You're now on the archive server. Commenting has been disabled.

Egan-Jones On Why Carl Icahn's CIT Overtures Are Irrelevant

Tyler Durden's picture




Rating agency Egan-Jones provides color on why Icahn's most recent overture to CIT, while admirable in its activism, is likely not going to generate much if any traction. The summary: hold out for liquidation, as that is the best way to recoup any value, instead of staying with a terminally sinking ship. Yet the song and dance is likely to continue.

From Egan-Jones:

Synopsis: Forget Icahn, forget the exchange - Neither Icahn's offer nor the revised exchange (which reduces maturities by 6 mos.) provides the best value to creditors. Creditors can realize more value via a sale/liquidation of CIT assets. Most bondholders should reject the proposed offers. Our liquidation analysis uses a value of 70% on CIT's loans and creditor's realizing 82.5% upon liquidation and 68.5% on a PV basis (using a more realistic value of 75%, the realization is 85.7%). Any bondholder offered less than 90% should reject; the $5.7B debt reduction is not enough to obtain competitive funding and therefore might necessitate another exchange. The main problem would be addressed with an owner such as JPM, WFC, BRK, GE, or PNC.




Similar Articles You Might Enjoy:

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Mon, 10/19/2009 - 13:27 | Link to Comment I am a Man I am...
I am a Man I am Forty's picture

GE and GS wants these guys gone.  Just a matter of time.  GS profits and GE gets their business.

Mon, 10/19/2009 - 14:00 | Link to Comment Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

We contribute to growth by saying who grows and who shrinks by making money availble to who we choose.

Mon, 10/19/2009 - 13:46 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Mon, 10/19/2009 - 13:59 | Link to Comment QevolveQ
QevolveQ's picture

+1

Mon, 10/19/2009 - 14:03 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Mon, 10/19/2009 - 18:29 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

The amazing thing about human psychology is that after the system has been shocked, it becomes desensitized in self defense. So charts such as the one you show in the article link that would send a normal person running to the caves are now seen as just more of the same. Ho Hum, next.

Where once a hundred billion dollars was a lot of money, we now talk about trillions of dollars like it's small change toilet paper.

Oh......wait...... it is.

Mon, 10/19/2009 - 20:03 | Link to Comment peterr (not verified)
Mon, 10/19/2009 - 19:56 | Link to Comment Dogfather
Dogfather's picture

CIT deserves the gutter-rat Icahn, good luck with that....

Mon, 10/19/2009 - 22:57 | Link to Comment Cursive
Cursive's picture

Forget logic, bid this MF up!

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!