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Euro-Yen Carry Trade Tries To Break DXY, Push Market Higher, Fails

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Something is definitely off here. Usually the market would follow a move in the Yen-Euro carry in lockstep. Not today.

And again - third time is not the charm...

 

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Thu, 09/24/2009 - 13:48 | 78653 rahbii
rahbii's picture

Elizabeth Warren on Bloomberg right now saying TARP was/is a failure.  

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 13:50 | 78655 Careless Whisper
Careless Whisper's picture

Lloyd Blankenfein begs to differ.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 13:53 | 78658 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

and they actually let her complete that thought
without cutting her off mid sentence by going
to a segment of cramer screaming dow 20,000?

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:20 | 78694 digalert
digalert's picture

TARP's not a failure, in fact it's working as designed. A tarp is a cover to protect (hide) what is underneath, so by definition it is a wonderful cover(up).

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:30 | 78697 deadhead
deadhead's picture

we have a winner!

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:52 | 78718 Sancho Ponzi
Sancho Ponzi's picture

You trying to tell me AIG is not really worth $6 billion?

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:02 | 78670 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Just a bit of jitters hitting the market. G-20. Housing report. Reality. Just a bubble in the LOx line. We'll head back to DXY 76.0 on just absolutely fabulous earnings reports. The much vaunted correction will probably have to wait a little while yet.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:04 | 78677 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Of course, Einstein later admitted he was wrong. God does play dice.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:43 | 78707 Daedal
Daedal's picture

But Einstein ended up being right, or at least, not being nearly as wrong as he thought he was... We talking about the cosmological constant, right?

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 15:15 | 78736 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

He did not initially believe in the probabalistic elements in quantum mechanics. Heisenberg Uncertainty Principal/Schroedinger's Cat etc. Virtual particles. Experimental evidence proved these out despite Einstein's rigorous efforts to the contrary.

On the cosmological constant (his "greatest blunder"), he was right but he never liked the expanding universe model. So it was kind of a bummer to be right about that.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 16:23 | 78812 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I love it when you talk like that. :>)

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:13 | 78685 Comrade de Chaos
Comrade de Chaos's picture

i love the smell of blood late afternoon, good luck yo all!

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:16 | 78688 mjfitz9
mjfitz9's picture

Do the banks need to puke equities to manage balance sheet for quarter end? happened a bit at q2 end.  only to continue ramp in between on earnings "beats"

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:18 | 78690 economicmorphine
economicmorphine's picture

Puke equities.  I like that.  Probably the most graphically accurate choice of words possible.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:17 | 78689 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

S&P is only off 1.3%. Dow less than a percent. Doesn't strike me as a break for the exits.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 16:26 | 78819 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Interesting that banks and real estate got worse in the last 10 minutes. No one wants to hold this stuff overnight.

Is the market once again worried about overnight news?

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 16:47 | 78862 A_MacLaren
A_MacLaren's picture

Dow...  Bwahahaha  You better check the NYA and RUT.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:26 | 78695 Sancho Ponzi
Sancho Ponzi's picture

Several CRE big players are hitting the wall. No mas.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:30 | 78698 dumbquant
dumbquant's picture

digalert, to complete ur thought, tarps are especially good @ covering up dead bodies

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:31 | 78699 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

The markets are being managed by the gang. They will only reverse strongly (as they should) when the gang losses control of the markets due to one of the serious underlying problems exploding or to private investors not part of the gang getting nervous. While the latter could be happenning I doubt it is the case. I think this is just a gang designed movement to widen range upward and "consolidate" the rally for the (I believe) final leg up to around 1,120. Be careful... size your positions and place stop losses... More specifically, this movement down is all dollar driven... is there any variable more under control of the gang? Particularly when the G20 meeting is going on today and tomorrow?

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:37 | 78701 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

In addition to my previous comment about the gang... will 2:22 turn out to be the agreed upon time to reverse the dollar appreciation and the stock market move down? Would be very classy.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:39 | 78702 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

from ex-FED guy John Jansen

"Via a friend of the blog:

LARGE BUYER ($5.6 BLN NOTIONAL) OF PUTS ON THE S&P YESTERDAY AFTERNOON RESPONSIBLE FOR THE DAY’S ROUND TRIP. ONLY $260MM PREMIUM, SO OUT OF THE MONEY BUT STILL A SEEKER OF PROTECTION…"

can anybody confirm this? what strike, month?

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:44 | 78708 crzyhun
crzyhun's picture

Coordinated efforts on pumping the dollar. Still some resistance above, clear that and we may have trouble.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:44 | 78709 mikeyv1970
mikeyv1970's picture

Did I just hear Cramer call for a correction?  To buy on the way down???

-Michael

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:51 | 78717 lizzy36
lizzy36's picture

ass wipe said "we have been telling people to take profits" not according to his appearance yesterday....

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 16:28 | 78826 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Cramer uses his 3 PM CNBC appearance to hedge either last nights talking points or what he's going to say tonight.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 14:51 | 78716 SDRII
SDRII's picture

Julian Robertson - CNBC

1. Paying the piper is not a question of if but when

2. Long rates going much higher

3. Hey bye bye bye Jim: 20% rate 20% inflation and 5% nominal equity return is not particularly "good"

 

4. China and Japan shift their buying habits and the Us iss in for some serious pain - "how do you let yourself get into this position?" Blankfien, Dimon, Geithner, Bernanke, Anyone?

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 15:15 | 78734 Bearish Spirits
Bearish Spirits's picture

Ahhhh, I was starting to think the last-hour rally would not happen.  They at least have to try to make the Dow go green so everyone thinks it was a decent day.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 15:14 | 78735 Ivanovich
Ivanovich's picture

End of the day push looks to thwart the whole "not this time" part of the article.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 15:54 | 78771 Gilgamesh
Gilgamesh's picture

XLF and IYR bounce off their 20EMAs.  Let's try again...

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 16:31 | 78831 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

At the close, more like they are now sitting squarely on the 20 EMA after they bounced 30 minutes earlier.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 17:18 | 78918 EQ
EQ's picture

You have it backwards.  The Yen and Euro don't drive anything.  That's like saying China drives the U.S. economy.  The dollar drives all forex markets. 

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 19:58 | 79071 Gilgamesh
Gilgamesh's picture

Mother of Hades, things are getting hot.  Cable just dropped 100 bps in 5 minutes.  USD/JPY down 50 bps in 15 mins.  Figure out the GBY/JPY.

Fri, 09/25/2009 - 03:27 | 79278 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

all major currencies fell against the dollar. the CAD came off 200 pips. it seems someone with deep pockets has brought out the scalp against small specs. its brutal.

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