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Dollar-Yen Falls To 15 Year Low As Stocks Relatively Overpriced Beyond Recognition

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The USDJPY has just dropped to a 15 year low as the market is in full risk-off mode, hitting 83.54. Philip Hildebrand is also seeing black and blue as the EURCHF approaches all time lows, now that the BoJ once again let matters into other central bankers' hands.

In the meantime, based on funding correlations (AUDJPY and Curve Butterfly) stocks are so mispriced here, it is just getting ridiculous: ES is easily 20 points rich to correlation intrinsic values. There appear to be no viable correlation desks left in the world, willing to take on the Fed's now grotesque mispricing of the stock market.

 

 

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Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:06 | 567003 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Hpw can anyone hold stocks when everyone agrees theyre overpriced to full retardation?

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:11 | 567013 TheGreatPonzi
TheGreatPonzi's picture

Nobody holds stocks right now except the FED/Treasury faux-nez, and Goldman Sachs.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:30 | 567056 GIANTKILR
GIANTKILR's picture

The stock market is just for show to fool the sheeple into thinking everything is fine. They know 90% of Americans look at the stock market as a baraometer on how the eCONomy is doing.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:45 | 567082 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I've been in the business for 25 years and this change of perspective, of using the stock market as a barometer for the economy, has happened over time, mostly by being endlessly repeated by the mainstream media.

Just as parents complain that once their children enter school, they can't compete with the constant propaganda/indoctrination drum beat of the school and the echo moving from child to child (peer to peer network) so I can't compete with the mainstream media. I see my clients once or twice a year and talk to everyone once a month. But no matter what I say, it's drowned out by the TeeVee.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 10:17 | 567143 teaddy bearish
teaddy bearish's picture

u cant blame the idiot , in the end they will end up with less money to spend on the new iphone

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 10:22 | 567157 three chord sloth
three chord sloth's picture

Heck, most of the time they don't even use the whole stock market, just the Dow.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 13:01 | 567457 omi
omi's picture

Screw you and your silly opinions. I enjoy my AGNC, CMO, NLY. Unsurprisingly, mortgages have been performing really well.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:32 | 567060 Paper CRUSHer
Paper CRUSHer's picture

The 'Incredible Stinking Yen' is also in full retard as FX traders have forgotten that Japan's DEBT/GDP ratio exceeds 200%.

O.B.A.R?.......more like F.U.B.A.R

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:12 | 567015 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

...and I thought it was going to be a slow week watching no volume ramp jobs.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:36 | 567067 curbyourrisk
curbyourrisk's picture

Maybe not a slow week....but will be full of NO VOLUME RAMP JOBS...when ever possible.

 

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:12 | 567016 system failure
system failure's picture

How can anyone hold anything but gold and silver, as these items are not mass produced, nor or they made of promises to pay, and you just cannot go into your back yard and produce these items. If you can do this in your backyard, I sure as hell would not tell anyone. hehehe...I would be buying as much as I could with worthless Federal Reserve Notes...

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:13 | 567022 yabs
yabs's picture

the es may be 20 points over currency correlation

but in correlation to reality the ES is 1100 points ovepriced

unless it changes and only has gold mining stocks in its list

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:28 | 567052 skohiu
skohiu's picture

+1

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:14 | 567024 JPTrader
JPTrader's picture

short euro, short aussie/yen, long gold on a pullback.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:15 | 567026 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Forex live is reporting rumors of barriers at 83.50.

USD/JPY has slipped to its lowest level for the present trend, reaching 83.54. 83.50 barriers are rumored being protected and Japanese bids are seen at 83.50; Stops are just below, of course.

http://www.forexlive.com/130223/all/usdjpy-slips-to-fresh-trend-lows

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:15 | 567027 Goldenballs
Goldenballs's picture

Because the people who are purchasing don,t care about the fact that they are the market,they are the Government in one guise or another.They are so out of reality,the "confidence" they wish to portray is only confidence to them.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:16 | 567029 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

There is demand for yen no matter what BoJ sez or does.  Japan is stable and in Asia.  What more do oyou need to know in order to convert your dollars to yen?

