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Dollar On Fire, Is Short Covering Starting?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Major DXY component trade EUR-JPY collapsing as the DXY is flying, crushing the momo equity/commodity correlation complex.

 

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Wed, 10/28/2009 - 12:41 | 113034 lizzy36
lizzy36's picture

anyone else amused that it is the mcc (s) that are discussing breasts vs wings. 

the belly shot of the "anchors" was not so appetizing

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 12:43 | 113037 chet
chet's picture

That's what you get for watching that stuff.  You're a glutton for punishment :)

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 12:52 | 113045 Miles Kendig
Miles Kendig's picture

Lizzy.  Thanks for destroying my premise that CNBC anchors had a future as a Comcast channel 001 on demand feature hostess.  Those that do this job are required to stand, often in low cut tops that leave their belly's exposed.  Perhaps the CNBC anchorettes are in a worse position than I had imagined. BQ leveraged her position at the market high fo sho.

BTW, with so many folks on one side of a trade there is money to be made in a swing in the DXY.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 12:44 | 113039 chet
chet's picture

S&P is now off 4.5% from the peak.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 12:48 | 113042 I need more cowbell
I need more cowbell's picture

Poll: who has most repulsive avatar, Chet or Buzzsaw?

You guys are killing me :)

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:08 | 113071 chet
chet's picture

Yeah, it's a bit repulsive.  Yours is my absolute favorite.  Better than Robo's.

I just wish they'd let you make it a little larger for easier viewing.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:24 | 113091 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Can't you go somewhere else to get your fix? This is the internet after all.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:37 | 113111 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Can't you get your fix somewhere else? This is the internet after all.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:42 | 113115 meatloaf
meatloaf's picture

Anyone need a hug?

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:55 | 113129 chet
chet's picture

I don't hug strange meatloafs.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:48 | 113118 Rama V
Rama V's picture

They are so cute.  I just don't know - so sweet.  Could there be a family resemblance, maybe a family secret,  between buzzsaw and chet?

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 14:17 | 113153 jm
jm's picture

You got the best.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 12:49 | 113043 Mountaineer
Mountaineer's picture

Until we break the 50 day this still looks a lot like the pullback from earlier this month. We've been playing with 1050 for a few hours now, we shall see...

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:02 | 113056 MileMarker17
MileMarker17's picture

50 DMA is gone and the uptrend line on the weekly $SPX chart is just below at about 1046ish.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:27 | 113096 Mountaineer
Mountaineer's picture

Back to 1053, comfortably above. The entire day has been like watching a seesaw, with 1050 as the fulcrum. I suppose it will all come down to GDP. What is it Rosie calculates the market is priced for right now, 4-5% over the next year? If we can't even hit 3% with cash-4-everything and the homebuyers credit how do we hit 4-5% 6 months from now?

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:03 | 113058 AR
AR's picture

Dollar is entering its' first zone of upper resistance here around 76.60/80 area. It could pause. We're covering some of our euro shorts in this 147.00/30 area. Though we'll re-short on any bounces or retracements higher. Good luck everyone.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 14:27 | 113163 Gordon_Gekko
Gordon_Gekko's picture

Is that you Nic?

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:04 | 113060 Leo Kolivakis
Leo Kolivakis's picture

Bond vigilantes want something from the Fed.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:04 | 113062 waterdog
waterdog's picture

Oh yes, the chickens are on their nest waiting for the signal to lay golden eggs. Come on girls, rooster needs to replenish the resale inventory. Get back tax man, and put that ax away. You will be getting your chicken at McDonalds tonight.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 19:41 | 113540 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

McDonald's has CHICKEN?

Who'd thunk?

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:07 | 113070 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

The HUI hammering looks very bullish to me. Silver stocks even more so.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:08 | 113072 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

I posted yesterday that I had sold XOM a few weeks ago and proceeded to go short commodities and long dollar. For how long? No idea. One day, I'll wake up to the alarm clock, clap my hands, and say, "Today is going to be a GREAT day!" and close out my position in profit. I tried to make the point that Obama is going to PAY for all of his socialist programs. STEALING from the rich, mind you, but he'll still try to pay for it. It would be amazing if he could get US back into surplus for the next Bush to destroy, but that might be wishful thinking (Impossible, probably). Spending on social programs, Iraq II, and NOT paying for it was the Bush trade. THEN, it was smart to go long commodities. We know NOW that Obama will do everything in his power to punish the petros (see Green initiatives) and raise taxes on the thinkers and producers. This is not a recipe for dollar shorts...

