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Empire State Manufacturing Index Plunges, Comes At 11.9 Down From 21.7, And Big Miss To Expectations Of 19.55
And the US stagflation continues. The just released Empire Manufacturing index has plunged nearly by half from 21.7 to 11.9 in May. The general business conditions index fell ten points to 11.9. The new orders index declined fi ve points to 17.2, and the shipments index slipped three points to 25.8. The inventories index climbed to 10.8, its highest level in a year. The prices paid index rose to 69.9, its highest level since mid-2008, and the second highest ever, while the prices received index held firm at 28.0. And more on the stagflation as defined by the ongoing surge in Prices Paid: "The prices paid index rose sharply, indicating that price increases accelerated over the month. The index advanced twelve points to 69.9, its highest level since mid- 2008, with roughly 70 percent of respondents reporting price increases, and none reporting price declines. This index has moved up a cumulative fifty points over thepast six months." Downward GDP revisions are a-coming.
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ARE YOU WATCHING STEVE LEISMAN?!?!?! HAHAHAHAHAHA!!!
NO!
If enough people stopped watching him, he would go away.
Well, then at least watch Rick Santelli give him his daily smackdown...
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000022178
The loss of the last shreds of manufacturing is so goddamn
B U L L I S H ! ! ! !
+1
how lame are you when becky quick schools you?
i hear liesmans kids tell people their dad is charlie sheen...
They need to start measuring graft, bribery, positive trading days in a quarter and the use of margin hikes. Statistics is all about the input you include and what you leave out.
The Bernank is really giving us the worst of both worlds; much higher prices and much lower end demand (and also, horrendous organic growth and job growth, which will reassert itself in the numbers soon, culminating in more economic contraction).
Yet again, retailers buck off the bad news.
JCP up 7% premarket after blowout earnings.
And another horrific day for "anti-dollar" plays like big oil, gold, and foreign currencies.
Gold flat on the day
Gold is level. Forex is largely up. DXY is down.
Horrific? lulz. Gold is up oil basically flat. What's your price target, momofade? I need a fade...
No comment on Lowes?
And buying shit you don't need with money you don't have, has replaced the land of the free and home of the brave as the slogan that best defines the US.
wow! I'm going to keep and use that one around my peeps.. thanks Lizzy
I was at Costco on Sunday, looking at tomatoe plants and coffee on sale. The store was full of people buying shit they did not need, probably with money they did not have.
I'm still not buying stock until SpaceX has their IPO.
That ipo would probably mark another top!
AAPL BIDU charts are telling me to short the rallies. just sayin'
To Blindly junk RobotTrader means you do not see or consider facts when you have them infront of you.
The BIG (and better) RETAILERS are doing VERY well, thank you, because the rich spend their money there because they have it and joe six-pack does not! I know this as a fact, because the fancy high end stores are my customers.
And yes, the attack on commodities is on or the manufacturing base ( what is left of it here in the USA) and consumer base is dead...and when that happens you see the above headlines. The "powers" are going to drive down commodities whether you like it or loose money in the process...you matter not.
I hope your right, i want to refill down around $30ish on silver
India is already ahead of you.
Whatever, RainbowTraders other user name.
Whatever RainbowTrader retail boy, cleanup on aisle 5, get back to work.
one would think it is almost impossible to print trillions of FRN's and get this result in the economy..awe inspiring corruption and incompetence.
Leisman just said, that killing the dollar is good. means manfacturing jobs.
And Fed got its inflation which is also good.
Takeaway: Leisman is a tool, who gets his head buffed to a shine every morning, hoping all that friction will cause some reaction in his brain.
he looks like he is about to lose it or break down and cry or both :)
oh that's probably just his jealousy showing that no bankers forced him to give head like that little slave whore did.
CNBS offers up Santelli vs Liesman smackdown...funny.
Devaluation of the over valued currency and revaluation upward of the undervalued currency is the mechanism for persistent trade distortions.
The asians, in collusion with the usa, let these trade distortions get so big that it will be painful, this currency rebalancing.
You are a retard. This stagflation you write about is transitory. Just like DSK's freedom.
fucking LOL - futures have gone from -59 to -31 on basis of this bad news.
can they please just stop pretending and announce QE3 already?
Agreed EK the only thing that can explain stocks going up consistently on bad news is ongoing market bubble blowing by the Bernank and the Sack.
Nothing was more blatant in terms of intervention, but last Thursday. Early trading trended down, but suddenly, as if magnetic, the DJIA was heading for a 12,700 finish, and nothing could shake it off its course.
Call it conspiract theory, but it would be easily explained by having set 12,700 as the daily target on a computer.
The only conspiracy aspect to your thesis is getting the HFTs to agree to the set points. After that it's pure profit. Your best evidence would be that every big player would make money every day...
Gloom is the new buzz on Wall Street, it increases the probability of QE3.
Go back and look at April CPI numbers and the numbers say something is wrong is wonderland. UnEmployment up, government spending down, import up, investiment down and (commodity prices up)...all bad omens for manufacturing and the GDP.
Now that (we) all know how the numbers are all lies until you just can't make them lie better, WHY does anyone trade on the lies?
Wall St don't trade on economic news. They trade on expectation of Fed action.
No doubt DJIA will be up by the end of the day on expectations of more free Dollars heading their way, granted by the Federal Reserve, and stolen from the middle classes.
+1
Yer rite EK, WS don't trade no news no more.
It's all about the phone call. Rigged. Well rigged markets. A smooth, global stealing engine.
