is that about half the participants in the Tea Party movement are libertarian types which gives it ideological strength. The rest of the Party are led by moose-skinning soccer mom, Sarah Palin, who has done a good job of bringing people together who are angry about the economy and angry at the Obama Administration. What bothers me about the angry side of the movement is that you cannot create a movement without an ideological base, and Sarah Palin has yet to provide that. The Palin followers seem to want their welfare benefits (Social Security and Medicare) but they don't want to pay for it. I expect the Tea Party to last until the 2012 elections, and I think they will have an impact on Congressional races which would help the Republicans. I don't expect Obama to lose the presidency because, (i) it is rare for incumbents to lose, and (ii) he is moving to the center in order to maintain his power.

12. Groping

This problem is driving our fellow Americans nuts. On the one hand they understand that they need to be scanned/groped to get on a plane but they resent the hell out of it. As such they are angry at the TSA, the government's attempt to manage airport security. What a boondoggle. Do you remember the debate about whether the TSA should be managed by private industry versus creating a public agency to do it? "W" Bush went with Big Government, a huge mistake. I sort of enjoy the drama because it makes people resentful of government. Like many, I would subcontract the whole enterprise to an Israeli company, profile passengers, and stop the insanity of groping and scoping.

What a year!

 

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Sun, 01/02/2011 - 13:10 | 842584 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

This message has been approved by me, President Obama

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 11:30 | 842489 Vendetta
Vendetta's picture

The cato institute is where I always go for thoughts.  Chileans owing Milton Friedman accolades tripe ... yeah sure, pinochet, death squads and 'economic freedom' are what that econ quack and his experiments in south America were all about.  Horrible article filled with economic propaganda, where's Jim Cramer ... for a break

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 10:57 | 842481 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Such a calm, sane, rational, almost 50s kind of list.  Right in all the details, and totally missing the big picture.

For the first time in my life, the productive class hates, fears, and despises government at all levels.  That is new..., and dangerous..., and it won't end well.

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 13:15 | 842591 Armchair Bear
Armchair Bear's picture

YES - A+++++++!!!

But as far as ending well - it couldn't end well without that awakening, so it's - all in all - a good thing - only it will be ugly when that disgust with government morphs into the action-on-the-street level.

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 11:16 | 842483 nmewn
nmewn's picture

"For the first time in my life, the productive class hates, fears, and despises government at all levels."

I wonder why?...rhetorical ;-)

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 13:21 | 842598 MayIMommaDogFac...
MayIMommaDogFace2theBananaPatch's picture

Just jealous... </sarc>

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 13:23 | 842600 nmewn
nmewn's picture

;-)

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 10:44 | 842479 Korbin Dallas
Korbin Dallas's picture

For a fine whiff of the gubmint fromage, I was "blessed" with holiday travel and observed our beloved tea-ess-aye on their slow-motion work-to-rule pace during peak travel times while under-utilizing expensive taxpayer-funded machines and invaluable airport space. If I wanted crowded, expensive, chaotic, inefficient transportation I'd live in Italy, not here.

Obamacare makes the Canadian health-care system look good and cheap.

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 13:12 | 842585 Armchair Bear
Armchair Bear's picture

I take exception to the "under-utilizing expensive taxpayer funded machines" - yes, the tax payers paid for them, and they are expensive, but if you want to get cancer and DNA damage for you and your family, that's YOUR business.  Most sane people will choose not to fly, next the sane people who really need (or want) to fly will opt out of the death-ray scanners...The Schleople will go through the scanners...

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 10:28 | 842470 Mercury
Mercury's picture

Chile had a tough year with its earthquake, but again they showed their competence in how they handled the rescue. I'm sure luck had a lot to do with it as well, but in my book the engineers get all the credit for making it happen. Viva Chile!

A lot of that engineering and technology was American.

Viva Estados Unidos!

http://idc-insights-community.com/posts/8ac2f1a44a

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 09:37 | 842458 Bubbles...bubbl...
Bubbles...bubbles everywhere's picture

"Sarah Palin has yet to provide an ideological base for the Tea Party"...HAHAHA! You got to be fucking kidding me! Is that what the Tea Party boils down to? You minus well wait forever if that bimbo is to provide for the "ideological base".

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 12:38 | 842540 knukles
knukles's picture

Most Tea Partiers I've encountered find her quite a hoot, great for entertainment and sound bites, but believe her to be solidly ensconsed in the modern neo-con faction of the Republican party.  No true old-line philosophical conservative, she. 

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 13:13 | 842587 MayIMommaDogFac...
MayIMommaDogFace2theBananaPatch's picture

PALIN == divide-and-conquer on about a dozen different levels

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 13:08 | 842577 Armchair Bear
Armchair Bear's picture

Correct.  But the rest of the schleople think she's great - plus she's "hot", her family is "interesting" and it would be a big "change" to have a woman (especially one who comes off as eccentric) in the white house, so she scares me - a lot!!

Sun, 01/09/2011 - 09:25 | 842445 Clapham Junction
Clapham Junction's picture

(D)

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 06:06 | 842392 BigDuke6
BigDuke6's picture

In times of contemplation... Ron Paul with Metallica.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DMUtv1A9IVk

 

Sun, 01/02/2011 - 13:05 | 842571 Armchair Bear
Armchair Bear's picture

I love that video!!  Ron Paul is a patriotic American and I don't want to hear anybody say because he doesn't come out for 911 truth he's not...he can't - yet.

The BP oil spill - it's still going on according to many - the gulf floor has been compromised and the GOM is dying.

Obamacare - an atrocity.  Nobody can afford it and if the economy doesn't crash before it takes effect then it will crash the economy.  Forty percent of doctors will quit practicing medicine is the statistic that comes to mind.

You forgot the "Crash JP Morgan - Buy Silver" campaign - and the PM manipulation exposed - this is going to be a driving force behind change & the death of the dollar.

Also 911 truth is getting a lot more air time.  I think this is going to also be a big deal = should be...

Another thing that was big was the public mostly turning from AGW to many scientists coming out about the coming ice age.  This is THE biggest news of ALL TIME.  Anyone who is living too far north is going to have to MOVE or perish.  Food shortages are looming - already.  The web bot reports call for 1.289 billion dead - and a massive diaspora.  This will come to pass I believe.  We shall see.  http://iceagenow.com/Food_and_Fuel_Shortages_Imminent_as_New_Ice_Age_Daw...

That's all that comes immediately to mind, but it's still early...

Good list - much food for thought.

 

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