• Chopshop
    03/20/2010 - 04:48
    Phinance's phavorite political prisoner, Martin Armstrong, cautions that "the EU is in dire position", on the precipice of shattering. Since "debts will never be paid and interest expenditures are the greatest transfer of wealth in history ... Western society is falling apart ... If we do not act, civil unrest will explode. The current choice is DEFAULT or HIGHER TAXES & CIVIL UNREST ... Someone has to step forward to save us or we may be doomed. It's time to wake up for this is the future of our children and their children at stake. "
  • Econophile
    03/20/2010 - 00:41
    As promised, here is the complete article, "China's Fragile Economy, Its Housing Bubble, and What It Means To Us," in a downloadable PDF. You can download it, print it out, and read the entire piece at your leisure. The conclusions aren't encouraging, for them or us.
  • Leo Kolivakis
    03/19/2010 - 17:00
    Europe faces a commercial property debt timebomb with almost €1 trillion (£896bn) outstanding from the sector and a quarter of that potentially distressed. The UK accounts for 34% of the €970bn total, with Germany second with 24%. Not to worry, global pension funds are busy snapping up properties but do they really know how long it will be before this crisis blows over? And what if it gets a lot worse before it gets better? Are pensions prepared to deal with those losses?

Developing: Bank Of Japan Announces Special Monetary Policy Meeting At 05:00 GMT, Likely QE Announcement Pending

Tyler Durden's picture




Yen drops, Dollar, Euro surge. Yen - The Carry Currency, the sequel coming to a theater near you.

TOKYO (Dow Jones)--The Bank of Japan policy board will hold an unscheduled monetary policy meeting from 0500 GMT "to discuss monetary control matters based on recent economic and financial developments," the central bank said Tuesday. BOJ Gov. Masaaki Shirakawa will also meet the press from 0730 GMT.


 


 

One assumes the narcolpetics at the ECB will be next with comparable "spotaneous announcements," once they understand they are about to get crucified if the citizens of the Eurozone wake up and realize the US and Japan have both had their way with them all night any which way, after the most recent G20 roofie session.

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by bugs_
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 21:18
#147087

Benzirrah!

by Gilgamesh
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 21:21
#147092

by phaesed
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 21:34
#147102

Oh wow..... now it gets to a whole new world of interesting, Central banks are now fighting each other as they fall through a global liquidity looking glass.

You can envision it like Gandalf and the Balrog in LotR.... question is who is who.

by ghostfaceinvestah
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 21:52
#147124

Currency wars are just heating up.

PMs are going to go through the roof (well, really, they won't change in value, it will just take more fiatcos to buy them).

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 21:55
#147129

In simple terms shouldn't the Japanese stock market take off then with QE starting up, just like the US market did from March until now ?

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 23:32
#147235

Yup, just did.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 21:55
#147130

INdeed, the BOJ goons went on a wild yen selling spree. It would be nice to know ahead of time, eh uncle Hiro.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 21:58
#147133

first dollar roasting

now yen roasting

what else is on the menu?

by deadhead
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 22:14
#147155

i hope a few of the senate banking committee critters roast Bernanke's balls in the upcoming hearing.

In the spirit of the bustmas season, some revisionist lyrics sung to the tune of "chestnuts roasting on an open fire"

 

Ben's nuts roasting in the Senate room

Chuck Schumer kissing up his ass

Yuletide sales being pumped up our ass

and ABA lobbyists dressed up like crack hos

Everybody knows a turkey and some mistletoe

help to make the dollar look like shit

tiny tots in their beds, with their faces all aglow

merry christmas, you're broke.

by RockyR
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 22:05
#147143

SPX to earth: LOOK OUT BELOW!!!

by lsbumblebee
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 22:09
#147144

Play your little games Central Banks. I price my gold in US dollars.

by Cursive
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 23:01
#147203

"I price my gold in US dollars."

 

I think this is the problem with the PM trade.

by lsbumblebee
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 23:13
#147214

You take me too literally. My point is that it doesn't matter which currency is most debased, as long as you own gold.

by perchprism
on Tue, 12/01/2009 - 04:49
#147438

 

Gold is at $1296 this a.m.

by Anonymous
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 22:11
#147149

The U.S. futures are up despite this move, I dont understand this. And gold is slightly down. Why is Australia the only country that prefers a more valuable currency?

by DavosSherman
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 22:11
#147150

The world is becoming an insane asylum. 

by Comrade de Chaos
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 22:13
#147154

my poker face is better than yours,

that's right, it's better than....

 

duck & cover !

by stoverny
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 22:17
#147158

I wanna sink to the bottom with you
I wanna sink to the bottom with you
The ocean is big and blue
I just wanna sink to the bottom with you

by truont
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 22:31
#147174

FRN:  "Hey, yen, race ya to the bottom!"

Yen:  "Wheeeee!"

by Assetman
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 23:01
#147202

Yuan: "I am right there with you, worthless brothers."

by deadhead
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 23:00
#147199

see the nikkei just take off?  like a rocket.

