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Earl Upgraded To Category 4 As It Slouches Ever Closer To Wall Street
Earl is picking up speed as it is approaching the Turks and Caicos Island, having just been upgraded from Cateogry 3 to Category 4. It appears that while New York and its immediate environs may avoid Hurricane speed winds on late Friday, the city will at a minimum be flooded as it enjoys a 50 mph+ lashing. Either way, this will be a good way to New York City's emergency response system in insolvent conditions. Upon hitting Wall Street, however, Earl may finally meet its match as to who can blow more hot air. Of course, in keeping up with the trends set forth by the administration in which nobody takes any responsibility for their actions, there is nothing like a Hurricane for the upcoming Empire State Manufacturing Index to blame its imminent record plunge on.
..EARL BECOMES A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...MOVING AWAY FROM THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 64.7W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM NE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...27.99 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE
GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS
REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS WITH A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING..AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ANGUILLA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE WILL DISCONTINUE THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY AT 600 PM AST...2200 UTC.
THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND THE
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...AND VIEQUES
HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
FOR
STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT
500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.7 WEST. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ON
TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL WILL MOVE AWAY FROM
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND PASS EAST OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS
A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.
SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
MILES...325 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE BRITISH AND U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH TONIGHT. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN
GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN IN PUERTO RICO. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL
RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
PRIMARILY NEAR THE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WIND OVER THE BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND 1 TO 3 FEET ELSEWHERE IN THE WARNING AREA. THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.
RAINFALL...EARL
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
RICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
h/t Keith
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It dosen,t matter how big it is it won,t have as much Windy Shit as Wall Street.
Current thinking...
http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_07.gif
latest GFS
http://ready.arl.noaa.gov/ready2-bin/javaanim.pl?id=GFS&mdl=grads/gfs&fi...
This links shows the likelihood of parts of NJ and NYC getting hit with 74-110mph winds
More than a squeak by, IMo
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/204613.shtml?5-daynl?...
H: Hurricane – wind speed between 74 MPH and 110 MPH
What will snooki do ?
Earl's coming to 33 Liberty, bitchez!
Wall Street blown over?
Air Quality Alert
New York City until aug 30, 2010 11:00 PM
Y I K E S
BE CAREFUL very careful don't inhale, ok†
AIR QUALITY ALERT NYC
until: Aug 31, 2010 12:30 PM
AIR QUALITY ALERT NYC
until: Aug 31, 2010 11:15 PM
don't inhale, no matter how hard that might be. stay healthy weathly and wise NYC office of zeroheadge.com OK. there are people that care about your life, like me.
I'm sure algore thinks this is proof of anthropogenic global warming.
Everything is.
The funny thing about all of the efforts of environmentalists to "change our trajectory" is that they never anticipate there EVER being unintended consequences of the actions they take backfiring.
Case in point: I read an article in Scientific American a couple years back concerning CFCs and the Ozone hole. The summation of the article was as follows: yes, our reduced use of CFCs was allowing the ozone layer to heal over Antartica, but the unintended consequence is that now the Antartic ice is melting at a rate several times faster than before because all of the sun's radiation that used to reflect off the snow and ice harmlessly back into space is being trapped more efficiently by said closing ozone layer.
If I can find a link to the article, I will post it.
Link found: http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=updates-jul-08
Or to interpret that another way; we should stop fucking around with all kinds of things we don't understand for shit. Of course, that would shut down 90% of industry and transportation tomorrow, so we go on fucking around and hope it only maims/mutates/kills people we don't know.
Hey, and there must be a way to make money on that, too.
Luzrs.
In a closed environment such as Earth there's an old saying that works well. What goes around comes around and bites you in the ass.
What, something like 80% of us 'exist' because of industrialization & oil.
Take oil out of the picture without a viable alternative, things will become very very nasty.
Just saying...humanity scares the fuck out of me.
I'd head for the hills, but every 'survivalist' with a gun will be heading there also, that won't end up well.
Hate to tell you pal, but they have been waiting for you for over 200 years. Don't go there.
so, kill the ozone to save the earth?
you, my sir, are an thinking like an imbecile
this goes to show that a little bit of knowledge is more dangerous than ignorance- you really should base your opinions on more than one article on the subject from scientific american
"What do you call an american with a Ph. D. in physics and math?"
a scientific american?
