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ECB Emergency Overnight Borrowings Near Record For Third Day In A Row
As was reported on Saturday, the culprits for the surge in borrowing on the Marginal Lending Facility have been supposedly identified, with Ireland once again to blame. The flawed explanation provided was that insolvent Irish banks are paying an extra 75 bps in interest just so they have access to capital on a day's notice (as opposed to a week) as they unwind their collateral. Needless to say, we are skeptical of that "explanation." And judging by the fact that today total borrowing on the MLP, while still near record highs, dropped by €2 billion, without any news of collateral unwind to free up asset sales by either Anglo Irish Bank and the Irish Nationwide Building Society, puts the credibility of the FT source at question. What is without doubt, is that borrowings on the MLP will persist for a long time, as was insinuated in the original piece. After all the whole point was to make this latest outlier event "priced in."
Updated borrowings on the ECB's MLP:
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China Tyler,
China diversifying USD into EUDebt...
Incredible but its the only reason for explaining EURUSD at 1.36x when must be at 0.96
Good!
Agreed. But doesn't purchase of EU by selling of UST mean someone else "bought" dollars to acquire China interest? Maybe BB? Regards, CI
The EU and ECB creeps me out anyway.
One hears that the irish banks are involved in a massive circle-jerk, lending each other their borrowed/fractional reserves as collateral for more loans.
Probably the equvivalent of the Treasury/Fed circle-jerk.
More circles and jerks in the EU mess, is all.
Curious thing would be to see ECB exposure to UST. Anyone remember the the iinfinite swap/liquidity window, where the FED gives the ECb money to buy some more US Guilts? ;-)
ORI
http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com/2011/02/21/through-a-lens-darkly/
EU and ECB plan to "stop contagion" going very well isn't it?
Euro-Meltdown Bitchez
UK prime Minister proposes public sector "revolution"
http://nakedempire.wordpress.com/
He didn't use the "R" word. I searched for it thinking I could hang a joke on it. But the "R" word isn't there.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/8337239/How-we-will-release-the-grip-of-state-control.html
yes David 'call me twat' Camerons plan has shifted from State run monopoly socialism (NHS, education etc) to State managed public-private monopolies better known as Fascism ...it began with Thatcher with carving up State sectors into State licensed private monopolies... if you want to see how this works look at the total fuking bollocks that is the trains and tubes
Cameron hasn't got an f'n clue (ex Barclays bwanker) the Eton Marxist (see wife) was born a village idiot
'And the trains before Thatcher were the "Pride of Europe" I suppose.
Hahahahaha
Regards.
Hmm, India are still using the trains we made in the 50's so they can't be that bad ..
+ + zero government. But I did not know Cammeron had been at Barclays - must just have been a bit of CV window dressing, meet the future policy dictators etc. He can make noises about shuffling the deckchairs all he likes. The fact remains; unless the government reduces its take of GDP by at least 10%, private enterprise in the UK is dooooomed
Bullchit - British trains and tubes were 'total bollocks' (technical economic terminology) after the Thatcher carve up just as they were total bollocks before. wether it is a State run monopoly (socialism) or a fascist (public-private) run monopoly the result is always the same: total bollocks .....see also State run roads, public-private (regulated and licensed) energy or anything else not free market.
Only the free market provides competition, and competition is the only mechanism that improves the breed/industry and also the only mechanism that allows end-users (consumers) power (choice) to decide what's best. Consumers of course know what is best, better than politicians and their £1bn per annum pissed away on management consultants
Cameron is pretending he can provide a sort of half-way-house to the free market. He is a total idiot. He thinks routing market decisions through a political process is somehow 'clever' when in fact it's just more State controlled dumb. there doesn't need to be a middle man in the free market, it works best consumer to supplier, no fuking Westminster retards required
Reload - yes correct on both counts. Cameron is rearranging the deckhairs, he has taken MEP Danial Hannans idea of an 'inclusive democracy' by pushing power down to the regions. This is the same sack of shit idea as The Tea Party in the US. Namely they both want smaller more localised Govt.
What these Einsteins haven't worked out is that Big Govt is the same system as small govt. It is a monopoly power structure. All such systems produce the exact same result, total bollocks. Which is why British Councils are as undemocratic, bankrupt and as big a steaming pile of crap as Westminster.
The problem is the SYSTEM. You don't solve a systemic problem by making the system smaller. You have to CHANGE the system. From monopoly power to a competition mechanism that distributes power between supplier and end-user. Nsamerly privatise the whole of Govt.
