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Dollar On Fire, Is Short Covering Starting?

Tyler Durden's picture




Major DXY component trade EUR-JPY collapsing as the DXY is flying, crushing the momo equity/commodity correlation complex.




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Wed, 10/28/2009 - 12:41 | Link to Comment lizzy36
lizzy36's picture

anyone else amused that it is the mcc (s) that are discussing breasts vs wings. 

the belly shot of the "anchors" was not so appetizing

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 12:43 | Link to Comment chet
chet's picture

That's what you get for watching that stuff.  You're a glutton for punishment :)

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 12:52 | Link to Comment Miles Kendig
Miles Kendig's picture

Lizzy.  Thanks for destroying my premise that CNBC anchors had a future as a Comcast channel 001 on demand feature hostess.  Those that do this job are required to stand, often in low cut tops that leave their belly's exposed.  Perhaps the CNBC anchorettes are in a worse position than I had imagined. BQ leveraged her position at the market high fo sho.

BTW, with so many folks on one side of a trade there is money to be made in a swing in the DXY.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 12:44 | Link to Comment chet
chet's picture

S&P is now off 4.5% from the peak.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 12:48 | Link to Comment I need more cowbell
I need more cowbell's picture

Poll: who has most repulsive avatar, Chet or Buzzsaw?

You guys are killing me :)

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:08 | Link to Comment chet
chet's picture

Yeah, it's a bit repulsive.  Yours is my absolute favorite.  Better than Robo's.

I just wish they'd let you make it a little larger for easier viewing.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:24 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:37 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:42 | Link to Comment meatloaf
meatloaf's picture

Anyone need a hug?

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:55 | Link to Comment chet
chet's picture

I don't hug strange meatloafs.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:48 | Link to Comment Rama V
Rama V's picture

They are so cute.  I just don't know - so sweet.  Could there be a family resemblance, maybe a family secret,  between buzzsaw and chet?

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 14:17 | Link to Comment jm
jm's picture

You got the best.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 12:49 | Link to Comment Mountaineer
Mountaineer's picture

Until we break the 50 day this still looks a lot like the pullback from earlier this month. We've been playing with 1050 for a few hours now, we shall see...

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:02 | Link to Comment MileMarker17
MileMarker17's picture

50 DMA is gone and the uptrend line on the weekly $SPX chart is just below at about 1046ish.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:27 | Link to Comment Mountaineer
Mountaineer's picture

Back to 1053, comfortably above. The entire day has been like watching a seesaw, with 1050 as the fulcrum. I suppose it will all come down to GDP. What is it Rosie calculates the market is priced for right now, 4-5% over the next year? If we can't even hit 3% with cash-4-everything and the homebuyers credit how do we hit 4-5% 6 months from now?

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:03 | Link to Comment AR
AR's picture

Dollar is entering its' first zone of upper resistance here around 76.60/80 area. It could pause. We're covering some of our euro shorts in this 147.00/30 area. Though we'll re-short on any bounces or retracements higher. Good luck everyone.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 14:27 | Link to Comment Gordon_Gekko
Gordon_Gekko's picture

Is that you Nic?

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:04 | Link to Comment Leo Kolivakis
Leo Kolivakis's picture

Bond vigilantes want something from the Fed.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:04 | Link to Comment waterdog
waterdog's picture

Oh yes, the chickens are on their nest waiting for the signal to lay golden eggs. Come on girls, rooster needs to replenish the resale inventory. Get back tax man, and put that ax away. You will be getting your chicken at McDonalds tonight.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 19:41 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

McDonald's has CHICKEN?

Who'd thunk?

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:07 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:08 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:21 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/29/2009 - 10:19 | Link to Comment AR
AR's picture

Anonymous / If you're still available to respond.  Could you explain further your above thesis and further elaborate?  And, why "This gooses short term dollar demand by about 60 billion?"  Reason: There have been many other auctions this year, and especially, these past 2 months. The dollar during this period, has not seen any real or sustainable bounces despite these other auctions translating into dollars being exchanged due to these treasury auctions. Thus, can you eloborate further your reasoning if you can, or is your thesis based upon "hunch" versus statistical data?  Thank you...

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:42 | Link to Comment Stuart
Stuart's picture

When QE supposedly ends, all other markets are under pressure.  The beast needs to be fed and the beast is hungry.   The treasury market is going to devour the other markets until spending stops.  FUGLY!

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:48 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/28/2009 - 13:53 | Link to Comment rr_
rr_'s picture

I'm watching the eurodollar contract to see if the issue is in euroland as it was in the fall.  So far the answer is no.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 14:18 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/28/2009 - 14:28 | Link to Comment mdtrader
mdtrader's picture

200 DMA on the SPX is down at 916 and rising. I suspect it will receive a visit in the not too distant future.

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 14:34 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/28/2009 - 15:09 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/28/2009 - 16:02 | Link to Comment time123
time123's picture

Yes, the U.S. dollar is getting stronger because GDP numbers are expected to show the U.S. economy has started the recovery. I expect it to strenghten against the Euro and possibly move lower compared to BRIC currencies. 

It all has to do with interest rate differentials and relative economic growth.

time123

P.S. I get my timing signals at http://invetrics.com

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 19:36 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/28/2009 - 19:49 | Link to Comment johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

Interesting. The Aussie and Swiss Franc are being hit hard but the Ruskies are escaping the carnage. Go figure. Once we crack 78 there's going to be a lot of pain as this carry unwinds. A LOT of pain....

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 21:48 | Link to Comment Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

 

USD Index daily chart bullish warnings continue.

USD monthly indicator remains bullish.

More:
http://www.zerohedge.com/forum/market-outlook-0

Wed, 10/28/2009 - 22:13 | Link to Comment cocoablini
cocoablini's picture

Dollar up-delevering is a BITCH, ain't it.

Remember, no matta' how much the FED prints, they can't make up for the loss of private credit which is 13x public. And public credit expansion=currency crisis, not hyper inflation. The dollar will not devalue by monetary base expansion, but by lack of faith. This is the only way folks. Let the monetary base settle and inflation can occur naturally. The FED is just creating unpayable debt-NOT MONEY

Thu, 10/29/2009 - 03:40 | Link to Comment Bear
Bear's picture

Beware the Harry Carry Trade

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!