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Eurobond Trading Desk Commentary: "The ECB Is The Only Buyer Out There Right Now"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

If anyone was concerned that someone may be stupid enough to believe the vomitorium of lies and deceit coming out of Europe on a millisecondly basis, we are hereby happy to assuage your fears. Courtesy of a very spot on trading desk comment, we can confirm that nobody but the ECB is buying Greek, Portuguese, and Irish bonds.

For what its worth, in conversation w/ one of my bond guys, it seems as though people are still fearing the EUR debacle. attached is the bid list that the ECB sends them each morning with prices they are willing to buy at and MS sales will go into their clients who own the bonds and submit bids. ECB is the only buyer out there right now.

While the Obama tax news appears to have given everyone a green light for a more bullish stance, he was saying macro funds are still hesitant because of the EUR overhang.

Financing needs this year have been met but next year is a different story...

From: XXX (MORGAN STANLEY & CO)
At: 12/08  4:57:17

GGB    4.30    03/20/2012    91.63
GGB    6.10    08/20/2015    77.98
GGB    4.60    05/20/2013    83.12
GGB    5.90    04/20/2017    69.57
GGB    6.25    06/19/2020    69.53
GGB    5.30    03/20/2026    61.04
PGB    5.00    06/15/2012    101.23
PGB    3.60    10/15/2014    96.14
PGB    3.35    10/15/2015    93.41
PGB    4.35    10/16/2017    93.39
PGB    4.80    06/15/2020    91.52
PGB    4.95    10/25/2023    86.58
PGB    4.10    04/15/2037    70.28
IRISH    3.90    03/05/2012    98.70
IRISH    5.00    04/18/2013    97.91
IRISH    4.00    01/15/2014    92.71
IRISH    4.60    04/18/2016    88.16
IRISH    4.50    10/18/2018    81.81
IRISH    4.40    06/18/2019    79.38
IRISH    5.90    10/18/2019    87.77
IRISH    4.50    04/18/2020    78.23
IRISH    5.00    10/18/2020    79.45
IRISH    5.40    03/13/2025    77.21

 

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Thu, 12/09/2010 - 11:57 | 792601 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

Thanks Tyler,

U have a fan here in Spain.

Your Web is the future.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:02 | 792632 zx12r
zx12r's picture

Ditto. My new favorite place to be educated.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:08 | 792666 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

It was on the tip of everyone's tongue, Tyler just gave it a name.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:11 | 792689 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

"assuage your fears"

A very interesting play on words, TD. Nice work.


Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:25 | 792748 revenue_anticip...
revenue_anticipation_believer's picture

 

http://www.google.com/search?aq=1&oq=assua&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8&q=as...

Julian Assange does/will assuage your fears, THEY really are out to get you...THERE now are you properly assuaged?

 

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 13:02 | 792920 revenue_anticip...
revenue_anticipation_believer's picture

and....regards those 'haircuts' against PAR...really NOT BAD, hell the USA dollar in 10+ 20+ 30 year bonds...IF THAT GOOD (unsubsidized by the FED, etc, and not longer a reserve currency), we'd be just fine...

i'd say if 'thats all there is, punishment-wise' there certainly is "not even a problem"...

 

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 13:35 | 793072 Chris Jusset
Chris Jusset's picture

"... vomitorium of lies and deceit ..."

I love it!  An excellent phrase ... which applies to a countless number of current venues, such as the Fed, Congress, the White House, the BLS, Wall Street, the banking and mortgage industry, Barney Frank, the FDIC ... etc ...


Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:00 | 792620 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Protecting the uber-wealthy, no matter what the cost, is every central banker's only duty.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:06 | 792657 Widowmaker
Widowmaker's picture

The cost is the rule of law.

Gone is it to insulate and facilitate the fraud, cheating and stealing of all that is yours.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:09 | 792670 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

The monetary system is theirs. I just adapt.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:02 | 792623 Ragnarok
Ragnarok's picture

So, there is no such thing as even a market anymore, a free one of course had taken around back and shot years ago.  Rally on........

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:02 | 792633 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

ECB only buyer of Eurobonds, FED only buyer of UST's and stocks....yea this should all end well. 

