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Decoupling Trade #4 Is Here: ES Now 10 Pts Rich TO EURJPY

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The trade that just keeps on giving, the EURJPY-ES decoupling is once again making its daily appearance. For the one trade that consistently closes its intraday "decoupling" day after day, here is your daily chance to rake in some easy money courtesy of the ongoing margin calls at corr desks who are too busy unwinding BP to care about this guaranteed (yes, yes) arb. And, yes, 10 pts is obviously relative: for those anal enough to index this trade, feel free to do so, you will get the same result. All joking aside, this divergence has been happening way too often in the past week, which we really can only attribute to the massive pain happening behind the scenes in BP and the drillers (RIG down 36% in last 20 days now). Buy EURJPY, Sell ES (September vintage), pick several easy bps, sit back and enjoy 4 out of 4. On the other hand, just ask Boaz Weinstein about "guaranteed" trades. And if not, we are sure investors in his most recent "basis" hedge fund will do so, soon enough.

 

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Wed, 06/09/2010 - 14:47 | 403925 Let them all fail
Let them all fail's picture

just waiting now.....thanks ZH for keeping an eye out on this.

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:01 | 403987 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

And the DOW slips below 10,000...................again.

Thank God I've modified my DOW 10,000 cap with changeable numbers.

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:04 | 403998 Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

The new one says

 "DOW 10,000*

* Approximate"

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:16 | 404040 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

ahahaha!  that is awesome!  velcro numbers?  ahahahaha!!!!!

"Hey look!  Dow Jones, 9,000.  Time to change the hat!"

I wonder if LiesMan sleeps/fishes/showers/poops with his DJ 14,000 hat on?

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:17 | 404046 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

Scrolling LED Badges...

 

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 14:48 | 403929 Joe Shmoe
Joe Shmoe's picture

Dumb question: What I don't get is how you know which to buy vs sell. If I remember right, the trade went the opposite way last time this divergence happened (last week).

Thoughts?

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 14:48 | 403936 Let them all fail
Let them all fail's picture

you are trading convergence, sell the one thats higher and buy the lower and you profit on the convergence.

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:01 | 403982 Joe Shmoe
Joe Shmoe's picture

Thx!

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 14:47 | 403931 jbc77
jbc77's picture

Been banging this one and will continue to do so, thank you very much.

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:04 | 403996 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Personally I think this is deliberate free money offered to keep the troops happy and in line. There are no coincidences in the market. None. Period, end of sentence.

The market doesn't move, it's moved. This is happening for a reason. I have a plausible explanation but no way of knowing if it's correct. But it's not an accident.

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 14:47 | 403932 etrader
etrader's picture

At least  the HKT & SIN desks have something to do on  the overnight.....

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 14:49 | 403938 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

I think I can hear crickets with today's odd day.  Some big movement is brewing, and today is the eye. I'm betting downward but maybe they are in the process of syncing the machines for one last massive short squeeze before the precipitous drop to the 800's.

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 14:59 | 403947 etrader
etrader's picture

Below 1063 and the boxes are upside down  for a push to 1036.

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:10 | 404021 stickyfingers
stickyfingers's picture

Today's June 9th, how did you get the chart for June 10th?

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:00 | 403980 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

Ya i noticed today ES climbed way above when the EURUSD pair was still not much higher than 1.2..definitely a divergence there as well.

 

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:04 | 403995 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

All they seem to have left is their stock market and their Dow 10,000. When that goes and goes with authority I cannot even comprehend the lies and propaganda they will resort to. Rest assure there will be much blame passed around.

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:06 | 404005 Muir
Muir's picture

RIG

 

42.26 -4.07‎ (-8.78%‎)  Jun 9 2:58pm ET

 

But I was assured by madhedgehog that if I averaged down, I'd be ok!

http://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/may_28__2010.html

"1) Buy when a Lynch Mob is About to Hang Them From the Lamp Post. "

_______

Well, to be fair, all the guys and girls at CNBC said the same.

 

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:08 | 404014 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

WORD

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:07 | 404008 QevolveQ
QevolveQ's picture

excellent timing ZH team, very nice

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:13 | 404028 Muir
Muir's picture

Boaz Weinstein

June 1 (Bloomberg) -- Boaz Weinstein, the bond trader who lost more than $1 billion last year at Deutsche Bank AG, has raised about $160 million since the end of April for his new hedge fund, according to two people familiar with the matter.

Saba Capital Management LP, based in New York, plans to start trading in August, said a third person with knowledge of the firm. The people asked not to be identified because the information is private.

Saba, Hebrew for grandfather, was the name of the credit unit Weinstein started at Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank in 2001. Weinstein, 35, lost money in 2008 after betting on bonds of companies such as Ford Motor Co. and hedging some of those wagers with credit-default swaps, contracts to protect against or speculate on default, people familiar with the matter said in January when the plans to start his own fund were made public.

One bad year of performance, especially when that year was 2008, shouldn’t preclude people from raising money, so long as they have a good pedigree and sound long-term track record,” said Peter Greene, a partner in New York at law firm Lowenstein Sandler PC, whose clients include hedge funds.

 

 

City: New York

 

____

 

Firm: Deutsche Bank
Age: 31

One of the most popular traders on Wall Street, Weinstein is also among the most talented. As head of global credit trading-U.S., overseeing approximately 100 traders, he still spends a good deal of time trading for the firm’s internal hedge funds and prop-trading book. A star chess player, Weinstein was also once something of a card counter.
Estimated income: $10 – $15 million

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:14 | 404029 bada boom
bada boom's picture

WOW!

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 15:15 | 404035 Bay Trader
Bay Trader's picture

you got burned this time as the pair is moving in the same direction. the 10+ points gained in ES were wiped out by the loss on the EURJPY purchase. Just when you thought it was safe to go back in the water...

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 16:42 | 404354 jkruffin
jkruffin's picture

This story should be enough to get the message across to America, to take every penny out of investments everywhere and stop playing with the crooks. This is what the bankers think of people:

 

http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Investing/Extra/american-investors-...

Wed, 06/09/2010 - 18:08 | 404559 BeerGoggles
BeerGoggles's picture

ANother decoupling trade has appeared after closing in addition to this one...

 

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