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:21 | 113083 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

About a third of the demand for this week's 182 billion treasury auction comes from overseas. This gooses short term dollar demand by about 60 billion. Next week the dollar will be down again (I predict).

Thu, 10/29/2009 - 10:19 | 113997 AR
AR's picture

Anonymous / If you're still available to respond.  Could you explain further your above thesis and further elaborate?  And, why "This gooses short term dollar demand by about 60 billion?"  Reason: There have been many other auctions this year, and especially, these past 2 months. The dollar during this period, has not seen any real or sustainable bounces despite these other auctions translating into dollars being exchanged due to these treasury auctions. Thus, can you eloborate further your reasoning if you can, or is your thesis based upon "hunch" versus statistical data?  Thank you...

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:42 | 113116 Stuart
Stuart's picture

When QE supposedly ends, all other markets are under pressure.  The beast needs to be fed and the beast is hungry.   The treasury market is going to devour the other markets until spending stops.  FUGLY!

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:48 | 113122 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

There's supposed to be the biggest bond sale in history this thursday so it looks like all the money and metal stuff is getting pre-lubed for raping.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:53 | 113124 rr_
rr_'s picture

I'm watching the eurodollar contract to see if the issue is in euroland as it was in the fall.  So far the answer is no.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 14:18 | 113154 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

1.4670 is the spot to watch on the EURUSD. That is where the 55 day ema comes in. It has been strong support since the first of June. It has bounced off of it 7 times. Break below it and you could see a big rally in the dollar because that's sure to be stop loss land below there. And I see a head and shoulder forming in the S&P. Base of 1025, head at 1100. The left shoulder and head is formed. S&P should hit support at 1025. If it rallies then should be stopped at the 1068-1070 area to form the right shoulder. If patteren forms and it breaks the base should move 75 points lower to the very key 950 area. If that happnens I would be willing to guess by then the Fed will have announced QE v2.0 by then.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 14:28 | 113166 mdtrader
mdtrader's picture

200 DMA on the SPX is down at 916 and rising. I suspect it will receive a visit in the not too distant future.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 14:34 | 113169 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Late day VWAP regression trades ain't working so well anymore.

Short finger-nails

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 15:09 | 113225 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

The Bernanke put makes me feel warm and fuzzy with my GDX (even though I got hit real hard today)in the long term.

"Gold bubble" my ass

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 16:02 | 113271 time123
time123's picture

Yes, the U.S. dollar is getting stronger because GDP numbers are expected to show the U.S. economy has started the recovery. I expect it to strenghten against the Euro and possibly move lower compared to BRIC currencies. 

It all has to do with interest rate differentials and relative economic growth.

time123

P.S. I get my timing signals at http://invetrics.com

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 19:36 | 113532 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Laughing so hard at the gold bulls now. Pure speculation as predicted.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 19:49 | 113546 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

Interesting. The Aussie and Swiss Franc are being hit hard but the Ruskies are escaping the carnage. Go figure. Once we crack 78 there's going to be a lot of pain as this carry unwinds. A LOT of pain....

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 21:48 | 113626 Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

 

USD Index daily chart bullish warnings continue.

USD monthly indicator remains bullish.

More:
http://www.zerohedge.com/forum/market-outlook-0

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 22:13 | 113642 cocoablini
cocoablini's picture

Dollar up-delevering is a BITCH, ain't it.

Remember, no matta' how much the FED prints, they can't make up for the loss of private credit which is 13x public. And public credit expansion=currency crisis, not hyper inflation. The dollar will not devalue by monetary base expansion, but by lack of faith. This is the only way folks. Let the monetary base settle and inflation can occur naturally. The FED is just creating unpayable debt-NOT MONEY

Thu, 10/29/2009 - 03:40 | 113795 Bear
Bear's picture

Beware the Harry Carry Trade

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!