I read SciAm avidly, and I can tell you this...over the course of time, humanity has proven, empirically speaking, a greater tendency to fuck with things that we don't properly understand. That ozone layer hole might have been convenient in allowing some radiation to escape back into space, but the healing of it probably wouldn't be having the adverse consequences that you highlight if not for the fact that we've changed the composition of the air so much as to make a natural ozone layer a real problem. Considering that I could probably still read chicken entrails as a means of predicting global weather patterns with greater accuracy than the morons at TWC or NOAA, I think you're taking this one observation out of context.
Considering that I could probably still read chicken entrails as a means of predicting global weather patterns
i like U. but how did you get aheady above a post with an earlier time stamp?
Uh, because I didn't?
Antarctic Ice sheet has been growing for the last 20 yrs..it is presently 300,000 sq km ABOVE 'normal.
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/seaice.anomaly.antarctic.png
ZH + (climate || weather) == epic fail
agreed
Tomorrow Tyler will post a study about the reproduction and sexual behavior of the African fire ant to compensate.
i would be interested in that topic, probably understand it a little better than/then financial problems.
meh, just don't stand under a tree in central park and you'll be fine. it's the big pine trees down here in Houston that do the real damage during a hurricane.
Earl versus HFT bots. The day the earth stood still.
Klaatu Barada Algo
Wall Street will be safe, they have a TARP to hide under.
Tarp is John MCcains baby !!! ask paulson !!!!!!!!! paulson says no TARP with John MCcain !!!!!!!!!!
Divine wind blows $430 Billion back to the east ............
Goldenballs U rock.
Too bad it took this for Earl the Pearl to make a NY comeback...
THIS MEANS THEY'LL DELAY FRIDAY'S UNEMPLOYMENT REPORT TILL NEXT WEEK
Not to worry. Even the day after earth collides with a comet and all life is vaporized, the Dow will be stuck forever at 10K.
The machines will use it as political cover to stop feeding all the humans! (the robots vaporized life, not the comet)
i don't know much, but that is exactly what i was thinkin, just hovers @ 10K. balance, excellent.
If Earl hits Wall Street the major firms won't be insolvent; they will be in solvent. (Sorry. A little chemistry humor seemed appropriate.)
If Earl sluices up any GoM effluents, Wall St could be in several species of solvents.
And yet, the streets will still be cleaner afterwards.
Screw Wall Street. Where are the co-located severs? That's ground zero for any "natural" attacks.
Shiver me timbers and short the feeds Earl my boy. Flood the basements and sauté slowly any electrical pulse that issues forth. Cut the power and wash Wall St clean. You can dream of such a time but it would take more than Earl to clean that malfeasant muck down a sewer.
Water and electricity go together like Paris Hilton and morality
I can't wait for Obama/Gibb's/MSNBC to announce this is Bush's fault!
You find the WMD`s yet ???????? are they under John MCcains TARP ???????? lol
Are you aware that Obama was a Senator and voted "YEA" for TARP on October 1, 2008? But he "didn't get us in this mess" did he?
http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=110&session=2&vote=00212
Read Paulsons book !! no TARP with John MCcain !!!!!!!!!!
Bah, you all should have voted for Ralph Nader in '08. I'd give 20:1 odds he and any admin. he installed wouldn't bail out the banks... mainstreet mb.
Now go on: tell me again how he 'cost' you Demo's the 2000 election, now that we all know what degree of a difference that would have made.
Letters to the usual address
Goin'
Geez, I really hope Blankfein decides to ride it out; on the balcony of his penthouse apartment......He needs a little taste of old testament wrath as a doer of god's work.
+1
Snipers note: Lloyd moved from 15 CPW. Some other schwanz from GS bought it after Lloyd lowered the price $3 mil.
You go on up to new york and do your karma list now earl.
FEMA to the rescue...perfect.
Here's a fave from 2005.
"Considering the dire circumstances that we have in New Orleans, virtually a city that has been destroyed, things are going relatively well." –FEMA Director Michael Brown, Sept. 1, 2005
heck of a blow job, brownie.
What could go wrong with patronage appointments there to take care of things?
LOL...no doubt.
But also, somewhere in the bowels of New York state government, there is another Blanco, another Nagin, vacillating as to what course of action to take.
Maybe if they can ponder long enough the problem just goes away.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/144553.shtml?tswind12...
I think GW should get out front on this and call for the entire NE to be evacuated ;-)
So there is a God after all... First, it'll wipe out Puerto Rico, then Wall St....
Praise the Lord...! Praise the Lord...! PRAISE THE MOTHER FUCKING LORD...!