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:34 | 792788 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

It is a nationalized financial global stock market and price fixing. All the fed is doing is price fixing stocks. There is no "healthy" market or economy that can ever take over at this point or any point in the near future. How does Bernanke honestly believe he can back himself out of a stock market that is 99% nationalized at this point.Here is a list of what the markets need perpetually simply not to collapse and chug along on the lowest volume in history.

They require:

  • 0% interest rates on 2 years now
  • Perpetual bailouts by the IMF,ECB of every member of the EU as the whack-a-moles pop up and a promise to raise the rescue ceiling
  • Federal debt ceiling elevated again
  • Citizens of the EU calmly accepting austerity and indentured servitude
  • Fraudulent accounting
  • Second round of QE preceeded by POMO in previous months
  • Bailout of Muni bonds
  • Primary Dealer status for companies that do not even possess a banking deposit branch
  • Unending unemployment extensions so all receive 99 weeks of benefits
  • Non-intervention in HFT and regulation
  • No true audit of The Federal Reserve even though they have failed every mandate of theirs since their inception
  • Unending promises from Bernanke and 90% of Fed Governors that the Fed will engage in intervention until the economy recovers
  • Federal Reserve monetization of our debt
  • Interest rates not budging
  • Not a singular rate hike done by the Federal Reserve
  • Zero occurrences of non-diversifiable risk via (war,terrorism or revolution)

  The market is pricing in the creation of the bubble to end all bubbles. We all know it is going to implode but those long just do not think it will be any time in the near future. The above is what the markets require just to have semblance of normalcy. The market died and everyone was determined to be bankrupt in 2008..this creature is some zombie market just waiting for one between the eyes.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:46 | 792858 TheGreatPonzi
TheGreatPonzi's picture

That's some damn good summing up.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:48 | 792873 DisparityFlux
DisparityFlux's picture

Zombieland Rule #4 - "Double Tap"

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PapZO7NXB3Q

Applies to zombie markets.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:52 | 792881 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

 The first time I saw that movie I began taking notes.

Rule #17: "Don't be a hero"

Are we listening Ben?

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 13:08 | 792958 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

+1, nice post Mccloy, agree 100% with u.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 13:15 | 792994 Handle with care
Handle with care's picture

Brilliant post

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 13:21 | 793018 Don Birnam
Don Birnam's picture

+1

Well done.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 14:06 | 793191 RSDallas
RSDallas's picture

Twenty years from now Wiki Leaks is going to produce a cable that reads "Timmy, we should have just let them fail".

                                Uncle Ben

                               

Fri, 12/10/2010 - 12:48 | 795806 chopper read
chopper read's picture

you're the man, John McCloy.  well put!!!

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:03 | 792638 youngman
youngman's picture

Well I have to admit I feel a little better....I thought there were some pretty stupid people out there buying them...I could not find out why....now I know its just the dumb Government...I feel better now...

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:27 | 792760 revenue_anticip...
revenue_anticipation_believer's picture

assuaged?

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:03 | 792639 economessed
economessed's picture

What DO you call a market with only one participant?  Financial masterbation?  Unimarket?  Solo Transacto?  Monomarket?

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:05 | 792646 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

+1

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:07 | 792653 FunkyMonkeyBoy
FunkyMonkeyBoy's picture

A market should be natural price discovery. It should be the wisdom of the masses that discovers the price. Not a single (privately owned) institution, like the FED... when that happens, it's called fascism... and the US has become Fascism central in a relatively short space of time.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:09 | 792673 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Thats the thing, the elites have decided only a few people are qualified to perform 'price discovery', the peasantry's only reason for existence is to HAND OVER YOUR DAMN MONEY AND GET BACK TO WORK!

Fri, 12/10/2010 - 12:53 | 795831 chopper read
chopper read's picture

+1

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:08 | 792665 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

A rigged casino...

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:10 | 792680 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Autoerotic asphyxiation.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:12 | 792698 eurusdog
eurusdog's picture

Collapsus Interuptus

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:18 | 792716 zx12r
zx12r's picture

 

The end is near market.

