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EuroControl Reports That Half Of Tuesday's Flights Still Will Be Grounded, 95,000 Flights Cancelled So Far, $1 Billion In Losses

Tyler Durden's picture




 

From EuroControl: "EUROCONTROL expects 14,000 flights to take place today in European
airspace, representing half of scheduled air traffic. On a normal
Tuesday, we would expect between 27,000 and 28,000. By the end of today, we expect that more than 95,000 flights in total will have been cancelled since Thursday 15 April"

Below is the most recent ash cloud map.

And according to research reports, European airlines have lost $1 billion in just the last five days.

 

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Tue, 04/20/2010 - 10:06 | 309183 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

Im waiting for Katla to really put things into motion. This is just smoke and mirrors. Twill be a fun summer.

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 11:02 | 309268 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

If there is a summer. :)

 

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 10:10 | 309189 HarryWanger
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Whilst a major inconvenience for travel, it will have minimal economic impact other than the airlines. Most imports/exports travel ship/train/truck. Only exotic imports on planes. 

But I guess it makes for sensational news anyways.

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 10:14 | 309192 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

Oddly enough; I agree with you.

BUT

I dont want to brake the motif here so

FUCK OFF !!!

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 10:19 | 309198 TaggartGalt
TaggartGalt's picture

HW, here is a reference for you.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article7070239.ece

Next time, do some research.  

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 10:48 | 309246 HarryWanger
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Thanks for the link. Yes, it would be devastating IF there is a major eruption there or anywhere for that matter. But right now we're dealing with a different volcano and its affect on the economy. In this present situation, it'll have minimal impact. IF a major eruption occurs, I agree, there would be some big problems. 

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 11:21 | 309296 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

   I cannot understand how you can say such foolish things.

Hotels here in Manhattan are reducing their rates by 25% because they are heavily reliant on European tourists. This costs REITS money, airlines money, local restaurants barely surviving money and if it continues for extended amount of time will causes severe job loss. This has effect on international food imports and perishables. With a drop in demand everyone in every sector is affected especially banks who see a substantial drop off in payments as an already suffering small business cannot make loan payments because either their suppliers cannot payout and job loss incurs less mortgage payments.

Let us also consider in this entire economy based on services on steroids and no manufacturing how many people are not making it to where they need to be coupled with the drop off in advertising revenue that is not necessary if customers cannot get to your locales even if they wished to.

Tell me where you had your rose colored lazer surgery, Dr. Liesmans?

 

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 11:33 | 309320 HarryWanger
HarryWanger's picture

From BBC:

-"The impact on the tourism industry is expected to be relatively small."


As Howard Archer, chief UK and Europe Economist at IHS Global Insight, points out, it is currently not a peak time for tourism in Europe.

Although the tourism industry will lose money from customers unable to make the trip, stranded passengers unable to return home will also be forced to spend more money than expected - offsetting some of those losses.

-International trade relies more heavily on road, rail and sea freight than it does on air freight.

For example, just 1% of the UK's trade, by volume, is carried by air.

-In the short-term, the overall economic impact of the disruption is expected to be minimal.

Not rose-colored glasses, just relaying what the BBC reported.

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 12:39 | 309463 jdrose1985
jdrose1985's picture

I thought you threw us deluded ZH saps under the bus for ritzholtz Harry. Change of heart?

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 10:21 | 309199 Missing_Link
Missing_Link's picture

I suppose if one were extremely short-sighted, one could see it that way.

Taking any longer view, it's kind of obvious the extent to which this incident exposes the ability for even small-to-medium-sized volcanic eruptions to cause major regional or even global disruptions in air travel and transportation.

If Iceland were to see Katla or Hekla erupt, that would cause even more significant and long-lasting regional problems, which would have a significant global impact.  And there are thousands of volcanoes around the world entirely capable of doing exactly that at any moment, as well as a handful of supervolcanoes (particularly Yellowstone) capable of causing damage on a much larger scale, including shutting down not only global transportation global agriculture for over a decade.

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 10:34 | 309216 Gwaihir
Gwaihir's picture

The minimal impact is why BMW is forced to halt production - and its not workers not returning from vacation.

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 14:25 | 309656 knukles
knukles's picture

Oh fer Christ's sake, already!  Quit Arguing.

Europeans are already on paid vacation 365/27/4 

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 10:42 | 309232 pan-the-ist
pan-the-ist's picture

We should encourage positive thinking.  On NPR this morning they were talking about the bad economy in past tense.

I am curious to see if the 'magical' thinking will work this time.

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 11:06 | 309273 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

It will surely be magical for the Vampire Squid's profits

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 11:26 | 309305 sawyer
sawyer's picture

You would be surprised how many electronics, chips, industrial parts, and even clothing are shipped by air and a significant portion of those goods that are produced in India, Taiwan are shipped via London & Europe

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 10:17 | 309197 dudley
dudley's picture

I guess tourism is a small industry for Europe !

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 10:43 | 309237 HarryWanger
HarryWanger's picture

Oddly enough, the delays and shutdowns have been keeping hotels booked and restaurants full. 

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 11:28 | 309308 rubearish10
rubearish10's picture

Ultimately, you can't have one (full hotels) without the other (air travel) on a scale that's been developed to thrive. The Day After Tomorrow Part Deux is upon us. Hee hee! Couldn't help myself.

Seriously though, it's clear to me that whenever  market sentiment turns, you'll know it. The second move down will be equally as vigorous as what we saw in '08 and now. In other words, very exciting if you're well prepared. I mean exciting because the stock market is not an investment vehicle, it's entertainment! 

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 10:33 | 309215 yipcarl
yipcarl's picture

I assume then all airlines are up, up, up?  TM hasn't gone done much and they killed and mamed a bunch of people. In addition they are pulling cars like bakers pull old donuts but the stock stays strong.  The disconnect between logic and the markets is astounding.  ASTOUNDING.

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 10:39 | 309230 Fidel Sarcastro
Fidel Sarcastro's picture

Next up - MORE bailouts...airlines, of course.

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 10:47 | 309242 girl money
girl money's picture

Can't help but smile, remembering Art Cashin's remark, along the lines of the market would need a big geopolitical event to knock it down.

Geo = volcano eruptions big enough to affect commerce

Political = GS 3-2 SEC vote split, and the coming finreg legislation

Surfing various Elliott Wave sites, appears that this was a correction just waiting for a reason anyway.  These will do.  Smart money is going to make a killing on the next wave down.

 

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 11:01 | 309264 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

Better than expected?

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 11:26 | 309306 anony
anony's picture

Should put back peak oil by about a day or two.

Tue, 04/20/2010 - 12:02 | 309378 DavidC
DavidC's picture

Ah, that'll be why the market is up again...

DavidC

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