Best regards,
Econolicious
I was thinking about going to church if it slams wall street hard
hey ASS stop lying and who is that picture?
Leaving town on Wed.
Just in time...
Ummm, I'm just gonna mention this....
Friday, October 16,1987 all the markets in London were unexpectedly closed due to the Great Storm of 1987.
Anybody remember Monday, October 19, 1987?
Some prehistoric forerunner of HFT, apparently caused a bit of bother. Something to do with insuring portfolios, all sounded very safe at the time. A bit like providing liquidity does these days.
No, but I remember October 18, 1987, the day that Mary Ellen broke up with me. Worst crash I ever survived...
Survival, bitches...
from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Monday_(1987) - it makes good reading
Potential causes for the decline include program trading, overvaluation, illiquidity, and market psychology.
Yup we have that in spades, 23 years later the casino remains the same, the dealers are different the computers faster and the greed and fear more palpable.
If Goldman's building was destroyed by this storm, non-believers like myself would find religion.
I would become a nun if it destroyed 33 liberty street.
What a terrible waste of a perfectly good Lizzy.
yea, me 2 lizzy. actually sorta aspire to nunnery. woman abound.
Ya ya. It wouldn't be the first chick you bull dyked in nun outfit.
To hell with that. If the 'Jesus: Dinousaur Rider Extraordinaire' stunned types are correct when I die I'd like to head straight for hades so I can spend my eternity throwing those blaspheming about 'doing God/Jehovah/Allah's (whatever) travaille' in and out of the lake of fire and the styxx, alternately.
I'd be at it ad infinitum? No problem, I don't see myself getting bored with such a satisfying occupation anytime soon.
Come to think of it: a tub of 'sticky fire' on the banks of the Hudson could be set up tomorrow....
Regards
interesting take, goin'fawr
And it hits on Friday of a Labor Day weekend for the market, it does look that it's a good day to take as much profit as you can and get out. It will be a red day on friday believe me. Also New York was hit by a Cat-4 hurricane in 1938. I'll post a youtube link of a person who put his grandparents home movies of the incident on youtube, also I will post a Mega disaster episode clip talking about one hitting New York today.
1938 hurricane damage, Southampton, NY and nearby:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kugt7ylWWWo&feature=related
Mega Disasters - Hurricane hits NYC
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fjWVpY4_sPM
"Shock troops of disaster" The works project administration (WPA) at your service, from the 1936 floods to the 38 hurricane, the government program keeping America running in the mist of a great depression. A fantastic propaganda film (with sound) from the times. Just remember we build things sooo much better than back then and it will not take six months + to get the power and the telegraph wires back up and working. Just think of how fantastic fema is now since Katrina. Earl keeps getting moved further to the west, they have revised its track more than once, and I doubt it will hit NYC, NC probably?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RA-3zULhCvM&feature=related
two for one special today sir...
http://www.allvoices.com/contributed-news/6639853-hurricane-fiona-likely-to-catch-up-with-earl
More exciting than submarine races.
Got two words for an angry God on this one:
Bigger. Hammer.
Cat 5+ or GTFO.
Mondays child is fair of face,
Tuesdays child is full of grace,
Wednesdays child is full of woe,
Thursdays child has far to go,
Common modern versions include:
Brings new meaning to the phrase - banks will have to write down those bad assets come hell or high water.
We need Lloyd Blankfein to repeat his ". . doing God's work" line a few times each of the next few days to give the hurricane a karmic homing signal.
"Upon hitting Wall Street, however, Earl may finally meet its match as to who can blow more hot air."
Priceless.
ORI
http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com
Goddammit, if Earl cracks into the Jersey shore, I'm going to be left with a brief period of joy in which I watch the cast of another pathetic MTV show washed out to sea, along with the rest of the BENY's, to soon be followed by the malaise of an Atlantic ocean doped with tanning oil and hairspray.
Dear H. Earl,
On behalf of at least some ZHers, please do us the honor of accepting our invitation to spend the weekend in the Hamptons. After all, a blow hard's work in attempting to out huff and out puff both DC and then the Wall St Boyz, deserves and extended weekend in the Hamptons.
i would ''DO'' the hamptons, never ''DONE'' the hamptons. swimable?
I think Zerohedge is a bit "early" on this one....
Earl must contend with a ridge containing some very dry air...though in the last few hours it has grown substantially in size.
Fiona is having difficulty developing as well as 98L behind her. Supposedly the system about to kick off the coast of Africa is supposed to be a whopper.
If this isn't a crowd looking for a sign.....
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