 

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:33 | 792791 Don Birnam
Don Birnam's picture

"What DO you call a market with only one participant?"

The United States Federal Reserve System.


Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:33 | 792793 willien1derland
willien1derland's picture

+100 - Larry Kudlow would call it free market capitalism, Bob Pisani would call it a Bull Market, Jim Cramer would call it Cramerica, Ben Bernacke would call it home....

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:42 | 792839 woolly mammoth
woolly mammoth's picture

I kind of like the sound of Monomarket. Has that sick overtone to it.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 18:36 | 794185 AUD
AUD's picture

A Schrodinger Market

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:04 | 792645 TheGreatPonzi
TheGreatPonzi's picture

Well, this is not a revelation. Since the Ireland thing, the ECB is secretly and pathetically buying every single bond emitted to save the appearances.

I don't know what they expect by doing this, maybe that the situation will normalize someday, but this is quite scary.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:07 | 792659 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Theyre only buying a bit of time before the kickoff of world war, world elites perfectly positioned as usual totaly owning everything.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:05 | 792649 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

'While the Obama 'tax news' has given everyone cause for a more bullish stance'...

What, someone up till now had a LESS than totaly charging 'bull stance'? Manny...shoot dat piece of chit.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:07 | 792660 Archimedes
Archimedes's picture

Man, I have been reading this site since it was a blog. It is the first thing I look at as soon as I wake up and the last thing I do before I go to sleep. But just like PBS I keep saying I am going to make a donation but never do! Time to buy some Zero Hedge shirts for the Holidays! Keep fighting for truth!

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:08 | 792663 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

Once again, fear and uncertaintly is gripping the financial markets.  So many people are on edge. 

Virtually every selloff is treated as if:

"This Is It!!"

"Any minute now, the western economies are going to implode!"

Meanwhile, the sheep continue to splurge on overpriced, trendy fashion items such as $175 leotard outfits and $65 yoga mats.

 

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:11 | 792683 Ragnarok
Ragnarok's picture

New US fad? Homeless with rockin' bods?

 

Edit: "Will do planks for food" LOL.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 14:18 | 793224 DonutBoy
DonutBoy's picture

It's happening.  I've met two unemployed women in the past month with membership at uber-fashionable gyms. It's the new bread-line.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 15:33 | 793459 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

Unemployed women?

You mean like housewives? Theyre suppose to be unemployed!

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:12 | 792694 Arius
Arius's picture

its good to have some true believers on the status quo.  unfortunately, that doesn't change the facts...this is TIME of CHANGE.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:12 | 792695 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

The chart supports your assertion how?

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:31 | 792784 revenue_anticip...
revenue_anticipation_believer's picture

....for me?  How?, well, for one, i am fully assuaged by Julian Assange...What is it you people are afraid of?  ha ahs dfasdfkl lol

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:46 | 792865 tmosley
tmosley's picture

He doesn't understand the difference between price and earnings.

This is why he lives in his mother's basement.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 13:36 | 793074 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

He lives in a basement? Nice!

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:34 | 792803 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Aspiring trophy bitches to the rescue.  Yeah, that works. 

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:11 | 792685 M.B. Drapier
M.B. Drapier's picture

Thank goodness this does not constitute an overdraft facility or any other type of credit facility with the ECB in favour of European Union central governments, let alone the purchase directly from them by the ECB of debt instruments ... [TFEU 123.1]

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:13 | 792699 Robslob
Robslob's picture

This is definitely good news...so when we have a worldwide currency devaluation event how are they going to screw physical PM holders?

All these events so remind me of a paper by Andrew Dickson White:

http://mises.org/books/inflationinfrance.pdf

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:15 | 792706 Ragnarok
Ragnarok's picture

The EU doesn't want to screw PM holders, as they are PM holders.  Also they revalue their gold reserves to the current price, unlike the Treasury which marks their gold reserves muc, much lower.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 13:05 | 792932 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

Sounds right Rags and I'm not sure why you got the junk.  Here in the U.S. very few people have any significant bullion; and many are forced to sell to buy bread. 