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:23 | 567040 yabs
yabs's picture

its debt to gdp ratio is the highest in the world at over 200 percent.............. and has been in a depression since the 80's due to Krugman /keynesian policies... other than that its doing great

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:25 | 567045 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

Tell that to a yen which has been increasing in value for over 3 years.  Dont fight the tape.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:30 | 567054 yabs
yabs's picture

whats this don't fight the tape crap

I guess you are long stocks then?

I fight ther tape as i a;like to be on the side of common sense

and reality. True the dollar will soon be worthless but I predict Japan will slip into hyperinflation first

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:33 | 567063 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

Im not long stocks, but I am long the yen.  To me, Japan is stable, an exporting nation, with a culture of paying its debts.  A much rosier fundamental picture over the USD.  As asia becomes more dominant, I suspect the yen will be the asian reserve currency.  good luck to all.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 13:04 | 567466 omi
omi's picture

Also don't forget that Japan is almost finished amortizing banking losses over 30 years, and soon will start de-zombifying. Japan's assets are relatively beat down and move is flowing in there.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:42 | 567074 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Basically Japan even with its own monetizing and lots decades, is still recognized as the least batshit-insane of all nations I guess.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:36 | 567068 yabs
yabs's picture

it may eb stable but it terms of a keynesian disaster you need to look no further than Japan

Its an economic disaster with debts to the eyeballs

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:44 | 567081 suteibu
suteibu's picture

Japan has been the US's (and the Fed's) bitch since the war.  Every US problem since then has been exported to Japan.  This "crisis" is no different. 

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:42 | 567075 yabs
yabs's picture

least insane sheep?

guess you havn;t seen too much Japanese Tv then.......

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:43 | 567079 yabs
yabs's picture

jeez look at the PPt trying to save the ES  now

it freefalled to 1097 then got stuck before they ground it up again

come on bears lets finish this thing

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:50 | 567091 TooBearish
TooBearish's picture

POMO liquidity dump in 15 minutes

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 09:55 | 567100 Horatio Beanblower
Horatio Beanblower's picture

AEP is worried about the military ambitions of China's "young officers" (he isn't the only one)...

 

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/ambroseevans-pritchard/100007519/china’s-young-officers-and-the-1930s-syndrome/

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 10:05 | 567111 TWORIVER
TWORIVER's picture

If AUD/JPY (76.3) gets back over 76.6, the market will rip. This looks like a low volume sell off. I don't disagree fundamentally, but the mkt looks like it wants to go higher.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 10:06 | 567112 yabs
yabs's picture

AEP is a prick who thinks keynesian actions are th eonly thing that can save us. Hes like a drunk who occasionally has a moment of lucidity and can thi nk clearly and writes some great peices sometimes..

 

other times its drivel

 

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/7982807/Dangerous-Defeatism-is-taking-hold-among-Americas-economic-elites.html

 

no wonder you have to login to post commnets now

I have never read such uninformed shite as this

he thinks the problem is the money supply shrinking

No ambrose the prob;lem was the credit bubble that preceeded

the Deflation is whats needed

he seems to think deflation should be stopped at any measure much like bennie boy

class A twat

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 10:06 | 567113 Flounder
Flounder's picture

Ahahahaha!

"Representatives of several banks said they were simply following the guidance provided by the Committee of European Banking Supervisors, the London-based group that coordinated the tests."

http://www.dailymarkets.com/stock/2010/09/07/european-bank-stress-tests-...

 

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 10:06 | 567114 Diggintunnels
Diggintunnels's picture

Silly American Markets, in the buying frenzy of the last week, you forgot that there are world markets to consider as well...

 

PPT deployment in T-minus 10, 9, 8, 7, 6 ... 

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 10:16 | 567137 I am more equal...
I am more equal than others's picture

Sisyphean... watch out for falling rocks.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 10:24 | 567165 Rick64
Rick64's picture

 USD/JPY should bounce up off these levels, and the AUD/JPY too.

Tue, 09/07/2010 - 17:39 | 568102 Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

DOW/S&P500/FTSE/EURO short signal continues:

http://stockmarket618.wordpress.com

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