NUMBers never tell the truth anyways. They are after all, NUMBers.
The west is in terminal decline. If we base everything from there, perhaps the landing can be softened and the next wave well begun.
I doubt wisdom will prevail though.
ORI
http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com/2011/05/15/the-times-they-are-a-changinggggg/
Is that the deflation monster I am hearing?
Just in time for the end of qe2 as i suggested several months ago?
Dont count on any qe3 right away, at least not substantial qe3 similar to our recent qe2.
I plan to wait for deflation fears to reach their peak in order to go long "risk" assets again.
Be so kind as to point out to the audience just where you see (specifically) deflation?
Don't say it is housing, that is a nut case bubble just like the Belgium tulips were in the 1600's. When a building lot in 1928 was 100,000 in Miami, and 5,000 in 1930 no one called that deflation.
Don't say it is gas, the water bill, the cable bill, food, cars, insurance, RE taxes, shoes, underwear, trash collection, school fees, a cup of coffee, a can of spray paint or metal polish since all are up ( and will not go back down again, they never have).
If you want to call what we have the first stage of stagflation, I will be glad to read you again...
Deflation is a contraction in the credit (=debt=money) market. Credit is contracting, and will continue to do so. That's deflation. It hasn't been felt yet, except for housing (yes, it was a bubble, but when it pops, it deflates, no?). US households lost somewhere between $7-$9 trillion in value that hasn't been recognized thanks to our new, fraudulent accounting rules. It will eventually be recognized.
The Fed's manipulations have allowed us to ignore deflation temporarily, or should I say, transitorily.
All real estate, residential, commercial, industrial; wages, real jobs, natural gas, consumer electronics, phone bills, interest income, dividends, private pensions, and soon, local and state spending.
Almost everything except taxes, medical costs, college tuition, and commodities. Oil will go back down due to market forces. Wish I could say as much for taxes.
Oh yes, and Japan Inc. plus most of the Orient;)
Is the USA stock market finally here (where Greece was in October 2009)-in stimulated maximum:
http://saposjoint.net/Forum/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=2626&st=0&sk=t&sd=a&sta...
and/or here ( before big plunge?):
http://saposjoint.net/Forum/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=2626&st=0&sk=t&sd=a&sta...
Empire Strikes Back Bitchez
No sweat. Rally until the free money stops no matter the data. Does anyone really think we have to make something here to be the biggest market on the planet? We're going to the moon because, no one else has the reserve currency. Simple as that. We get to do mostly whatever we want. You don't think that pisses off the rest of the world?
QEx commeth
I am become Bernank, the monetizer of all-time
The wealthy cannot hold us up indefinitely. At some point they will say "to hell with it" and they will also stop spending. We are slowly moving lower day after day. Have 0 interest in this market, moved to mostly cash last week and will wait for reality to set in. Still not shorting and hoping to get back into gold, silver before it rockets higher. But have all my physical.
Paper money...paper kings...con the public...then steal your rings.
We forget that when the US went off the gold standard, and made it a criminal offense to own gold, the population obliged. The idea of a 10,000 dollar fine and 10 years in a federal jail did not appeal to the masses in the 1930's (just think that you could buy very a nice house for 1,000 in DC and equate that to 10,000 in fines).
I could be VERY wrong, but fighting the 'powers' that we do not understand or see may once again, turn PM ownership into a nightmare. Are you going to be in the streets if that happens? No, I don't think we will be.
What PM's? Nothing to see here. Why don't you and your partner come in for some coffee? So glad you are keeping the neighborhood safe. ;-)
Propaganda continues, but at some point the truth becomes understood. That's when the shit hits the fan. Get the hazmat suits ready.
This is bullish for QE3. Expect a green close.
Who still manufactures anything in NY? The economy sucks, but that chart looks like a random walk.
New York and Manhattan, especially, engineer and manufacture financial weapons of mass destruction, the kind which Buffett used to warn against but now has warmed to (post-bailed out Buffett), which they export all over the globe.
Finite planet bitches. Now get back on the hamster wheel and stuff those pipelines with even crappier products!
stuff those pipelines is right! look at the rise in inventories!
The Empire Goes GM
Agree with topcallingtroll
"I plan to wait for deflation fears to reach their peak in order to go long "risk" assets again."
My view is that Political opposition in Congress is now so intense that QE3 is impossible.....until it isn't.
A gigantic commodity, stock and bond market crash would vaporise all political opposition and QE3 then would proceed.
The trick is to find the guts to go all in before that happens when assets are screamingly cheap and no one wants to buy. The likes of Jeremy Grantham at GMO say it better than I can.
this particular indicator had been doing bestest, too...
the economic shocks of the devastation in japan are starting to register.
fight club
$4 Tril, and now...this? ouch!
and, japan is not getting better, fast, here, either.
b/c of the "flation" factor, i would not advise throwing more monetary stimulus at the "problem" right now. not that anyone's asking wtf i think. the "slack" due to japan is not ordinary "slack" and i think the world will respond as well as possible with what we have. looks like there's plenty of liquidity right now, to me.
stop interfering with the damned economy. see what happens.
As always, anything seems to be bullish for equities
05-16 09:51: Talk in the Pit of buy stops in S&P 500 futures from 1334.50 to 1337 and then again at 1339 to 1343But the Pollyanna party on Wall Street continues!
QE3 will be even bigger then I originally thought...prob in the $1.5 to $2 Trillion range depending on what you count.