In my chronic town (Concord CA) there are We Buy Gold signs in every pawn shop and many a jewellery store window.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:14 | 792704 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

Bank of Ireland has doubled in 10 trading days....

Anyone who bought that thing when pessimism was at the highest "made their year".

 

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:20 | 792714 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Bank of Ireland has DOUBLED! Wow yea up almost $1 !

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 13:06 | 792938 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

SheepDog-One, do you trade?  A double is a double, my friend :0

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:18 | 792718 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

Some Dutchmen also got rich selling their tulip bulbs just before they peaked in price...

 

 

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:20 | 792723 geminiRX
geminiRX's picture

The same thing happened to Nortel........what's your point?

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:22 | 792737 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Those who bought at 10 and 5 didn't fare as well. This grows tiring. Ignore.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:31 | 792781 Ferg .
Ferg .'s picture

I personally know individuals who have lost over 90% of their initial investment in Bank of Ireland shares . Given the absolute clusterfuck that is the Irish banking sector buying the stock at anything above $0.01 cents is a risk .

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:52 | 792887 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Captain Hindsight here will make Doc Brown rich.  Not that he really needs his help.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:18 | 792715 Tic tock
Tic tock's picture

You want to take Acid and see how it all staunchly fails to make any sense... wow! -it's like a weird red brick building and it keeps making shadows in different places but there are like these lights behind the bricks and they keep trying to come through and you can never tell where the corners are...and there are no people, just lots of really clean, like its just rained, grey mortar..and it feels really lonely, except for the lights..which, wouldn't you know- are different colours. rah

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:37 | 792806 revenue_anticip...
revenue_anticipation_believer's picture

Stars in the sky, looking like Diamonds, yes...L.U.C.Y in the Sky with Diamonds...from time to time 'a trip' away from the Obsessive Compulsive that is so valued in the Current Dominant Culture of Death/sanctioned Economic Violence; unto Darwinian blessed Death.....it is a good thing..

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:21 | 792730 treemagnet
treemagnet's picture

I wonder what Norway thinks of their recent investment in Greece now -

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:44 | 792852 revenue_anticip...
revenue_anticipation_believer's picture

?? Norway thinks of their recent

 ""investment in Greece now"" 

Ha ha ah, eh, er, from riches at PAR,

to rags at 0 ??

In a year the term ""investment in Greece"" should be a tired old joke, in the line of ''selling the Brooklyn Bridge"

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:24 | 792746 LeftCoastRefugee
LeftCoastRefugee's picture

Everyday I wonder how long they can keep this giant Ponzi scheme going and yet they come up with a method all the time to extend and pretend the charade. What will be the catalyst is the ongoing question.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:26 | 792759 TheGreatPonzi
TheGreatPonzi's picture

So do I.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:39 | 792835 revenue_anticip...
revenue_anticipation_believer's picture

How Long?

Far far longer than You can remain Solvent, even if you think you are safely 'not in the market, "SITTING ON CASH"  there is no way out, no exit, get used to it...

 

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 13:10 | 792966 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

"What will be the catalyst is the ongoing question."

Oil shortage, whether man-made or a result of planet earth's dwindling reserves; or both.  Slow train comin'.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:33 | 792754 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

Be careful gold,

 

another leg down 25-49 points...

I mean EURUSD ----------> 1,26 target

Apply a Constant Ratio of 1.050 euros per gold onze = 1.323 $ gold per onze.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:31 | 792782 MGA_1
MGA_1's picture

And the debacle continues.  I mean, if the ECB doesn't purchase the bonds we go into crisis, but at least the we start the write down process.

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 12:34 | 792804 Problem Is
Problem Is's picture

Ugly Youtube Bear #1: "The Ben Bernank is not alone."

Ugly Youtube Bear #2: "The Jean-Claude Trick is not printing money, either?"

Ugly Youtube Bear #1: "Were the Ben Bernank and the Jean-Claude Trick dropped on their heads as babies?"

Thu, 12/09/2010 - 18:21 | 794130 Djirk
Djirk's picture

If you have a big sack, and some gambling money...there is some decent yield in there.

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