....looks like the usual pomo job or 3:00 p.m. ramp up in the US equity markets.

we should all take our money and start trading the nikkei for the next 8 months or so if they are going to get on the QE path to fame, fortune, riches, and more!!!

by bchbum
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 23:19
#147221

If you think BOJ is going to buy equities like ours did in march and april (may, june, etc) that could be a good idea.  Probably should buy calls on EWJ?

by lsbumblebee
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 23:21
#147223

Yep. Here comes "Operation Delay the Inevitable for Another 3 Months". In the meantime we'll be packing our bags and taking the 3:10 out of Yuma so you suckers take good care and hope we didn't leave too much shit for you to clean up.

by Gilgamesh
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 23:41
#147244

Not to be too picky DH, but Nikkei takes a long lunch break - and during that time the BOJ presser was announced.  So when it resumed trading with a lot weaker Yen...

by Conchita Buika
on Mon, 11/30/2009 - 23:25
#147228

This is how Pearl Habor got going.  Where is our

sixth fleet?

by Anonymous
on Tue, 12/01/2009 - 00:46
#147297

I doubt BOJ will actually do anything material - they'll likely mumble something like "we are going to closely monitor the situation in the coming weeks". The yen has already been weakened by the very threat of an intervention, i.e. it is likely largely priced in at this point.

by chindit13
on Tue, 12/01/2009 - 01:25
#147330

This is neither dollar roasting nor yen roasting;  it is a raw, Kaiseki-style meal, the Hassun and Mukozuke courses.  It's a hot day, the sun is burning, and the fish is beginning to go rancid.  Hold your nose.

While it remains to be seen what madness the Japanese will apply to this method, history reminds that they are not averse to the direct purchase of equities.  In 1992-1994 they dumped several hundred billion dollars of Postal Savings (Yucho) and Postal Insurance (Kampo) funds into a host of trust banks with the command to "lift offers".  Of course, that loaded the system with a pile of Nikkei 20000+ average cost which has yet to be dealt with, but since short term thinking remains the order of the day, we might see this again.  In addition, they hardly need to take out the abacus to realize the impossibility of paying/refinancing their massive debt in any way other than through the inflationary impact of money printing.  Has the time come for those long dated yen puts?

by CombustibleAssets
on Tue, 12/01/2009 - 03:06
#147404

Gold is going vertical.

by Assetman
on Tue, 12/01/2009 - 04:07
#147430

Perhaps.

As we see all this play out-- and again, for those not paying attention-- we are seeing a global competitive devalution game our lifetimes-- what do you think the Fed will try to avoid at all costs?

If your answer is "deflation", then go ahead and go all in-- because the money printing will go unabated, damned the unintended consequences.  And there will be many.  It seems like we're headed in that direction, and the antes are getting high.

But if your answer is "a collapse in the dollar", be very careful over these next several weeks/months, as the Fed may likely take actions that seem unfathomable right now.  The result will be some serious unwinding.

I'll repeat... some risk assets are way too overvalued if the Fed is forced to save the dollar from going down the drain.  This doesn't necessarily include gold, but gold won't be totally spared in dollar terms.

Just sayin'... there are no absolutes here.

by Michael
on Tue, 12/01/2009 - 04:17
#147432

Climategate, Dubai, more QE Oh My GODDDDDDDDDD!

by Ned Zeppelin
on Tue, 12/01/2009 - 07:19
#147469

How does one trade the Nikkei? Is there an ap for that? I tend to agree, if QE is on for the yen, the risk assets should rise to reflect the devaluation.

by loki
on Tue, 12/01/2009 - 07:39
#147475

@ Assetman
on Tue, 12/01/2009 - 04:07   #147430

"But if your answer is "a collapse in the dollar", be very careful over these next several weeks/months, as the Fed may likely take actions that seem unfathomable right now.  The result will be some serious unwinding."

Like what?  What other potential things can they do?  What more can they do?  I'm just a novice but I wonder how much more damage?

 

by Assetman
on Tue, 12/01/2009 - 11:50
#147756

Think about what the Fed has done to this point to influence a weaker dollar to ths point, and then think about them stopping-- or reversing it.  This could range from halting MBS purchases, to taking out banking reserves (including the silly MBS reverse repos), to selling Treasuries from their own balance sheet (upping interest rates), to reversing fx swaps.  There are a lot of strings that the Fed can pull to influence a stronger $... all of them will have a market impact.

Again, I realize this stuff is totally off the radar.  But I do think the Fed is very concerned about the dollar decline getting out of control.  We are not there yet... but the environment is setting up for it.  I think it's the primary reason gold just continues to go up, despite what we see intraday on the DXY.

What's dangerous about a dollar collapse?  Think of all the fx and interest rate derivative contracts out there and what a huge spike in volatility for both would mean for the global financial markets-- talk about a potential "fission-type" nightmare.  Conceding a brief period of deflation to keep your currency in check, while unpleasant, might become a much more palatable alternative.  People just need to realize the Fed may be faced with such a scenario, and sometime soon.

by Hephasteus
on Wed, 12/02/2009 - 02:26
#149014

It's not like it would be hard. All they have to do is pick from 2000 banks and just open up the books and go LOOK!! And stuff starts getting sold right and left. I mean thats like engineering a halloween spook house out of Michael Jacksons never never land. Doesn't take alot of redecorating.

by loki
on Tue, 12/01/2009 - 13:11
#147910

Thanks for the answer, Assetman!

I have been trying to think of what to do to help prepare but I can't even guess a time range, so it's almost futile. 

All I read is that "this isn't going to end well..." and it's got me concerned.

 

 

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