That answers your 2nd question about reducing Govt from nearly 60% of GDP to 10%. The correct answer is to reduce Govt to 0.00%. We do not need Govt. It is the biggest lie ever foisted on a free society
If the explanation is false then are they borrowing to pay bills due to lack of cash flow? How often can they do that before someone figures it out, if that were the case? Shouldnt they just fire a huge number of employees instead?
amidst all the gloom talk this on the front page of Naples (FL) news
http://www.naplesnews.com/news/2011/feb/20/phil-mccabe-fifth-avenue-sout...
While I don't buy this extend and pretend "recovery" the vast majority of people I speak with do - the resilience of the American consumer is breathtaking (this article which I posted yesterday
Wake up, Americans. Your economic dream is a nightmare)Thanks for the Naples link, interesting read. I wonder what McCabe had to put up for equity to fund the new construction? I wonder how much of the project will be "owned by JP Morgan"? I doubt this project will ever make "real" money..... lots of risk...
EURUSD
ES
http://www.zerohedge.com/forum/99er-charts-0
Need a Loan?
Call 1 800 Fed Reserve.........Ben's client services represenatives are waiting to take your call.
Call Today.
Thanks for this.
The unexpected price explosion in PMs, especially silver is a piece of this puzzle. Have you given this a thought, the Morgue is not the only one with its pants down, but many others both here and most definitely in Europe, who have followed a leader in banking in defining their strategy. - goodluck! IB
LaRouche was saying that in advance of the vote, the treasury stopped the wheels from turning on the bailout. (which means in my estimation that they are now having to go out into the market....err...ECB overnight facility to get it done)
So in essence the bailout right now is stopped, and would continue (in what form) based on the elections.
edit:
2/11/11
http://www.larouchepac.com/node/17471
"IRELAND: The wildly unpopular Cowen government's Finance Minister, Brian Lenihan, has postponed the release of 10 billion euros in government funds to bail out the desperately bankrupt Irish banks, including the Inter-Alpha group's Allied Irish Banks, saying that this government doesn't have the political room to proceed, and that the release has to wait until after the upcoming Feb. 25 elections. Lenihan said the IMF and the EU had approved this decision, but the Irish Times reported the contrary, that they were very angry at the move."
Perhaps this?
There has been a bank applying to late for ordinary lending and they had to eschew to the marginal lending fac. No idea which Bank it was...
LEPER- CONS I suspect
this from the bank of englands website today...lots of complicated formulae to explain how to make money out of sovereign defaults but interestingly the paper crosses into the influence of politics via "lobby power".
Anyway, it's drier than the Gobi desert, but I thought I would slot it in here in case anyone still drinks martinis that way.
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/workingpapers/wp409.pdf
47 pages of economic theory beloved of the pencil heads working for central banksm check this out on page 41:
Result 12
The observed patterns of implicit seniority between bilateral lenders, multilateral agencies and private lenders might distort the incentives of the parties to contribute to penalties. Trading bilateral and multilateral loans in the secondary market would assure that penalties are maximised even in the presence of implicit seniority.
this from the intro on page 4:
The resolution of sovereign debt defaults is a complex process. For instance the last Argentine default took four years to settle and over 140 lawsuits were filed against the sovereign. In order to lessen these problems, the international community has been discussing the so-called ‘contractual approach’ to sovereign debt crises. In short, this approach suggests that debt contracts should include additional provisions to facilitate the resolution of defaults. Two of its main innovations are collective action clauses (CACs) and seniority clauses (SCs). A CAC is a supermajority voting rule to change the payment terms of a contract. For example, 75% of creditors could impose a decision on a dissenting minority; in the absence of CACs unanimity would be required. Their policy purpose is to improve creditor co-ordination. SCs establish a priority rule to repay debts in the event of a default: junior debt is not repaid until senior debt has been repaid in full.
and this from the conclusions on page 27
Having CACs in place, it is shown that pro-rata and SC contracts do not necessarily yield the same level of repayment. Depending on asset distribution, the adoption of SCs can depress or raise repayment. Secondary markets have an adverse effect on repayment in the absence of CACs since they promote holdout behaviour. Conversely, if CACs are ready to deter litigation, secondary markets maximise repayment and make repayment invariant to the introduction of SCs.
Things are coming apart and you are right, the Irish banks are loaning to each other worthless fractional reserve loans and then using that as collateral for ECB and US loans. And on top of it all, they printed back months ago billions in German Euros to stop gap a hole in their banks. Ireland is about to go under.
Without chinese and jap buying the euro must be closer to 1.0 than 1.5 - these eastern friends are at once trying to stop Ben from printing all his hell notes to eternity by holding up the euro as an alternative reserve, YET at the same time trying to hold down the RMB and JPY for the benefit of their exporters by buying more US treasuries via London. The threshold lately seems to be 1.33-1.34. They will end up with hell notes from Ben and more hell notes from ECB, all worthless!